Oct 13 close Sign in

Software & devices

Fortinet (FTNT)

In the Nasdaq-100.

Your signal

Buy87 / 100

Buy: 87 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Trend (+56% vs 200-day) scores 99 and lifts it; Plays in (74%) scores 74 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightFTNTPointsWeightAdds
Plays in74%744029.6
Off the high−2% from its 1-year high933027.9
Trend+56% vs 200-day993029.7
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for FTNT
FactorFTNTPointsWhat it is
Plays in74%74The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside−13% · 36 analysts10How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating2.8 · hold10The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E67.4×13Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/E50.5×3Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG1.9233P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales18.6×7Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Price to book90.2×0Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+13%41Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Revenue growth+19%61Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Profit margin28%80Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Return on equity137%99Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Debt to equity0.32×63Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Off the high−2% from its 1-year high93How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend+56% vs 200-day99How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+127%95The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure1/10 · low90The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on FTNT

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in74 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow1 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.56×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+56%). Higher than on 96% of days since 2010. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about FTNT now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

FTNT, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved FTNT lately

Its biggest move against the S&P 500 in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Sep 14+9.5% against the S&P 5003.6× a normal day

FTNT +9.0%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session; +8.9% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on FTNT was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for FTNT starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.5%. The 33 other Software & devices stocks Be The Puck covers moved +2.1% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on FTNT

