Financials

Great-West Lifeco (GWO)

C$89.58 +1.0% on the day·+59.2% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Buy65 / 100

Buy: 65 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Trend (+16% vs 200-day) scores 84 and lifts it; Plays in (39%) scores 39 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	GWO	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	39%	39	40	15.6
Off the high	−5% from its 1-year high	82	30	24.6
Trend	+16% vs 200-day	84	30	25.2

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for GWO

Factor	GWO	Points	What it is
Plays in	39%	39	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+6% · 13 analysts	38	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	2.2 · buy	38	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	18.5×	69	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	14.1×	59	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	1.77	39	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	2.2×	68	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	2.8×	53	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield	3.0%	70	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	+20%	49	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth	+5%	25	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	13%	55	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	14%	56	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity	0.26×	70	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high	−5% from its 1-year high	82	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	+16% vs 200-day	84	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+59%	81	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	2/10 · low	80	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on GWO

39 of the 100 plays hold GWO right now.
The trend-following and breakout plays mostly say out.
It closed 16% above its 200-day average and 5% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads low: it fell about 1.4× as far as its index in past crashes and is up 108% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$95.23, 6% above the close (13 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in39 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureLow2 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple1.16×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+16%). Higher than on 88% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about GWO now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn GWO: right 22 of 46 · Out since Jul 29, 2026 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopIN37% of 36,314 calls rightOn GWO: right 14 of 42 · In since Aug 15, 2024 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn GWO: right 15 of 34 · In since Mar 31, 2023 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionIN64% of 53,095 calls rightOn GWO: right 119 of 187 · In since Oct 1, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexIN59% of 13,925 calls rightOn GWO: right 31 of 55 · In since Oct 8, 2026 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchOUT50% of 38,976 calls rightOn GWO: right 70 of 136 · Out since Aug 27, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn GWO: right 26 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

GWO, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved GWO lately

Its 2 biggest moves against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Tue Sep 22−3.0% against the S&P/TSX2.7× a normal day

GWO −2.1%, the S&P/TSX +0.9% that session; −0.7% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on GWO was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for GWO starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +0.9%. The 25 other Financials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.5% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Thu Sep 10+2.8% against the S&P/TSX2.2× a normal day

GWO +1.7%, the S&P/TSX −1.1% that session; +4.8% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on GWO was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for GWO starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.1%. The 25 other Financials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.1% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on GWO

