Semiconductors
In the Nasdaq-100.
Your signal
Sell: 24 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (31%) scores 31 and lifts it; Off the high (−27% from its 1-year high) scores 9 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | MCHP | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 31% | 31 | 40 | 12.4 |
| Off the high | −27% from its 1-year high | 9 | 30 | 2.7 |
| Trend | −6% vs 200-day | 28 | 30 | 8.4 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | MCHP | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 31% | 31 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +45% · 25 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 1.5 · buy | 73 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 109.1× | 8 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Forward P/E | 16.2× | 50 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | 0.23 | 95 | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to sales | 7.9× | 21 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Price to book | 6.2× | 27 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Dividend yield | 2.5% | 59 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Earnings growth | – | – | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. |
| Revenue growth | +21% | 65 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Profit margin | 9% | 46 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Return on equity | 7% | 33 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Debt to equity | 0.83× | 36 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Off the high | −27% from its 1-year high | 9 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −6% vs 200-day | 28 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +18% | 54 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 5/10 · high | 50 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on MCHPThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about MCHP now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
MCHP −4.0%, the S&P 500 −0.2% that session; −8.6% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
Microchip Technology Falls as Chip Stocks Slide in Broader Market Risk-Off Move
Microchip Technology Inc. stock underperforms Wednesday when compared to competitors
Microchip Technology (MCHP) Stock Looks Fully Valued On Cash Flow
MCHP +5.4%, the S&P 500 +0.5% that session; +5.6% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on MCHP was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for MCHP starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +0.5%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved +1.5% on average, so most of the move was its own.
MCHP +3.5%, the S&P 500 +0.2% that session; +4.6% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on MCHP was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for MCHP starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +0.2%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved +3.2% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on MCHP went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −1.8% | Enter above $76.51 (+3.2%) | 27% 180/672 | +2.1% / +11.4% | −57.1% / −63.8% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Jul 17, 2026 −7.8% | Enter above $81.19 (+9.5%) | 21% 26/121 | +3.4% / +11.4% | −55.4% / −63.8% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −1.8% | Enter above $77.03 (+3.9%) | 25% 103/410 | +1.8% / +11.4% | −52.1% / −63.8% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Jun 26, 2026 −15.2% | Not on one close | 14% 31/216 | −2.8% / +11.4% | −67.5% / −63.8% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −1.8% | Enter above $81.95 (+10.5%) | 20% 18/90 | +1.0% / +11.4% | −54.4% / −63.8% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −1.8% | Enter above $81.95 (+10.5%) | 18% 25/140 | −1.7% / +11.4% | −58.1% / −63.8% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −4.6% | Exit below $79.34 (+7.0%) | 22% 11/49 | +3.0% / +11.4% | −47.8% / −63.8% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −4.9% | Enter above $78.72 (+6.1%) | 14% 27/195 | +2.6% / +11.4% | −45.3% / −63.8% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | OUT | Sep 17, 2026 +4.7% | Enter above $268.95 (+262.7%) | 30% 10/33 | +5.0% / +11.4% | −49.7% / −63.8% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −4.9% | Enter above $78.72 (+6.1%) | 13% 18/138 | 0.0% / +11.4% | −50.4% / −63.8% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | IN | Sep 25, 2026 −5.8% | Exit below $69.41 (−6.4%) | 34% 52/153 | −0.3% / +11.4% | −61.5% / −63.8% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −4.9% | Enter above $77.64 (+4.7%) | 23% 181/792 | −1.5% / +11.4% | −81.7% / −63.8% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | IN | Aug 10, 2026 −8.3% | Exit below $62.24 (−16.1%) | 36% 95/265 | +7.9% / +11.4% | −61.0% / −63.8% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Sep 23, 2026 −1.8% | Exit below $51.82 (−30.1%) | 16% 7/45 | +0.6% / +11.4% | −60.1% / −63.8% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Jul 2, 2026 −11.9% | Enter above $86.66 (+16.9%) | 28% 43/153 | +1.0% / +11.4% | −54.6% / −63.8% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Jul 16, 2026 −8.7% | Enter above $83.55 (+12.7%) | 26% 32/125 | +2.8% / +11.4% | −45.2% / −63.8% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −8.8% | Exit below $73.79 (−0.5%) | 38% 63/168 | +2.3% / +11.4% | −46.6% / −63.8% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 −9.0% | Flips at next check | 41% 138/335 | −0.1% / +11.4% | −62.2% / −63.8% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −1.8% | Enter above $76.26 (+2.8%) | 37% 214/582 | +2.8% / +11.4% | −57.5% / −63.8% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | IN | Sep 25, 2026 −5.8% | Exit below $68.75 (−7.3%) | 36% 80/220 | +2.3% / +11.4% | −59.7% / −63.8% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −1.8% | Enter above $81.46 (+9.8%) | 39% 194/498 | +8.4% / +11.4% | −39.4% / −63.8% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Jun 23, 2026 −20.0% | Not on one close | 31% 53/173 | +0.6% / +11.4% | −54.9% / −63.8% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | IN | Sep 28, 2026 −4.9% | Exit below $74.32 (+0.2%) | 28% 58/206 | +0.1% / +11.4% | −59.0% / −63.8% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −1.8% | Enter above $78.57 (+5.9%) | 39% 95/242 | +4.1% / +11.4% | −59.3% / −63.8% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Sep 25, 2026 −5.8% | Exit below $76.75 (+3.5%) | 34% 79/231 | +4.0% / +11.4% | −51.0% / −63.8% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | May 18, 2026 −19.2% | Not on one close | 43% 99/230 | +9.8% / +11.4% | −47.2% / −63.8% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | IN | Sep 28, 2026 −4.9% | Exit below $75.72 (+2.1%) | 28% 55/194 | +0.8% / +11.4% | −54.8% / −63.8% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Jul 15, 2026 −13.5% | Enter above $87.48 (+18.0%) | 29% 27/93 | +5.2% / +11.4% | −51.0% / −63.8% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Sep 25, 2026 −5.8% | Exit below $73.13 (−1.4%) | 36% 74/207 | +4.3% / +11.4% | −36.1% / −63.8% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jun 5, 2026 −15.5% | Not on one close | 23% 6/26 | +1.0% / +11.4% | −15.5% / −63.8% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | IN | Sep 22, 2026 −2.2% | Exit below $68.75 (−7.3%) | 35% 50/144 | +1.8% / +11.4% | −50.2% / −63.8% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jun 26, 2026 −15.2% | Enter above $85.46 (+15.2%) | 28% 41/144 | −0.7% / +11.4% | −48.9% / −63.8% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jun 5, 2026 −15.5% | Enter above $85.46 (+15.2%) | 26% 28/109 | −1.0% / +11.4% | −59.5% / −63.8% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Jul 2, 2026 −11.9% | Enter above $144.39 (+94.7%) | 23% 26/114 | −3.1% / +11.4% | −62.4% / −63.8% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Mar 3, 2026 +5.0% | Not on one close | 34% 46/134 | −0.4% / +11.4% | −56.6% / −63.8% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | May 19, 2026 −18.3% | Enter above $84.07 (+13.4%) | 34% 51/148 | +1.6% / +11.4% | −31.7% / −63.8% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −1.8% | Enter above $83.31 (+12.3%) | 34% 78/228 | 0.0% / +11.4% | −55.8% / −63.8% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +0.4% | Enter above $81.49 (+9.9%) | 37% 71/193 | +2.5% / +11.4% | −52.7% / −63.8% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Sep 25, 2026 −5.8% | Exit below $73.22 (−1.3%) | 38% 72/188 | +3.9% / +11.4% | −46.8% / −63.8% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | IN | Sep 22, 2026 −2.2% | Exit below $67.90 (−8.4%) | 34% 35/102 | +3.3% / +11.4% | −55.9% / −63.8% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +0.4% | Enter above $76.38 (+3.0%) | 27% 93/344 | +0.9% / +11.4% | −57.0% / −63.8% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −4.9% | Not on one close | 26% 51/198 | +0.3% / +11.4% | −31.0% / −63.8% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −1.8% | Not on one close | 38% 46/122 | +2.3% / +11.4% | −23.0% / −63.8% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −4.9% | Enter