Oct 13 close Sign in

Industrials & materials

Linde (LIN)

In the Nasdaq-100.

Your signal

Hold58 / 100

Hold: 58 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Off the high (−10% from its 1-year high) scores 68 and lifts it; Trend (+1% vs 200-day) scores 46 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightLINPointsWeightAdds
Plays in59%594023.6
Off the high−10% from its 1-year high683020.4
Trend+1% vs 200-day463013.8
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for LIN
FactorLINPointsWhat it is
Plays in59%59The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+11% · 27 analysts44How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.7 · buy66The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E31.7×38Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/E25.1×17Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG1.8038P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales6.4×27Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Price to book5.8×29Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Dividend yield1.3%36Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Earnings growth+10%38Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Revenue growth+7%30Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Profit margin20%67Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Return on equity19%66Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Debt to equity0.72×41Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Off the high−10% from its 1-year high68How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend+1% vs 200-day46How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+9%43The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure0/10 · low100The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on LIN

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in59 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow0 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.01×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+1%). Higher than on 24% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about LIN now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved LIN lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Wed Sep 23+1.8% against the S&P 5001.1× a normal day

LIN +1.0%, the S&P 500 −0.8% that session; +3.0% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on LIN was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for LIN starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.8%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.7% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Mon Sep 21−2.1% against the S&P 5001.4× a normal day

LIN −0.6%, the S&P 500 +1.5% that session; +0.8% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on LIN was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for LIN starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +1.5%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +1.2% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Thu Sep 17−1.9% against the S&P 5001.2× a normal day

LIN −0.8%, the S&P 500 +1.1% that session; −0.4% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on LIN was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for LIN starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +1.1%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.7% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on LIN

