CSH.UN −1.7%, the S&P/TSX +1.0% that session; −4.3% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.
- HeadlineTipRanks · Oct 2, 12:12 pm ET
Chartwell Sets November Dates for Q3 2026 Results and Investor Call
Real estate
Chartwell Retirement Residences (CSH.UN)
Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.
Your signal
Sell31 / 100
Sell: 31 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Off the high (−15% from its 1-year high) scores 48 and lifts it; Plays in (23%) scores 23 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | CSH.UN | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 23% | 23 | 40 | 9.2 |
| Off the high | −15% from its 1-year high | 48 | 30 | 14.4 |
| Trend | −7% vs 200-day | 26 | 30 | 7.8 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
All 18 factors for CSH.UN
| Factor | CSH.UN | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 23% | 23 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +32% · 11 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 1.5 · strong buy | 77 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 651.0× | 0 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 81.4× | 2 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | – | – | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. |
| Price to sales | 5.3× | 35 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to book | 3.5× | 42 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | 3.2% | 74 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | – | – | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. |
| Revenue growth | +19% | 62 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | 1% | 19 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | 1% | 17 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | 1.78× | 10 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Off the high | −15% from its 1-year high | 48 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −7% vs 200-day | 26 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +3% | 36 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 5/10 · high | 50 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on CSH.UN- 23 of the 100 plays hold CSH.UN right now.
- The trend-following, breakout, momentum and volume plays mostly say out.
- It closed 7% below its 200-day average and 15% below its 52-week high.
- Crash exposure reads high: it fell about 1.5× as far as its index in past crashes and carries 1.9× as much debt as equity.
- Analysts' average 12-month target is C$25.86, 32% above the close (11 analysts).
This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Plays in23 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureHigh5 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.93×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−7%). Higher than on 14% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.
The most accurate play in each family
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about CSH.UN now.
Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn CSH.UN: right 29 of 66 · Out since May 30, 2025Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn CSH.UN: right 21 of 57 · Out since Oct 5, 2026Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn CSH.UN: right 11 of 26 · In since Aug 31, 2023Mean reversionBollinger ReversionIN64% of 53,095 calls rightOn CSH.UN: right 111 of 183 · In since Oct 6, 2026Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexIN59% of 13,925 calls rightOn CSH.UN: right 17 of 31 · In since Jul 24, 2026Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchIN50% of 38,976 calls rightOn CSH.UN: right 83 of 161 · In since Sep 2, 2026CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn CSH.UN: right 22 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
CSH.UN, day by day
How to read candlesticksEach candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
What moved CSH.UN lately
Its 2 biggest moves against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
CSH.UN +1.0%, the S&P/TSX −1.6% that session; +3.3% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CSH.UN was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CSH.UN starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.6%. The 18 other Real estate stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.5% on average, so most of the move was its own.
Two years of calls, week by week
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
Every play on CSH.UN
All 100 plays, by family.
Trend following1 of 30 inBreakouts & channels0 of 15 inMomentum5 of 17 inMean reversion10 of 15 inVolume & money flow2 of 9 inCandles & chart patterns1 of 3 inCalendar4 of 11 in
