Industrials & materials

Honeywell (HON)

$207.29 −1.1% on the day·+5.4% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

In the Nasdaq-100.

Your signal

Sell30 / 100

Sell: 30 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Off the high (−20% from its 1-year high) scores 35 and lifts it; Trend (−10% vs 200-day) scores 22 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	HON	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	31%	31	40	12.4
Off the high	−20% from its 1-year high	35	30	10.5
Trend	−10% vs 200-day	22	30	6.6

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for HON

Factor	HON	Points	What it is
Plays in	31%	31	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+24% · 23 analysts · capped: below 200-day	50	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	2.0 · buy	50	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	9.5×	93	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/E	21.1×	29	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	3.47	12	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	1.7×	76	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Price to book	3.5×	41	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Dividend yield	2.8%	67	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Earnings growth	+148%	87	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Revenue growth	−0%	11	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Profit margin	21%	69	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Return on equity	44%	91	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Debt to equity	1.83×	9	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Off the high	−20% from its 1-year high	35	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	−10% vs 200-day	22	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+5%	38	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	1/10 · low	90	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on HON

31 of the 100 plays hold HON right now.
The trend-following and breakout plays mostly say out.
It closed 10% below its 200-day average and 20% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads low: it carries 2.5× as much debt as equity.
Analysts' average 12-month target is $256.35, 24% above the close (23 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in31 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureLow1 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple0.90×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−10%). Higher than on 7% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about HON now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn HON: right 11 of 36 · Out since Mar 12, 2026 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn HON: right 19 of 62 · Out since Aug 24, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn HON: right 15 of 32 · In since Feb 27, 2026 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn HON: right 121 of 192 · Out since Sep 22, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexIN59% of 13,925 calls rightOn HON: right 18 of 31 · In since Mar 23, 2026 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchOUT50% of 38,976 calls rightOn HON: right 66 of 116 · Out since Sep 29, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn HON: right 24 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

HON, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved HON lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Wed Oct 7−2.0% against the S&P 5001.2× a normal day

HON −2.2%, the S&P 500 −0.2% that session; −2.4% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

Headline24/7 Wall St. · Oct 7, 7:59 am ET
Here Are Wednesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Abbott Laboratories, AppFolio, Delek US Holdings, Flutter Entertainment, Honeywell Aerospace, Intuitive Surgical, Marvell, NetApp, and More
HeadlineInvesting.com · Oct 7, 5:28 am ET
Goldman Sachs initiates Honeywell Aerospace stock with neutral rating

Tue Sep 22+2.6% against the S&P 5001.3× a normal day

HON +2.6%, the S&P 500 0.0% that session; +3.5% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on HON was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for HON starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved 0.0%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +1.4% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.

Wed Sep 16+2.5% against the S&P 5001.2× a normal day

HON +2.1%, the S&P 500 −0.4% that session; +1.8% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on HON was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for HON starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.4%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.2% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Next earnings report

Thu Oct 22, 2026 before the open

From Yahoo Finance's calendar; dates can move. Analysts expect earnings per share of 2.16.

Over its last 12 reports, HON's typical move against the S&P 500 at the first close after the report was ±4.9% (median size, either way); it finished ahead of the index 5 times.
HON after beats of 5% or more: ahead of its index at the first close after the report 6 of 10 times (median +2.5%).
HON after misses of any size: behind its index at the first close after the report 0 of 3 times (median +0.8%).
Across all covered stocks, beats of 5% or more were followed by a gain against the index 64% of the time and misses by a drop 62% of the time.