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on FTNT went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2009. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +12.1%Exit below $181.13 (−5.0%)23% 103/445+9.1% / +32.3%−55.6% / −51.2%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINApr 17, 2026 +133.1%Exit below $154.51 (−19.0%)21% 17/80+14.8% / +32.1%−63.1% / −51.2%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINAug 26, 2026 +21.1%Exit below $170.67 (−10.5%)22% 50/229+18.3% / +33.6%−65.7% / −51.2%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +12.1%Exit below $168.55 (−11.6%)22% 25/116+6.3% / +29.3%−53.6% / −51.2%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyINMay 8, 2026 +67.2%Exit below $139.51 (−26.9%)19% 13/69+8.8% / +34.2%−64.7% / −51.2%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyINMay 8, 2026 +67.2%Exit below $139.51 (−26.9%)17% 12/72+9.6% / +29.6%−52.8% / −51.2%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endINApr 30, 2026 +126.3%Exit below $125.50 (−34.2%)29% 10/34+21.7% / +32.4%−61.1% / −51.2%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyINApr 24, 2026 +126.2%Exit below $122.61 (−35.7%)15% 19/124+14.3% / +32.6%−74.5% / −51.2%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyINMay 7, 2026 +76.7%Not on one close22% 7/32+14.1% / +32.6%−72.4% / −51.2%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyINMay 21, 2026 +47.4%Exit below $122.61 (−35.7%)16% 16/102+10.5% / +31.0%−73.9% / −51.2%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyINSep 18, 2026 +12.3%Exit below $137.69 (−27.8%)34% 35/102+21.3% / +33.0%−49.5% / −51.2%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +12.1%Exit below $186.61 (−2.2%)22% 134/622+4.3% / +31.8%−59.3% / −51.2%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINSep 15, 2026 +10.7%Exit below $146.96 (−23.0%)35% 63/180+14.3% / +33.5%−56.1% / −51.2%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINMay 7, 2026 +76.7%Not on one close21% 5/24+14.7% / +28.3%−66.6% / −51.2%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyINApr 21, 2026 +123.7%Exit below $118.52 (−37.9%)24% 22/91+17.9% / +33.8%−66.0% / −51.2%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyINApr 23, 2026 +130.5%Exit below $158.83 (−16.7%)26% 21/81+19.3% / +33.3%−61.7% / −51.2%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINApr 22, 2026 +119.0%Exit below $176.91 (−7.3%)34% 38/112+15.4% / +32.2%−70.4% / −51.2%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +8.9%Not on one close43% 100/234+17.3% / +32.2%−41.1% / −51.2%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINSep 9, 2026 +21.3%Exit below $171.19 (−10.3%)35% 158/449+9.6% / +32.5%−65.5% / −51.2%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINAug 5, 2026 +16.2%Exit below $154.00 (−19.3%)40% 65/162+20.1% / +32.2%−61.8% / −51.2%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +10.4%Exit below $189.61 (−0.6%)34% 132/383+6.4% / +32.3%−57.1% / −51.2%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +6.7%Exit below $174.54 (−8.5%)31% 44/144+4.3% / +32.1%−56.0% / −51.2%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +12.1%Exit below $102.04 (−46.5%)26% 32/123+15.2% / +32.7%−67.5% / −51.2%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyINSep 18, 2026 +12.3%Exit below $186.96 (−2.0%)33% 67/202+11.5% / +32.2%−57.5% / −51.2%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +12.1%Not on one close32% 52/163+17.2% / +32.7%−67.3% / −51.2%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINSep 15, 2026 +10.7%Not on one close34% 60/178+10.3% / +33.5%−68.1% / −51.2%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +10.4%Exit below $108.16 (−43.3%)26% 32/123+16.1% / +33.6%−70.8% / −51.2%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyINApr 21, 2026 +123.7%Not on one close25% 20/79+19.9% / +33.6%−61.7% / −51.2%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +8.9%Exit below $166.09 (−12.9%)33% 51/153+13.0% / +33.4%−56.9% / −51.2%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 +10.4%Not on one close50% 14/28+3.8% / +32.7%−10.4% / −51.2%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +10.4%Exit below $166.09 (−12.9%)39% 35/89+21.3% / +32.2%−56.0% / −51.2%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +6.7%Exit below $174.74 (−8.4%)32% 35/109+10.3% / +32.9%−42.8% / −51.2%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +6.7%Exit below $166.09 (−12.9%)30% 20/67+16.9% / +32.9%−48.2% / −51.2%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINMay 4, 2026 +113.8%Exit below $174.68 (−8.4%)31% 22/71+15.0% / +33.6%−49.9% / −51.2%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +10.4%Exit below $151.80 (−20.4%)36% 31/85+13.9% / +32.2%−57.3% / −51.2%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −0.3%Exit below $181.62 (−4.8%)31% 42/137+2.6% / +31.8%−53.2% / −51.2%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −0.3%Exit below $181.35 (−4.9%)32% 58/180+3.5% / +32.1%−50.7% / −51.2%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +10.4%Exit below $178.45 (−6.5%)32% 50/155+10.9% / +32.4%−70.6% / −51.2%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINMar 10, 2026 +126.6%Exit below $177.59 (−6.9%)34% 43/126+19.4% / +32.2%−73.2% / −51.2%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +10.4%Exit below $149.91 (−21.4%)35% 36/102+17.9% / +32.1%−54.9% / −51.2%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +12.1%Exit below $181.30 (−5.0%)26% 70/274+10.6% / +32.3%−73.3% / −51.2%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTJun 8, 2026 +33.4%Not on one close29% 43/148+2.1% / +32.2%−37.7% / −51.2%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTAug 18, 2026 +20.7%Not on one close33% 41/124+3.0% / +31.8%−36.1% / −51.2%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +6.7%Exit below $180.04 (−5.6%)30% 160/534+9.5% / +32.5%−65.8% / −51.2%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTMar 9, 2023 +218.2%Not on one close29% 7/24+3.0% / +33.9%−12.9% / −51.2%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINMay 29, 2026 +38.3%Exit below $89.62 (−53.0%)38% 9/24+15.1% / +29.4%−51.5% / −51.2%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINJun 30, 2026 +24.2%Not on one close28% 5/18+15.6% / +29.4%−51.2% / −51.2%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endINMay 29, 2026 +38.3%Exit below $99.65 (−47.8%)36% 10/28+11.5% / +29.4%−47.1% / −51.2%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +11.1%Sell above $219.37 (+15.0%)12% 12/101+8.5% / +33.5%−57.4% / −51.2%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endINMay 29, 2026 +38.3%Exit below $165.54 (−13.2%)25% 5/20+12.2% / +29.3%−51.8% / −51.2%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyINMay 8, 2026 +67.2%Exit below $152.34 (−20.1%)19% 16/85+11.4% / +33.9%−53.8% / −51.2%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +12.1%Exit below $181.72 (−4.7%)30% 106/353+2.8% / +32.7%−69.9% / −51.2%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +12.1%Exit below $185.51 (−2.8%)28% 153/552+11.3% / +32.7%−53.0% / −51.2%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +12.1%Exit below $149.95 (−21.4%)40% 92/229+12.7% / +33.4%−52.3% / −51.2%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINMay 29, 2026 +38.3%Not on one close45% 5/11+19.9% / +28.2%−51.2% / −51.2%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.4%Exit below $193.11 (+1.2%)27% 142/527+1.3% / +32.2%−56.2% / −51.2%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINSep 15, 2026 +10.7%Exit below $104.94 (−45.0%)40% 