Oct 13 close Sign in

Energy & power

Freehold Royalties (FRU)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Buy61 / 100

Buy: 61 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Off the high (−4% from its 1-year high) scores 86 and lifts it; Plays in (47%) scores 47 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightFRUPointsWeightAdds
Plays in47%474018.8
Off the high−4% from its 1-year high863025.8
Trend+4% vs 200-day543016.2
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for FRU
FactorFRUPointsWhat it is
Plays in47%47The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+10% · 11 analysts42How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating2.5 · buy27The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E19.9×66Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E21.8×27Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales8.7×18Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book2.8×55Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield6.4%97Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+794%98Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+28%72Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin44%93Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity14%56Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.28×68Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−4% from its 1-year high86How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend+4% vs 200-day54How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+35%67The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure1/10 · low90The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on FRU

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in47 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow1 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.04×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+4%). Higher than on 47% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about FRU now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved FRU lately

Its 3 biggest moves against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Sep 21−3.2% against the S&P/TSX2.1× a normal day

FRU −2.6%, the S&P/TSX +0.6% that session; −3.7% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on FRU was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for FRU starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +0.6%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.1% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Wed Sep 16−3.0% against the S&P/TSX2.1× a normal day

FRU −3.3%, the S&P/TSX −0.3% that session; −8.2% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on FRU was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for FRU starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.3%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.4% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Tue Sep 15+3.4% against the S&P/TSX2.4× a normal day

FRU +3.0%, the S&P/TSX −0.3% that session; −3.6% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on FRU was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for FRU starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.3%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved +1.0% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on FRU

