Software & devices
In the Nasdaq-100.
Your signal
Buy: 68 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Trend (+28% vs 200-day) scores 95 and lifts it; Plays in (55%) scores 55 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | LITE | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 55% | 55 | 40 | 22.0 |
| Off the high | −13% from its 1-year high | 57 | 30 | 17.1 |
| Trend | +28% vs 200-day | 95 | 30 | 28.5 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | LITE | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 55% | 55 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +19% · 26 analysts | 56 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 1.5 · buy | 75 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | loss | 0 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-27. |
| Forward P/E | 27.5× | 13 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | 0.63 | 81 | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to sales | 29.4× | 3 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-27. |
| Price to book | 19.1× | 7 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-27. |
| Dividend yield | none | 0 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | – | – | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-27. |
| Revenue growth | +83% | 94 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-27. |
| Profit margin | −230% | 1 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-27. |
| Return on equity | −149% | 1 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-27. |
| Debt to equity | 0.70× | 43 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-27. |
| Off the high | −13% from its 1-year high | 57 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | +28% vs 200-day | 95 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +515% | 100 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 8/10 · very high | 20 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on LITEThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about LITE now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
Its biggest move against the S&P 500 in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
LITE +11.0%, the S&P 500 −0.6% that session; −4.0% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on LITE was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for LITE starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.6%. The 33 other Software & devices stocks Be The Puck covers moved −2.2% on average, so most of the move was its own.
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on LITE went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2015. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −0.7% | Enter above $1,028.29 (+4.1%) | 27% 86/320 | +13.7% / +44.7% | −74.2% / −66.9% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | IN | Aug 7, 2026 +11.0% | Exit below $875.79 (−11.4%) | 19% 13/69 | +14.3% / +43.5% | −84.8% / −66.9% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | IN | Sep 16, 2026 +7.5% | Exit below $942.18 (−4.6%) | 21% 42/198 | +24.1% / +43.4% | −72.2% / −66.9% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | IN | Aug 11, 2026 +20.4% | Exit below $931.78 (−5.7%) | 12% 13/110 | +17.2% / +42.1% | −72.0% / −66.9% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | IN | Aug 7, 2026 +11.0% | Exit below $878.24 (−11.1%) | 17% 8/48 | +19.2% / +40.8% | −80.1% / −66.9% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | IN | Aug 7, 2026 +11.0% | Exit below $878.24 (−11.1%) | 17% 9/54 | +17.8% / +42.4% | −81.3% / −66.9% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | IN | May 30, 2025 +1,266.9% | Exit below $778.98 (−21.2%) | 23% 5/22 | +31.4% / +42.0% | −69.5% / −66.9% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | IN | May 12, 2025 +1,277.4% | Exit below $772.11 (−21.9%) | 10% 11/106 | +20.9% / +43.0% | −81.8% / −66.9% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | IN | Jun 30, 2025 +939.3% | Not on one close | 25% 5/20 | +26.9% / +43.0% | −69.1% / −66.9% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | May 12, 2025 +1,277.4% | Exit below $772.11 (−21.9%) | 8% 7/86 | +14.8% / +42.9% | −89.1% / −66.9% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | IN | Aug 7, 2026 +11.0% | Exit below $781.91 (−20.9%) | 37% 25/68 | +23.1% / +43.2% | −64.6% / −66.9% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −0.7% | Enter above $1,040.93 (+5.4%) | 27% 104/380 | +19.8% / +44.5% | −67.9% / −66.9% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | IN | Aug 3, 2026 +26.7% | Exit below $921.49 (−6.7%) | 36% 49/136 | +11.2% / +42.0% | −63.6% / −66.9% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | May 