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on LIN went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +2.6%Exit below $478.81 (−2.7%)25% 178/718−2.2% / +13.8%−66.5% / −51.8%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTJul 31, 2026 +3.2%Enter above $495.21 (+0.6%)26% 33/127+3.3% / +13.8%−32.2% / −51.8%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +2.0%Exit below $478.91 (−2.7%)22% 90/418+2.3% / +13.8%−32.5% / −51.8%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTJul 17, 2026 −3.8%Enter above $1,789.33 (+263.6%)20% 29/148+1.2% / +14.0%−33.1% / −51.8%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJul 31, 2026 +3.2%Enter above $525.80 (+6.8%)20% 18/91+5.5% / +13.8%−31.9% / −51.8%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJul 31, 2026 +3.2%Enter above $518.20 (+5.3%)24% 32/135+1.5% / +13.8%−41.0% / −51.8%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +3.7%Enter above $488.59 (−0.7%)31% 11/35+8.2% / +13.8%−34.3% / −51.8%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyINOct 12, 2026 +1.0%Exit below $486.16 (−1.2%)15% 28/182+7.1% / +13.8%−33.9% / −51.8%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTSep 29, 2026 +4.0%Enter above $1,046.80 (+112.7%)40% 10/25+8.1% / +13.8%−32.6% / −51.8%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 12, 2026 +1.0%Exit below $486.16 (−1.2%)14% 23/166+5.7% / +13.8%−34.5% / −51.8%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyINOct 9, 2026 +1.7%Exit below $455.97 (−7.3%)35% 48/138+5.7% / +13.8%−41.6% / −51.8%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +5.9%Exit below $478.94 (−2.7%)24% 196/828−1.4% / +13.8%−53.3% / −51.8%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +4.8%Exit below $379.12 (−23.0%)31% 89/286+6.4% / +13.8%−38.7% / −51.8%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +0.4%Exit below $420.62 (−14.5%)39% 7/18+9.6% / +13.5%−32.9% / −51.8%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTJul 22, 2026 −2.9%Enter above $504.99 (+2.6%)25% 40/159+2.1% / +13.8%−43.5% / −51.8%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 +3.2%Enter above $505.88 (+2.8%)26% 36/137+3.5% / +13.8%−42.9% / −51.8%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +2.0%Exit below $467.68 (−5.0%)33% 55/166+2.6% / +13.8%−46.2% / −51.8%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close43% 156/360+5.5% / +13.8%−26.2% / −51.8%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINSep 29, 2026 +4.0%Exit below $441.46 (−10.3%)33% 201/610+1.0% / +13.8%−49.3% / −51.8%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +0.4%Exit below $454.19 (−7.7%)36% 76/214+5.1% / +13.8%−30.1% / −51.8%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +4.8%Exit below $481.42 (−2.2%)37% 192/515+0.1% / +13.8%−49.7% / −51.8%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTMar 19, 2026 +1.1%Enter above $1,247.34 (+153.5%)28% 36/127+0.4% / +13.8%−44.3% / −51.8%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +0.4%Exit below $443.67 (−9.8%)27% 53/198+4.0% / +13.8%−35.5% / −51.8%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyINOct 2, 2026 +2.6%Exit below $464.38 (−5.6%)37% 58/158+5.2% / +13.8%−39.7% / −51.8%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 29, 2026 +4.0%Exit below $207.86 (−57.8%)30% 73/242+4.7% / +13.8%−36.5% / −51.8%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +4.8%Not on one close34% 87/256+2.9% / +13.8%−34.5% / −51.8%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +0.4%Exit below $450.43 (−8.5%)28% 39/138+4.5% / +13.8%−27.1% / −51.8%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 +3.2%Enter above $517.77 (+5.2%)31% 37/119+3.5% / +13.8%−32.4% / −51.8%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +2.6%Exit below $462.37 (−6.0%)31% 64/208+1.9% / +13.8%−31.4% / −51.8%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJan 2, 2026 +15.8%Not on one close27% 7/26+1.1% / +13.8%−9.0% / −51.8%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +0.4%Exit below $454.19 (−7.7%)38% 51/136+4.0% / +13.8%−47.9% / −51.8%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJul 21, 2026 −2.2%Enter above $520.29 (+5.7%)23% 42/183−0.5% / +13.8%−33.6% / −51.8%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJul 21, 2026 −2.2%Enter above $520.29 (+5.7%)25% 30/119−0.2% / +13.8%−45.0% / −51.8%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTJul 20, 2026 −3.6%Enter above $703.88 (+43.0%)25% 34/135−1.0% / +13.8%−44.2% / −51.8%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +3.7%Exit below $454.19 (−7.7%)31% 35/114+3.4% / +13.8%−43.4% / −51.8%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTJul 14, 2026 −5.5%Enter above $495.65 (+0.7%)21% 35/168−2.4% / +13.8%−60.3% / −51.8%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +2.6%Exit below $474.69 (−3.5%)24% 60/250−2.3% / +13.8%−64.8% / −51.8%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +0.4%Exit below $469.40 (−4.6%)32% 60/190+3.6% / +13.8%−33.2% / −51.8%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +0.4%Exit below $468.17 (−4.9%)34% 63/184+4.1% / +13.8%−43.4% / −51.8%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 +5.5%Enter above $553.93 (+12.6%)44% 18/41+8.9% / +13.8%−27.1% / −51.8%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +2.6%Exit below $469.79 (−4.5%)24% 84/350+3.2% / +13.8%−44.4% / −51.8%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTMar 3, 2026 −0.9%Not on one close19% 31/166+0.9% / +13.8%−20.8% / −51.8%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTJul 9, 2026 −6.1%Not on one close27% 44/162−0.4% / +13.8%−42.0% / −51.8%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +5.9%Exit below $489.20 (−0.6%)31% 223/710+0.1% / +13.8%−41.2% / −51.8%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −1.2%Not on one close28% 12/43+0.6% / +13.8%−18.5% / −51.8%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +3.7%Enter above $427.94 (−13.0%)38% 8/21+10.9% / +14.0%−34.0% / −51.8%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINMar 31, 2026 −0.1%Not on one close65% 13/20+11.1% / +14.0%−49.5% / −51.8%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTApr 30, 2024 +15.3%Enter above $475.83 (−3.3%)35% 11/31+7.5% / +14.0%−32.9% / −51.8%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 +3.2%Not on one close17% 34/199+3.0% / +13.8%−30.8% / −51.8%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endINFeb 27, 2026 −2.2%Exit below $463.12 (−5.9%)50% 