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following9 of 30 in Breakouts & channels3 of 15 in Momentum9 of 17 in Mean reversion9 of 15 in Volume & money flow4 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns1 of 3 in Calendar4 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on GWO went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 −1.3%	Enter above C$90.22 (+0.7%)	29% 166/575	+9.8% / +10.7%	−43.9% / −67.5%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	IN	Feb 20, 2026 +44.1%	Exit below C$87.04 (−2.8%)	28% 30/106	+8.6% / +10.7%	−35.6% / −67.5%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −0.3%	Enter above C$90.41 (+0.9%)	22% 88/395	+7.2% / +10.7%	−49.5% / −67.5%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 −1.3%	Enter above C$90.70 (+1.3%)	20% 27/132	+3.4% / +10.8%	−19.6% / −67.5%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Aug 30, 2024 +119.4%	Exit below C$83.58 (−6.7%)	27% 17/64	+7.6% / +10.7%	−38.7% / −67.5%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Oct 3, 2025 +63.8%	Exit below C$83.58 (−6.7%)	29% 34/116	+4.8% / +10.7%	−34.3% / −67.5%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2024 +137.3%	Exit below C$77.91 (−13.0%)	26% 10/38	+7.7% / +10.7%	−50.1% / −67.5%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	IN	Aug 9, 2024 +138.2%	Exit below C$77.11 (−13.9%)	12% 21/170	+8.3% / +10.7%	−32.8% / −67.5%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	IN	Sep 6, 2024 +118.3%	Not on one close	36% 13/36	+6.7% / +10.7%	−59.1% / −67.5%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Aug 9, 2024 +138.2%	Exit below C$77.11 (−13.9%)	12% 15/128	+6.7% / +10.7%	−36.7% / −67.5%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +1.0%	Enter above C$93.86 (+4.8%)	39% 49/125	+9.2% / +10.7%	−38.3% / −67.5%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 −1.3%	Enter above C$89.79 (+0.2%)	27% 187/695	+9.4% / +10.7%	−48.1% / −67.5%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −0.3%	Enter above C$98.00 (+9.4%)	37% 101/275	+4.3% / +10.7%	−53.2% / −67.5%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Jan 12, 2023 +213.3%	Not on one close	31% 8/26	+7.5% / +10.5%	−40.5% / −67.5%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +0.0%	Enter above C$97.90 (+9.3%)	28% 40/141	+7.9% / +10.7%	−33.7% / −67.5%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +2.3%	Not on one close	27% 34/125	+9.0% / +10.7%	−38.8% / −67.5%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +1.2%	Enter above C$92.45 (+3.2%)	43% 62/143	+7.8% / +10.7%	−49.1% / −67.5%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +0.0%	Not on one close	41% 124/305	+7.7% / +10.7%	−22.5% / −67.5%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −0.3%	Enter above C$96.69 (+7.9%)	36% 189/527	+8.2% / +10.7%	−37.0% / −67.5%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +1.2%	Enter above C$95.96 (+7.1%)	39% 84/213	+7.0% / +10.7%	−45.5% / −67.5%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −2.9%	Enter above C$90.52 (+1.0%)	38% 187/498	+4.7% / +10.7%	−51.2% / −67.5%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Aug 7, 2026 −1.3%	Enter above C$223.49 (+149.5%)	39% 67/170	+4.7% / +10.7%	−36.6% / −67.5%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −0.8%	Enter above C$98.06 (+9.5%)	28% 53/187	+8.5% / +10.7%	−31.0% / −67.5%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +1.0%	Enter above C$92.20 (+2.9%)	37% 52/141	+3.4% / +10.7%	−73.6% / −67.5%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +1.2%	Enter above C$94.35 (+5.3%)	36% 81/227	+9.3% / +10.7%	−31.7% / −67.5%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 −1.3%	Not on one close	36% 88/243	+5.9% / +10.7%	−42.0% / −67.5%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −0.8%	Enter above C$96.87 (+8.1%)	31% 46/149	+8.1% / +10.7%	−29.3% / −67.5%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	IN	Mar 18, 2026 +41.0%	Exit below C$87.51 (−2.3%)	25% 27/110	+8.2% / +10.7%	−32.0% / −67.5%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Jul 10, 2026 −1.8%	Not on one close	41% 73/178	+6.4% / +10.7%	−25.7% / −67.5%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Jul 29, 2026 −0.2%	Not on one close	48% 22/46	+2.3% / +10.7%	−6.5% / −67.5%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +1.2%	Enter above C$95.96 (+7.1%)	38% 47/123	+9.0% / +10.7%	−32.1% / −67.5%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 −1.3%	Enter above C$95.96 (+7.1%)	32% 43/134	+6.2% / +10.7%	−26.1% / −67.5%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 −1.3%	Enter above C$95.96 (+7.1%)	36% 34/95	+6.2% / +10.7%	−25.7% / −67.5%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +1.2%	Enter above C$94.73 (+5.7%)	33% 33/99	+5.6% / +10.7%	−28.0% / −67.5%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	IN	Sep 4, 2026 −3.3%	Exit below C$87.49 (−2.3%)	34% 35/102	+4.4% / +10.7%	−46.9% / −67.5%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Jul 29, 2026 −0.2%	Enter above C$94.91 (+5.9%)	38% 51/134	+7.3% / +10.7%	−23.0% / −67.5%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Jul 29, 2026 −0.2%	Enter above C$96.15 (+7.3%)	36% 69/190	+8.5% / +10.7%	−27.5% / −67.5%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 −1.3%	Enter above C$94.73 (+5.7%)	42% 71/169	+8.5% / +10.7%	−35.3% / −67.5%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +1.2%	Enter above C$92.95 (+3.8%)	37% 61/165	+6.5% / +10.7%	−52.2% / −67.5%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	IN	Aug 15, 2024 +130.8%	Exit below C$86.11 (−3.9%)	33% 14/42	+3.8% / +10.7%	−72.4% / −67.5%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 −1.3%	Enter above C$91.90 (+2.6%)	34% 93/275	+8.9% / +10.7%	−41.1% / −67.5%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Jul 8, 2026 −0.8%	Not on one close	31% 57/182	+2.7% / +10.7%	−12.8% / −67.5%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Apr 27, 2026 +27.5%	Not on one close	35% 47/134	+2.4% / +10.7%	−22.3% / −67.5%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +1.0%	Exit below C$86.51 (−3.4%)	35% 213/609	+6.0% / +10.7%	−69.0% / −67.5%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 15, 2025 +71.6%	Not on one close	27% 12/44	+2.4% / +10.7%	−9.0% / −67.5%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	Feb 28, 2023 +186.1%	Exit below C$59.48 (−33.6%)	38% 10/26	+8.1% / +10.5%	−46.6% / −67.5%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Mar 31, 2023 +193.2%	Not on one close	44% 15/34	+7.1% / +10.5%	−45.0% / −67.5%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Feb 28, 2025 +78.8%	Exit below C$66.13 (−26.2%)	37% 11/30	+4.0% / +10.5%	