Financials
Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.
Your signal
Sell: 38 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Off the high (−15% from its 1-year high) scores 48 and lifts it; Plays in (30%) scores 30 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | DFY | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 30% | 30 | 40 | 12.0 |
| Off the high | −15% from its 1-year high | 48 | 30 | 14.4 |
| Trend | −2% vs 200-day | 37 | 30 | 11.1 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | DFY | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 30% | 30 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +26% · 11 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 2.5 · buy | 27 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 18.0× | 71 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 14.7× | 55 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | – | – | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. |
| Price to sales | 1.4× | 80 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to book | 2.0× | 75 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | 1.3% | 36 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | +95% | 80 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +56% | 87 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | 8% | 42 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | 11% | 46 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | 0.38× | 59 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Off the high | −15% from its 1-year high | 48 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −2% vs 200-day | 37 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +1% | 34 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 0/10 · low | 100 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on DFYThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about DFY now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
DFY −1.7%, the S&P/TSX +1.5% that session; −4.1% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on DFY was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for DFY starts Oct 6, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +1.5%. The 25 other Financials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +1.6% on average, so most of the move was its own.
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on DFY went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2021. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Sep 21, 2026 −4.8% | Enter above C$69.73 (+1.2%) | 27% 35/128 | +13.5% / +22.6% | −28.6% / −21.0% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −3.8% | Enter above C$73.84 (+7.2%) | 29% 6/21 | +10.6% / +16.3% | −20.3% / −21.0% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −9.4% | Enter above C$71.72 (+4.1%) | 25% 17/67 | +14.1% / +18.8% | −15.4% / −21.0% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −9.4% | Enter above C$117.17 (+70.1%) | 19% 6/32 | +9.5% / +18.5% | −12.7% / −21.0% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Sep 25, 2026 −2.1% | Enter above C$71.16 (+3.3%) | 31% 4/13 | +18.0% / +19.9% | −16.8% / −21.0% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Aug 14, 2026 −12.0% | Enter above C$77.30 (+12.2%) | 18% 2/11 | +12.2% / +19.0% | −13.2% / −21.0% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −0.2% | Enter above C$70.04 (+1.7%) | 14% 1/7 | +11.6% / +17.9% | −28.6% / −21.0% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −2.0% | Enter above C$70.57 (+2.4%) | 21% 4/19 | +14.1% / +17.6% | −17.4% / −21.0% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | IN | Jul 2, 2026 −8.9% | Not on one close | 17% 1/6 | +12.3% / +17.6% | −28.0% / −21.0% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −2.0% | Enter above C$117.41 (+70.4%) | 11% 2/19 | +10.1% / +16.1% | −21.6% / −21.0% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −5.6% | Enter above C$75.74 (+9.9%) | 44% 12/27 | +14.5% / +19.4% | −17.5% / −21.0% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +1.1% | Exit below C$67.77 (−1.6%) | 27% 46/171 | +11.2% / +22.1% | −21.2% / −21.0% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | OUT | Jul 21, 2026 −10.9% | Enter above C$70.13 (+1.8%) | 30% 15/50 | +2.3% / +19.9% | −31.3% / −21.0% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Apr 27, 2026 +2.5% | Exit below C$54.83 (−20.4%) | 17% 1/6 | +12.6% / +21.6% | −24.1% / −21.0% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Aug 20, 2026 −5.9% | Enter