Healthcare

Gilead Sciences (GILD)

$147.92 −1.7% on the day·+28.2% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

In the Nasdaq-100.

Your signal

Buy70 / 100

Buy: 70 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Off the high (−3% from its 1-year high) scores 89 and lifts it; Plays in (56%) scores 56 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	GILD	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	56%	56	40	22.4
Off the high	−3% from its 1-year high	89	30	26.7
Trend	+9% vs 200-day	69	30	20.7

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for GILD

Factor	GILD	Points	What it is
Plays in	56%	56	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+8% · 26 analysts	40	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	1.7 · buy	66	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	loss	0	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/E	14.9×	54	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	2.27	27	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	6.0×	29	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Price to book	15.5×	10	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Dividend yield	2.2%	55	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Earnings growth	−153%	1	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Revenue growth	+6%	26	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Profit margin	−11%	8	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Return on equity	−27%	6	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Debt to equity	2.22×	7	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Off the high	−3% from its 1-year high	89	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	+9% vs 200-day	69	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+28%	63	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	0/10 · low	100	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on GILD

56 of the 100 plays hold GILD right now.
The trend-following plays mostly say in.
It closed 9% above its 200-day average and 3% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads low.
Analysts' average 12-month target is $159.62, 8% above the close (26 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in56 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureLow0 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple1.09×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+9%). Higher than on 60% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about GILD now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn GILD: right 14 of 38 · Out since Sep 22, 2026 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopIN37% of 36,314 calls rightOn GILD: right 23 of 74 · In since Jul 17, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn GILD: right 12 of 30 · In since Aug 30, 2024 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn GILD: right 140 of 192 · Out since Jun 26, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexOUT59% of 13,925 calls rightOn GILD: right 23 of 33 · Out since Jul 31, 2024 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchOUT50% of 38,976 calls rightOn GILD: right 57 of 107 · Out since Jul 29, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn GILD: right 20 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

GILD, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved GILD lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Fri Oct 9+2.2% against the S&P 5001.3× a normal day

GILD +2.8%, the S&P 500 +0.6% that session.

HeadlineSimply Wall Street · Oct 9, 3:06 am ET
How Earnings Beat At Gilead Sciences Stock Has Changed Its Investment Story
HeadlineSimply Wall Street · Oct 9, 3:00 am ET
Gilead Sciences (NasdaqGS:GILD) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions
HeadlineMarketWatch · Oct 9, 4:34 pm ETafter that close
Gilead Sciences Inc. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day

Fri Oct 2−2.6% against the S&P 5001.5× a normal day

GILD −1.9%, the S&P 500 +0.7% that session; −1.6% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

HeadlineBarron's · Oct 1, 10:25 pm ET
More Upside Awaits for Gilead Sciences Stock. Stay Invested.
HeadlineMarketWatch · Oct 2, 4:35 pm ETafter that close
Gilead Sciences Inc. stock underperforms Friday when compared to competitors

Tue Sep 1+3.2% against the S&P 5001.5× a normal day

GILD +2.4%, the S&P 500 −0.7% that session; +0.4% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on GILD was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for GILD starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.7%. The 17 other Healthcare stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.3% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Next earnings report

Thu Oct 29, 2026 after the close

From Yahoo Finance's calendar; dates can move. Analysts expect earnings per share of 2.19.

Over its last 12 reports, GILD's typical move against the S&P 500 at the first close after the report was ±3.5% (median size, either way); it finished ahead of the index 5 times.
GILD after beats of 5% or more: ahead of its index at the first close after the report 14 of 28 times (median −0.3%).
GILD after misses of any size: behind its index at the first close after the report 11 of 13 times (median −3.4%).
Across all covered stocks, beats of 5% or more were followed by a gain against the index 64% of the time and misses by a drop 62% of the time.

