Oct 13 close Sign in

Healthcare

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)

In the Nasdaq-100.

Your signal

Sell32 / 100

Sell: 32 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (54%) scores 54 and lifts it; Off the high (−29% from its 1-year high) scores 4 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightISRGPointsWeightAdds
Plays in54%544021.6
Off the high−29% from its 1-year high4301.2
Trend−4% vs 200-day31309.3
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for ISRG
FactorISRGPointsWhat it is
Plays in54%54The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+13% · 30 analysts48How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.8 · buy62The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E48.5×19Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/E34.9×8Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG1.8736P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales13.5×12Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Price to book8.2×21Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+21%51Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Revenue growth+21%64Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Profit margin28%81Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Return on equity17%64Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Debt to equity––Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0.
Off the high−29% from its 1-year high4How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−4% vs 200-day31How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−3%29The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure3/10 · moderate70The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on ISRG

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in54 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate3 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.96×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−4%). Higher than on 21% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about ISRG now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

ISRG, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved ISRG lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Sep 28+3.1% against the S&P 5001.0× a normal day

ISRG +2.4%, the S&P 500 −0.8% that session; −3.0% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on ISRG was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for ISRG starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.8%. The 17 other Healthcare stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.1% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Tue Sep 8−3.9% against the S&P 5001.3× a normal day

ISRG −4.5%, the S&P 500 −0.6% that session; +4.3% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on ISRG was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for ISRG starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.6%. The 17 other Healthcare stocks Be The Puck covers moved −3.0% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on ISRG