78/195+14.9% / +33.6%−38.8% / −51.2%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +12.1%Exit below $98.73 (−48.2%)26% 32/121+15.6% / +33.6%−67.6% / −51.2%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endINMar 31, 2026 +133.4%Exit below $149.47 (−21.6%)38% 20/52+20.9% / +29.4%−55.2% / −51.2%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINJun 30, 2026 +24.2%Not on one close27% 4/15+16.5% / +32.4%−51.2% / −51.2%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINJun 30, 2026 +24.2%Not on one close41% 9/22+15.5% / +29.4%−51.2% / −51.2%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINSep 15, 2026 +10.7%Exit below $170.26 (−10.7%)31% 81/260+10.6% / +33.5%−62.2% / −51.2%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJun 9, 2026 +37.8%Not on one close62% 16/26+9.0% / +32.5%−35.2% / −51.2%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJul 29, 2026 +24.5%Buy below $184.68 (−3.2%)59% 117/198+7.7% / +32.6%−26.9% / −51.2%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 +10.4%Buy below $189.10 (−0.9%)67% 187/278+12.2% / +32.6%−47.0% / −51.2%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTApr 16, 2026 +131.5%Buy below $164.00 (−14.0%)61% 77/126+7.0% / +32.1%−42.1% / −51.2%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTSep 18, 2026 +12.3%Not on one close61% 66/108+10.7% / +31.9%−41.8% / −51.2%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 +14.9%Not on one close61% 130/212+13.1% / +32.5%−62.6% / −51.2%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTMay 13, 2026 +62.1%Not on one close72% 36/50+13.6% / +32.4%−28.4% / −51.2%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINSep 3, 2010 +8,910.9%Sell above $296.36 (+55.4%)–+32.6% / +32.6%−51.2% / −51.2%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTDec 20, 2024 +96.3%Buy below $177.36 (−7.0%)46% 13/28+3.1% / +33.5%−16.4% / −51.2%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +12.1%Exit below $186.31 (−2.3%)44% 104/237+9.7% / +31.8%−58.7% / −51.2%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +11.1%Not on one close58% 194/334+13.6% / +31.8%−68.0% / −51.2%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sell above $190.76 (0.0%)58% 807/1381+10.5% / +32.4%−30.9% / −51.2%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTAug 4, 2026 +13.4%Not on one close54% 30/56+1.8% / +32.6%−58.7% / −51.2%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 1, 2026 +6.7%Exit below $196.64 (+3.1%)35% 299/844+5.0% / +32.7%−74.9% / −51.2%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endOUTMay 29, 2026 +38.3%Buy below $182.37 (−4.4%)58% 53/92+11.1% / +32.1%−51.3% / −51.2%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +0.9%Not on one close25% 153/607+1.2% / +32.1%−76.2% / −51.2%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 15, 2026 +10.7%Not on one close33% 47/141+15.5% / +32.2%−57.8% / −51.2%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTOct 7, 2025 +124.6%Not on one close59% 13/22+5.1% / +32.5%−41.6% / −51.2%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINMay 9, 2023 +187.3%Not on one close37% 15/41+24.2% / +29.5%−51.2% / −51.2%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +12.1%Exit below $186.32 (−2.3%)25% 128/515+8.1% / +31.9%−52.3% / −51.2%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +12.1%Exit below $134.66 (−29.4%)35% 94/270+13.5% / +32.1%−70.4% / −51.2%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 8, 2026 +21.1%Exit below $190.76 (0.0%)30% 136/446+8.9% / +32.2%−67.1% / −51.2%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINSep 5, 2025 +142.0%Not on one close34% 17/50+19.5% / +29.4%−48.2% / −51.2%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +0.9%Not on one close33% 241/725+5.0% / +32.9%−71.4% / −51.2%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyINSep 10, 2026 +20.1%Not on one close47% 51/109+7.1% / +32.4%−57.5% / −51.2%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyINSep 10, 2026 +20.1%Exit below $152.00 (−20.3%)36% 30/83+9.5% / +32.3%−37.6% / −51.2%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 +19.1%Not on one close43% 12/28+1.5% / +32.2%−14.7% / −51.2%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 +126.3%Buys Oct 3064% 21/33+19.2% / +32.4%−40.2% / −51.2%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 10, 2026 +148.7%Not on one close59% 20/34+17.1% / +32.7%−47.4% / −51.2%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTJun 9, 2026 +37.8%Window opens Oct 1662% 21/34+18.4% / +32.7%−47.0% / −51.2%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +144.8%Buys Dec 2335% 12/34+0.8% / +32.4%−21.2% / −51.2%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +3.6%Buys Oct 2947% 189/406+6.4% / +32.4%−38.5% / −51.2%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +6.7%Sells Jun 3044% 4/9+11.1% / +32.4%−31.2% / −51.2%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +22.1%Buys Nov 2447% 148/312+1.8% / +32.4%−11.9% / −51.2%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +290.2%Not on one close21% 3/14+16.9% / +32.1%−42.3% / −51.2%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −1.1%Sells Oct 1650% 890/1763+20.8% / +32.4%−47.5% / −51.2%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +11.1%Buys Oct 2748% 129/268+3.9% / +32.4%−9.3% / −51.2%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.4%Sells Oct 1649% 205/418+13.2% / +32.4%−46.2% / −51.2%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINNov 18, 2009Always in–+32.5%−51.2%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureLow1 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes0/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up1/2
  • It is up 130% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high May 2020

FTNT−36%
S&P 500−34%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Oct 2022 · back to its old high Apr 2023

FTNT−28%
S&P 500−25%
  • Beta1.03Moves about 1.0× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
  • Downside capture−74%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell -74% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+130%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
  • From 52-week high−2%
  • Debt to equity0.45×
  • Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.
  • Interest cover114.5×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Software - Infrastructure · Fortinet, Inc. provides cybersecurity and convergence of networking and security solutions worldwide.

Size and valuation
Market cap$140BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$7.5BTotal sales. The market values it at 18.6× sales.
P/E ratio67.4×Buyers pay $67 for each $1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E50.5×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book90.2×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin28.2%Keeps 28¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+18.8%The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Earnings growth+12.7%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity136.7%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$2.3BCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$1.2BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$561MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$4.1BCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.45×Comfortable.
Interest cover114.5×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst target$165.7113% below the close, from 36 analysts (range $104.00 to $225.00).
Consensus ratingHoldAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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