Whether a report beats is only known once it is out, so these say how the stock has reacted, not which way it will go.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on GILD

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following21 of 30 in Breakouts & channels8 of 15 in Momentum11 of 17 in Mean reversion6 of 15 in Volume & money flow4 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns1 of 3 in Calendar5 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on GILD went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −2.1%	Exit below $147.92 (0.0%)	25% 181/723	−3.2% / +16.0%	−75.9% / −45.7%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	IN	Aug 7, 2026 +11.7%	Exit below $137.02 (−7.4%)	21% 27/127	+7.2% / +16.0%	−55.5% / −45.7%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	IN	Aug 7, 2026 +11.7%	Exit below $144.70 (−2.2%)	22% 88/403	+2.9% / +16.0%	−65.4% / −45.7%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	IN	Sep 8, 2026 +1.4%	Exit below $145.20 (−1.8%)	17% 25/149	+3.3% / +16.0%	−49.1% / −45.7%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Aug 14, 2026 +7.5%	Exit below $135.50 (−8.4%)	26% 20/78	+9.4% / +16.0%	−50.4% / −45.7%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Aug 21, 2026 +1.8%	Exit below $145.83 (−1.4%)	25% 20/81	+9.1% / +16.0%	−50.3% / −45.7%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	IN	Aug 31, 2026 +1.6%	Exit below $137.24 (−7.2%)	21% 11/52	+9.6% / +16.0%	−52.6% / −45.7%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	IN	Aug 3, 2026 +13.4%	Exit below $136.22 (−7.9%)	12% 26/212	+8.9% / +16.0%	−59.9% / −45.7%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	IN	Aug 24, 2026 +1.4%	Not on one close	36% 13/36	+12.7% / +16.0%	−48.5% / −45.7%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Aug 3, 2026 +13.4%	Exit below $136.22 (−7.9%)	11% 15/140	+9.4% / +16.0%	−52.2% / −45.7%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	IN	Jul 2, 2026 +13.3%	Exit below $148.22 (+0.2%)	31% 45/145	+6.1% / +16.0%	−56.0% / −45.7%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −2.1%	Exit below $147.26 (−0.4%)	24% 195/823	−2.1% / +16.0%	−71.3% / −45.7%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	OUT	Sep 11, 2026 +3.5%	Enter above $172.90 (+16.9%)	29% 82/280	−0.7% / +16.0%	−68.9% / −45.7%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Jul 30, 2024 +101.9%	Not on one close	15% 5/34	+11.9% / +16.1%	−57.7% / −45.7%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	IN	Jul 16, 2026 +9.1%	Exit below $135.02 (−8.7%)	24% 34/139	+7.0% / +16.0%	−60.2% / −45.7%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	IN	Jul 16, 2026 +9.1%	Exit below $137.34 (−7.2%)	22% 32/143	+5.4% / +16.0%	−59.6% / −45.7%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	IN	Jul 7, 2026 +9.1%	Exit below $141.19 (−4.6%)	29% 43/150	+3.7% / +16.0%	−58.5% / −45.7%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +0.7%	Not on one close	41% 140/342	+7.3% / +16.0%	−50.8% / −45.7%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above $154.65 (+4.5%)	35% 213/614	−0.6% / +16.0%	−67.6% / −45.7%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +0.7%	Enter above $154.20 (+4.2%)	39% 93/236	+4.1% / +16.0%	−60.4% / −45.7%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −2.1%	Exit below $143.52 (−3.0%)	34% 174/519	−1.6% / +16.0%	−74.8% / −45.7%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 +2.2%	Enter above $171.27 (+15.8%)	26% 39/150	+1.5% / +16.0%	−38.6% / −45.7%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	IN	Jul 7, 2026 +9.1%	Exit below $139.18 (−5.9%)	23% 47/203	+3.1% / +16.0%	−65.8% / −45.7%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −2.1%	Exit below $145.12 (−1.9%)	30% 69/231	+1.8% / +16.0%	−73.4% / −45.7%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Oct 6, 2026 +2.6%	Enter above $152.04 (+2.8%)	30% 73/246	+2.5% / +16.0%	−62.8% / −45.7%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +0.3%	Enter above $152.26 (+2.9%)	31% 82/268	+0.8% / +16.0%	−53.3% / −45.7%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	IN	Jul 7, 2026 +9.1%	Exit below $138.01 (−6.7%)	24% 44/181	+5.5% / +16.0%	−65.4% / −45.7%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	IN	Jul 16, 2026 +9.1%	Exit below $91.64 (−38.0%)	26% 28/106	+7.9% / +16.0%	−62.8% / −45.7%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Sep 11, 2026 +3.5%	Not on one close	28% 61/218	−1.3% / +16.0%	−56.7% / −45.7%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 −3.1%	Not on one close	37% 14/38	+2.7% / +16.0%	−11.1% / −45.7%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	IN	Jul 2, 