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on ISRG went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +3.8%Exit below $404.77 (−4.1%)29% 170/584+13.6% / +23.6%−53.1% / −75.9%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINSep 25, 2026 +4.2%Exit below $388.88 (−7.9%)24% 24/100+16.2% / +23.6%−55.2% / −75.9%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +10.4%Exit below $395.52 (−6.3%)31% 87/280+23.4% / +23.6%−44.4% / −75.9%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTMar 3, 2025 −25.6%Not on one close22% 36/165+16.9% / +23.6%−32.1% / −75.9%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJan 30, 2026 −16.3%Enter above $722.71 (+71.2%)23% 17/73+17.3% / +23.6%−47.4% / −75.9%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJun 13, 2025 −17.6%Enter above $512.20 (+21.4%)25% 23/93+13.9% / +23.6%−46.6% / −75.9%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTJan 30, 2026 −16.3%Enter above $431.72 (+2.3%)32% 13/41+19.6% / +23.6%−50.8% / −75.9%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTJan 29, 2026 −16.8%Enter above $441.20 (+4.5%)14% 22/157+16.2% / +23.6%−54.1% / −75.9%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTMar 19, 2026 −12.1%Not on one close39% 16/41+17.9% / +23.6%−53.0% / −75.9%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTJan 29, 2026 −16.8%Not on one close16% 20/125+16.4% / +23.6%−46.1% / −75.9%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyINAug 21, 2026 +11.4%Exit below $345.88 (−18.0%)37% 49/134+7.7% / +23.6%−67.4% / −75.9%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +1.8%Exit below $407.82 (−3.4%)26% 198/770+12.1% / +23.6%−63.1% / −75.9%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINSep 15, 2026 +11.9%Exit below $353.80 (−16.2%)34% 87/256+1.6% / +23.6%−75.1% / −75.9%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTMar 3, 2026 −15.2%Enter above $1,121.41 (+165.7%)34% 10/29+14.1% / +22.9%−49.8% / −75.9%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +4.2%Exit below $330.84 (−21.6%)29% 33/114+11.2% / +23.6%−63.6% / −75.9%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +6.0%Exit below $370.69 (−12.2%)32% 30/94+15.8% / +23.6%−60.9% / −75.9%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +7.3%Exit below $391.98 (−7.1%)33% 50/150+11.5% / +23.6%−59.0% / −75.9%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyINSep 24, 2026 +5.6%Not on one close37% 102/274+3.6% / +23.6%−65.6% / −75.9%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINSep 15, 2026 +11.9%Exit below $377.31 (−10.6%)36% 194/536+11.4% / +23.6%−50.0% / −75.9%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +4.2%Exit below $345.25 (−18.2%)39% 83/214+6.3% / +23.6%−60.4% / −75.9%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +1.8%Exit below $396.84 (−6.0%)40% 185/468+17.0% / +23.6%−62.1% / −75.9%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTApr 16, 2026 −7.9%Not on one close30% 50/169+3.3% / +23.6%−58.5% / −75.9%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +7.3%Exit below $290.10 (−31.3%)29% 44/152+14.3% / +23.6%−57.3% / −75.9%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyINSep 18, 2026 +7.3%Exit below $407.00 (−3.6%)40% 91/230+13.6% / +23.6%−57.4% / −75.9%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +7.3%Exit below $343.86 (−18.5%)33% 68/206+12.4% / +23.6%−59.1% / −75.9%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +11.7%Exit below $391.39 (−7.3%)36% 93/260+4.6% / +23.6%−68.0% / −75.9%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +7.3%Exit below $302.46 (−28.3%)30% 43/144+15.0% / +23.6%−52.0% / −75.9%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +4.2%Exit below $234.67 (−44.4%)30% 26/86+16.5% / +23.6%−58.5% / −75.9%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyINSep 10, 2026 +17.1%Exit below $345.25 (−18.2%)34% 71/208+3.0% / +23.6%−47.8% / −75.9%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTMar 1, 2024 +6.1%Not on one close42% 27/64+1.9% / +23.6%−16.2% / −75.9%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +5.1%Exit below $377.16 (−10.6%)36% 46/128+12.5% / +23.6%−51.2% / −75.9%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +5.1%Exit below $389.11 (−7.8%)26% 44/170+3.3% / +23.6%−56.1% / −75.9%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −0.4%Exit below $400.81 (−5.0%)25% 26/104+7.9% / +23.6%−42.6% / −75.9%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTJan 14, 2026 −22.8%Enter above $798.78 (+89.3%)30% 27/89+12.0% / +23.6%−45.8% / −75.9%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTJun 1, 2026 +2.4%Enter above $443.84 (+5.2%)32% 41/128+0.1% / +23.6%−72.2% / −75.9%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −0.4%Exit below $405.48 (−3.9%)29% 54/186+4.3% / +23.6%−46.7% / −75.9%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +7.3%Exit below $406.59 (−3.7%)34% 80/234+7.3% / +23.6%−39.9% / −75.9%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +5.1%Exit below $395.27 (−6.3%)37% 72/194+11.8% / +23.6%−45.9% / −75.9%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +7.3%Exit below $393.67 (−6.7%)37% 63/170+12.7% / +23.6%−64.7% / −75.9%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyINAug 10, 2026 +7.3%Exit below $344.39 (−18.4%)37% 38/104+13.5% / +23.6%−65.1% / −75.9%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +10.4%Exit below $396.70 (−6.0%)30% 98/326+12.3% / +23.6%−51.6% / −75.9%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 +3.8%Not on one close25% 54/216+0.9% / +23.6%−48.9% / −75.9%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 +7.7%Not on one close42% 60/142+5.5% / +23.6%−32.9% / −75.9%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +1.8%Exit below $405.51 (−3.9%)30% 219/724+8.5% / +23.6%−59.8% / −75.9%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTMar 11, 2024 +11.4%Not on one close30% 16/54+2.9% / +23.6%−18.7% / −75.9%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endOUTJan 30, 2026 −16.3%Enter above $554.01 (+31.3%)39% 9/23+16.5% / +23.4%−56.2% / −75.9%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endOUTApr 30, 2026 −7.8%Not on one close45% 13/29+15.7% / +23.4%−56.2% / −75.9%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTJul 31, 2025 −12.3%Enter above $616.02 (+46.0%)41% 12/29+13.7% / +23.4%−57.6% / −75.9%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTJan 29, 2026 −16.8%Not on one close18% 21/118+5.7% / +23.6%−52.1% / −75.9%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTMar 31, 2025 −14.8%Enter above $563.21 (+33.4%)32% 