16, 2025 +1,167.5% | Not on one close | 19% 3/16 | +16.3% / +37.2% | −79.6% / −66.9% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | IN | Aug 12, 2026 +6.0% | Exit below $685.17 (−30.7%) | 24% 18/75 | +19.7% / +44.4% | −73.7% / −66.9% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | IN | Aug 12, 2026 +6.0% | Exit below $797.50 (−19.3%) | 20% 13/65 | +18.6% / +44.5% | −75.2% / −66.9% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | IN | Aug 4, 2026 +16.3% | Exit below $920.09 (−6.9%) | 45% 34/76 | +28.0% / +41.3% | −53.6% / −66.9% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | IN | Sep 22, 2026 +4.5% | Not on one close | 44% 66/151 | +19.6% / +41.3% | −76.5% / −66.9% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +1.7% | Exit below $878.46 (−11.1%) | 34% 101/297 | +5.5% / +41.5% | −85.0% / −66.9% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | IN | Aug 7, 2026 +11.0% | Exit below $832.11 (−15.8%) | 38% 39/102 | +25.2% / +42.2% | −72.2% / −66.9% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −0.7% | Enter above $1,135.36 (+14.9%) | 37% 92/246 | +13.1% / +42.3% | −66.1% / −66.9% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | May 19, 2026 +11.0% | Not on one close | 32% 32/99 | +12.7% / +42.8% | −52.3% / −66.9% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | IN | Aug 7, 2026 +11.0% | Exit below $566.67 (−42.6%) | 33% 30/91 | +34.2% / +47.4% | −62.3% / −66.9% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | IN | Sep 11, 2026 +6.6% | Exit below $1,059.21 (+7.2%) | 38% 61/162 | +21.5% / +41.4% | −74.8% / −66.9% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Aug 7, 2026 +11.0% | Not on one close | 36% 43/121 | +32.5% / +47.4% | −57.9% / −66.9% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | IN | Oct 1, 2026 −5.5% | Exit below $980.00 (−0.8%) | 31% 39/126 | +4.1% / +42.0% | −78.1% / −66.9% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | IN | Aug 7, 2026 +11.0% | Exit below $609.65 (−38.3%) | 28% 27/95 | +28.3% / +43.4% | −62.3% / −66.9% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | IN | Aug 13, 2026 +12.2% | Not on one close | 23% 14/60 | +16.9% / +43.4% | −81.0% / −66.9% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Aug 12, 2026 +6.0% | Exit below $787.01 (−20.3%) | 38% 44/117 | +9.7% / +41.1% | −53.2% / −66.9% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Dec 22, 2025 +153.4% | Not on one close | 38% 9/24 | +2.9% / +47.4% | −17.2% / −66.9% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | IN | Aug 17, 2026 +2.0% | Exit below $855.10 (−13.5%) | 40% 23/57 | +30.5% / +41.3% | −54.5% / −66.9% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | IN | Aug 17, 2026 +2.0% | Exit below $940.27 (−4.8%) | 30% 24/79 | +10.6% / +46.7% | −59.7% / −66.9% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | IN | Oct 1, 2026 −5.5% | Exit below $909.67 (−7.9%) | 28% 15/53 | +19.3% / +46.7% | −66.9% / −66.9% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | IN | Aug 17, 2026 +2.0% | Exit below $927.72 (−6.1%) | 29% 14/49 | +20.3% / +43.4% | −47.5% / −66.9% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | IN | Oct 1, 2026 −5.5% | Exit below $784.47 (−20.6%) | 31% 19/61 | +22.8% / +41.3% | −69.4% / −66.9% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −0.7% | Enter above $1,188.45 (+20.3%) | 40% 31/78 | +14.9% / +44.5% | −41.3% / −66.9% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $1,169.58 (+18.4%) | 41% 37/90 | +20.4% / +41.3% | −54.2% / −66.9% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | IN | Aug 4, 2026 +16.3% | Exit below $935.62 (−5.3%) | 40% 44/109 | +14.8% / +41.8% | −68.9% / −66.9% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Aug 7, 2026 +11.0% | Exit below $917.54 (−7.1%) | 43% 38/88 | +25.7% / +41.3% | −55.1% / −66.9% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −0.7% | Enter above $1,152.55 (+16.7%) | 28% 33/117 | +5.5% / +41.1% | −77.5% / −66.9% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Sep 21, 2026 +3.5% | Exit below $952.44 (−3.6%) | 31% 51/163 | +23.6% / +43.0% | −58.9% / −66.9% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Feb 26, 2026 +45.9% | Not on one close | 37% 42/114 | +2.3% / +41.3% | −26.8% / −66.9% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 30% 12/40 | +6.3% / +44.5% | −29.6% / −66.9% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.8% | Enter above $1,119.14 (+13.3%) | 32% 117/370 | +9.8% / +42.3% | −83.6% / −66.9% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | May 18, 2026 +11.6% | Not on one close | 17% 2/12 | +7.0% / +41.7% | −16.0% / −66.9% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Aug 