2026 +13.3%	Exit below $142.60 (−3.6%)	30% 39/131	+4.2% / +16.0%	−62.8% / −45.7%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 +2.2%	Enter above $154.20 (+4.2%)	26% 39/152	+1.0% / +16.0%	−46.8% / −45.7%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	IN	Aug 18, 2026 +3.7%	Exit below $142.60 (−3.6%)	24% 26/109	+1.6% / +16.0%	−56.3% / −45.7%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	IN	Aug 13, 2026 +7.7%	Exit below $141.69 (−4.2%)	31% 31/101	+3.4% / +16.0%	−47.6% / −45.7%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	IN	Jul 2, 2026 +13.3%	Exit below $142.70 (−3.5%)	35% 38/109	+1.1% / +16.0%	−65.8% / −45.7%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +2.7%	Enter above $156.94 (+6.1%)	27% 39/144	+1.3% / +16.0%	−37.9% / −45.7%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +2.7%	Enter above $155.03 (+4.8%)	26% 59/228	−0.1% / +16.0%	−50.5% / −45.7%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	IN	Aug 13, 2026 +7.7%	Exit below $143.60 (−2.9%)	28% 57/201	+0.9% / +16.0%	−70.2% / −45.7%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Jul 2, 2026 +13.3%	Exit below $142.10 (−3.9%)	29% 52/182	+4.4% / +16.0%	−60.6% / −45.7%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	IN	Jul 17, 2026 +10.8%	Exit below $125.44 (−15.2%)	31% 23/74	+6.8% / +16.0%	−68.5% / −45.7%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Oct 6, 2026 +2.6%	Enter above $152.18 (+2.9%)	22% 76/350	+1.5% / +16.0%	−64.1% / −45.7%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 +2.1%	Not on one close	25% 39/156	+0.3% / +16.0%	−27.9% / −45.7%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 +2.2%	Enter above $159.80 (+8.0%)	32% 44/136	+1.4% / +16.0%	−27.7% / −45.7%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −2.1%	Exit below $147.19 (−0.5%)	32% 229/711	−2.3% / +16.0%	−68.9% / −45.7%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Nov 15, 2024 +76.6%	Not on one close	25% 10/40	+1.1% / +16.0%	−17.5% / −45.7%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	Aug 30, 2024 +99.4%	Exit below $121.22 (−18.1%)	18% 5/28	+11.8% / +16.2%	−58.6% / −45.7%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Aug 30, 2024 +99.4%	Not on one close	40% 12/30	+13.3% / +16.2%	−52.6% / −45.7%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Aug 31, 2026 +1.6%	Exit below $134.78 (−8.9%)	39% 11/28	+11.6% / +16.2%	−46.3% / −45.7%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	IN	Aug 18, 2026 +3.7%	Exit below $136.95 (−7.4%)	20% 29/142	+8.8% / +16.0%	−45.0% / −45.7%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	IN	Aug 31, 2026 +1.6%	Exit below $130.09 (−12.1%)	35% 8/23	+10.5% / +16.0%	−43.5% / −45.7%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	IN	Aug 21, 2026 +1.8%	Exit below $140.86 (−4.8%)	26% 31/117	+7.7% / +16.0%	−54.5% / −45.7%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −1.2%	Enter above $152.54 (+3.1%)	31% 150/488	−2.4% / +16.0%	−71.9% / −45.7%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above $148.26 (+0.2%)	30% 249/824	−0.8% / +16.0%	−66.8% / −45.7%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +2.7%	Enter above $185.68 (+25.5%)	33% 114/341	−0.9% / +16.0%	−66.2% / −45.7%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2024 +107.1%	Not on one close	14% 3/21	+8.7% / +13.7%	−48.6% / −45.7%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −1.2%	Enter above $154.39 (+4.4%)	27% 167/610	−2.5% / +16.0%	−67.8% / −45.7%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	OUT	Sep 11, 2026 +3.5%	Enter above $198.66 (+34.3%)	32% 95/296	−2.0% / +16.0%	−65.1% / −45.7%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	IN	Jul 7, 2026 +9.1%	Exit below $138.83 (−6.1%)	23% 46/199	+3.8% / +16.0%	−64.7% / −45.7%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2026 +14.2%	Exit below $140.29 (−5.2%)	27% 22/81	+10.2% / +16.2%	−53.3% / −45.7%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Aug 30, 2024 +99.4%	Not on one close	42% 10/24	+11.4% / +13.5%	−52.6% / −45.7%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	IN	Aug 30, 2024 +99.4%	Not on one close	53% 18/34	+13.3% / +16.2%	−43.9% / −45.7%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +2.7%	Enter above $159.56 (+7.9%)	29% 108/378	−1.3% / +16.0%	−65.9% / −45.7%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Aug 20, 2026 +3.7%	Not on one close	46% 12/26	+2.7% / +16.0%	−35.6% / −45.7%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +0.7%	Buy $136.22–$143.92 (−2.7%)	63% 196/309	+7.9% / +16.0%	−16.4% / −45.7%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 −2.1%	Buy $136.22–$144.23 (−2.5%)	67% 262/391	+13.8% / +16.0%	