8/25+14.6% / +23.6%−55.6% / −75.9%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTJan 23, 2026 −19.5%Enter above $421.27 (−0.2%)22% 20/93+17.7% / +23.6%−53.0% / −75.9%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +11.7%Exit below $400.09 (−5.2%)34% 152/452+7.0% / +23.6%−67.4% / −75.9%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +1.8%Exit below $411.29 (−2.6%)31% 225/730+15.2% / +23.6%−48.7% / −75.9%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +10.4%Exit below $380.03 (−10.0%)37% 114/308+6.3% / +23.6%−73.1% / −75.9%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 −8.4%Enter above $440.74 (+4.4%)30% 3/10+13.0% / +17.8%−50.6% / −75.9%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +1.6%Exit below $418.56 (−0.8%)32% 187/584+9.8% / +23.6%−34.2% / −75.9%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +7.3%Exit below $266.55 (−36.8%)36% 101/278+3.5% / +23.6%−81.0% / −75.9%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +7.3%Exit below $285.05 (−32.5%)29% 44/152+13.9% / +23.6%−57.8% / −75.9%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endINSep 30, 2026 +3.8%Exit below $403.62 (−4.4%)30% 22/74+16.3% / +23.4%−61.5% / −75.9%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endOUTApr 30, 2026 −7.8%Not on one close42% 11/26+13.6% / +20.4%−44.8% / −75.9%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTJan 30, 2026 −16.3%Not on one close30% 8/27+11.2% / +23.4%−61.9% / −75.9%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINSep 15, 2026 +11.9%Exit below $369.55 (−12.4%)30% 108/356+2.4% / +23.6%−68.1% / −75.9%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINFeb 9, 2026 −14.4%Not on one close65% 24/37+3.5% / +23.6%−70.6% / −75.9%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJan 26, 2026 −20.2%Not on one close57% 185/324+6.4% / +23.6%−30.6% / −75.9%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTFeb 11, 2026 −14.9%Not on one close61% 241/394+9.0% / +23.6%−33.1% / −75.9%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 +11.7%Buy below $380.95 (−9.7%)64% 127/198+10.9% / +23.6%−38.4% / −75.9%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 +6.0%Not on one close71% 115/162+15.5% / +23.6%−67.9% / −75.9%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 +5.2%Not on one close60% 162/272+13.6% / +23.6%−70.4% / −75.9%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 +6.0%Not on one close72% 56/78+14.3% / +23.6%−67.9% / −75.9%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINNov 22, 2004 +11,317.3%Sell above $1,066.40 (+152.7%)–+23.6% / +23.6%−75.9% / −75.9%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTFeb 6, 2026 −13.5%Not on one close55% 24/44+2.8% / +23.6%−17.4% / −75.9%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 +7.7%Not on one close45% 155/343+14.9% / +23.6%−56.5% / −75.9%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close56% 235/421+15.0% / +23.6%−40.5% / −75.9%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +3.8%Buy below $422.06 (0.0%)57% 1010/1784+3.6% / +23.6%−35.1% / −75.9%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTFeb 26, 2026 −16.7%Not on one close65% 65/100+13.5% / +23.6%−36.9% / −75.9%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +1.8%Exit below $418.78 (−0.8%)37% 373/995+17.1% / +23.6%−44.3% / −75.9%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 +12.0%Buy below $414.83 (−1.7%)62% 78/126+12.6% / +23.6%−76.5% / −75.9%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINSep 11, 2026 +14.3%Not on one close26% 196/746+10.5% / +23.6%−61.3% / −75.9%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +7.3%Not on one close32% 68/210+0.3% / +23.6%−72.2% / −75.9%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTAug 27, 2024 −12.5%Not on one close73% 32/44+15.8% / +23.6%−62.8% / −75.9%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINMar 9, 2022 +51.4%Not on one close36% 32/90+19.8% / +23.7%−54.0% / −75.9%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINSep 11, 2026 +14.3%Exit below $410.52 (−2.7%)29% 183/622+13.9% / +23.6%−74.6% / −75.9%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +10.4%Exit below $329.67 (−21.9%)36% 134/368+12.9% / +23.6%−56.6% / −75.9%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +11.7%Not on one close32% 197/622+1.7% / +23.6%−69.4% / −75.9%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +1.6%Not on one close25% 34/136+14.7% / +23.1%−64.5% / −75.9%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +1.6%Flips at next check36% 325/907+15.5% / +23.6%−62.1% / −75.9%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close49% 57/117+7.9% / +23.6%−68.9% / −75.9%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTMay 8, 2026 −6.2%Not on one close33% 35/105+7.1% / +23.6%−38.6% / −75.9%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTOct 21, 2025 −8.8%Not on one close48% 25/52+4.2% / +23.6%−21.9% / −75.9%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −7.8%Buys Oct 3047% 20/43+10.8% / +23.6%−59.4% / −75.9%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +1.6%Window opens Apr 164% 28/44+17.5% / +23.6%−63.5% / −75.9%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTMay 1, 2026 −7.8%Window opens Oct 1658% 25/43+14.2% / +23.6%−67.1% / −75.9%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −25.5%Buys Dec 2336% 16/44+1.9% / +23.6%−7.7% / −75.9%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +3.8%Buys Oct 2949% 257/526+6.9% / +23.6%−30.5% / −75.9%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +3.8%Sells Jun 3036% 4/11+6.8% / +23.6%−31.9% / −75.9%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +15.1%Buys Nov 2448% 193/400+3.7% / +23.6%−8.1% / −75.9%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +59.1%Not on one close35% 7/20+10.9% / +23.6%−46.6% / −75.9%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −1.3%Sells Oct 1650% 1150/2284+19.9% / +23.6%−57.5% / −75.9%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +10.4%Buys Oct 2748% 167/348+4.0% / +23.6%−9.9% / −75.9%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +7.7%Sells Oct 1650% 270/541+14.0% / +23.6%−55.7% / −75.9%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 3, 2005Always in–+23.6%−75.9%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureModerate3 of 10 points
  • Market swings2/3
  • Past crashes1/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It moves about 1.2× its index.
  • It fell about 1.4× as far as its index in past crashes.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Mar 2009 · back to its old high Sep 2009

