Oct 13 close Sign in

Consumer & retail

Dollarama (DOL)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Buy64 / 100

Buy: 64 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Off the high (−6% from its 1-year high) scores 79 and lifts it; Plays in (58%) scores 58 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightDOLPointsWeightAdds
Plays in58%584023.2
Off the high−6% from its 1-year high793023.7
Trend+5% vs 200-day583017.4
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for DOL
FactorDOLPointsWhat it is
Plays in58%58The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+8% · 17 analysts39How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.9 · buy53The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E38.7×27Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E33.0×10Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG2.4125P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales6.6×26Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book35.1×2Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield0.2%6Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+11%39Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+18%58Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin17%62Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity93%98Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity4.00×3Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−6% from its 1-year high79How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend+5% vs 200-day58How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+11%45The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure3/10 · moderate70The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on DOL

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in58 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate3 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.05×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+5%). Higher than on 26% of days since 2010. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about DOL now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved DOL lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Wed Sep 16+5.7% against the S&P/TSX4.5× a normal day

DOL +5.5%, the S&P/TSX −0.3% that session; +7.1% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

  • Small beatEarnings report · Sep 16, 7:00 am ET

    DOL reported earnings per share of 1.29 against 1.26 expected: a 2.7% beat.

    After small beats, stocks did better than their index at the first close after the news 51% of the time (1,404 of 2,760 on 305 stocks; median move +0.1%). Low predictability

    DOL after small beats: ahead of its index at the first close after the news 10 of 16 times (median +2.4%).

