Metals & mining

Lundin Mining (LUN)

C$34.67 −1.4% on the day·+65.0% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell34 / 100

Sell: 34 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (38%) scores 38 and lifts it; Off the high (−22% from its 1-year high) scores 28 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	LUN	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	38%	38	40	15.2
Off the high	−22% from its 1-year high	28	30	8.4
Trend	−3% vs 200-day	34	30	10.2

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for LUN

Factor	LUN	Points	What it is
Plays in	38%	38	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+25% · 24 analysts · capped: below 200-day	50	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	2.3 · buy	36	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	16.1×	78	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	16.7×	46	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	0.93	71	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	4.5×	41	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	3.0×	50	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield	0.3%	9	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	+29%	58	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth	+38%	79	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	33%	86	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	24%	78	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity	0.05×	88	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high	−22% from its 1-year high	28	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	−3% vs 200-day	34	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+65%	84	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	6/10 · high	40	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on LUN

38 of the 100 plays hold LUN right now.
The trend-following plays mostly say out.
It closed 3% below its 200-day average and 22% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads high: it moves about 2.2× its index and fell about 1.8× as far as its index in past crashes.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$43.49, 25% above the close (24 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in38 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureHigh6 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple0.97×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−3%). Higher than on 34% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about LUN now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn LUN: right 17 of 36 · Out since Feb 20, 2026 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopIN37% of 36,314 calls rightOn LUN: right 74 of 190 · In since Sep 30, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn LUN: right 18 of 32 · In since Jul 31, 2025 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn LUN: right 127 of 190 · Out since Sep 22, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexIN59% of 13,925 calls rightOn LUN: right 38 of 53 · In since Mar 23, 2026 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchIN50% of 38,976 calls rightOn LUN: right 41 of 90 · In since Aug 20, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn LUN: right 29 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

LUN, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved LUN lately

Its 2 biggest moves against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Sep 10−6.3% against the S&P/TSX2.1× a normal day

LUN −7.4%, the S&P/TSX −1.1% that session; −13.3% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on LUN was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for LUN starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.1%. The 50 other Metals & mining stocks Be The Puck covers moved −4.2% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.

Tue Sep 8+6.6% against the S&P/TSX2.3× a normal day

LUN +5.6%, the S&P/TSX −1.1% that session; −6.4% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on LUN

