Industrials & materials
Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.
Your signal
Buy: 65 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Off the high (−7% from its 1-year high) scores 77 and lifts it; Plays in (55%) scores 55 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | GFL | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 55% | 55 | 40 | 22.0 |
| Off the high | −7% from its 1-year high | 77 | 30 | 23.1 |
| Trend | +8% vs 200-day | 67 | 30 | 20.1 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | GFL | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 55% | 55 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +20% · 12 analysts | 57 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 1.9 · buy | 57 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | loss | 0 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 47.6× | 4 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | – | – | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. |
| Price to sales | 3.1× | 57 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to book | 3.0× | 49 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | 0.2% | 4 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | – | – | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. |
| Revenue growth | +16% | 55 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | −3% | 12 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | −2% | 13 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | 1.34× | 21 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Off the high | −7% from its 1-year high | 77 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | +8% vs 200-day | 67 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | −5% | 27 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 5/10 · high | 50 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on GFLThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about GFL now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
GFL +5.2%, the S&P/TSX +1.1% that session; +2.0% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on GFL was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for GFL starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +1.1%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.6% on average, so most of the move was its own.
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on GFL went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2020. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +1.6% | Exit below C$59.62 (−1.9%) | 26% 51/194 | −1.6% / +15.5% | −36.6% / −39.3% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | IN | Jul 3, 2026 +6.3% | Exit below C$56.64 (−6.8%) | 40% 8/20 | +7.8% / +9.6% | −28.4% / −39.3% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +1.6% | Exit below C$58.44 (−3.8%) | 24% 24/102 | +3.5% / +13.3% | −39.0% / −39.3% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2025 −8.7% | Not on one close | 15% 7/47 | +3.1% / +7.6% | −28.4% / −39.3% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | IN | Sep 18, 2026 +2.2% | Exit below C$55.49 (−8.7%) | 37% 7/19 | +13.9% / +15.5% | −20.9% / −39.3% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Aug 8, 2025 −12.4% | Enter above C$63.25 (+4.1%) | 26% 5/19 | +7.5% / +7.8% | −21.5% / −39.3% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | IN | Jul 31, 2026 +5.0% | Exit below C$56.16 (−7.6%) | 62% 5/8 | +10.4% / +9.9% | −24.7% / −39.3% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | IN | Aug 26, 2026 +5.9% | Exit below C$56.32 (−7.3%) | 18% 7/40 | +9.0% / +10.4% | −25.7% / −39.3% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | IN | Sep 8, 2026 +2.9% | Not on one close | 67% 4/6 | +11.2% / +10.4% | −28.0% / −39.3% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Sep 12, 2025 −6.8% | Enter above C$90.48 (+48.9%) | 33% 5/15 | +7.3% / +8.5% | −23.0% / −39.3% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | IN | Jun 26, 2026 +14.7% | Exit below C$58.99 (−2.9%) | 38% 15/40 | +2.6% / +14.1% | −32.5% / −39.3% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +1.6% | Exit below C$58.08 (−4.4%) | 24% 55/226 | −0.9% / +15.6% | −47.3% / −39.3% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | OUT | Aug 12, 2026 +6.6% | Enter above C$62.94 (+3.6%) | 34% 30/89 | −1.6% / +12.8% | −40.2% / −39.3% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Sep 14, 2026 +2.5% | Exit below C$37.72 (−37.9%) | 40% 4/10 | +4.0% / +9.3% | −30.0% / −39.3% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | IN | Jul 6, 2026 +5.5% | Exit below C$53.35 (−12.2%) | 29% 10/35 | +7.5% / +16.1% | −33.9% / −39.3% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | IN | Jul 3, 2026 +6.3% | Exit below C$55.27 (−9.0%) | 26% 10/39 | +2.9% / +15.8% | −40.0% / −39.3% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | IN | Jun 10, 2026 +19.2% | Exit below C$55.87 (−8.0%) | 33% 14/42 | +8.2% / +19.2% | −50.1% / −39.3% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +1.0% | Not on one close | 56% 58/103 | +10.8% / +19.2% | −21.6% / −39.3% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +1.0% | Exit below C$57.30 (−5.7%) | 32% 62/191 | −2.1% / +17.7% | −48.6% / −39.3% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Oct 6, 2026 +0.4% | Enter above C$62.29 (+2.5%) | 34% 21/62 | +3.2% / +19.6% | −41.5% / −39.3% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +5.6% | Enter above C$61.52 (+1.2%) | 39% 58/149 | +5.6% / +17.8% | −35.0% / −39.3% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 +1.5% | Not on one close | 35% 19/54 | +3.4% / +18.0% | −28.3% / −39.3% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | IN | Jun 24, 2026 +14.6% | Exit below C$53.09 (−12.6%) | 25% 13/52 | +3.2% / +14.0% | −45.3% / −39.3% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | IN | Jun 5, 2026 +22.8% | Exit below C$58.62 (−3.5%) | 33% 22/67 | +1.1% / +21.1% | −40.0% / −39.3% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Jun 11, 2026 +21.3% | Exit below C$31.91 (−47.5%) | 28% 21/74 | +1.3% / +14.0% | −42.4% / −39.3% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +0.7% | Not on one close | 27% 22/81 | −6.7% / +12.8% | −52.5% / −39.3% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | IN | Jun 24, 2026 +14.6% | Exit below C$53.18 (−12.5%) | 30% 14/47 | +2.4% / +13.3% | −41.9% / −39.3% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | IN | Jul 6, 2026 +5.5% | Exit below C$38.77 (−36.2%) | 42% 11/26 | +8.5% / +13.3% | −28.0% / −39.3% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 +7.4% | Not on one close | 36% 18/50 | +2.8% / +13.9% | −17.1% / −39.3% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −0.5% | Not on one close | 62% 16/26 | +7.2% / +14.0% | −9.5% / −39.3% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | IN | Jun 24, 2026 +14.6% | Exit below C$56.59 (−6.9%) | 34% 12/35 | +6.7% / +19.2% | −38.2% / −39.3% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +5.6% | Enter above C$62.29 (+2.5%) | 22% 9/40 | −3.8% / +15.5% | −29.3% / −39.3% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | IN | Sep 4, 2026 +0.5% | Exit below C$57.14 (−6.0%) | 30% 8/27 | +2.5% / +15.5% | −20.6% / −39.3% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | IN | Aug 28, 2026 +2.0% | Exit below C$55.64 (−8.4%) | 41% 9/22 | +7.3% / +13.3% | −24.2% / −39.3% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +5.6% | Not on one close | 34% 11/32 | +9.9% / +19.2% | −20.3% / −39.3% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Jul 21, 2026 +12.3% | Enter above C$63.39 (+4.3%) | 31% 15/48 | −1.6% / +15.6% | −27.1% / −39.3% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 +5.6% | Enter above C$61.76 (+1.7%) | 44% 30/68 | +2.5% / +17.3% | −17.9% / −39.3% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | IN | Jun 23, 2026 +18.8% | Exit below C$57.38 (−5.6%) | 39% 20/51 | +8.5% / +20.8% | −40.1% / −39.3% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Aug 28, 2026 +2.0% | Exit below C$56.44 (−7.1%) | 42% 18/43 | +11.2% / +19.2% | −40.0% / −39.3% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | IN | Jul 3, 2026 +6.3% | Exit below C$55.70 (−8.3%) | 47% 15/32 | +7.2% / +18.0% | −38.4% / −39.3% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Jul 24, 2026 +8.5% | Exit below C$57.30 (−5.7%) | 28% 27/95 | +6.0% / +17.7% | −35.9% / −39.3% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Jul 9, 2026 +6.9% | Not on one close | 21% 10/48 | +1.9% / +19.2% | −9.0% / −39.3% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Mar 11, 2026 +3.2% | Enter above C$64.41 (+6.0%) | 30% 17/56 | −4.9% / +15.6% | −29.4% / −39.3% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −0.5% | Exit below C$60.05 (−1.2%) | 30% 71/237 | −6.4% / +16.0% | −57.0% / −39.3% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 +5.6% | Not on one close | 25% 