−45.3% / −67.5%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +1.0%	Exit below C$88.64 (−1.0%)	26% 38/148	+9.5% / +10.7%	−23.3% / −67.5%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	IN	Feb 28, 2023 +186.1%	Exit below C$80.52 (−10.1%)	25% 4/16	+4.9% / +10.7%	−54.7% / −67.5%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +1.0%	Enter above C$89.18 (−0.4%)	34% 41/122	+7.2% / +10.7%	−31.5% / −67.5%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$93.58 (+4.5%)	34% 155/460	+0.7% / +10.7%	−69.2% / −67.5%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −2.9%	Enter above C$89.72 (+0.2%)	32% 227/704	+7.6% / +10.7%	−53.0% / −67.5%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +1.2%	Enter above C$111.40 (+24.4%)	43% 128/297	+5.1% / +10.7%	−56.9% / −67.5%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Jan 31, 2023 +201.8%	Not on one close	40% 6/15	+8.1% / +10.6%	−45.0% / −67.5%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$96.76 (+8.0%)	31% 196/636	+5.0% / +10.7%	−29.0% / −67.5%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +1.2%	Enter above C$124.81 (+39.3%)	42% 111/267	+5.2% / +10.7%	−49.2% / −67.5%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −0.8%	Enter above C$98.29 (+9.7%)	28% 52/183	+8.4% / +10.7%	−29.8% / −67.5%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2024 +137.3%	Exit below C$85.46 (−4.6%)	34% 25/74	+8.2% / +10.5%	−54.5% / −67.5%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Mar 31, 2023 +193.2%	Not on one close	33% 8/24	+6.4% / +10.0%	−45.0% / −67.5%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	IN	Mar 31, 2023 +193.2%	Not on one close	38% 13/34	+6.5% / +10.5%	−45.0% / −67.5%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 −1.3%	Enter above C$97.64 (+9.0%)	32% 119/369	+2.0% / +10.7%	−68.1% / −67.5%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	May 6, 2026 +24.9%	Not on one close	61% 31/51	+6.5% / +10.7%	−58.3% / −67.5%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +1.0%	Buy C$77.11–C$82.92 (−7.4%)	58% 184/316	−0.5% / +10.7%	−48.6% / −67.5%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 −2.9%	Sell above C$89.58 (0.0%)	56% 201/358	+0.1% / +10.7%	−53.9% / −67.5%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 +1.2%	Sell above C$91.06 (+1.7%)	64% 119/187	+3.6% / +10.7%	−47.2% / −67.5%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	IN	Oct 5, 2026 +0.0%	Not on one close	61% 86/141	+2.9% / +10.7%	−54.6% / −67.5%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −0.8%	Not on one close	67% 196/293	+6.9% / +10.7%	−58.1% / −67.5%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −0.8%	Not on one close	63% 46/73	+5.9% / +10.7%	−58.3% / −67.5%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +821.5%	Sell above C$186.37 (+108.1%)	–	+10.7% / +10.7%	−67.5% / −67.5%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Apr 14, 2025 +80.7%	Not on one close	38% 3/8	+1.9% / +10.7%	−4.6% / −67.5%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Sep 8, 2026 −2.1%	Enter above C$89.42 (−0.2%)	47% 147/312	+5.5% / +10.7%	−64.5% / −67.5%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −0.8%	Not on one close	61% 268/440	+10.7% / +10.7%	−49.4% / −67.5%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +2.3%	Buy below C$89.58 (0.0%)	58% 946/1638	+4.1% / +10.7%	−32.6% / −67.5%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	IN	Oct 7, 2026 +2.3%	Sell above C$93.88 (+4.8%)	56% 61/109	+2.2% / +10.7%	−46.6% / −67.5%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$84.94 (−5.2%)	43% 440/1031	+11.4% / +10.7%	−36.3% / −67.5%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −0.3%	Buy below C$91.68 (+2.3%)	60% 82/137	+3.9% / +10.7%	−47.3% / −67.5%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −3.4%	Not on one close	30% 184/613	+8.7% / +10.7%	−53.5% / −67.5%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +0.0%	Not on one close	44% 89/204	+4.4% / +10.7%	−48.3% / −67.5%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +2.3%	Not on one close	56% 31/55	+3.8% / +10.7%	−62.9% / −67.5%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	IN	Sep 29, 2025 +65.8%	Not on one close	31% 30/98	+6.4% / +10.8%	−47.2% / −67.5%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$90.82 (+1.4%)	29% 205/700	+7.0% / +10.7%	−61.9% / −67.5%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −0.3%	Enter above C$102.45 (+14.4%)	35% 125/355	+7.9% / +10.7%	−39.2% / −67.5%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −2.9%	Enter above C$89.58 (+0.0%)	35% 187/528	+0.9% / +10.7%	−67.5% / −67.5%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	IN	Aug 15, 2024 +130.8%	Not on one close	36% 32/88	+7.4% / +10.8%	−47.6% / −67.5%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sell C$88.06–C$89.34 (−0.3%)	38% 339/887	+4.3% / +10.7%	−51.5% / −67.5%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	OUT	Aug 27, 2026 +1.4%	Not on one close	51% 70/136	+5.3% / +10.7%	−34.5% / −67.5%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	IN	Sep 2, 2026 −0.9%	Exit below C$87.52 (−2.3%)	34% 29/85	+3.7% / +10.7%	−24.1% / −67.5%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Not on one close	48% 26/54	+1.9% / +10.7%	−12.2% / −67.5%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 +25.4%	Buys Oct 30	60% 26/43	+8.3% / +10.7%	−62.8% / −67.5%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	May 4, 2026 +24.8%	Enter above C$90.24 (+0.7%)	60% 26/43	+5.7% / +10.7%	−67.3% / −67.5%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	May 6, 2026 +24.9%	Window opens Oct 16	60% 26/43	+7.2% / +10.7%	−64.9% / −67.5%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +36.5%	Buys Dec 23	45% 20/44	+2.8% / +10.7%	−4.6% / −67.5%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +0.0%	Buys Oct 29	44% 231/526	−0.3% / +10.7%	−60.1% / −67.5%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −0.3%	Sells Jun 30	64% 7/11	+4.4% / +10.7%	−13.4% / −67.5%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −3.3%	Buys Nov 24	50% 193/386	+3.3% / +10.7%	−4.5% / −67.5%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +240.3%	Not on one close	45% 9/20	+8.2% / +10.7%	−42.7% / −67.5%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	50% 1142/2284	+5.8% / +10.7%	−49.8% / −67.5%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −3.6%	Buys Oct 27	47% 165/348	+2.1% / +10.7%	−7.4% / −67.5%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −0.8%	Sells Oct 16	48% 260/541	+3.4% / +10.7%	−58.9% / −67.5%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 4, 2005	Always in	–	+10.7%	−67.5%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureLow2 of 10 points