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following6 of 30 in Breakouts & channels5 of 15 in Momentum11 of 17 in Mean reversion5 of 15 in Volume & money flow5 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns2 of 3 in Calendar4 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on LUN went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.4%	Exit below C$34.49 (−0.5%)	27% 172/630	+11.1% / +12.6%	−84.6% / −95.3%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −2.3%	Enter above C$35.63 (+2.8%)	27% 34/125	+10.6% / +12.6%	−68.2% / −95.3%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$35.15 (+1.4%)	22% 82/381	+10.4% / +12.6%	−76.1% / −95.3%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	OUT	Aug 13, 2026 −1.1%	Enter above C$73.03 (+110.7%)	19% 33/175	+3.7% / +11.7%	−60.2% / −95.3%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −2.3%	Enter above C$36.57 (+5.5%)	28% 22/80	+12.7% / +12.6%	−56.2% / −95.3%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −2.3%	Enter above C$36.86 (+6.3%)	23% 21/93	+10.8% / +12.6%	−52.3% / −95.3%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 +2.2%	Enter above C$36.49 (+5.3%)	35% 15/43	+12.4% / +12.6%	−68.3% / −95.3%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −0.5%	Enter above C$35.91 (+3.6%)	15% 28/191	+12.2% / +12.6%	−59.9% / −95.3%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 −1.2%	Enter above C$54.61 (+57.5%)	37% 14/38	+11.7% / +12.6%	−65.1% / −95.3%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −0.5%	Enter above C$35.91 (+3.6%)	15% 19/127	+12.3% / +12.6%	−56.8% / −95.3%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	OUT	Sep 11, 2026 +3.6%	Enter above C$36.74 (+6.0%)	34% 50/147	+5.6% / +12.6%	−85.8% / −95.3%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.4%	Exit below C$34.61 (−0.2%)	25% 199/786	+7.4% / +12.6%	−87.7% / −95.3%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	IN	Oct 5, 2026 −1.2%	Exit below C$32.00 (−7.7%)	32% 88/276	−3.2% / +12.6%	−92.8% / −95.3%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	May 29, 2025 +165.3%	Not on one close	19% 8/42	+3.6% / +11.4%	−87.2% / −95.3%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +0.5%	Enter above C$42.44 (+22.4%)	28% 43/155	+9.6% / +12.6%	−68.4% / −95.3%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +0.5%	Enter above C$37.06 (+6.9%)	32% 41/127	+11.8% / +12.6%	−60.1% / −95.3%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +0.5%	Enter above C$36.74 (+6.0%)	34% 61/181	+4.6% / +12.6%	−83.1% / −95.3%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	OUT	Sep 8, 2026 −7.4%	Not on one close	36% 104/291	+7.2% / +12.6%	−82.0% / −95.3%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$34.46 (−0.6%)	37% 221/603	+9.1% / +12.6%	−71.4% / −95.3%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	OUT	Sep 9, 2026 −7.0%	Enter above C$38.17 (+10.1%)	37% 81/217	+8.6% / +12.6%	−67.7% / −95.3%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +3.3%	Enter above C$36.15 (+4.3%)	41% 184/453	+10.3% / +12.6%	−75.9% / −95.3%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Mar 5, 2026 −5.3%	Not on one close	35% 49/139	+14.7% / +12.6%	−52.7% / −95.3%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +0.5%	Enter above C$37.07 (+6.9%)	27% 52/195	+8.6% / +12.6%	−83.4% / −95.3%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	IN	Sep 25, 2026 −0.9%	Exit below C$33.76 (−2.6%)	36% 115/320	+10.7% / +12.6%	−70.8% / −95.3%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Sep 15, 2026 +7.8%	Enter above C$39.54 (+14.0%)	32% 74/233	+9.6% / +12.6%	−77.7% / −95.3%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +3.3%	Not on one close	39% 91/234	+6.0% / +12.6%	−82.9% / −95.3%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +0.5%	Enter above C$36.90 (+6.4%)	25% 48/195	+8.3% / +12.6%	−81.1% / −95.3%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	OUT	Sep 11, 2026 +3.6%	Enter above C$44.02 (+27.0%)	28% 32/115	+8.9% / +12.6%	−72.7% / −95.3%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Sep 29, 2026 +0.6%	Exit below C$33.20 (−4.2%)	32% 78/246	−5.3% / +12.6%	−87.6% / −95.3%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Feb 20, 2026 −12.1%	Not on one close	47% 17/36	+4.0% / +12.6%	−14.3% / −95.3%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	OUT	Sep 11, 2026 +3.6%	Enter above C$36.33 (+4.8%)	33% 43/129	+9.5% / +12.6%	−70.4% / −95.3%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Jun 5, 2026 −6.8%	Enter above C$36.84 (+6.3%)	30% 48/159	+1.4% / +12.6%	−81.2% / −95.3%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Jun 5, 2026 −6.8%	Enter above C$39.75 (+14.6%)	33% 30/91	+10.0% / +12.6%	−60.9% / −95.3%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Sep 11, 2026 +3.6%	Enter above C$46.91 (+35.3%)	33% 34/103	+7.7% / +12.6%	−50.9% / −95.3%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −3.2%	Exit below C$32.89 (−5.1%)	35% 43/124	+0.8% / +12.6%	−85.5% / −95.3%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Jun 5, 2026 −6.8%	Enter above C$38.20 (+10.2%)	32% 52/163	+7.5% / +12.6%	−66.6% / −95.3%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Aug 13, 2026 −1.1%	Enter above C$36.39 (+5.0%)	37% 76/207	+8.2% / +12.6%	−66.5% / −95.3%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +0.5%	Enter above C$35.81 (+3.3%)	33% 73/221	0.0% / +12.6%	−88.8% / −95.3%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 11, 2026 +3.6%	Enter above C$36.07 (+4.0%)	36% 73/205	+8.5% / +12.6%	−89.4% / −95.3%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +2.2%	Exit below C$32.63 (−5.9%)	39% 74/190	+9.1% / +12.6%	−87.6% / −95.3%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.4%	Exit below C$33.54 (−3.3%)	28% 104/370	+10.3% / +12.6%	−81.1% / −95.3%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Apr 21, 2026 −7.0%	Not on one close	29% 69/235	+2.4% / +12.6%	−69.1% / −95.3%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +3.3%	Exit below C$28.36 (−18.2%)	38% 48/128	+0.2% / +12.6%	−54.0% / −95.3%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.4%	Exit below C$33.74 (−2.7%)	32% 224/694	+11.5% / +12.6%	−70.5% / −95.3%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Jul 28, 2026 −0.1%	Not on one close	32% 12/38	+5.4% / +12.6%	−24.2% / −95.3%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	Aug 29, 2025 +119.3%	Exit below C$23.31 (−32.8%)	38% 10/26	+10.9% / +12.0%	−73.6% / −95.3%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2025 +146.3%	Not on one close	56% 18/32	+15.2% / +12.0%	−72.2% / −95.3%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2025 +67.6%	Exit below C$25.92 (−25.2%)	38% 13/34	+10.3% / +12.0%	−73.8% / −95.3%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Jul 