Whether a report beats is only known once it is out, so these say how the stock has reacted, not which way it will go.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on HON

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following6 of 30 in Breakouts & channels4 of 15 in Momentum7 of 17 in Mean reversion6 of 15 in Volume & money flow3 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns1 of 3 in Calendar4 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on HON went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −0.4%	Enter above $210.42 (+1.5%)	27% 170/627	+4.1% / +11.2%	−35.3% / −61.7%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	OUT	Aug 14, 2026 −11.4%	Enter above $224.52 (+8.3%)	21% 27/129	+3.8% / +11.2%	−36.8% / −61.7%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	OUT	Aug 11, 2026 −9.7%	Enter above $215.22 (+3.8%)	23% 86/379	+4.9% / +11.2%	−29.3% / −61.7%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	OUT	Jul 24, 2025 −4.3%	Not on one close	17% 25/150	+1.2% / +11.3%	−25.6% / −61.7%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Aug 14, 2026 −11.4%	Enter above $337.92 (+63.0%)	18% 19/107	+3.3% / +11.2%	−30.7% / −61.7%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Aug 7, 2026 −15.6%	Enter above $246.70 (+19.0%)	15% 20/132	−1.4% / +11.2%	−52.6% / −61.7%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −2.9%	Enter above $231.71 (+11.8%)	26% 12/47	+7.2% / +11.2%	−30.4% / −61.7%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	OUT	Aug 19, 2026 −6.5%	Enter above $229.23 (+10.6%)	12% 29/245	+2.8% / +11.2%	−36.4% / −61.7%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	OUT	Sep 8, 2026 −0.5%	Not on one close	31% 12/39	+4.7% / +11.2%	−43.2% / −61.7%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Aug 19, 2026 −6.5%	Enter above $229.23 (+10.6%)	10% 20/203	+1.5% / +11.2%	−45.6% / −61.7%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	OUT	Aug 21, 2026 −4.0%	Enter above $210.25 (+1.4%)	33% 50/151	+5.1% / +11.2%	−35.1% / −61.7%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −0.4%	Enter above $210.56 (+1.6%)	23% 182/782	+3.6% / +11.2%	−38.8% / −61.7%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 −2.5%	Exit below $178.08 (−14.1%)	36% 96/270	+6.2% / +11.2%	−36.7% / −61.7%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −1.1%	Enter above $363.82 (+75.5%)	24% 7/29	+6.3% / +10.8%	−38.4% / −61.7%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	OUT	Aug 17, 2026 −9.7%	Enter above $282.09 (+36.1%)	25% 38/155	+3.4% / +11.2%	−39.3% / −61.7%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	OUT	Aug 17, 2026 −9.7%	Enter above $228.03 (+10.0%)	23% 32/139	+4.2% / +11.2%	−46.7% / −61.7%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 −3.0%	Exit below $202.01 (−2.5%)	33% 54/162	+4.5% / +11.2%	−37.3% / −61.7%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	OUT	Aug 17, 2026 −9.7%	Not on one close	38% 138/367	+0.3% / +11.2%	−51.6% / −61.7%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	OUT	Oct 12, 2026 −1.1%	Enter above $214.26 (+3.4%)	34% 196/577	+2.9% / +11.2%	−40.1% / −61.7%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 −2.6%	Exit below $196.98 (−5.0%)	35% 78/224	+5.7% / +11.2%	−27.5% / −61.7%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −0.4%	Enter above $214.20 (+3.3%)	36% 183/512	+2.2% / +11.2%	−51.5% / −61.7%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Jun 4, 2026 −8.9%	Not on one close	28% 39/140	+1.2% / +11.2%	−22.6% / −61.7%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Aug 18, 2026 −9.0%	Enter above $227.18 (+9.6%)	28% 53/189	+4.3% / +11.2%	−42.4% / −61.7%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	IN	Sep 25, 2026 −2.5%	Exit below $205.43 (−0.9%)	35% 61/172	+6.6% / +11.2%	−33.1% / −61.7%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −0.4%	Enter above $216.91 (+4.6%)	29% 67/233	+3.4% / +11.2%	−39.5% / −61.7%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −2.2%	Exit below $204.23 (−1.5%)	35% 88/252	+3.2% / +11.2%	−45.5% / −61.7%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	OUT	Aug 17, 2026 −9.7%	Enter above $228.75 (+10.4%)	30% 49/163	+5.7% / +11.2%	−33.2% / −61.7%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	OUT	Aug 20, 2026 −5.1%	Enter above $294.80 (+42.2%)	25% 29/117	+4.0% / +11.2%	−43.7% / −61.7%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −0.2%	Exit below $204.23 (−1.5%)	37% 80/219	+2.9% / +11.2%	−32.3% / −61.7%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Mar 12, 2026 −14.6%	Not on one close	31% 11/36	+1.2% / +11.2%	−11.6% / −61.7%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 −3.0%	Exit below $204.23 (−1.5%)	34% 45/131	+5.7% / +11.2%	−35.8% / −61.7%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Mar 6, 2026 −15.3%	Enter above $251.25 (+21.2%)	26% 42/162	+3.1% / +11.2%	−42.7% / −61.7%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Mar 20, 2026 −10.0%	Enter above $251.25 (+21.2%)	26% 27/104	+3.3% / +11.2%	−30.9% / −61.7%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Jun 4, 2026 −8.9%	Enter above $489.00 (+135.9%)	20% 25/122	+0.8% / +11.2%	−39.0% / −61.7%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	OUT	Jun 10, 2026 −3.7%	Enter above $216.13 (+4.3%)	28% 34/123	+1.0% / +11.2%	−42.7% / −61.7%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Aug 11, 2026 −9.7%	Enter above $222.18 (+7.2%)	28% 45/158	+1.3% / +11.2%	−24.7% / −61.7%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Aug 11, 2026 −9.7%	Enter above $216.58 (+4.5%)	26% 59/230	−0.8% / +11.2%	−41.4% / −61.7%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 −3.0%	Exit below $202.06 (−2.5%)	33% 62/190	+4.7% / +11.2%	−37.1% / −61.7%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 −3.0%	Exit below $201.06 (−3.0%)	33% 60/184	+4.8% / +11.2%	−33.8% / −61.7%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	OUT	Aug 24, 2026 −3.5%	Enter above $255.89 (+23.4%)	31% 19/62	+4.5% / +11.2%	−42.2% / −61.7%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 12, 2026 −1.1%	Exit below $205.11 (−1.1%)	25% 91/360	+2.4% / +11.2%	−42.5% / −61.7%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Jun 3, 2026 −11.2%	Not on one close	28% 51/184	+1.9% / +11.2%	−25.0% / −61.7%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Jun 4, 2026 −8.9%	Enter above $219.65 (+6.0%)	26% 40/154	−0.3% / +11.2%	−37.8% / −61.7%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −0.4%	Enter above $211.92 (+2.2%)	37% 255/692	+5.4% / +11.2%	−40.4% / −61.7%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Oct 24, 2024 +4.4%	Enter above $216.58 (+4.5%)	19% 6/32	+1.2% / +11.2%	−16.3% / −61.7%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −2.9%	Enter above $214.74 (+3.6%)	32% 12/37	+6.9% / +11.2%	−49.0% / −61.7%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 −18.2%	Not on one close	47% 15/32	+8.2% / +11.2%	−43.0% / −61.7%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	OUT	Mar 31, 2026 −11.8%	Enter above $238.77 (+15.2%)	33% 16/48	+5.4% / +11.2%	−34.7% / −61.7%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Aug 17, 2026 −9.7%	Not on one close	19% 30/162	+5.8% / +11.2%	−32.8% / −61.7%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −2.9%	Enter above $245.04 (+18.2%)	38% 6/16	+6.1% / +11.2%	−45.9% / −61.7%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	OUT	Apr 24, 2026 −6.5%	Enter above $235.32 (+13.5%)	20% 26/132	+2.0% / +11.2%	−41.9% / −61.7%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	IN	Sep 17, 2026 +0.4%	Exit below $206.57 (−0.3%)	35% 156/448	+5.7% / +11.2%	−36.3% / −61.7%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −0.4%	Enter above $209.68 (+1.2%)	30% 232/766	+4.5% / +11.2%	−29.0% / −61.7%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −2.2%	Exit below $174.75 (−15.7%)	39% 115/298	+5.0% / +11.2%	−31.2% / −61.7%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Oct 31, 2022 +11.7%	Exit below $138.26 (−33.3%)	40% 2/5	+9.6% / +11.2%	−43.0% / −61.7%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Oct 6, 2026 −2.6%	Enter above $216.92 (+4.6%)	25% 167/656	+0.6% / +11.2%	−45.8% / −61.7%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 −2.5%	Exit below $142.78 (−31.1%)	34% 92/274	+3.0% / +11.2%	−38.5% / −61.7%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	OUT	Aug 18, 2026 −9.0%	Enter above $227.74 (+9.9%)	27% 51/189	+3.4% / +11.2%	−44.8% / −61.7%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −2.9%	Enter above $217.90 (+5.1%)	28% 23/81	+6.3% / +11.2%	−45.3% / −61.7%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 −18.2%	Not on one close	39% 11/28	+4.8% / +10.8%	−43.0% / −61.7%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	OUT	May 29, 2026 −16.7%	Not on one close	42% 14/33	+5.8% / +11.2%	−43.0% / −61.7%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −2.2%	Exit below $199.30 (−3.9%)	32% 115/362	+5.0% / +11.2%	−39.0% / −61.7%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Sep 3, 2026 −0.2%	Not on one close	65% 26/40	+8.3% / +11.2%	−57.4% / −61.7%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Aug 26, 2026 −6.1%	Not on one close	59% 206/352	+3.6% / +11.2%	−23.4% / −61.7%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 −2.2%	Not on