Oct 13 close Sign in

Consumer & retail

Gildan Activewear (GIL)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell11 / 100

Sell: 11 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (23%) scores 23 and lifts it; Off the high (−39% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightGILPointsWeightAdds
Plays in23%23409.2
Off the high−39% from its 1-year high0300.0
Trend−25% vs 200-day6301.8
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for GIL
FactorGILPointsWhat it is
Plays in23%23The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+74% · 6 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.7 · buy65The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E32.8×36Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E7.7×92Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG0.3991P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales1.6×76Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book2.3×66Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield2.3%57Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth––Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth+72%92Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin1%21Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity9%37Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity1.48×18Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−39% from its 1-year high0How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−25% vs 200-day6How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−27%12The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure6/10 · high40The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on GIL

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in23 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureHigh6 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.75×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−25%). Higher than on 6% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about GIL now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved GIL lately

Its 2 biggest moves against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Sep 28+5.1% against the S&P/TSX2.1× a normal day

GIL +4.2%, the S&P/TSX −0.9% that session; +1.5% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on GIL was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for GIL starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.9%. The 33 other Consumer & retail stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.2% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Thu Sep 24−11.6% against the S&P/TSX6.1× a normal day

GIL −11.7%, the S&P/TSX −0.1% that session; −5.4% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

  • Price target cutAnalyst rating · Sep 24, 2:18 pm ET

    TD Securities cut its price target to 54.00 from 80.00, keeping Buy.

    After price target cuts, stocks did worse than their index at the first close after the news 53% of the time (1,291 of 2,458 on 197 stocks; median move −0.1%). Low predictability