Market swings0/3
Past crashes1/2
Debt0/3
Run-up1/2

It fell about 1.4× as far as its index in past crashes.
It is up 108% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Mar 2009 · back to its old high May 2013

GWO−67%

TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Feb 2021

GWO−44%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Oct 2022 · back to its old high Feb 2023

GWO−21%

TSX−14%

Beta0.41Moves about 0.4× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture−24%In months the TSX fell, this fell -24% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change+108%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−5%
Debt to equity0.30×
Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.
Interest cover13.8×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Insurance - Life · Great-West Lifeco Inc. engages in the life and health insurance, retirement savings, wealth and asset management, and reinsurance businesses in Canada, the United States, and Europe. The company offers life, accidental death and dismemberment, critical illness, disability, health and dental protection, and creditor insurance products; and retirement savings, income and annuity products, and other specialty products to individuals, families, businesses, and organizations.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$80.2B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	C$36.4B	Total sales. The market values it at 2.2× sales.
P/E ratio	18.5×	Buyers pay C$18 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	14.1×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book	2.8×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	12.7%	Keeps 13¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+5.4%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth	+19.8%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	14.1%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	−C$9.8B	Burning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going.

Balance sheet
Total equity	C$29.9B	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	C$9.0B	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	C$201B	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	0.30×	Comfortable.
Interest cover	13.8×	Interest is easily paid from profit.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	C$95.23	6% above the close, from 13 analysts (range C$68.00 to C$111.00).
Consensus rating	Buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield	3.02%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

GWO: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Financials: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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