30, 2024 +1,615.0% | Not on one close | 25% 5/20 | +32.6% / +40.8% | −64.9% / −66.9% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2024 +1,458.8% | Not on one close | 38% 9/24 | +35.2% / +40.8% | −58.8% / −66.9% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2024 +1,458.8% | Not on one close | 33% 6/18 | +33.4% / +40.8% | −59.5% / −66.9% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | May 11, 2026 −6.2% | Not on one close | 19% 15/78 | +6.2% / +43.7% | −67.6% / −66.9% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | May 29, 2026 +15.6% | Enter above $1,076.73 (+9.0%) | 28% 5/18 | +23.7% / +43.9% | −54.9% / −66.9% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | IN | Aug 7, 2026 +11.0% | Exit below $921.67 (−6.7%) | 25% 16/64 | +17.6% / +44.4% | −77.1% / −66.9% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $1,109.56 (+12.3%) | 37% 79/216 | +7.0% / +47.4% | −65.5% / −66.9% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −0.7% | Enter above $1,054.12 (+6.7%) | 33% 115/352 | +14.7% / +47.4% | −67.9% / −66.9% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −9.0% | Exit below $722.13 (−26.9%) | 37% 57/153 | +3.3% / +46.2% | −80.0% / −66.9% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Nov 30, 2023 +2,208.4% | Not on one close | 67% 6/9 | +38.2% / +34.8% | −50.6% / −66.9% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −0.7% | Enter above $1,164.17 (+17.8%) | 28% 91/328 | +1.4% / +41.3% | −60.2% / −66.9% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | IN | Oct 1, 2026 −5.5% | Exit below $601.13 (−39.2%) | 39% 54/140 | +4.0% / +43.4% | −68.6% / −66.9% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | IN | Aug 7, 2026 +11.0% | Exit below $544.14 (−44.9%) | 31% 27/88 | +30.5% / +43.4% | −64.1% / −66.9% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | IN | May 30, 2025 +1,266.9% | Exit below $755.91 (−23.5%) | 25% 11/44 | +21.6% / +40.8% | −83.1% / −66.9% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2024 +1,458.8% | Not on one close | 33% 7/21 | +35.9% / +42.9% | −50.6% / −66.9% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2024 +1,458.8% | Not on one close | 38% 8/21 | +31.9% / +40.8% | −58.8% / −66.9% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +1.7% | Exit below $1,039.95 (+5.3%) | 37% 62/168 | +3.6% / +42.0% | −65.2% / −66.9% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | May 21, 2025 +1,200.8% | Not on one close | 87% 26/30 | +31.8% / +41.7% | −47.4% / −66.9% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +7.5% | Buy $772.11–$952.44 (−3.6%) | 57% 69/120 | +6.6% / +43.0% | −48.3% / −66.9% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 −0.7% | Sell above $1,133.40 (+14.7%) | 63% 108/172 | +30.7% / +43.0% | −49.1% / −66.9% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Aug 3, 2026 +26.7% | Buy below $830.54 (−15.9%) | 70% 76/108 | +26.8% / +41.3% | −29.4% / −66.9% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 +13.1% | Not on one close | 64% 56/88 | +20.5% / +41.1% | −41.5% / −66.9% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +1.7% | Not on one close | 63% 92/146 | +27.2% / +41.5% | −38.0% / −66.9% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | OUT | May 5, 2025 +1,464.0% | Not on one close | 69% 29/42 | +15.4% / +42.0% | −41.3% / −66.9% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | May 14, 2026 −1.4% | Sell above $1,866.17 (+88.9%) | 77% 17/22 | +41.0% / +43.0% | −66.9% / −66.9% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Mar 9, 2026 +54.2% | Not on one close | 64% 9/14 | +5.9% / +42.0% | −5.0% / −66.9% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −0.7% | Not on one close | 49% 76/156 | +28.9% / +44.5% | −59.4% / −66.9% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.8% | Enter above $1,031.76 (+4.4%) | 56% 123/218 | +25.8% / +44.5% | −56.8% / −66.9% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Buy below $987.98 (0.0%) | 61% 588/971 | +32.5% / +43.7% | −32.5% / −66.9% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Aug 4, 2026 +16.3% | Not on one close | 64% 27/42 | +12.3% / +43.0% | −38.0% / −66.9% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.8% | Not on one close | 38% 207/548 | +12.9% / +47.4% | −61.7% / −66.9% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 +8.0% | Buy below $990.84 (+0.3%) | 63% 39/62 | +19.8% / +42.8% | −59.4% / −66.9% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $988.00 (+0.0%) | 32% 97/300 | +27.9% / +41.3% | −47.6% / −66.9% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 +6.3% | Enter above $988.00 (+0.0%) | 35% 35/101 | +13.3% / +41.3% | −54.5% / −66.9% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | OUT | May 19, 2025 +1,168.8% | Not on one close | 65% 13/20 | +12.8% / +41.7% | −45.9% / −66.9% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | IN | Jul 3, 2025 +965.2% | Not on one close | 35% 18/51 | +31.7% / +40.7% | −50.5% / −66.9% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −0.7% | Enter above $1,029.45 (+4.2%) | 30% 94/316 | +22.5% / +42.3% | −54.9% / −66.9% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | IN | Sep 21, 2026 +3.5% | Exit below $787.73 (−20.3%) | 38% 64/170 | +23.9% / +41.3% | −63.1% / −66.9% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Oct 1, 2026 −5.5% | Exit below $987.98 (0.0%) | 34% 96/280 | +1.9% / +41.3% | −69.5% / −66.9% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Sep 10, 2026 +5.6% | Exit below $984.91 (−0.3%) | 39% 18/46 | +34.4% / +40.7% | −55.1% / −66.9% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −0.7% | Not on one close | 33% 162/494 | +8.4% / +42.1% | −64.6% / −66.9% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | OUT | Aug 10, 2026 +21.4% | Not on one close | 45% 27/60 | +13.4% / +39.8% | −54.5% / −66.9% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Jul 28, 2026 +51.5% | Not on one close | 36% 20/56 | +16.2% / +41.1% | −63.2% / −66.9% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Aug 1, 2024 +1,957.9% | Not on one close | 23% 5/22 | −0.4% / +41.4% | −19.4% / −66.9% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 +9.5% | Buys Oct 30 | 50% 11/22 | +21.6% / +43.7% | −56.6% / −66.9% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 15, 2026 +19.9% | Enter above $1,165.37 (+18.0%) | 67% 14/21 | +23.1% / +47.4% | −53.0% / −66.9% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | Apr 21, 2026 +18.1% | Window opens Oct 16 | 55% 12/22 | +20.2% / +47.4% | −60.7% / −66.9% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 +176.7% | Buys Dec 23 | 45% 10/22 | +2.5% / +43.7% | −16.7% / −66.9% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −9.5% | Buys Oct 29 | 51% 139/270 | +8.7% / +43.7% | −43.1% / −66.9% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +1.7% | Sells Jun 30 | 0% 0/5 | −0.9% / +43.7% | −47.3% / −66.9% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 +12.1% | Buys Nov 24 | 50% 104/208 | +2.7% / +43.7% | −13.8% / −66.9% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +1,793.8% | Not on one close | 25% 2/8 | +38.0% / +42.3% | −50.6% / −66.9% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 −0.7% | Sells Oct 16 | 50% 581/1171 | +25.0% / +43.7% | −74.0% / −66.9% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +7.5% | Buys Oct 27 | 52% 93/178 | +10.9% / +43.7% | −10.4% / −66.9% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −9.0% | Sells Oct 16 | 47% 129/277 | +8.9% / +43.7% | −58.6% / −66.9% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Jul 23, 2015 | Always in | – | +43.7% | −66.9% |
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Communication Equipment · Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It offers component products, including semiconductor laser chips, laser sub-assemblies, line subsystems, and wavelength management systems. The company also offers system products, such as optical modules, optical circuit switches, and industrial lasers, including short-pulse solid-state lasers and kilowatt-class fiber lasers.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | $89.5B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $3.0B | Total sales. The market values it at 29.7× sales. |
| P/E ratio | n/a | Lost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by. |
| Forward P/E | 27.5× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. |
| Price to book | 19.1× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | −230.1% | Spends more than it brings in. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +83.2% | The last four quarters' sales against the four before. |
| Return on equity | −149.3% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | $225M | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | $4.6B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $1.7B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | $2.7B | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.36× | Comfortable. |
| Interest cover | −328.0× | Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | $1,177.34 | 19% above the close, from 26 analysts (range $820.00 to $1,500.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Strong buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-27; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
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