−17.5% / −45.7%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Jun 26, 2026 +16.3%	Buy below $143.22 (−3.2%)	73% 140/192	+11.8% / +16.0%	−29.4% / −45.7%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	OUT	Jul 10, 2026 +14.6%	Not on one close	69% 118/171	+11.5% / +16.0%	−30.0% / −45.7%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	IN	Oct 7, 2026 +0.7%	Not on one close	68% 212/312	+14.8% / +16.0%	−34.4% / −45.7%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	OUT	Jul 8, 2026 +9.5%	Not on one close	68% 50/74	+9.4% / +16.0%	−30.5% / −45.7%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +2,405.7%	Sell above $329.26 (+122.6%)	–	+16.0% / +16.0%	−45.7% / −45.7%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Nov 21, 2024 +73.9%	Not on one close	50% 8/16	+2.8% / +16.0%	−7.7% / −45.7%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −2.1%	Not on one close	49% 186/377	+8.9% / +16.0%	−53.7% / −45.7%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 7, 2026 +0.7%	Not on one close	56% 252/450	+11.2% / +16.0%	−29.3% / −45.7%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sell above $147.92 (0.0%)	58% 1030/1781	+6.2% / +16.0%	−35.4% / −45.7%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Jul 2, 2026 +13.3%	Not on one close	65% 64/99	+7.9% / +16.0%	−29.6% / −45.7%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 7, 2026 +0.7%	Exit below $144.92 (−2.0%)	36% 377/1051	−0.3% / +16.0%	−62.3% / −45.7%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	OUT	Jul 31, 2026 +14.2%	Buy below $152.06 (+2.8%)	50% 53/107	+1.3% / +16.0%	−47.3% / −45.7%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 −2.2%	Not on one close	23% 183/812	−1.9% / +16.0%	−84.0% / −45.7%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Jul 13, 2026 +13.2%	Exit below $147.92 (0.0%)	35% 75/217	+4.1% / +16.0%	−63.7% / −45.7%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	OUT	Jul 31, 2024 +107.1%	Not on one close	70% 23/33	+9.6% / +16.0%	−39.8% / −45.7%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	IN	Dec 23, 2025 +20.3%	Not on one close	36% 43/118	+10.8% / +16.1%	−54.6% / −45.7%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above $148.14 (+0.2%)	25% 203/806	−1.5% / +16.0%	−71.5% / −45.7%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +2.3%	Enter above $149.64 (+1.2%)	29% 115/402	−0.3% / +16.0%	−69.5% / −45.7%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.6%	Exit below $147.92 (+0.0%)	31% 200/653	−2.2% / +16.0%	−78.6% / −45.7%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	IN	Aug 25, 2026 0.0%	Not on one close	31% 38/123	+10.6% / +16.3%	−44.1% / −45.7%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 −2.0%	Not on one close	35% 344/988	+0.3% / +16.0%	−59.7% / −45.7%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	OUT	Jul 29, 2026 +12.1%	Not on one close	53% 57/107	+9.0% / +16.0%	−35.5% / −45.7%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	IN	Jun 16, 2026 +16.9%	Exit below $122.01 (−17.5%)	24% 27/112	+0.4% / +16.0%	−64.5% / −45.7%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Jun 9, 2026 +19.3%	Not on one close	45% 25/56	+2.7% / +16.0%	−8.9% / −45.7%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 +14.4%	Buys Oct 30	47% 20/43	+7.1% / +16.0%	−42.3% / −45.7%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Oct 12, 2026 −1.7%	Window opens Apr 1	55% 24/44	+9.0% / +16.0%	−39.0% / −45.7%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 20, 2026 +10.2%	Window opens Oct 16	49% 21/43	+9.6% / +16.0%	−32.8% / −45.7%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +27.3%	Buys Dec 23	50% 22/44	+2.8% / +16.0%	−6.4% / −45.7%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +2.3%	Buys Oct 29	49% 256/526	+3.7% / +16.0%	−52.9% / −45.7%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −0.8%	Sells Jun 30	55% 6/11	+3.7% / +16.0%	−22.7% / −45.7%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −1.5%	Buys Nov 24	47% 189/400	+1.0% / +16.0%	−14.9% / −45.7%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +94.9%	Not on one close	50% 10/20	+13.6% / +16.0%	−35.8% / −45.7%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 12, 2026 −1.7%	Sells Oct 16	50% 1153/2284	+9.4% / +16.0%	−61.9% / −45.7%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 +0.2%	Buys Oct 27	47% 165/348	+2.9% / +16.0%	−21.8% / −45.7%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +2.2%	Sells Oct 16	52% 280/541	+10.6% / +16.0%	−24.2% / −45.7%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 3, 2005	Always in	–	+16.0%	−45.7%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureLow0 of 10 points