7/14+8.1% / +13.8%−34.0% / −51.8%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTJul 17, 2026 −3.8%Enter above $516.45 (+4.9%)24% 40/167+0.3% / +13.8%−32.6% / −51.8%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +4.8%Exit below $452.13 (−8.1%)32% 143/450+0.7% / +13.8%−55.7% / −51.8%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +2.6%Exit below $481.21 (−2.2%)30% 251/838−1.8% / +13.8%−70.4% / −51.8%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINSep 28, 2026 +4.3%Exit below $359.67 (−26.9%)34% 112/326+1.9% / +13.8%−65.2% / −51.8%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINFeb 27, 2026 −2.2%Exit below $268.51 (−45.4%)60% 3/5+10.9% / +13.5%−32.6% / −51.8%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyINOct 12, 2026 +1.0%Exit below $487.54 (−0.9%)25% 177/703−2.8% / +13.8%−57.8% / −51.8%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINSep 28, 2026 +4.3%Exit below $259.49 (−47.3%)34% 100/290+4.1% / +13.8%−50.4% / −51.8%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +0.4%Exit below $442.84 (−10.0%)26% 51/194+3.6% / +13.8%−39.6% / −51.8%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +3.7%Enter above $473.69 (−3.7%)35% 27/77+8.7% / +14.0%−27.4% / −51.8%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINMar 31, 2026 −0.1%Not on one close61% 11/18+9.6% / +13.1%−32.6% / −51.8%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +3.7%Not on one close62% 20/32+9.9% / +14.0%−34.0% / −51.8%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINSep 24, 2026 +5.1%Exit below $425.27 (−13.6%)30% 113/372−0.3% / +13.8%−66.3% / −51.8%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 11, 2026 +5.6%Not on one close70% 23/33+7.9% / +13.8%−34.3% / −51.8%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 +5.9%Not on one close62% 238/382+6.8% / +13.8%−12.6% / −51.8%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 +5.9%Not on one close66% 314/476+12.2% / +13.8%−19.3% / −51.8%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +4.3%Buy below $451.12 (−8.3%)63% 115/182+9.6% / +13.8%−26.7% / −51.8%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +2.2%Not on one close59% 88/148+4.6% / +13.8%−47.3% / −51.8%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 +3.7%Not on one close70% 218/311+10.2% / +13.8%−37.4% / −51.8%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINJul 20, 2026 −3.6%Not on one close60% 38/63+7.6% / +13.8%−34.3% / −51.8%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINNov 22, 2004 +1,559.2%Sell above $1,175.07 (+138.8%)–+13.8% / +13.8%−51.8% / −51.8%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTApr 9, 2025 +12.6%Buy below $322.68 (−34.4%)56% 10/18+4.0% / +13.8%−10.3% / −51.8%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +4.8%Exit below $481.21 (−2.2%)50% 160/319+6.4% / +13.8%−50.4% / −51.8%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 +4.8%Not on one close61% 281/462+10.8% / +13.8%−29.1% / −51.8%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +2.2%Buy below $492.11 (0.0%)59% 1048/1780+6.9% / +13.8%−32.1% / −51.8%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 +2.6%Not on one close59% 71/120+7.2% / +13.8%−19.8% / −51.8%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 12, 2026 +1.0%Exit below $485.00 (−1.4%)35% 381/1097−2.3% / +13.8%−66.9% / −51.8%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINJul 31, 2026 +3.2%Sell above $484.23 (−1.6%)56% 70/125+5.5% / +13.8%−46.3% / −51.8%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINSep 28, 2026 +4.3%Not on one close23% 203/874−2.1% / +13.8%−70.3% / −51.8%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +5.9%Not on one close38% 75/196+5.9% / +13.8%−38.1% / −51.8%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +5.9%Not on one close50% 14/28+8.0% / +13.8%−34.3% / −51.8%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINOct 17, 2025 +10.6%Not on one close35% 25/72+9.9% / +14.0%−44.2% / −51.8%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +2.6%Exit below $481.41 (−2.2%)27% 233/860−0.5% / +13.8%−53.5% / −51.8%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINSep 28, 2026 +4.3%Exit below $429.51 (−12.7%)32% 125/394+1.4% / +13.8%−43.7% / −51.8%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +6.9%Exit below $492.11 (0.0%)33% 205/615+0.4% / +13.8%−48.4% / −51.8%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +2.6%Not on one close31% 37/120+5.4% / +14.1%−50.4% / −51.8%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINOct 12, 2026 +1.0%Sell $485.78–$491.67 (−0.1%)34% 328/972+0.7% / +13.8%−63.3% / −51.8%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyINJun 22, 2026 −4.4%Exit below $491.38 (−0.1%)47% 56/119+5.4% / +13.8%−49.3% / −51.8%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyINSep 29, 2026 +4.0%Exit below $465.01 (−5.5%)31% 32/104+2.9% / +13.8%−31.1% / −51.8%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJul 30, 2026 −2.9%Not on one close40% 29/72+2.7% / +13.8%−13.1% / −51.8%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −1.2%Buys Oct 3058% 25/43+10.7% / +13.8%−32.6% / −51.8%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 15, 2026 −0.5%Not on one close58% 25/43+8.9% / +13.8%−32.9% / −51.8%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 −0.6%Window opens Oct 1660% 26/43+9.4% / +13.8%−32.7% / −51.8%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +14.7%Buys Dec 2332% 14/44+1.9% / +13.8%−8.0% / −51.8%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +2.0%Buys Oct 2948% 255/526+3.0% / +13.8%−22.1% / −51.8%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +3.7%Sells Jun 3036% 4/11+6.0% / +13.8%−13.2% / −51.8%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +3.0%Buys Nov 2448% 193/400+2.3% / +13.8%−7.0% / −51.8%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +58.5%Not on one close30% 6/20+7.8% / +13.8%−22.4% / −51.8%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 12, 2026 +1.0%Sells Oct 1653% 1209/2284+11.7% / +13.8%−43.4% / −51.8%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +6.5%Buys Oct 2742% 145/348+2.1% / +13.8%−15.8% / −51.8%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +2.6%Sells Oct 1648% 261/541+4.2% / +13.8%−47.6% / −51.8%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 3, 2005Always in–+13.8%−51.8%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureLow0 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes0/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up0/2