ISRG−67%
S&P 500−57%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jul 2020

ISRG−40%
S&P 500−34%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Oct 2022 · back to its old high Jan 2024

ISRG−48%
S&P 500−25%
  • Beta1.22Moves about 1.2× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
  • Downside capture159%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell 159% as much on average.
  • Two-year change−13%
  • From 52-week high−29%
  • Debt to equity0.00×
  • Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Medical Instruments & Supplies · Intuitive Surgical, Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets products that enable physicians and healthcare providers to enhance the quality of and access to minimally invasive care in the United States and internationally. It offers the da Vinci Surgical System that enables surgical procedures using a minimally invasive approach; and Ion endoluminal system, which extends its commercial offerings beyond surgery into diagnostic endoluminal procedures enabling minimally invasive biopsies in the lung.

Size and valuation
Market cap$149BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$11.0BTotal sales. The market values it at 13.5× sales.
P/E ratio48.5×Buyers pay $48 for each $1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E34.9×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book8.2×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin28.4%Keeps 28¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+20.7%The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Earnings growth+21.3%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity17.3%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$2.6BCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$17.8BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$0Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$5.2BCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.00×Comfortable.
Wall Street
Average analyst target$478.1013% above the close, from 30 analysts (range $324.00 to $685.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Read more

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

Email meTest a theory

Free account

Know the moment the light flips on your stocks.

Follow your stocks and get an email with the analysis the evening a light flips. Member tools are free until January 1, 2027.