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on FRU went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +1.7%Exit below C$16.81 (−2.0%)27% 173/650+4.6% / +8.7%−68.8% / −86.9%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINOct 9, 2026 +1.2%Exit below C$16.77 (−2.2%)28% 31/112+7.5% / +8.7%−56.1% / −86.9%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +1.2%Exit below C$16.94 (−1.2%)20% 81/414+4.3% / +8.7%−80.3% / −86.9%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$17.13 (−0.1%)14% 28/196+5.2% / +8.7%−45.1% / −86.9%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyINOct 9, 2026 +1.2%Exit below C$16.79 (−2.1%)23% 18/78+12.7% / +8.7%−44.2% / −86.9%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTSep 25, 2026 +2.5%Enter above C$17.57 (+2.4%)28% 22/79+10.7% / +8.7%−33.1% / −86.9%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +4.1%Enter above C$16.71 (−2.6%)48% 14/29+14.4% / +8.7%−28.4% / −86.9%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +3.9%Exit below C$16.53 (−3.6%)15% 22/148+11.2% / +8.7%−46.6% / −86.9%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyINJul 16, 2025 +44.5%Not on one close35% 9/26+10.1% / +8.7%−48.5% / −86.9%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +3.9%Exit below C$16.53 (−3.6%)16% 16/100+10.0% / +8.7%−49.1% / −86.9%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTSep 25, 2026 +2.5%Enter above C$18.21 (+6.2%)30% 44/147+4.3% / +8.7%−76.8% / −86.9%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +1.7%Exit below C$16.70 (−2.6%)25% 199/808+2.5% / +8.7%−64.9% / −86.9%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −1.4%Enter above C$17.97 (+4.8%)33% 93/285−1.9% / +8.7%−77.7% / −86.9%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINJun 18, 2025 +43.9%Not on one close40% 8/20+11.0% / +8.6%−42.3% / −86.9%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 +2.6%Enter above C$18.35 (+7.0%)24% 34/143+5.8% / +8.7%−59.6% / −86.9%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTSep 29, 2026 +4.4%Not on one close31% 39/127+7.9% / +8.7%−65.3% / −86.9%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 +1.8%Enter above C$17.30 (+0.9%)36% 53/149+5.7% / +8.7%−63.3% / −86.9%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 +2.6%Not on one close39% 128/331+4.4% / +8.7%−77.7% / −86.9%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$16.43 (−4.2%)37% 209/562+7.4% / +8.7%−64.8% / −86.9%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 +1.8%Enter above C$17.94 (+4.6%)36% 82/229+4.1% / +8.7%−75.1% / −86.9%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +1.7%Exit below C$16.37 (−4.6%)40% 192/483+2.5% / +8.7%−60.7% / −86.9%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 27, 2026 +4.6%Not on one close32% 51/159+1.4% / +8.7%−66.5% / −86.9%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 +2.6%Enter above C$17.97 (+4.8%)24% 47/193+5.2% / +8.7%−70.9% / −86.9%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTSep 25, 2026 +2.5%Enter above C$17.17 (+0.1%)36% 75/211+4.2% / +8.7%−58.3% / −86.9%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 +1.8%Enter above C$17.38 (+1.3%)32% 69/215+6.6% / +8.7%−64.8% / −86.9%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINJul 16, 2026 +5.0%Not on one close35% 88/252+4.3% / +8.7%−46.6% / −86.9%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 +2.6%Enter above C$17.68 (+3.1%)22% 37/169+3.4% / +8.7%−78.2% / −86.9%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 +4.1%Enter above C$18.09 (+5.5%)31% 33/105+9.9% / +8.7%−54.7% / −86.9%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −1.5%Not on one close32% 67/210+1.7% / +8.7%−57.0% / −86.9%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJan 12, 2021 +324.3%Not on one close36% 13/36+2.3% / +8.7%−12.0% / −86.9%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.4%Enter above C$17.94 (+4.6%)32% 39/123+2.8% / +8.7%−84.0% / −86.9%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.4%Enter above C$17.94 (+4.6%)32% 42/131+4.1% / +8.7%−51.4% / −86.9%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.4%Enter above C$17.94 (+4.6%)31% 27/87+5.6% / +8.7%−59.4% / −86.9%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.4%Enter above C$17.92 (+4.5%)27% 26/95+5.6% / +8.7%−40.0% / −86.9%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.4%Enter above C$17.36 (+1.2%)39% 47/119+4.3% / +8.7%−75.1% / −86.9%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −1.4%Enter above C$17.55 (+2.3%)32% 49/155+1.0% / +8.7%−50.6% / −86.9%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −1.1%Enter above C$17.55 (+2.3%)32% 71/219+0.1% / +8.7%−64.2% / −86.9%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.4%Enter above C$17.92 (+4.5%)34% 64/189+3.3% / +8.7%−69.8% / −86.9%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 +2.6%Enter above C$17.27 (+0.7%)33% 55/165+5.8% / +8.7%−73.6% / −86.9%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyINApr 23, 2025 +60.6%Exit below C$15.38 (−10.3%)29% 28/98+4.6% / +8.7%−76.4% / −86.9%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$16.93 (−1.3%)28% 93/334+5.5% / +8.7%−61.9% / −86.9%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTMay 4, 2026 −0.9%Not on one close28% 48/172+1.2% / +8.7%−16.0% / −86.9%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTJul 28, 2026 +5.8%Not on one close36% 54/152+0.5% / +8.7%−44.6% / −86.9%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +1.7%Exit below C$16.87 (−1.6%)34% 238/696+1.7% / +8.7%−60.5% / −86.9%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −1.1%Not on one close38% 19/50+2.2% / +8.7%−19.1% / −86.9%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINAug 29, 2025 +37.8%Exit below C$13.87 (−19.1%)50% 12/24+8.7% / +8.5%−58.6% / −86.9%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINAug 29, 2025 +37.8%Not on one close45% 10/22+7.2% / +8.5%−58.6% / −86.9%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endINNov 28, 2025 +21.4%Exit below C$15.42 (−10.1%)39% 7/18+7.2% / +8.5%−58.6% / −86.9%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +1.7%Exit below C$16.78 (−2.2%)20% 36/180+6.4% / +8.7%−51.7% / −86.9%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endINJul 31, 2025 +39.1%Exit below C$15.23 (−11.2%)42% 10/24+7.1% / +8.7%−43.9% / −86.9%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTMay 22, 2026 +0.1%Enter above C$17.48 (+1.9%)31% 33/105+10.9% / +8.7%−34.7% / −86.9%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +1.2%Exit below C$16.11 (−6.1%)36% 159/442+3.6% / +8.7%−56.4% / −86.9%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +1.7%Exit below C$16.82 (−1.9%)32% 235/734+7.5% / +8.7%−49.6% / −86.9%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTSep 3, 2026 −2.3%Enter above C$17.09 (−0.3%)37% 119/323+0.0% / +8.7%−73.6% / −86.9%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINJul 31, 2025 +39.1%Not on one close33% 7/21+3.9% / +7.6%−78.3% / −86.9%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −1.1%Enter above C$17.32 (+1.0%)28% 168/597+1.7% / +8.7%−36.6% / −86.9%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 −3.0%Enter above C$19.26 (+12.3%)34% 95/283−0.6% / +8.7%−76.1% / −86.9%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 +2.6%Enter above C$18.06 (+5.3%)25% 