one close	60% 254/423	+1.8% / +11.2%	−44.1% / −61.7%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 −2.2%	Buy below $203.94 (−1.6%)	63% 121/192	+4.6% / +11.2%	−47.8% / −61.7%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −2.0%	Not on one close	65% 105/162	+5.8% / +11.2%	−62.1% / −61.7%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −0.2%	Not on one close	70% 212/305	+9.4% / +11.2%	−56.1% / −61.7%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	IN	Sep 11, 2026 +2.4%	Not on one close	68% 52/77	+8.5% / +11.2%	−54.4% / −61.7%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +902.8%	Sell above $554.04 (+167.3%)	–	+11.2% / +11.2%	−61.7% / −61.7%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Jun 9, 2026 −8.1%	Not on one close	61% 11/18	+3.1% / +11.2%	−8.4% / −61.7%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −0.4%	Enter above $210.74 (+1.7%)	50% 164/330	+3.3% / +11.2%	−68.0% / −61.7%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 12, 2026 −1.1%	Not on one close	58% 249/431	+3.7% / +11.2%	−67.0% / −61.7%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.3%	Buy below $207.29 (0.0%)	57% 1005/1750	+4.2% / +11.2%	−24.7% / −61.7%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	May 21, 2026 −11.4%	Not on one close	59% 61/104	+7.2% / +11.2%	−25.2% / −61.7%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 −3.2%	Enter above $211.52 (+2.0%)	38% 402/1064	+4.1% / +11.2%	−41.4% / −61.7%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	IN	Aug 31, 2026 −2.9%	Sell above $215.19 (+3.8%)	59% 81/137	+8.8% / +11.2%	−60.4% / −61.7%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above $207.29 (+0.0%)	23% 194/835	−1.3% / +11.2%	−58.6% / −61.7%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −2.2%	Not on one close	37% 73/197	+3.5% / +11.2%	−45.3% / −61.7%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	IN	Mar 23, 2026 −10.6%	Not on one close	58% 18/31	+5.5% / +11.2%	−47.2% / −61.7%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	OUT	Apr 16, 2026 −13.1%	Not on one close	35% 31/88	+8.5% / +11.4%	−43.2% / −61.7%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −0.4%	Enter above $208.81 (+0.7%)	27% 213/791	+1.9% / +11.2%	−38.8% / −61.7%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above $216.79 (+4.6%)	32% 120/379	+3.2% / +11.2%	−36.4% / −61.7%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Sep 15, 2026 +1.9%	Exit below $207.29 (0.0%)	37% 218/585	+2.9% / +11.2%	−52.5% / −61.7%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	OUT	Jun 30, 2026 −7.1%	Not on one close	33% 42/128	+5.3% / +11.4%	−35.4% / −61.7%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	OUT	Oct 6, 2026 −2.6%	Buy $208.06–$271.88 (+0.4%)	35% 332/940	+2.5% / +11.2%	−56.3% / −61.7%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 −1.4%	Enter above $210.23 (+1.4%)	57% 66/116	+4.1% / +11.2%	−51.0% / −61.7%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	IN	Sep 16, 2026 −0.2%	Exit below $196.98 (−5.0%)	33% 31/95	+3.8% / +11.2%	−33.0% / −61.7%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Jan 17, 2023 +6.8%	Not on one close	44% 21/48	+2.8% / +11.2%	−19.4% / −61.7%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 −7.0%	Buys Oct 30	56% 24/43	+12.0% / +11.2%	−43.0% / −61.7%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 21, 2026 −10.3%	Enter above $212.03 (+2.3%)	58% 25/43	+12.4% / +11.2%	−43.0% / −61.7%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 21, 2026 −10.3%	Window opens Oct 16	60% 26/43	+11.8% / +11.2%	−43.0% / −61.7%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 −0.4%	Buys Dec 23	34% 15/44	+1.9% / +11.2%	−8.0% / −61.7%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 −3.2%	Buys Oct 29	45% 237/526	+2.7% / +11.2%	−17.7% / −61.7%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −1.7%	Sells Jun 30	55% 6/11	+6.5% / +11.2%	−22.6% / −61.7%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −1.1%	Buys Nov 24	52% 206/400	+2.7% / +11.2%	−10.4% / −61.7%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +5.8%	Not on one close	25% 5/20	+7.7% / +11.2%	−31.5% / −61.7%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 12, 2026 −1.1%	Sells Oct 16	54% 1223/2284	+8.6% / +11.2%	−60.0% / −61.7%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −0.2%	Buys Oct 27	45% 155/348	+2.5% / +11.2%	−6.0% / −61.7%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −3.1%	Sells Oct 16	49% 267/541	+7.0% / +11.2%	−47.2% / −61.7%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 3, 2005	Always in	–	+11.2%	−61.7%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureLow1 of 10 points