above $74.80 (+0.9%) | 33% 236/712 | +1.3% / +11.4% | −70.7% / −63.8% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −1.8% | Not on one close | 13% 4/30 | +0.2% / +11.4% | −20.9% / −63.8% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Dec 31, 2025 +18.4% | Exit below $63.07 (−15.0%) | 34% 10/29 | +6.4% / +11.5% | −62.0% / −63.8% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Jan 30, 2026 −0.7% | Not on one close | 46% 16/35 | +8.2% / +11.5% | −55.8% / −63.8% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −4.6% | Exit below $70.13 (−5.4%) | 29% 12/41 | +5.1% / +11.5% | −43.7% / −63.8% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Aug 10, 2026 −8.3% | Not on one close | 18% 33/179 | +0.7% / +11.4% | −52.6% / −63.8% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 +0.4% | Enter above $96.99 (+30.8%) | 23% 6/26 | +2.9% / +11.4% | −52.4% / −63.8% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Jul 17, 2026 −7.8% | Enter above $87.19 (+17.6%) | 26% 35/134 | +3.6% / +11.4% | −37.5% / −63.8% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −1.8% | Enter above $82.14 (+10.8%) | 38% 165/432 | +7.3% / +11.4% | −47.9% / −63.8% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −4.9% | Enter above $76.51 (+3.2%) | 31% 242/786 | +2.1% / +11.4% | −73.9% / −63.8% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | IN | Sep 14, 2026 +3.7% | Exit below $71.62 (−3.4%) | 44% 129/293 | +6.7% / +11.4% | −43.3% / −63.8% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Jun 30, 2025 +8.9% | Not on one close | 29% 5/17 | +6.4% / +10.0% | −62.9% / −63.8% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −4.9% | Enter above $84.04 (+13.3%) | 28% 171/614 | −3.3% / +11.4% | −64.2% / −63.8% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | IN | Sep 9, 2026 +1.6% | Exit below $59.46 (−19.8%) | 42% 107/253 | +5.9% / +11.4% | −51.0% / −63.8% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | IN | Sep 28, 2026 −4.9% | Exit below $73.81 (−0.5%) | 29% 58/200 | +0.9% / +11.4% | −54.3% / −63.8% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −4.6% | Exit below $77.03 (+3.9%) | 34% 30/89 | +4.9% / +11.5% | −54.3% / −63.8% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Jan 30, 2026 −0.7% | Not on one close | 42% 13/31 | +5.0% / +10.7% | −55.8% / −63.8% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | OUT | Jun 30, 2026 −18.2% | Not on one close | 45% 17/38 | +6.3% / +11.5% | −55.8% / −63.8% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $76.63 (+3.3%) | 38% 123/324 | +10.7% / +11.4% | −44.3% / −63.8% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Apr 28, 2026 −11.0% | Not on one close | 70% 26/37 | +8.9% / +11.4% | −50.4% / −63.8% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Aug 3, 2026 −0.8% | Not on one close | 63% 213/338 | +6.4% / +11.4% | −26.3% / −63.8% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −0.1% | Not on one close | 64% 259/403 | +3.8% / +11.4% | −53.0% / −63.8% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Sep 18, 2026 +1.2% | Buy below $70.14 (−5.4%) | 66% 151/228 | +12.5% / +11.4% | −41.4% / −63.8% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −0.7% | Not on one close | 67% 116/173 | +10.2% / +11.4% | −56.8% / −63.8% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −0.7% | Enter above $74.44 (+0.4%) | 61% 181/299 | +10.4% / +11.4% | −52.4% / −63.8% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −4.6% | Not on one close | 69% 65/94 | +14.1% / +11.4% | −50.0% / −63.8% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Nov 22, 2004 +857.8% | Sell above $190.26 (+156.6%) | – | +11.4% / +11.4% | −63.8% / −63.8% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Jul 30, 2026 −0.5% | Not on one close | 50% 14/28 | +2.3% / +11.4% | −23.5% / −63.8% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −4.9% | Enter above $78.14 (+5.4%) | 49% 155/317 | +7.6% / +11.4% | −67.1% / −63.8% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −4.9% | Enter above $75.23 (+1.4%) | 51% 214/417 | −3.2% / +11.4% | −76.1% / −63.8% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −9.0% | Buy below $74.16 (0.0%) | 57% 1041/1830 | +6.5% / +11.4% | −38.8% / −63.8% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 21, 2026 −0.8% | Not on one close | 61% 69/114 | +6.7% / +11.4% | −49.3% / −63.8% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −4.9% | Enter above $80.27 (+8.2%) | 36% 384/1060 | +1.3% / +11.4% | −57.8% / −63.8% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −4.6% | Buy below $79.34 (+7.0%) | 57% 