3/12 | +1.0% / +13.7% | −8.1% / −39.3% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | OUT | Nov 28, 2025 −4.3% | Enter above C$63.51 (+4.5%) | 29% 2/7 | +0.6% / +6.0% | −35.8% / −39.3% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | OUT | Nov 28, 2025 −4.3% | Not on one close | 44% 4/9 | +4.0% / +6.0% | −36.1% / −39.3% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | OUT | Oct 31, 2025 −0.8% | Enter above C$70.62 (+16.2%) | 29% 2/7 | −0.3% / +6.0% | −26.7% / −39.3% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | IN | Aug 6, 2026 +4.2% | Exit below C$55.55 (−8.6%) | 35% 9/26 | +10.6% / +13.7% | −23.7% / −39.3% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Dec 31, 2025 +3.2% | Enter above C$62.08 (+2.2%) | 80% 4/5 | +5.5% / +7.8% | −24.7% / −39.3% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | IN | Aug 28, 2026 +2.0% | Exit below C$57.35 (−5.6%) | 33% 11/33 | +10.2% / +15.5% | −23.5% / −39.3% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +0.4% | Exit below C$59.49 (−2.1%) | 27% 42/156 | −4.8% / +14.0% | −54.3% / −39.3% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +1.6% | Exit below C$59.96 (−1.3%) | 28% 69/248 | −7.5% / +14.0% | −52.9% / −39.3% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +1.0% | Exit below C$57.46 (−5.4%) | 41% 40/98 | +3.6% / +15.3% | −35.5% / −39.3% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +2.2% | Exit below C$56.17 (−7.6%) | 33% 1/3 | +8.0% / +9.7% | −28.0% / −34.9% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −0.5% | Exit below C$60.57 (−0.3%) | 24% 48/199 | −2.3% / +19.2% | −42.8% / −39.3% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$59.22 (−2.5%) | 41% 34/82 | +2.8% / +13.3% | −32.5% / −39.3% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | IN | Jun 24, 2026 +14.6% | Exit below C$52.87 (−13.0%) | 25% 13/52 | +3.7% / +13.3% | −45.3% / −39.3% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | IN | Jun 30, 2026 +16.6% | Exit below C$58.65 (−3.5%) | 50% 7/14 | +8.7% / +6.0% | −31.7% / −39.3% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | OUT | Nov 28, 2025 −4.3% | Not on one close | 40% 2/5 | +4.9% / +8.2% | −28.0% / −34.9% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | OUT | Nov 28, 2025 −4.3% | Not on one close | 29% 2/7 | −0.5% / +6.0% | −36.1% / −39.3% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −0.5% | Exit below C$59.97 (−1.3%) | 31% 34/108 | −4.0% / +12.8% | −44.8% / −39.3% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Jul 9, 2026 +6.9% | Not on one close | 50% 4/8 | +3.7% / +18.8% | −26.0% / −39.3% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2025 −8.7% | Not on one close | 66% 49/74 | +10.3% / +10.4% | −8.7% / −39.3% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +0.7% | Not on one close | 73% 76/104 | +16.9% / +10.4% | −19.5% / −39.3% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Jun 4, 2026 +22.1% | Buy below C$57.49 (−5.4%) | 76% 44/58 | +17.9% / +17.3% | −15.7% / −39.3% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 +4.8% | Not on one close | 62% 31/50 | +18.7% / +18.2% | −31.9% / −39.3% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +1.6% | Exit below C$60.53 (−0.4%) | 56% 50/89 | +12.7% / +17.7% | −27.5% / −39.3% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | OUT | Jun 15, 2026 +20.8% | Not on one close | 43% 6/14 | +1.0% / +16.3% | −31.2% / −39.3% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Dec 15, 2020 +75.7% | Sell above C$136.12 (+124.0%) | – | +10.4% / +10.4% | −39.3% / −39.3% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Mar 8, 2022 +72.6% | Not on one close | 50% 1/2 | +4.1% / +12.8% | 0.0% / −39.3% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 +4.8% | Not on one close | 43% 39/90 | +5.9% / +15.6% | −26.9% / −39.3% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 +1.4% | Not on one close | 51% 66/130 | +5.6% / +15.6% | −24.9% / −39.3% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +1.0% | Buy below C$60.76 (0.0%) | 55% 311/561 | +3.8% / +15.9% | −35.6% / −39.3% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Jul 29, 2025 −9.4% | Not on one close | 70% 14/20 | +6.4% / +10.4% | −31.2% / −39.3% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +1.6% | Exit below C$59.52 (−2.0%) | 37% 107/292 | +7.6% / +14.0% | −32.6% / −39.3% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +2.2% | Buy below C$60.66 (−0.2%) | 65% 28/43 | +19.1% / +15.2% | −32.6% / −39.3% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +1.0% | Exit below C$60.76 (0.0%) | 26% 51/197 | +5.6% / +17.3% | −40.0% / −39.3% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Jul 15, 2026 +11.2% | Not on one close | 48% 25/52 | +11.0% / +19.2% | −37.0% / −39.3% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | IN | Sep 16, 2025 −4.7% | Not on one close | 60% 9/15 | +11.3% / +18.8% | −29.8% / −39.3% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 +3.8% | Not on one close | 33% 13/39 | +0.8% / +6.7% | −42.1% / −39.3% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +1.6% | Exit below C$60.03 (−1.2%) | 29% 57/195 | +6.0% / +17.5% | −38.6% / −39.3% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below C$56.03 (−7.8%) | 35% 39/113 | +6.4% / +17.3% | −34.4% / −39.3% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −0.5% | Exit below C$60.76 (0.0%) | 30% 53/178 | +2.3% / +19.2% | −46.9% / −39.3% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 +2.9% | Not on one close | 29% 9/31 | +1.9% / +7.9% | −28.8% / −39.3% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +2.2% | Sell C$48.92–C$60.62 (−0.2%) | 33% 95/287 | −1.2% / +13.9% | −48.0% / −39.3% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | Sep 29, 2026 +1.5% | Not on one close | 45% 22/49 | +16.2% / +16.5% | −33.1% / −39.3% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 +5.6% | Not on one close | 30% 14/46 | −1.3% / +16.9% | −37.7% / −39.3% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Feb 24, 2026 +5.0% | Not on one close | 40% 8/20 | +1.1% / +20.3% | −14.6% / −39.3% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 +11.5% | Buys Oct 30 | 62% 8/13 | +12.2% / +15.9% | −41.2% / −39.3% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +0.7% | Window opens Apr 1 | 54% 7/13 | +7.5% / +14.0% | −36.5% / −39.3% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | Apr 20, 2026 +13.0% | Window opens Oct 16 | 58% 7/12 | +10.4% / +14.0% | −38.2% / −39.3% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 +3.5% | Buys Dec 23 | 33% 4/12 | +2.8% / +15.9% | −9.0% / −39.3% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +0.7% | Buys Oct 29 | 51% 81/158 | +9.7% / +15.9% | −25.9% / −39.3% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +2.2% | Sells Jun 30 | 33% 1/3 | +8.9% / +15.9% | −10.4% / −39.3% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 +0.5% | Buys Nov 24 | 51% 61/120 | +7.8% / +15.9% | −4.8% / −39.3% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +54.5% | Not on one close | 25% 1/4 | +5.9% / +9.9% | −34.9% / −39.3% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sells Oct 16 | 51% 351/689 | +20.3% / +15.9% | −37.7% / −39.3% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +5.7% | Buys Oct 27 | 53% 55/104 | +6.4% / +15.9% | −3.2% / −39.3% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +1.6% | Sells Oct 16 | 49% 80/163 | +10.4% / +15.9% | −31.8% / −39.3% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Mar 3, 2020 | Always in | – | +16.6% | −39.3% |
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Waste Management · GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | C$21.9B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | C$7.0B | Total sales. The market values it at 3.1× sales. |
| P/E ratio | n/a | Lost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by. |
| Forward P/E | 47.6× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. |
| Price to book | 3.0× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | −2.9% | Spends more than it brings in. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +16.3% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Return on equity | −2.3% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | C$329M | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | C$7.3B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | C$10.1B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | C$192M | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 1.39× | Moderate. |
| Interest cover | 1.5× | Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | C$72.67 | 20% above the close, from 12 analysts (range C$57.00 to C$90.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
| Dividend yield | 0.16% | Yearly dividends as a share of the price. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
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