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on DOL

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on DOL went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2009. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +8.0%Exit below C$183.63 (−4.8%)30% 134/450+11.4% / +27.0%−32.1% / −45.1%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINSep 25, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$183.23 (−5.0%)24% 17/70+17.3% / +27.2%−36.8% / −45.1%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$182.38 (−5.5%)23% 62/272+13.7% / +27.7%−32.8% / −45.1%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTMar 18, 2026 +2.0%Not on one close19% 36/187+10.0% / +27.3%−27.5% / −45.1%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTMar 20, 2026 +7.0%Enter above C$209.10 (+8.4%)27% 13/49+19.7% / +27.2%−23.9% / −45.1%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTMar 20, 2026 +7.0%Enter above C$205.17 (+6.3%)35% 25/71+14.6% / +27.1%−22.4% / −45.1%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 +10.3%Enter above C$182.27 (−5.5%)41% 7/17+21.8% / +27.2%−28.7% / −45.1%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.8%Exit below C$184.47 (−4.4%)23% 15/64+23.8% / +27.2%−28.5% / −45.1%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 +10.3%Enter above C$332.38 (+72.3%)47% 7/15+24.2% / +27.2%−25.1% / −45.1%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTAug 20, 2026 +3.1%Enter above C$535.72 (+177.6%)21% 12/57+22.3% / +27.5%−40.5% / −45.1%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyINOct 9, 2026 +0.5%Exit below C$165.10 (−14.4%)41% 45/111+14.9% / +27.9%−33.9% / −45.1%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +10.6%Exit below C$185.90 (−3.7%)24% 144/612+9.7% / +27.5%−36.9% / −45.1%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +8.2%Exit below C$139.02 (−28.0%)36% 70/193+9.5% / +27.2%−48.8% / −45.1%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINOct 1, 2026 +5.3%Exit below C$136.09 (−29.5%)25% 2/8+24.3% / +27.0%−29.1% / −45.1%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.8%Exit below C$164.56 (−14.7%)33% 32/96+15.3% / +27.6%−34.8% / −45.1%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.8%Exit below C$181.91 (−5.7%)25% 22/89+13.8% / +27.7%−37.9% / −45.1%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +8.0%Exit below C$182.71 (−5.3%)42% 48/114+15.7% / +28.2%−39.6% / −45.1%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +5.4%Not on one close40% 100/252+11.9% / +28.2%−33.9% / −45.1%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +8.0%Exit below C$164.64 (−14.7%)35% 162/464+9.4% / +28.1%−49.6% / −45.1%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINOct 1, 2026 +5.3%Exit below C$163.14 (−15.5%)37% 63/169+15.1% / +28.1%−34.4% / −45.1%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +10.6%Exit below C$186.27 (−3.5%)40% 148/374+11.4% / +27.9%−49.6% / −45.1%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 24, 2026 +7.2%Exit below C$182.11 (−5.6%)27% 39/145+2.6% / +27.9%−48.8% / −45.1%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINSep 29, 2026 +4.6%Exit below C$150.97 (−21.8%)33% 42/126+17.6% / +27.2%−29.8% / −45.1%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyINSep 18, 2026 +10.9%Exit below C$184.25 (−4.5%)41% 49/120+13.9% / +28.1%−39.5% / −45.1%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 24, 2026 +7.2%Exit below C$157.88 (−18.2%)32% 51/158+16.3% / +27.2%−28.9% / −45.1%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +8.0%Not on one close41% 74/181+12.1% / +27.2%−42.8% / −45.1%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINSep 28, 2026 +4.4%Exit below C$155.08 (−19.6%)38% 37/97+13.3% / +27.7%−27.1% / −45.1%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +2.3%Exit below C$159.31 (−17.4%)28% 19/68+18.0% / +27.7%−30.9% / −45.1%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.8%Exit below C$181.63 (−5.9%)32% 45/139+4.3% / +26.9%−39.4% / −45.1%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJan 16, 2026 −1.5%Not on one close38% 19/50+2.7% / +27.2%−7.8% / −45.1%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$163.14 (−15.5%)36% 36/101+14.8% / +28.2%−35.1% / −45.1%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJun 19, 2026 +3.4%Enter above C$194.40 (+0.7%)30% 38/126+7.5% / +27.2%−28.9% / −45.1%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJun 19, 2026 +3.4%Enter above C$194.40 (+0.7%)19% 16/86+9.8% / +27.2%−25.4% / −45.1%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTJan 21, 2026 +0.2%Enter above C$199.44 (+3.4%)29% 27/94+9.8% / +27.7%−23.4% / −45.1%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTJul 9, 2026 +5.3%Not on one close29% 28/98+6.4% / +28.2%−33.3% / −45.1%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.5%Exit below C$183.80 (−4.7%)22% 33/149+1.5% / +27.5%−55.7% / −45.1%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJul 2, 2026 +3.6%Enter above C$195.01 (+1.1%)32% 61/192+4.9% / +28.1%−45.7% / −45.1%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$183.42 (−4.9%)40% 59/147+15.1% / +28.1%−31.5% / −45.1%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +6.9%Exit below C$182.77 (−5.3%)38% 48/125+16.9% / +28.2%−34.7% / −45.1%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTMar 20, 2026 +7.0%Enter above C$197.81 (+2.5%)43% 10/23+23.8% / +27.6%−23.4% / −45.1%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$185.38 (−3.9%)31% 79/258+16.5% / +27.7%−28.9% / −45.1%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$191.56 (−0.7%)20% 33/161+0.9% / +28.2%−24.6% / −45.1%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTAug 18, 2026 +2.8%Not on one close32% 42/132+3.3% / +27.5%−16.1% / −45.1%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.8%Exit below C$191.98 (−0.5%)33% 166/496+10.6% / +28.0%−42.9% / −45.1%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTMar 21, 2025 +30.6%Not on one close35% 9/26+3.0% / +27.4%−13.8% / −45.1%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endOUTApr 30, 2026 +11.3%Enter above C$188.57 (−2.3%)40% 2/5+24.3% / +27.3%−46.6% / −45.1%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +4.9%Flips at next check64% 7/11+24.4% / +27.3%−50.6% / −45.1%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 +13.2%Enter above C$209.67 (+8.7%)48% 10/21+19.2% / +27.3%−51.1% / −45.1%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 +9.2%Not on one close19% 24/127+12.4% / +27.7%−25.8% / −45.1%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 +13.2%Enter above C$195.37 (+1.2%)43% 