above C$99.55 (+44.5%) | 35% 9/26 | +11.0% / +20.5% | −22.3% / −21.0% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −3.8% | Not on one close | 17% 5/29 | +10.8% / +21.5% | −26.7% / −21.0% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −7.6% | Enter above C$70.88 (+2.9%) | 36% 12/33 | +9.1% / +21.4% | −16.2% / −21.0% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −9.4% | Not on one close | 34% 25/74 | +1.8% / +21.4% | −28.6% / −21.0% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Sep 18, 2026 −5.5% | Enter above C$74.54 (+8.2%) | 42% 53/126 | +11.5% / +23.2% | −22.4% / −21.0% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 −10.5% | Enter above C$73.76 (+7.1%) | 33% 15/45 | +9.8% / +20.9% | −24.6% / −21.0% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$65.87 (−4.4%) | 41% 46/111 | +11.9% / +23.4% | −15.2% / −21.0% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −9.4% | Enter above C$71.41 (+3.6%) | 31% 15/49 | −0.3% / +21.0% | −22.0% / −21.0% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −7.6% | Enter above C$86.09 (+25.0%) | 35% 13/37 | +12.5% / +22.3% | −23.6% / −21.0% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −5.6% | Enter above C$70.84 (+2.8%) | 40% 14/35 | +10.8% / +21.2% | −36.9% / −21.0% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Aug 14, 2026 −12.0% | Enter above C$74.54 (+8.2%) | 34% 14/41 | +11.0% / +22.3% | −27.7% / −21.0% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −2.0% | Enter above C$69.33 (+0.6%) | 35% 19/54 | +1.4% / +19.9% | −31.2% / −21.0% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −7.6% | Enter above C$84.71 (+23.0%) | 33% 10/30 | +13.5% / +18.8% | −23.7% / −21.0% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Sep 1, 2026 −6.7% | Enter above C$105.62 (+53.3%) | 29% 6/21 | +10.9% / +18.8% | −21.4% / −21.0% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −13.6% | Not on one close | 41% 16/39 | +8.0% / +19.4% | −11.9% / −21.0% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 −10.5% | Not on one close | 45% 9/20 | +5.8% / +22.3% | −6.6% / −21.0% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −9.4% | Enter above C$73.76 (+7.1%) | 33% 8/24 | +11.2% / +21.4% | −18.2% / −21.0% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −9.4% | Enter above C$79.51 (+15.4%) | 21% 7/34 | −2.0% / +20.6% | −25.3% / −21.0% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −9.4% | Enter above C$82.34 (+19.5%) | 35% 7/20 | +8.2% / +20.6% | −17.4% / −21.0% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −9.4% | Enter above C$90.21 (+30.9%) | 23% 5/22 | +5.7% / +18.8% | −20.4% / −21.0% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −9.4% | Not on one close | 40% 8/20 | +14.6% / +21.4% | −15.0% / −21.0% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Aug 10, 2026 −12.5% | Enter above C$73.61 (+6.8%) | 26% 10/38 | +1.1% / +22.1% | −20.1% / −21.0% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Aug 10, 2026 −12.5% | Enter above C$74.90 (+8.7%) | 26% 13/50 | +6.4% / +21.7% | −15.2% / −21.0% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 −10.5% | Enter above C$73.43 (+6.6%) | 25% 13/51 | −0.6% / +21.1% | −34.4% / −21.0% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −9.4% | Enter above C$70.68 (+2.6%) | 39% 15/38 | +8.8% / +21.4% | −24.4% / −21.0% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | IN | May 1, 2026 +1.0% | Exit below C$63.98 (−7.1%) | 31% 5/16 | +9.8% / +21.4% | −25.8% / −21.0% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 −10.5% | Enter above C$69.99 (+1.6%) | 25% 19/77 | +5.9% / +21.1% | −23.5% / −21.0% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Jul 14, 2026 −12.3% | Not on one close | 26% 12/46 | +2.3% / +21.4% | −9.5% / −21.0% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Jun 30, 2026 −8.1% | Not on one close | 42% 11/26 | +6.6% / +22.1% | −6.1% / −21.0% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Sep 18, 2026 −5.5% | Enter above C$69.48 (+0.8%) | 35% 48/136 | +14.3% / +23.2% | −15.1% / −21.0% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Mar 19, 2026 +3.8% | Not on one close | 50% 2/4 | +6.3% / +20.0% | −3.2% / −21.0% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −0.2% | Enter above C$66.87 (−2.9%) | 20% 1/5 | +7.3% / +17.1% | −27.2% / −21.0% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Jul 31, 2026 −13.6% | Not on one close | 25% 1/4 | +8.7% / +17.1% | −26.3% / −21.0% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | OUT | Feb 27, 2026 +1.8% | Enter above C$74.35 (+7.9%) | 20% 1/5 | +9.1% / +17.1% | −18.4% / −21.0% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Sep 21, 2026 −4.8% | Not on one close | 22% 7/32 | +7.1% / +18.8% | −18.4% / −21.0% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −0.2% | Enter above C$77.46 (+12.4%) | 14% 1/7 | +4.8% / +15.8% | −32.2% / −21.0% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −5.6% | Enter above C$74.99 (+8.8%) | 32% 6/19 | +12.3% / +19.7% | −12.6% / −21.0% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −2.0% | Enter above C$67.70 (−1.7%) | 41% 33/80 | +13.4% / +22.3% | −17.0% / −21.0% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$67.25 (−2.4%) | 34% 52/151 | +16.1% / +22.3% | −27.8% / −21.0% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −0.3% | Enter above C$71.48 (+3.7%) | 38% 25/66 | +4.2% / +21.5% | −27.3% / −21.0% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | OUT | Nov 30, 2023 +93.3% | Not on one close | – | +4.4% / +25.8% | 0.0% / −21.0% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Aug 6, 2026 −13.4% | Enter above C$74.99 (+8.8%) | 32% 43/135 | +5.3% / +21.4% | −16.0% / −21.0% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −0.7% | Enter above C$78.92 (+14.5%) | 38% 23/61 | −2.0% / +18.8% | −33.7% / −21.0% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −7.6% | Enter above C$86.86 (+26.1%) | 31% 11/35 | +10.3% / +18.8% | −23.3% / −21.0% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −6.0% | Enter above C$70.77 (+2.7%) | 11% 2/19 | +7.2% / +17.1% | −32.1% / −21.0% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Jul 31, 2026 −13.6% | Not on one close | 50% 1/2 | +2.4% / +10.4% | −26.3% / −21.0% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −0.2% | Not on one close | 20% 1/5 | +6.2% / +17.1% | −23.3% / −21.0% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −3.6% | Enter above C$70.65 (+2.5%) | 32% 21/66 | +6.6% / +19.9% | −24.2% / −21.0% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +2.5% | Not on one close | 73% 8/11 | +12.1% / +23.4% | −13.3% / −21.0% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 +1.1% | Not on one close | 55% 34/62 | +2.3% / +17.6% | −17.7% / −21.0% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Sep 23, 2026 −3.6% | Sell above C$68.90 (0.0%) | 63% 50/79 | +8.8% / +17.6% | −13.4% / −21.0% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +3.2% | Sell above C$69.98 (+1.6%) | 61% 25/41 | +8.6% / +21.7% | −19.4% / −21.0% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Aug 24, 2026 −6.6% | Not on one close | 55% 18/33 | +5.8% / +22.7% | −23.6% / −21.0% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Sep 1, 2026 −6.7% | Not on one close | 63% 38/60 | +17.0% / +23.2% | −16.7% / −21.0% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | IN | Aug 19, 2026 −7.6% | Not on one close | 47% 7/15 | +10.0% / +22.5% | −14.0% / −21.0% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Sep 6, 2022 +96.1% | Sell above C$170.56 (+147.6%) | – | +17.6% / +17.6% | −21.0% / −21.0% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Feb 4, 2026 +2.1% | Buy below C$45.17 (−34.4%) | 50% 1/2 | +4.5% / +19.9% | −3.2% / −21.0% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 47% 38/81 | +17.6% / +22.1% | −21.8% / −21.0% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +2.5% | Exit below C$68.02 (−1.3%) | 54% 51/95 | +16.7% / +22.1% | −22.7% / −21.0% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 +4.0% | Buy below C$68.90 (0.0%) | 54% 221/406 | −2.1% / +22.5% | −31.6% / −21.0% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Aug 19, 2026 −7.6% | Sell above C$72.71 (+5.5%) | 55% 12/22 | +3.3% / +17.6% | −15.0% / −21.0% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +2.5% | Not on one close | 34% 72/213 | +12.8% / +22.3% | −15.3% / −21.0% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2026 −6.0% | Sell above C$70.44 (+2.2%) | 74% 20/27 | +14.2% / +21.6% | −13.3% / −21.0% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Sep 18, 2026 −5.5% | Not on one close | 25% 40/163 | +7.7% / +21.7% | −28.2% / −21.0% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Oct 6, 2026 +3.2% | Not on one close | 35% 16/46 | +5.7% / +21.4% | −24.2% / −21.0% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +2.5% | Not on one close | 46% 6/13 | +12.2% / +23.4% | −18.9% / −21.0% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | IN | Feb 12, 2026 +4.6% | Not on one close | 37% 7/19 | +16.6% / +17.9% | −22.4% / −21.0% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 18, 2026 −5.5% | Enter above C$69.84 (+1.4%) | 30% 45/151 | +10.1% / +20.9% | −25.4% / −21.0% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −2.0% | Enter above C$82.39 (+19.6%) | 39% 33/84 | +8.8% / +21.7% | −19.3% / −21.0% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −2.0% | Not on one close | 34% 40/119 | +10.2% / +21.4% | −23.5% / −21.0% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Apr 23, 2026 +2.3% | Not on one close | 33% 7/21 | +14.0% / +17.1% | −18.7% / −21.0% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +1.1% | Not on one close | 35% 65/185 | +6.0% / +19.2% | −26.9% / −21.0% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | Aug 24, 2026 −6.6% | Exit below C$68.56 (−0.5%) | 52% 15/29 | +18.2% / +22.2% | −13.3% / −21.0% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Mar 26, 2026 +5.4% | Not on one close | 25% 5/20 | +3.3% / +22.8% | −15.8% / −21.0% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Apr 1, 2026 +9.6% | Not on one close | 42% 5/12 | +3.3% / +21.2% | −4.3% / −21.0% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 +0.1% | Buys Oct 30 | 56% 5/9 | +16.0% / +22.5% | −18.9% / −21.0% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Window opens Apr 1 | 45% 5/11 | +10.7% / +22.3% | −18.9% / −21.0% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | May 6, 2026 +7.7% | Window opens Oct 16 | 40% 4/10 | +9.6% / +22.3% | −18.9% / −21.0% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 −6.7% | Buys Dec 23 | 30% 3/10 | +3.9% / +22.5% | −3.9% / −21.0% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +0.8% | Buys Oct 29 | 43% 51/118 | +2.8% / +22.5% | −15.4% / −21.0% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −0.2% | Sells Jun 30 | 0% 0/3 | +1.3% / +22.5% | −16.5% / −21.0% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −3.8% | Buys Nov 24 | 45% 42/94 | +3.2% / +22.5% | −4.5% / −21.0% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +87.9% | Not on one close | 0% 0/2 | +14.5% / +21.6% | −21.0% / −21.0% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sells Oct 16 | 51% 261/511 | +20.4% / +22.5% | −20.5% / −21.0% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 −6.0% | Buys Oct 27 | 42% 33/78 | +2.6% / +22.5% | −7.7% / −21.0% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −0.3% | Sells Oct 16 | 55% 66/121 | +15.9% / +22.5% | −16.1% / −21.0% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Nov 18, 2021 | Always in | – | +22.6% | −21.0% |
Nothing on the checklist stands out.
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Insurance - Property & Casualty · Definity Financial Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, offers property and casualty insurance products in Canada. It provides personal insurance products, including auto, property, and pet insurance products to individuals under the Economical, Sonnet, Family, and Petline brands; and commercial insurance products, includes fleet, commercial auto, property, liability, and specialty insurance products to businesses.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | C$8.3B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | C$6.0B | Total sales. The market values it at 1.4× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 18.0× | Buyers pay C$18 for each C$1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 14.7× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 2.0× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 7.8% | Keeps 8¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +55.6% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Earnings growth | +95.3% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 11.3% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | C$4.0B | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | C$4.0B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | C$1.7B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | C$294M | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.42× | Comfortable. |
| Interest cover | 26.2× | Interest is easily paid from profit. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | C$86.64 | 26% above the close, from 11 analysts (range C$74.00 to C$98.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
| Dividend yield | 1.26% | Yearly dividends as a share of the price. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
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