Market swings0/3
Past crashes0/2
Debt1/3
Run-up0/2

It carries 2.5× as much debt as equity.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Mar 2009 · back to its old high Jan 2011

HON−61%

S&P 500−57%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Nov 2020

HON−42%

S&P 500−34%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Sep 2022 · back to its old high Oct 2022

HON−18%

S&P 500−25%

Beta0.76Moves about 0.8× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
Downside capture69%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell 69% as much on average.
Two-year change+1%
From 52-week high−20%
Debt to equity2.51×
Net debt / EBITDA3.0×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover5.1×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Conglomerates · Honeywell International Inc. engages in the industrial automation, building automation, and energy and sustainability solutions businesses in the United States, Europe, and internationally.

Size and valuation
Market cap	$65.7B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	$38.1B	Total sales. The market values it at 1.7× sales.
P/E ratio	9.5×	Buyers pay $10 for each $1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	21.1×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book	3.5×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	21.0%	Keeps 21¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	−0.1%	The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Earnings growth	+148.0%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	44.3%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	$2.6B	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	$13.9B	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	$35.0B	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	$9.2B	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	2.51×	Above about 1.5× is heavily borrowed; above 3× is fragile in a downturn.
Interest cover	5.1×	Interest is easily paid from profit.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	$256.35	24% above the close, from 23 analysts (range $186.00 to $303.00).
Consensus rating	Buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield	2.84%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

HON: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Industrials & materials: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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