23, 2026 −4.3%	Not on one close	23% 30/133	+11.9% / +12.6%	−46.4% / −95.3%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	OUT	Mar 31, 2026 +0.1%	Enter above C$42.09 (+21.4%)	30% 9/30	+6.0% / +12.6%	−62.1% / −95.3%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	OUT	Jun 19, 2026 −6.6%	Enter above C$37.74 (+8.9%)	31% 31/101	+14.5% / +12.6%	−56.8% / −95.3%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 −0.5%	Exit below C$32.87 (−5.2%)	35% 159/454	+2.5% / +12.6%	−85.2% / −95.3%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.4%	Exit below C$34.50 (−0.5%)	30% 240/790	+5.8% / +12.6%	−79.8% / −95.3%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +2.2%	Exit below C$26.70 (−23.0%)	41% 134/324	+6.1% / +12.6%	−77.0% / −95.3%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Mar 31, 2023 +306.4%	Not on one close	47% 7/15	+15.1% / +8.5%	−63.8% / −95.3%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −6.5%	Enter above C$35.59 (+2.6%)	28% 159/562	+5.4% / +12.6%	−66.6% / −95.3%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	IN	Oct 5, 2026 −1.2%	Exit below C$26.94 (−22.3%)	38% 107/280	+0.9% / +12.6%	−88.0% / −95.3%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +0.5%	Enter above C$37.25 (+7.5%)	28% 52/185	+9.8% / +12.6%	−82.7% / −95.3%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 +2.2%	Enter above C$33.28 (−4.0%)	39% 32/83	+16.8% / +12.0%	−59.2% / −95.3%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2025 +146.3%	Not on one close	53% 16/30	+6.2% / +6.2%	−72.2% / −95.3%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	IN	Jul 31, 2025 +146.3%	Not on one close	59% 17/29	+14.0% / +12.0%	−52.5% / −95.3%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	IN	Oct 5, 2026 −1.2%	Exit below C$32.99 (−4.9%)	34% 122/356	+3.8% / +12.6%	−81.6% / −95.3%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Jun 10, 2025 +145.2%	Not on one close	40% 12/30	−5.3% / +12.6%	−94.8% / −95.3%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Sep 8, 2026 −7.4%	Not on one close	54% 144/268	+0.2% / +12.6%	−54.8% / −95.3%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +0.1%	Not on one close	63% 226/360	+8.9% / +12.6%	−51.3% / −95.3%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 −3.2%	Buy below C$32.24 (−7.0%)	67% 127/190	+9.0% / +12.6%	−74.8% / −95.3%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	IN	Sep 16, 2026 +8.8%	Not on one close	68% 122/179	+11.2% / +12.6%	−93.4% / −95.3%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	IN	Sep 3, 2026 −3.5%	Not on one close	60% 163/273	−0.5% / +12.6%	−95.6% / −95.3%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	OUT	Jun 4, 2026 −18.5%	Not on one close	67% 55/82	+10.3% / +12.6%	−94.1% / −95.3%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +1,280.2%	Sell above C$86.79 (+150.3%)	–	+12.6% / +12.6%	−95.3% / −95.3%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Mar 23, 2026 +8.8%	Not on one close	58% 15/26	+3.2% / +12.6%	−22.9% / −95.3%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 +2.2%	Not on one close	48% 161/335	+2.5% / +12.6%	−78.2% / −95.3%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Not on one close	52% 218/418	+5.4% / +12.6%	−85.7% / −95.3%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +4.1%	Buy below C$34.67 (0.0%)	55% 984/1776	+11.3% / +12.6%	−58.8% / −95.3%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Jul 21, 2026 −4.1%	Not on one close	54% 50/92	+6.2% / +12.6%	−45.8% / −95.3%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.4%	Exit below C$33.94 (−2.1%)	36% 384/1055	+9.5% / +12.6%	−81.7% / −95.3%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +2.2%	Sell above C$34.61 (−0.2%)	64% 92/143	+10.2% / +12.6%	−91.7% / −95.3%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −6.5%	Not on one close	29% 202/697	+7.2% / +12.6%	−80.0% / −95.3%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Sep 18, 2026 +3.3%	Not on one close	36% 80/221	−2.7% / +12.6%	−88.5% / −95.3%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	IN	Mar 23, 2026 +8.8%	Not on one close	72% 38/53	+3.2% / +12.6%	−94.8% / −95.3%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	IN	Nov 25, 2025 +37.7%	Exit below C$31.39 (−9.4%)	39% 22/56	+11.8% / +12.6%	−75.2% / −95.3%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$34.87 (+0.6%)	26% 183/697	+3.5% / +12.6%	−85.1% / −95.3%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 −0.9%	Exit below C$33.68 (−2.9%)	36% 136/378	+10.3% / +12.6%	−78.8% / −95.3%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Sep 18, 2026 +3.3%	Exit below C$34.67 (0.0%)	37% 205/557	−6.7% / +12.6%	−94.6% / −95.3%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	OUT	Jul 17, 2026 +4.6%	Not on one close	29% 29/99	+9.2% / +12.7%	−85.5% / −95.3%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Buy C$34.62–C$40.56 (−0.1%)	36% 334/938	−2.1% / +12.6%	−94.0% / −95.3%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	IN	Aug 20, 2026 −3.9%	Not on one close	46% 41/90	−2.8% / +12.6%	−95.5% / −95.3%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	IN	May 9, 2025 +192.7%	Exit below C$11.24 (−67.6%)	42% 42/99	+21.6% / +12.6%	−61.0% / −95.3%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Jul 17, 2026 +4.6%	Not on one close	38% 18/48	−0.7% / +12.6%	−48.3% / −95.3%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 −0.4%	Buys Oct 30	67% 29/43	+21.6% / +12.6%	−80.5% / −95.3%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 21, 2026 −7.0%	Not on one close	67% 29/43	+25.7% / +12.6%	−72.8% / −95.3%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 23, 2026 −7.5%	Window opens Oct 16	58% 25/43	+19.3% / +12.6%	−81.9% / −95.3%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +10.0%	Buys Dec 23	59% 26/44	+7.7% / +12.6%	−10.4% / −95.3%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 −1.2%	Buys Oct 29	54% 284/526	+15.8% / +12.6%	−46.8% / −95.3%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +2.2%	Sells Jun 30	55% 6/11	+6.5% / +12.6%	−46.1% / −95.3%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −2.3%	Buys Nov 24	48% 187/386	+7.3% / +12.6%	−15.4% / −95.3%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +354.0%	Not on one close	45% 9/20	+5.7% / +12.6%	−85.9% / −95.3%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	50% 1151/2284	+17.3% / +12.6%	−85.5% / −95.3%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 +8.8%	Buys Oct 27	51% 178/348	+5.6% / +12.6%	−20.4% / −95.3%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −1.0%	Sells Oct 16	51% 278/541	+7.3% / +12.6%	−83.7% / −95.3%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 4, 2005	Always in	–	+12.6%	−95.3%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureHigh6 of 10 points

