Oct 13 close Sign in

Semiconductors

KLA (KLAC)

In the Nasdaq-100.

Your signal

Sell32 / 100

Sell: 32 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Trend (+2% vs 200-day) scores 51 and lifts it; Off the high (−39% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightKLACPointsWeightAdds
Plays in42%424016.8
Off the high−39% from its 1-year high0300.0
Trend+2% vs 200-day513015.3
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for KLAC
FactorKLACPointsWhat it is
Plays in42%42The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+27% · 26 analysts66How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.8 · buy58The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E50.3×18Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/E27.3×13Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG1.8038P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales17.7×8Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Price to book37.9×1Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Dividend yield0.4%12Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Earnings growth−88%5Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Revenue growth+12%44Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Profit margin36%90Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Return on equity76%97Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Debt to equity0.93×31Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Off the high−39% from its 1-year high0How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend+2% vs 200-day51How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+80%90The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure4/10 · moderate60The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on KLAC

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in42 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate4 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.02×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+2%). Higher than on 31% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about KLAC now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

KLAC, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved KLAC lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Tue Oct 6−5.1% against the S&P 5001.6× a normal day

KLAC −4.5%, the S&P 500 +0.6% that session; −8.5% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

Mon Sep 14−5.9% against the S&P 5001.3× a normal day

KLAC −6.4%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session; −1.9% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on KLAC was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for KLAC starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.5%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved −6.4% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.

Fri Sep 4+7.7% against the S&P 5001.6× a normal day

KLAC +7.3%, the S&P 500 −0.4% that session; +5.6% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on KLAC was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for KLAC starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.4%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved +3.7% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on KLAC

