C$95.73−0.1% on the day·+15.4% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026
Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.
Your signal
Hold50 / 100
Hold: 50 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Trend (+4% vs 200-day) scores 57 and lifts it; Off the high (−17% from its 1-year high) scores 42 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
All 18 factors for LUG
Factor
LUG
Points
What it is
Plays in
51%
51
The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside
+2% · 12 analysts
32
How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating
2.5 · hold
25
The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E
17.9×
72
Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E
15.6×
50
Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG
–
–
P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth
+12%
40
Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth
+6%
26
Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend
+4% vs 200-day
57
How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
The volume plays mostly say in; the pattern plays mostly say out.
It closed 4% above its 200-day average and 17% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads high: it moves about 2.0× its index and fell about 1.5× as far as its index in past crashes.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$97.75, 2% above the close (12 analysts).
This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Plays in51 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
What moved LUG lately
Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
Fri Oct 9+9.0% against the S&P/TSX3.4× a normal day
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on LUG went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
It fell about 1.5× as far as its index in past crashes.
It is up 245% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.
Past crashes, peak to low
Financial crisisOct 2007 to Oct 2008 · back to its old high Aug 2024
LUG−90%
TSX−47%
COVID crashFeb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high May 2020
LUG−35%
TSX−37%
2022 bear marketJan 2022 to Jul 2022 · back to its old high Oct 2022
LUG−24%
TSX−14%
Beta1.99Moves about 2.0× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture−101%In months the TSX fell, this fell -101% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change+245%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−17%
Debt to equity0.02×
Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Gold · Lundin Gold Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and operates its mineral concessions in Ecuador. It explores for gold and silver deposits. The company holds interests in 27 metallic mineral concessions and 3 construction material concessions covering an area of approximately 65,000 hectares located in Ecuador.
Size and valuation
Market cap
C$23.1B
What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)
$2.0B
Total sales.
P/E ratio
17.9×
Buyers pay C$18 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E
15.6×
Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book
29.8×
Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin
46.3%
Keeps 46¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth
+5.5%
Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth
+12.2%
Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity
101.2%
Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow
$999M
Cash left after running and investing in the business.