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on GIL

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on GIL went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTAug 20, 2026 −22.4%Enter above C$62.02 (+4.3%)27% 159/588+3.1% / +13.2%−66.7% / −82.8%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTAug 21, 2026 −23.3%Enter above C$72.29 (+21.6%)22% 23/103+10.6% / +13.2%−64.0% / −82.8%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTAug 24, 2026 −21.8%Enter above C$66.88 (+12.5%)24% 82/338+9.4% / +13.2%−54.9% / −82.8%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTMar 5, 2026 −33.0%Not on one close23% 36/159+9.3% / +12.3%−28.4% / −82.8%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJun 19, 2026 −18.0%Enter above C$155.04 (+160.8%)21% 14/66+12.7% / +13.2%−38.6% / −82.8%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTMar 13, 2026 −25.3%Enter above C$87.28 (+46.8%)25% 19/76+9.5% / +13.2%−51.1% / −82.8%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTJun 30, 2026 −18.4%Enter above C$78.46 (+32.0%)33% 14/42+13.3% / +13.2%−50.4% / −82.8%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTJun 16, 2026 −15.2%Enter above C$78.73 (+32.5%)11% 19/172+9.3% / +13.2%−50.6% / −82.8%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTMay 6, 2026 −28.3%Not on one close50% 13/26+16.1% / +13.2%−43.9% / −82.8%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTJun 16, 2026 −15.2%Not on one close16% 19/116+9.2% / +13.2%−50.6% / −82.8%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTSep 11, 2026 −11.5%Enter above C$81.89 (+37.8%)39% 49/125+8.7% / +13.2%−73.2% / −82.8%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −19.6%Enter above C$61.59 (+3.6%)24% 187/780+2.5% / +13.2%−63.2% / −82.8%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −20.1%Enter above C$60.55 (+1.9%)34% 95/283+3.6% / +13.2%−70.7% / −82.8%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −20.1%Not on one close28% 8/29+8.9% / +12.1%−54.7% / −82.8%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −20.1%Enter above C$137.16 (+130.8%)34% 39/115+12.1% / +13.2%−46.6% / −82.8%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −20.1%Enter above C$75.71 (+27.4%)31% 29/93+13.1% / +13.2%−48.8% / −82.8%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −17.8%Enter above C$64.87 (+9.1%)39% 62/159+6.5% / +13.2%−63.4% / −82.8%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −19.5%Not on one close40% 123/311+8.0% / +13.2%−54.9% / −82.8%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTAug 24, 2026 −21.8%Enter above C$70.56 (+18.7%)35% 192/549+6.7% / +13.2%−47.5% / −82.8%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −16.6%Enter above C$73.63 (+23.9%)37% 79/215+8.0% / +13.2%−71.6% / −82.8%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 +3.5%Enter above C$63.54 (+6.9%)38% 185/484+5.4% / +13.2%−55.3% / −82.8%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTApr 15, 2026 −23.7%Enter above C$63.16 (+6.3%)28% 49/176+1.9% / +13.2%−54.8% / −82.8%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 −19.5%Enter above C$93.92 (+58.0%)35% 52/147+14.3% / +13.2%−57.2% / −82.8%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTAug 28, 2026 −19.5%Enter above C$60.31 (+1.5%)38% 78/207+14.0% / +13.2%−57.1% / −82.8%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 −19.5%Enter above C$197.96 (+233.0%)36% 81/227+7.5% / +13.2%−64.6% / −82.8%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −0.6%Not on one close37% 94/254+5.3% / +13.2%−68.9% / −82.8%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −20.1%Enter above C$91.22 (+53.5%)31% 45/143+11.8% / +13.2%−56.3% / −82.8%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 −19.5%Enter above C$148.84 (+150.4%)27% 25/91+13.7% / +13.2%−46.0% / −82.8%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −20.1%Enter above C$61.09 (+2.8%)32% 67/210−0.9% / +13.2%−50.2% / −82.8%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTOct 30, 2025 −26.5%Not on one close38% 27/72+0.5% / +13.2%−37.4% / −82.8%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −17.8%Enter above C$67.95 (+14.3%)37% 48/131+6.4% / +13.2%−65.1% / −82.8%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTAug 20, 2026 −22.4%Enter above C$76.79 (+29.2%)27% 43/157−0.7% / +13.2%−56.3% / −82.8%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJun 16, 2026 −15.2%Enter above C$82.49 (+38.8%)25% 26/106+2.4% / +13.2%−46.8% / −82.8%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTMar 5, 2026 −33.0%Not on one close36% 37/104+6.9% / +13.2%−33.9% / −82.8%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTJun 16, 2026 −15.2%Enter above C$67.95 (+14.3%)43% 52/122+3.4% / +13.2%−59.2% / −82.8%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTAug 17, 2026 −23.0%Enter above C$67.61 (+13.7%)32% 54/170+3.3% / +13.2%−42.6% / −82.8%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTAug 20, 2026 −22.4%Enter above C$67.88 (+14.2%)31% 70/228+3.7% / +13.2%−45.6% / −82.8%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −20.1%Enter above C$67.15 (+13.0%)32% 66/205+3.3% / +13.2%−64.6% / −82.8%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −20.1%Enter above C$63.02 (+6.0%)37% 66/177+8.9% / +13.2%−65.5% / −82.8%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 −14.8%Enter above C$69.25 (+16.5%)33% 29/88+11.7% / +13.2%−60.0% / −82.8%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTAug 24, 2026 −21.8%Enter above C$69.32 (+16.6%)25% 95/377+4.0% / +13.2%−63.3% / −82.8%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −25.5%Not on one close24% 53/222+0.1% / +13.2%−42.0% / −82.8%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −24.0%Not on one close32% 41/128+3.0% / +13.2%−16.7% / −82.8%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +0.3%Exit below C$57.33 (−3.5%)36% 246/679+7.1% / +13.2%−52.5% / −82.8%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJul 31, 2025 −13.2%Not on one close34% 11/32+3.8% / +13.2%−8.3% / −82.8%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −17.8%Enter above C$83.36 (+40.2%)30% 7/23+8.3% / +12.7%−61.1% / −82.8%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −2.0%Not on one close43% 10/23+10.1% / +12.7%−45.1% / −82.8%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTJun 30, 2026 −18.4%Enter above C$92.69 (+55.9%)35% 8/23+7.7% / +12.7%−48.4% / −82.8%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTMar 6, 2026 −29.0%Not on one close23% 28/120+13.3% / +13.2%−38.9% / −82.8%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 −22.6%Enter above C$92.82 (+56.1%)40% 8/20+7.9% / +13.2%−51.4% / −82.8%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTMar 6, 2026 −29.0%Enter above C$77.53 (+30.4%)33% 32/98+12.0% / +13.2%−47.2% / −82.8%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +1.1%Exit below C$53.06 (−10.7%)33% 151/459+3.0% / +13.2%−64.9% / −82.8%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTAug 17, 2026 −23.0%Enter above C$60.34 (+1.5%)31% 225/732+2.7% / +13.2%−57.7% / −82.8%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −0.6%Exit below C$48.76 (−18.0%)37% 127/344+2.4% / +13.2%−65.1% / −82.8%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINMar 31, 2023 +41.9%Exit below C$44.79 (−24.6%)55% 6/11+7.5% / +8.5%−71.7% / −82.8%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTAug 12, 2026 −25.3%Enter above C$68.60 (+15.4%)31% 188/608+4.0% / +13.2%−43.1% / −82.8%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −20.1%Enter above C$63.28 (+6.5%)38% 105/275+4.6% / +13.2%−68.4% / −82.8%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 −19.5%Enter above C$95.64 (+60.9%)35% 52/147+12.9% / +13.2%−59.2% / −82.8%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −17.8%Enter above C$66.42 (+11.7%)33% 22/67+12.5% / +12.7%−69.7% / −82.8%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −2.0%Not on one close32% 7/22+5.3% / +8.5%−45.1% / −82.8%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTMay 29, 2026 −29.0%Not on one close48% 14/29+10.1% / +12.7%−46.9% / −82.8%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTAug 24, 2026 −21.8%Enter above C$58.20 (−2.1%)33% 119/361+1.3% / +13.2%−61.5% / −82.8%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINMar 25, 2026 −25.0%Not on one close63% 24/38−0.2% / +13.2%−81.6% / −82.8%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTMar 24, 2026 −23.9%Not on one close62% 205/328+8.5% / +13.2%−17.0% / −82.8%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTApr 8, 2026 −24.7%Not on one close65% 262/406+9.3% / +13.2%−29.3% / −82.8%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyINAug 31, 2026 −17.8%Sell above C$61.12 (+2.8%)61% 105/171+2.2% / +13.2%−64.5% / −82.8%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINAug 31, 2026 −17.8%Not on one close63% 97/153+4.0% / +13.2%−71.3% / −82.8%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINSep 3, 2026 −19.7%Not on one close60% 168/279+3.3% / +13.2%−71.3% / −82.8%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTAug 11, 2026 −26.7%Not on one close66% 54/82+6.0% / +13.2%−70.0% / −82.8%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINNov 22, 2004 +1,592.9%Sell above C$190.29 (+220.1%)–+13.2% / +13.2%−82.8% / −82.8%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTApr 9, 2025 +5.1%Buy below C$53.66 (−9.7%)40% 4/10+2.4% / +13.2%−8.8% / −82.8%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 24, 2026 +3.5%Not on one close49% 159/323+9.1% / +13.2%−72.3% / −82.8%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINSep 2, 2026 −16.6%Exit below C$58.68 (−1.3%)55% 245/445+4.0% / +13.2%−77.2% / −82.8%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sell above C$59.44 (0.0%)55% 996/1821−3.0% / +13.2%−62.6% / −82.8%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTApr 13, 2026 −26.4%Not on one close51% 44/86+4.8% / +13.2%−24.6% / −82.8%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +1.1%Exit below C$56.65 (−4.7%)37% 393/1055+0.4% / +13.2%−79.8% / −82.8%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINAug 31, 2026 −17.8%Sell above C$61.85 (+4.1%)59% 79/135+5.0% / +13.2%−69.7% / −82.8%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above C$59.44 (+0.0%)27% 196/737+0.7% / +13.2%−72.6% / −82.8%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 −19.5%Enter above C$59.44 (+0.0%)35% 78/221+5.7% / +13.2%−65.6% / −82.8%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINNov 10, 2025 −22.5%Not on one close58% 29/50+4.7% / +13.2%−72.3% / −82.8%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 −8.3%Not on one close31% 40/131+17.9% / +13.2%−44.2% / −82.8%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTAug 24, 2026 −21.8%Enter above C$61.92 (+4.2%)29% 194/667+3.2% / +13.2%−69.3% / −82.8%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTAug 24, 2026 −21.8%Enter above C$68.97 (+16.0%)35% 117/335+8.5% / +13.2%−51.1% / −82.8%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +0.3%Not on one close38% 226/598+6.0% / +13.2%−52.2% / −82.8%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTMar 3, 2026 −34.1%Not on one close28% 30/109+8.7% / +13.3%−63.3% / −82.8%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINSep 29, 2026 −2.1%Not on one close36% 336/923+2.5% / +13.2%−57.8% / −82.8%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close48% 78/162+11.1% / +13.2%−43.8% / −82.8%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTJul 3, 2026 −17.9%Not on one close31% 42/134+2.2% / +13.2%−59.0% / −82.8%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJun 25, 2026 −21.3%Not on one close43% 36/84+0.3% / +13.2%−39.4% / −82.8%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −28.9%Buys Oct 3053% 23/43+6.0% / +13.2%−84.5% / −82.8%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 1, 2026 −0.2%Window opens Apr 143% 19/44+3.6% / +13.2%−74.0% / −82.8%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTMay 12, 2026 −23.4%Window opens Oct 1649% 21/43+5.9% / +13.2%−75.5% / −82.8%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −31.9%Buys Dec 2341% 18/44+2.7% / +13.2%−12.1% / −82.8%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +2.5%Buys Oct 2947% 248/526+4.8% / +13.2%−59.1% / −82.8%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −2.0%Sells Jun 3073% 8/11+6.9% / +13.2%−18.0% / −82.8%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −19.6%Buys Nov 2448% 185/386+3.2% / +13.2%−7.9% / −82.8%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +72.8%Not on one close45% 9/20+8.0% / +13.2%−58.0% / −82.8%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1652% 1179/2284+9.7% / +13.2%−75.8% / −82.8%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −8.5%Buys Oct 2745% 156/348+2.3% / +13.2%−23.8% / −82.8%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +1.8%Sells Oct 1649% 263/541+5.6% / +13.2%−54.0% / −82.8%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 4, 2005Always in–+13.2%−82.8%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureHigh6 of 10 points
  • Market swings2/3
  • Past crashes2/2
  • Debt2/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It moves about 1.3× its index.
  • It fell about 1.9× as far as its index in past crashes.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Mar 2009 · back to its old high Mar 2013