Market swings3/3
Past crashes2/2
Debt0/3
Run-up1/2

It moves about 2.2× its index.
It fell about 1.8× as far as its index in past crashes.
It is up 143% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Feb 2009 · back to its old high Feb 2021

LUN−95%

TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jun 2020

LUN−41%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Sep 2022 · back to its old high Jan 2023

LUN−34%

TSX−14%

Beta2.20Moves about 2.2× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture161%In months the TSX fell, this fell 161% as much on average.
Two-year change+143%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−22%
Debt to equity0.06×
Net debt / EBITDA0.1×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover17.7×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Copper · Lundin Mining Corporation, a diversified base metals mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and mining of mineral properties in Chile, Brazil, and Argentina. It explores for copper, gold, silver, molybdenum, and other metal deposits. The company was formerly known as South Atlantic Ventures Ltd. and changed its name to Lundin Mining Corporation in August 2004. Lundin Mining Corporation was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$29.5B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	$4.6B	Total sales.
P/E ratio	16.1×	Buyers pay C$16 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	16.7×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book	3.0×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	32.5%	Keeps 33¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+38.1%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth	+28.9%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	24.3%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	$756M	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	$6.6B	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	$389M	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	$266M	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	0.06×	Comfortable.
Interest cover	17.7×	Interest is easily paid from profit.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	C$43.49	25% above the close, from 24 analysts (range C$31.64 to C$53.99).
Consensus rating	Buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield	0.31%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

LUN: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Metals & mining: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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