Nothing on the checklist stands out.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Nov 2008 · back to its old high Sep 2009

LIN−43%
S&P 500−57%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jun 2020

LIN−32%
S&P 500−34%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Sep 2022 · back to its old high Nov 2022

LIN−21%
S&P 500−25%
  • Beta0.35Moves about 0.3× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
  • Downside capture38%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell 38% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+7%
  • From 52-week high−10%
  • Debt to equity0.73×
  • Net debt / EBITDA1.7×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover20.2×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Specialty Chemicals · Linde plc operates as an industrial gas company worldwide. The company offers atmospheric gases, including oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases; and process gases, such as hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, electronic gases, specialty gases, and acetylene. It also engages in the design and construction of turnkey process plants for third-party customers, as well as for its gas businesses, including air separation, hydrogen, synthesis, olefin, and natural gas plants.

Size and valuation
Market cap$227BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$35.4BTotal sales. The market values it at 6.4× sales.
P/E ratio31.7×Buyers pay $32 for each $1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E25.1×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book5.8×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin20.4%Keeps 20¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+6.6%The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Earnings growth+10.2%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity18.5%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$4.2BCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$38.2BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$28.0BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$4.9BCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.73×Moderate.
Interest cover20.2×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst target$544.3011% above the close, from 27 analysts (range $400.00 to $580.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield1.26%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Read more

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

Email meTest a theory

Free account

Know the moment the light flips on your stocks.

Follow your stocks and get an email with the analysis the evening a light flips. Member tools are free until January 1, 2027.