GIL−81%
TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Dec 2020

GIL−59%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jul 2022 · back to its old high Mar 2024

GIL−35%
TSX−14%
  • Beta1.28Moves about 1.3× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture313%In months the TSX fell, this fell 313% as much on average.
  • Two-year change−6%
  • From 52-week high−39%
  • Debt to equity1.38×
  • Net debt / EBITDA4.1×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover5.0×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Apparel Manufacturing · Gildan Activewear Inc. manufactures and sells various apparel products. The company provides various activewear products, including T-shirts, fleece tops and bottoms, sports shirts, polos, and tank tops under Gildan, Hanes, Gildan Performance, Gildan Hammer, Gildan Softstyle, Gildan Heavy Cotton, Gildan Ultra Cotton, Gildan DryBlend, Gildan HeavyBlend, Comfort Colors, American Apparel, ALLPRO, ComfortWash, BEEFY, Bonds and Champion brands.

Size and valuation
Market capC$11.0BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$4.7BTotal sales.
P/E ratio32.8×Buyers pay C$33 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E7.7×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book2.3×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin1.3%Keeps 1¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+72.3%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Return on equity8.7%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow−$807MBurning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going.
Balance sheet
Total equity$3.6BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$4.9BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$387MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity1.38×Moderate.
Interest cover5.0×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$103.4374% above the close, from 6 analysts (range C$66.78 to C$135.72).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield2.31%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Read more

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

Email meTest a theory

Free account

Know the moment the light flips on your stocks.

Follow your stocks and get an email with the analysis the evening a light flips. Member tools are free until January 1, 2027.