Market swings0/3
Past crashes0/2
Debt0/3
Run-up0/2

Nothing on the checklist stands out.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Oct 2008 · back to its old high Oct 2008

GILD−11%

S&P 500−57%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Feb 2020 · back to its old high Feb 2020

GILD−1%

S&P 500−34%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Mar 2022 · back to its old high Oct 2022

GILD−20%

S&P 500−25%

Beta0.34Moves about 0.3× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
Downside capture−18%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell -18% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change+84%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−3%
Debt to equity1.16×
Net debt / EBITDA1.5×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover10.6×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Drug Manufacturers - General · Gilead Sciences, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines in the areas of unmet medical need in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company provides Biktarvy, Descovy, Genvoya, Odefsey, Sunlenca, Symtuza, and YeztugoFor the treatment of HIV-1 infection in patients.

Size and valuation
Market cap	$183B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	$30.5B	Total sales. The market values it at 6.0× sales.
P/E ratio	n/a	Lost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by.
Forward P/E	14.9×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book	15.5×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	−10.6%	Spends more than it brings in.
Revenue growth	+5.5%	The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Earnings growth	−152.9%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	−27.4%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	$9.8B	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	$22.7B	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	$26.2B	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	$4.9B	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	1.16×	Moderate.
Interest cover	10.6×	Interest is easily paid from profit.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	$159.62	8% above the close, from 26 analysts (range $126.00 to $180.00).
Consensus rating	Buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield	2.18%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

GILD: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Healthcare: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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