46/185+4.8% / +8.7%−74.5% / −86.9%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +4.1%Enter above C$16.47 (−4.0%)35% 28/81+10.2% / +8.5%−45.0% / −86.9%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINAug 29, 2025 +37.8%Not on one close47% 9/19+8.5% / +9.2%−42.9% / −86.9%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINAug 29, 2025 +37.8%Not on one close35% 7/20+5.5% / +8.5%−58.6% / −86.9%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −2.3%Enter above C$16.90 (−1.5%)32% 112/355−0.1% / +8.7%−76.1% / −86.9%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 25, 2025 +38.9%Not on one close63% 19/30−1.4% / +8.7%−83.2% / −86.9%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 +3.9%Not on one close62% 196/318+5.7% / +8.7%−18.1% / −86.9%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +1.7%Not on one close64% 241/379+9.4% / +8.7%−23.5% / −86.9%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 +1.2%Buy below C$16.08 (−6.3%)67% 123/184+4.1% / +8.7%−71.2% / −86.9%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +3.9%Not on one close65% 103/159+3.3% / +8.7%−76.4% / −86.9%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINSep 17, 2026 −2.1%Exit below C$17.01 (−0.8%)62% 173/279+5.6% / +8.7%−68.5% / −86.9%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINJun 24, 2026 +8.4%Not on one close59% 41/69+0.1% / +8.7%−81.5% / −86.9%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINNov 22, 2004 +507.8%Sell above C$39.96 (+133.0%)–+8.7% / +8.7%−86.9% / −86.9%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTJun 21, 2022 +70.7%Not on one close36% 8/22−1.1% / +8.7%−51.7% / −86.9%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +1.8%Exit below C$16.84 (−1.8%)50% 170/339+3.8% / +8.7%−70.2% / −86.9%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINSep 17, 2026 −2.1%Exit below C$16.99 (−0.9%)56% 250/448+11.2% / +8.7%−66.0% / −86.9%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 +4.1%Buy below C$17.15 (0.0%)56% 1027/1838−2.7% / +8.7%−71.6% / −86.9%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +2.6%Sell above C$17.22 (+0.4%)58% 47/81+5.8% / +8.7%−38.9% / −86.9%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +3.2%Exit below C$16.13 (−5.9%)39% 415/1057+11.8% / +8.7%−57.2% / −86.9%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINSep 30, 2026 +4.1%Sell above C$16.80 (−2.0%)56% 73/131−2.4% / +8.7%−85.2% / −86.9%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +1.7%Not on one close30% 188/622+10.3% / +8.7%−49.9% / −86.9%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +2.8%Not on one close43% 85/197+7.8% / +8.7%−57.8% / −86.9%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINApr 10, 2026 +3.2%Not on one close49% 23/47−1.2% / +8.7%−79.1% / −86.9%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −1.1%Not on one close31% 32/102+4.9% / +8.7%−48.6% / −86.9%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +1.7%Exit below C$16.78 (−2.2%)31% 199/650+7.7% / +8.7%−65.5% / −86.9%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTSep 17, 2026 −2.1%Enter above C$16.53 (−3.6%)33% 121/369+4.3% / +8.7%−53.7% / −86.9%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +1.7%Not on one close37% 218/584+2.9% / +8.7%−63.5% / −86.9%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINJul 21, 2025 +42.2%Not on one close36% 26/72+11.1% / +8.7%−55.4% / −86.9%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.1%Not on one close38% 340/894+3.4% / +8.7%−64.6% / −86.9%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +3.4%Not on one close56% 89/158+10.1% / +8.7%−53.5% / −86.9%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyINJan 12, 2026 +18.5%Exit below C$13.93 (−18.7%)34% 30/88+4.2% / +8.7%−52.5% / −86.9%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTFeb 12, 2025 +51.3%Not on one close46% 25/54+2.7% / +8.7%−21.4% / −86.9%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −2.1%Buys Oct 3047% 20/43+9.3% / +8.7%−67.7% / −86.9%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.1%Window opens Apr 148% 21/44+6.3% / +8.7%−67.7% / −86.9%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 +5.5%Window opens Oct 1642% 18/43+5.5% / +8.7%−71.2% / −86.9%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +20.8%Buys Dec 2357% 25/44+5.1% / +8.7%−6.8% / −86.9%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +3.2%Buys Oct 2944% 230/526−0.3% / +8.7%−56.7% / −86.9%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +4.1%Sells Jun 3018% 2/11−1.2% / +8.7%−54.7% / −86.9%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −2.0%Buys Nov 2447% 183/386+3.5% / +8.7%−8.4% / −86.9%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +43.4%Not on one close50% 10/20+1.5% / +8.7%−54.6% / −86.9%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1650% 1136/2284+8.6% / +8.7%−71.2% / −86.9%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −1.1%Buys Oct 2747% 163/348+2.8% / +8.7%−9.2% / −86.9%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +3.9%Sells Oct 1651% 278/541+7.3% / +8.7%−69.8% / −86.9%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 4, 2005Always in–+8.7%−86.9%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureLow1 of 10 points
  • Market swings1/3
  • Past crashes0/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up0/2

Nothing on the checklist stands out.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Feb 2009 · back to its old high Apr 2009

FRU−39%
TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Feb 2021

FRU−65%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jan 2022 · back to its old high Jan 2022

FRU2%
TSX−14%
  • Beta0.58Moves about 0.6× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture160%In months the TSX fell, this fell 160% as much on average.
  • Two-year change+40%
  • From 52-week high−4%
  • Debt to equity0.29×
  • Net debt / EBITDA1.0×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover7.7×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Oil & Gas E&P · Freehold Royalties Ltd. acquires and manages royalty interests in the crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids, and potash properties in Canada and the United States. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market capC$2.8BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)C$322MTotal sales. The market values it at 8.7× sales.
P/E ratio19.9×Buyers pay C$20 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E21.8×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book2.8×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin43.5%Keeps 44¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+28.1%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth+794.0%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity13.7%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flowC$161MCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equityC$998MWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debtC$285MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Debt to equity0.29×Comfortable.
Interest cover7.7×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$18.8010% above the close, from 11 analysts (range C$18.00 to C$22.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield6.38%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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