3/7+22.2% / +27.0%−40.3% / −45.1%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyINOct 9, 2026 +0.5%Exit below C$189.28 (−1.9%)33% 30/92+14.3% / +26.8%−19.6% / −45.1%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +10.9%Exit below C$170.80 (−11.5%)36% 117/325+10.8% / +27.2%−40.9% / −45.1%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +10.6%Exit below C$185.66 (−3.8%)31% 177/568+9.0% / +27.2%−43.0% / −45.1%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +6.9%Exit below C$122.50 (−36.5%)41% 99/240+10.3% / +27.1%−51.2% / −45.1%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINMay 31, 2019 +362.6%Exit below C$156.10 (−19.1%)0% 0/1+11.2% / +26.5%−31.7% / −45.1%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +2.3%Exit below C$187.16 (−3.0%)29% 139/483+3.9% / +28.2%−41.3% / −45.1%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +8.2%Exit below C$61.57 (−68.1%)39% 81/210+10.4% / +27.7%−48.8% / −45.1%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyINSep 29, 2026 +4.6%Exit below C$149.96 (−22.3%)34% 41/122+17.9% / +27.7%−27.9% / −45.1%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endINSep 30, 2026 +4.9%Exit below C$184.02 (−4.6%)24% 11/46+18.0% / +27.3%−50.9% / −45.1%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +4.9%Flips at next check64% 7/11+20.6% / +23.8%−50.6% / −45.1%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 +4.9%Not on one close58% 11/19+23.5% / +27.3%−40.1% / −45.1%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +8.0%Exit below C$155.13 (−19.6%)37% 93/249+11.0% / +27.2%−41.4% / −45.1%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINAug 28, 2026 +9.8%Exit below C$192.94 (0.0%)55% 18/33+8.1% / +28.2%−40.6% / −45.1%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTAug 12, 2026 +0.1%Not on one close61% 189/310+6.3% / +27.2%−19.2% / −45.1%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTAug 12, 2026 +0.1%Not on one close63% 239/380+12.5% / +27.2%−28.2% / −45.1%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +8.0%Buy below C$170.25 (−11.8%)61% 84/138+9.0% / +28.1%−16.8% / −45.1%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 +7.2%Not on one close56% 65/116+9.3% / +28.1%−33.0% / −45.1%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 +8.2%Not on one close60% 127/210+11.7% / +28.1%−24.2% / −45.1%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +4.4%Not on one close63% 34/54+10.5% / +28.5%−40.6% / −45.1%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINJul 27, 2010 +4,755.0%Sell above C$445.87 (+131.1%)–+27.2% / +27.2%−45.1% / −45.1%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTSep 4, 2025 +2.7%Buy below C$157.29 (−18.5%)50% 3/6+2.0% / +27.2%−0.8% / −45.1%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +10.6%Exit below C$186.18 (−3.5%)48% 124/261+13.3% / +27.5%−23.8% / −45.1%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +5.4%Not on one close58% 189/328+10.7% / +27.5%−43.5% / −45.1%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 +14.7%Buy below C$192.96 (0.0%)54% 731/1350+1.7% / +28.0%−25.2% / −45.1%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTFeb 18, 2026 −1.2%Not on one close54% 51/94+8.8% / +27.2%−20.9% / −45.1%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +4.2%Exit below C$191.74 (−0.6%)38% 296/784+11.1% / +27.2%−27.8% / −45.1%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +4.9%Buy below C$187.59 (−2.8%)61% 70/115+16.9% / +27.7%−25.8% / −45.1%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +10.9%Not on one close29% 148/503+12.7% / +28.1%−44.9% / −45.1%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +8.0%Not on one close38% 66/175+14.2% / +28.2%−36.7% / −45.1%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTDec 9, 2022 +136.7%Not on one close45% 10/22+5.6% / +28.2%−27.7% / −45.1%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINFeb 15, 2023 +144.0%Not on one close32% 14/44+24.3% / +27.2%−44.7% / −45.1%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +10.6%Exit below C$186.48 (−3.4%)33% 161/495+13.1% / +27.9%−34.5% / −45.1%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +6.9%Exit below C$152.10 (−21.2%)33% 95/291+13.1% / +28.1%−38.9% / −45.1%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 17, 2026 +11.8%Not on one close36% 176/491+6.6% / +28.2%−52.0% / −45.1%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINSep 24, 2026 +7.2%Not on one close32% 24/74+18.8% / +27.2%−37.4% / −45.1%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +2.3%Sell C$188.05–C$193.19 (+0.1%)35% 237/685+7.6% / +27.8%−48.4% / −45.1%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyINApr 28, 2026 +13.4%Exit below C$192.80 (−0.1%)52% 61/117+9.8% / +28.1%−37.4% / −45.1%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.8%Exit below C$181.55 (−5.9%)26% 26/99+4.1% / +28.2%−43.6% / −45.1%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTAug 4, 2026 +1.1%Not on one close34% 11/32+2.1% / +28.1%−9.9% / −45.1%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 +11.3%Buys Oct 3053% 18/34+16.0% / +28.0%−27.7% / −45.1%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 24, 2026 +13.8%Not on one close44% 15/34+11.5% / +27.2%−29.0% / −45.1%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTJun 30, 2026 +3.0%Window opens Oct 1653% 18/34+14.3% / +27.2%−30.8% / −45.1%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −2.9%Buys Dec 2324% 8/34+1.3% / +28.0%−4.1% / −45.1%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +5.4%Buys Oct 2948% 197/408+6.2% / +28.0%−27.8% / −45.1%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +4.9%Sells Jun 3044% 4/9+7.0% / +28.0%−24.0% / −45.1%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +9.0%Buys Nov 2447% 142/302+2.6% / +28.0%−7.6% / −45.1%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +146.4%Not on one close29% 4/14+14.1% / +27.2%−45.1% / −45.1%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1651% 905/1775+14.0% / +28.0%−43.3% / −45.1%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +10.6%Buys Oct 2743% 116/270+1.0% / +28.0%−9.8% / −45.1%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.0%Sells Oct 1650% 210/420+12.5% / +28.0%−31.6% / −45.1%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINOct 9, 2009Always in–+27.8%−45.1%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureModerate3 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes0/2
  • Debt3/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It carries 4.1× as much debt as equity.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Mar 2020