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on KLAC went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −3.2%Enter above $192.81 (+4.8%)25% 162/659+2.2% / +22.2%−66.3% / −75.2%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINOct 2, 2026 −11.1%Exit below $192.28 (+4.5%)25% 29/116+10.4% / +22.2%−51.1% / −75.2%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −3.2%Enter above $191.69 (+4.2%)24% 90/377+8.5% / +22.2%−51.4% / −75.2%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTJul 17, 2026 −13.4%Enter above $516.97 (+181.0%)16% 38/242+1.9% / +22.3%−47.6% / −75.2%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyINOct 2, 2026 −11.1%Exit below $195.88 (+6.5%)25% 18/73+13.7% / +22.2%−45.5% / −75.2%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyINOct 2, 2026 −11.1%Exit below $195.88 (+6.5%)28% 27/97+11.9% / +22.2%−45.5% / −75.2%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endINMay 30, 2025 +144.9%Exit below $184.68 (+0.4%)21% 10/47+11.7% / +22.2%−44.5% / −75.2%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +4.0%Exit below $180.29 (−2.0%)14% 24/170+11.5% / +22.2%−51.4% / −75.2%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyINJun 6, 2025 +129.4%Not on one close48% 13/27+16.2% / +22.2%−44.5% / −75.2%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +4.0%Exit below $180.29 (−2.0%)12% 19/153+7.9% / +22.2%−54.2% / −75.2%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyINOct 2, 2026 −11.1%Exit below $154.32 (−16.1%)39% 58/148+8.2% / +22.2%−51.0% / −75.2%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −6.8%Enter above $198.42 (+7.8%)21% 182/857−0.3% / +22.2%−75.5% / −75.2%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINSep 8, 2026 −2.6%Exit below $125.06 (−32.0%)38% 97/257+13.5% / +22.2%−50.6% / −75.2%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINMay 5, 2025 +168.1%Not on one close25% 8/32+15.1% / +22.3%−49.7% / −75.2%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyINOct 5, 2026 −11.0%Exit below $188.37 (+2.4%)35% 43/124+12.9% / +22.2%−38.4% / −75.2%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTJul 27, 2026 −9.4%Enter above $237.04 (+28.8%)29% 32/111+12.5% / +22.2%−43.4% / −75.2%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $207.04 (+12.5%)38% 65/171+8.9% / +22.2%−55.0% / −75.2%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −6.8%Not on one close43% 130/302+9.4% / +22.2%−45.1% / −75.2%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $187.80 (+2.1%)33% 180/546+6.4% / +22.2%−61.3% / −75.2%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINSep 29, 2026 −6.4%Exit below $165.89 (−9.8%)38% 81/212+10.4% / +22.2%−39.9% / −75.2%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −6.5%Enter above $203.84 (+10.8%)35% 187/527+3.7% / +22.2%−72.4% / −75.2%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 17, 2026 −13.4%Not on one close31% 49/158+1.8% / +22.2%−36.4% / −75.2%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINSep 29, 2026 −6.4%Exit below $168.42 (−8.5%)34% 61/178+14.7% / +22.2%−35.5% / −75.2%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTOct 9, 2026 −5.9%Enter above $203.39 (+10.5%)39% 97/249+9.3% / +22.2%−62.3% / −75.2%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 25, 2026 −2.1%Exit below $187.70 (+2.0%)34% 75/218+12.0% / +22.2%−34.5% / −75.2%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close37% 94/255+3.7% / +22.2%−70.3% / −75.2%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINSep 29, 2026 −6.4%Exit below $176.17 (−4.3%)33% 54/164+13.1% / +22.2%−44.2% / −75.2%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $197.30 (+7.2%)31% 31/99+12.3% / +22.2%−44.1% / −75.2%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTJul 2, 2026 −21.8%Enter above $187.30 (+1.8%)37% 74/200+8.2% / +22.2%−40.9% / −75.2%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTOct 23, 2025 +59.6%Not on one close46% 21/46+3.7% / +22.2%−18.3% / −75.2%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINSep 29, 2026 −6.4%Exit below $165.89 (−9.8%)32% 47/146+5.7% / +22.2%−53.5% / −75.2%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJul 7, 2026 −14.9%Enter above $214.56 (+16.6%)30% 47/155+3.3% / +22.2%−51.2% / −75.2%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJul 27, 2026 −9.4%Enter above $214.56 (+16.6%)26% 31/121+1.7% / +22.2%−48.6% / −75.2%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTJul 2, 2026 −21.8%Enter above $209.14 (+13.7%)27% 34/125+0.9% / +22.2%−47.1% / −75.2%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTJul 20, 2026 −11.3%Not on one close39% 43/111+12.1% / +22.2%−33.3% / −75.2%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −3.2%Enter above $213.41 (+16.0%)34% 57/170+3.3% / +22.2%−41.4% / −75.2%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $212.51 (+15.5%)33% 70/215+2.3% / +22.2%−51.0% / −75.2%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINSep 28, 2026 −2.7%Exit below $183.12 (−0.5%)37% 74/200+6.2% / +22.2%−56.3% / −75.2%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $207.74 (+12.9%)40% 72/179+10.0% / +22.2%−48.1% / −75.2%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyINSep 29, 2026 −6.4%Exit below $165.52 (−10.0%)32% 40/124+7.3% / +22.2%−45.8% / −75.2%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $188.51 (+2.4%)29% 105/359+6.2% / +22.2%−43.9% / −75.2%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −6.8%Not on one close25% 61/240−1.7% / +22.2%−42.3% / −75.2%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTJun 17, 2026 −22.8%Not on one close32% 37/116+2.2% / +22.2%−24.2% / −75.2%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $193.99 (+5.4%)33% 246/741+2.0% / +22.2%−69.5% / −75.2%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJan 2, 2024 +235.3%Not on one close24% 8/34+2.6% / +22.2%−18.4% / −75.2%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINJun 30, 2025 +107.0%Exit below $124.66 (−32.2%)26% 7/27+13.7% / +22.0%−45.3% / −75.2%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINJul 31, 2025 +110.9%Not on one close44% 12/27+18.1% / +22.0%−44.5% / −75.2%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endINSep 30, 2025 +71.5%Exit below $138.62 (−24.7%)28% 12/43+10.4% / +22.0%−44.5% / −75.2%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTAug 18, 2026 −5.5%Not on one close16% 30/187+1.2% / +22.2%−50.0% / −75.2%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 +0.8%Enter above $286.30 (+55.6%)28% 9/32+9.0% / +22.2%−46.1% / −75.2%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTOct 9, 2026 −5.9%Enter above $208.48 (+13.3%)29% 42/143+12.3% / +22.2%−48.0% / −75.2%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $202.49 (+10.1%)34% 153/448+7.4% / +22.2%−72.3% / −75.2%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −3.2%Enter above $192.83 (+4.8%)28% 222/799+0.2% / +22.2%−79.1% / −75.2%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINSep 11, 2026 +1.9%Exit below $153.02 (−16.8%)43% 131/307+10.9% / +22.2%−60.7% / −75.2%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINMar 31, 2023 +374.9%Not on one close29% 2/7+23.8% / +22.4%−48.2% / −75.2%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −6.5%Enter above $213.13 (+15.8%)28% 178/636−1.6% / +22.2%−54.6% / −75.2%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINSep 10, 2026 +3.8%Exit below $80.58 (−56.2%)41% 107/259+13.1% / +22.2%−63.6% / −75.2%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyINSep 29, 2026 −6.4%Exit below $166.40 (−9.6%)35% 61/174+15.0% / +22.2%−35.0% / −75.2%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endINAug 31, 2026 +4.9%Exit below $184.05 (+0.0%)36% 28/78+15.4% / +22.0%−47.3% / −75.2%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINJul 31, 2025 +110.9%Not on one close47% 8/17+18.3% / +24.2%−44.5% / −75.2%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINJul 31, 2025 +110.9%Not on one close41% 12/29+14.9% / +22.0%−44.5% / −75.2%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +0.0%Exit below $181.16 (−1.5%)37% 119/326+10.4% / +22.2%−59.7% / −75.2%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTMay 16, 2025 +134.9%Not on one close58% 18/31+8.4% / +22.2%−70.0% / −75.2%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −3.2%Sell above $191.60 (+4.1%)59% 183/311+7.2% / +22.2%−46.4% / −75.2%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −5.9%Sell above $197.46 (+7.3%)63% 269/425+12.0% / +22.2%−38.4% / −75.2%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTAug 11, 2026 −8.1%Buy below $170.28 (−7.5%)64% 138/216+13.8% / +22.2%−46.8% / −75.2%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −11.1%Not on one close61% 95/156+8.9% / +22.2%−74.5% / −75.2%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −6.8%Enter above $185.61 (+0.9%)62% 178/286+11.8% / +22.2%−63.1% / −75.2%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −5.6%Not on one close59% 39/66+10.7% / +22.2%−75.2% / −75.2%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINNov 22, 2004 +7,574.8%Sell above $435.75 (+136.8%)–+22.2% / +22.2%−75.2% / −75.2%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTOct 13, 2025 +80.5%Not on one close50% 13/26+3.2% / +22.2%−8.9% / −75.2%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 −5.9%Enter above $186.35 (+1.3%)46% 141/306+4.4% / +22.2%−70.6% / −75.2%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 +0.6%Enter above $188.63 (+2.5%)54% 229/426+9.8% / +22.2%−50.0% / −75.2%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Buy below $184.00 (0.0%)59% 1099/1862+13.3% / +22.2%−40.7% / −75.2%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 −2.3%Not on one close56% 62/110+10.1% / +22.2%−35.9% / −75.2%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −11.0%Enter above $215.44 (+17.1%)35% 380/1074+3.4% / +22.2%−76.3% / −75.2%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −5.6%Buy below $198.86 (+8.1%)59% 79/135+11.0% / +22.2%−64.1% / −75.2%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −6.5%Not on one close23% 197/855+0.7% / +22.2%−66.8% / −75.2%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +4.0%Not on one close38% 80/212+8.0% / +22.2%−60.1% / −75.2%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTSep 24, 2025 +73.1%Not on one close56% 