83/145 | +11.0% / +11.4% | −54.2% / −63.8% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below $74.16 (+0.0%) | 24% 197/815 | +1.1% / +11.4% | −67.2% / −63.8% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Sep 21, 2026 −0.8% | Not on one close | 35% 72/207 | −1.1% / +11.4% | −67.5% / −63.8% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | OUT | Apr 28, 2026 −11.0% | Not on one close | 59% 22/37 | +8.8% / +11.4% | −62.4% / −63.8% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +0.4% | Not on one close | 32% 52/164 | +0.7% / +11.8% | −80.6% / −63.8% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −1.8% | Enter above $76.69 (+3.4%) | 26% 195/744 | +0.0% / +11.4% | −61.7% / −63.8% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $84.31 (+13.7%) | 37% 134/362 | +3.4% / +11.4% | −50.2% / −63.8% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below $74.16 (0.0%) | 35% 219/633 | −0.4% / +11.4% | −66.6% / −63.8% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | OUT | Jul 14, 2026 −14.4% | Not on one close | 30% 37/122 | +6.6% / +11.8% | −45.5% / −63.8% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −4.9% | Not on one close | 34% 312/922 | +7.1% / +11.4% | −50.1% / −63.8% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 +1.1% | Not on one close | 58% 65/113 | +9.4% / +11.4% | −55.7% / −63.8% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +6.6% | Not on one close | 35% 42/119 | +2.0% / +11.4% | −57.4% / −63.8% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jul 14, 2026 −14.4% | Not on one close | 44% 32/72 | +1.3% / +11.4% | −28.9% / −63.8% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −19.3% | Buys Oct 30 | 63% 27/43 | +13.9% / +11.4% | −52.3% / −63.8% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | May 12, 2026 −23.3% | Enter above $83.95 (+13.2%) | 65% 28/43 | +13.1% / +11.4% | −57.3% / −63.8% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | May 13, 2026 −22.5% | Window opens Oct 16 | 67% 29/43 | +14.6% / +11.4% | −57.4% / −63.8% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 +12.5% | Buys Dec 23 | 39% 17/44 | +1.2% / +11.4% | −11.0% / −63.8% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −9.0% | Buys Oct 29 | 49% 258/526 | +4.3% / +11.4% | −41.6% / −63.8% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −4.6% | Sells Jun 30 | 64% 7/11 | +5.4% / +11.4% | −27.4% / −63.8% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 0.0% | Buys Nov 24 | 50% 198/400 | +2.5% / +11.4% | −13.3% / −63.8% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +15.5% | Not on one close | 25% 5/20 | +3.7% / +11.4% | −63.8% / −63.8% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 +0.4% | Sells Oct 16 | 51% 1165/2284 | +3.5% / +11.4% | −73.3% / −63.8% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +6.6% | Buys Oct 27 | 49% 171/348 | +3.9% / +11.4% | −10.5% / −63.8% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −8.8% | Sells Oct 16 | 45% 246/541 | +1.5% / +11.4% | −68.7% / −63.8% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Jan 3, 2005 | Always in | – | +11.4% | −63.8% |
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Semiconductors · Microchip Technology Incorporated develops, manufactures, and sells smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It operates in two segments, Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | $40.3B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $5.1B | Total sales. The market values it at 7.9× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 109.1× | Buyers pay $109 for each $1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 16.2× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 6.2× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 9.3% | Keeps 9¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +20.9% | The last four quarters' sales against the four before. |
| Return on equity | 7.4% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | $1.4B | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | $6.4B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $5.4B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | $272M | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.84× | Moderate. |
| Interest cover | 2.3× | Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | $107.84 | 45% above the close, from 25 analysts (range $80.00 to $135.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
| Dividend yield | 2.45% | Yearly dividends as a share of the price. |
P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
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