DOL−15%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jan 2022 · back to its old high Jan 2022

DOL−3%
TSX−14%
  • Beta0.58Moves about 0.6× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture−96%In months the TSX fell, this fell -96% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+35%
  • From 52-week high−6%
  • Debt to equity4.06×
  • Net debt / EBITDA2.8×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover9.6×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Discount Stores · Dollarama Inc. operates a chain of stores and provides related logistical and administrative support activities. Its stores offer general merchandise, consumables, and seasonal products. The company operates in Canada, Latin America, Colombia, Peru, Australia, and Mexico. It also sells its products through online store. The company was formerly known as Dollarama Capital Corporation and changed its name to Dollarama Inc. in September 2009. Dollarama Inc.

Size and valuation
Market capC$51.8BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)C$7.9BTotal sales. The market values it at 6.6× sales.
P/E ratio38.7×Buyers pay C$39 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E33.0×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book35.1×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin17.3%Keeps 17¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+17.6%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth+11.2%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity93.1%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flowC$1.2BCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equityC$1.5BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debtC$5.9BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
CashC$485MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity4.06×Above about 1.5× is heavily borrowed; above 3× is fragile in a downturn.
Interest cover9.6×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$207.478% above the close, from 17 analysts (range C$148.00 to C$236.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield0.24%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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