20/36+4.4% / +22.2%−66.9% / −75.2%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINSep 22, 2023 +317.1%Exit below $132.17 (−28.2%)36% 31/85+15.3% / +22.5%−66.1% / −75.2%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −3.2%Enter above $192.90 (+4.8%)27% 209/765+3.5% / +22.2%−69.8% / −75.2%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINSep 23, 2026 −2.1%Exit below $184.06 (+0.0%)34% 121/358+5.5% / +22.2%−64.6% / −75.2%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +4.0%Exit below $184.00 (0.0%)31% 205/6580.0% / +22.2%−74.3% / −75.2%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINApr 28, 2025 +167.9%Not on one close35% 26/75+13.8% / +22.4%−52.6% / −75.2%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −6.8%Not on one close35% 317/916+2.5% / +22.2%−75.6% / −75.2%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTAug 10, 2026 −4.4%Enter above $185.42 (+0.8%)50% 62/125+13.1% / +22.2%−67.8% / −75.2%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTMar 6, 2026 +37.2%Enter above $201.71 (+9.6%)34% 41/121+5.6% / +22.2%−34.6% / −75.2%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTFeb 13, 2026 +26.1%Not on one close46% 34/74+2.6% / +22.2%−29.7% / −75.2%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 +5.4%Buys Oct 3049% 21/43+13.0% / +22.2%−46.6% / −75.2%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 28, 2026 +2.0%Enter above $213.50 (+16.0%)56% 24/43+17.1% / +22.2%−39.7% / −75.2%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 +5.4%Window opens Oct 1651% 22/43+14.8% / +22.2%−43.6% / −75.2%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +36.6%Buys Dec 2332% 14/44+1.6% / +22.2%−15.7% / −75.2%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −11.0%Buys Oct 2947% 248/526+1.6% / +22.2%−34.9% / −75.2%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −5.6%Sells Jun 3055% 6/11+5.5% / +22.2%−40.4% / −75.2%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −0.9%Buys Nov 2446% 183/400+2.2% / +22.2%−17.5% / −75.2%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +404.5%Not on one close25% 5/20+11.7% / +22.2%−56.6% / −75.2%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −3.2%Sells Oct 1651% 1155/2284+9.8% / +22.2%−72.9% / −75.2%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +9.9%Buys Oct 2751% 178/348+4.4% / +22.2%−10.9% / −75.2%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −11.1%Sells Oct 1648% 260/541+4.5% / +22.2%−52.2% / −75.2%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 3, 2005Always in–+22.2%−75.2%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureModerate4 of 10 points
  • Market swings2/3
  • Past crashes1/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up1/2
  • It moves about 1.9× its index.
  • It fell about 1.2× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It is up 132% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Nov 2008 · back to its old high Mar 2011

KLAC−72%
S&P 500−57%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Apr 2020

KLAC−34%
S&P 500−34%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Oct 2022 · back to its old high May 2023

KLAC−36%
S&P 500−25%
  • Beta1.86Moves about 1.9× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
  • Downside capture−57%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell -57% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+132%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
  • From 52-week high−39%
  • Debt to equity0.97×
  • Net debt / EBITDA0.2×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover20.7×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · KLA Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides process control and process-enabling solutions for manufacturing wafers, reticles/masks, chemicals/materials, integrated circuits (ICs), packaged ICs, and printed circuit boards. It operates through three segments: Semiconductor Process Control; Specialty Semiconductor Process; and PCB and Component Inspection.

Size and valuation
Market cap$240BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$13.6BTotal sales. The market values it at 17.7× sales.
P/E ratio50.3×Buyers pay $50 for each $1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E27.3×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book37.9×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin35.6%Keeps 36¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+11.7%The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Earnings growth−87.9%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity76.1%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$2.6BCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$6.3BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$6.2BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$4.9BCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.97×Moderate.
Interest cover20.7×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst target$232.7727% above the close, from 26 analysts (range $175.00 to $325.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield0.43%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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