Calls right: how often the play's calls on CSH.UN went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −2.3% | Enter above C$19.99 (+2.4%) | 26% 163/619 | +4.4% / +7.8% | −33.2% / −79.5% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$21.23 (+8.7%) | 30% 31/103 | +6.9% / +7.8% | −51.0% / −79.5% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Aug 4, 2026 −10.3% | Enter above C$20.49 (+4.9%) | 24% 84/345 | +6.3% / +7.8% | −40.8% / −79.5% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Aug 4, 2026 −10.3% | Enter above C$54.20 (+177.5%) | 19% 29/153 | +4.1% / +7.8% | −31.4% / −79.5% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Aug 14, 2026 −5.4% | Enter above C$22.92 (+17.3%) | 18% 14/79 | +7.2% / +7.8% | −37.0% / −79.5% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$22.66 (+16.0%) | 32% 32/99 | +7.4% / +7.8% | −31.5% / −79.5% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −5.0% | Enter above C$20.94 (+7.2%) | 34% 12/35 | +10.4% / +7.8% | −27.2% / −79.5% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −5.9% | Enter above C$20.90 (+7.0%) | 13% 25/199 | +6.5% / +7.8% | −43.1% / −79.5% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −1.5% | Enter above C$45.61 (+133.6%) | 48% 12/25 | +10.9% / +7.8% | −30.2% / −79.5% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −5.9% | Enter above C$20.90 (+7.0%) | 10% 17/165 | +5.3% / +7.8% | −43.9% / −79.5% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$20.65 (+5.8%) | 43% 57/133 | +11.1% / +7.8% | −34.4% / −79.5% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −5.9% | Enter above C$19.94 (+2.1%) | 26% 195/756 | +2.4% / +7.8% | −41.0% / −79.5% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 +0.9% | Enter above C$19.45 (−0.4%) | 38% 97/255 | +6.5% / +7.8% | −58.8% / −79.5% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Jul 18, 2023 +127.0% | Exit below C$15.99 (−18.1%) | 29% 8/28 | +7.7% / +7.6% | −40.3% / −79.5% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$27.66 (+41.6%) | 35% 47/133 | +6.3% / +7.8% | −38.2% / −79.5% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Aug 10, 2026 −7.0% | Not on one close | 33% 39/117 | +4.6% / +7.8% | −50.9% / −79.5% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$20.76 (+6.3%) | 40% 54/135 | +5.6% / +7.8% | −48.3% / −79.5% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −8.4% | Not on one close | 40% 128/319 | +5.7% / +7.8% | −33.8% / −79.5% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −2.3% | Enter above C$21.14 (+8.2%) | 36% 196/549 | +3.0% / +7.8% | −52.2% / −79.5% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Aug 4, 2026 −10.3% | Enter above C$20.86 (+6.8%) | 41% 86/209 | +9.1% / +7.8% | −44.4% / −79.5% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −1.5% | Enter above C$20.18 (+3.3%) | 38% 183/486 | +2.8% / +7.8% | −53.9% / −79.5% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Jul 22, 2026 −11.8% | Enter above C$20.38 (+4.4%) | 31% 61/195 | +1.0% / +7.8% | −32.3% / −79.5% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$23.54 (+20.5%) | 34% 61/177 | +6.9% / +7.8% | −38.9% / −79.5% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$20.12 (+3.0%) | 34% 57/167 | +3.6% / +7.8% | −60.3% / −79.5% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Aug 4, 2026 −10.3% | Enter above C$39.07 (+100.0%) | 34% 75/219 | +7.0% / +7.8% | −38.8% / −79.5% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | Jul 15, 2026 −13.7% | Not on one close | 34% 83/243 | −0.2% / +7.8% | −53.6% / −79.5% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$23.38 (+19.7%) | 34% 52/153 | +7.1% / +7.8% | −36.5% / −79.5% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Aug 14, 2026 −5.4% | Enter above C$28.94 (+48.2%) | 27% 29/107 | +6.3% / +7.8% | −40.8% / −79.5% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Jul 24, 2026 −14.2% | Not on one close | 29% 58/197 | +4.1% / +7.8% | −27.7% / −79.5% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | May 30, 2025 +9.3% | Not on one close | 44% 29/66 | +1.4% / +7.8% | −11.6% / −79.5% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | OUT | Aug 4, 2026 −10.3% | Enter above C$20.69 (+5.9%) | 39% 47/119 | +7.1% / +7.8% | −38.0% / −79.5% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jul 22, 2026 −11.8% | Enter above C$22.69 (+16.2%) | 33% 44/135 | +2.5% / +7.8% | −32.0% / −79.5% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Aug 4, 2026 −10.3% | Enter above C$23.21 (+18.8%) | 28% 30/107 | +0.7% / +7.8% | −30.6% / −79.5% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$35.04 (+79.4%) | 24% 25/103 | +2.3% / +7.8% | −28.8% / −79.5% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Mar 19, 2026 −2.8% | Not on one close | 36% 41/115 | +3.2% / +7.8% | −37.7% / −79.5% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Jul 22, 2026 −11.8% | Enter above C$21.23 (+8.7%) | 28% 44/155 | −0.8% / +7.8% | −45.4% / −79.5% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Jul 20, 2026 −13.3% | Enter above C$20.87 (+6.8%) | 34% 75/221 | +1.3% / +7.8% | −42.2% / −79.5% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Aug 4, 2026 −10.3% | Enter above C$20.46 (+4.8%) | 37% 67/179 | +6.1% / +7.8% | −24.1% / −79.5% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Aug 4, 2026 −10.3% | Enter above C$20.67 (+5.9%) | 39% 62/161 | +5.5% / +7.8% | −44.8% / −79.5% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −1.5% | Enter above C$23.30 (+19.3%) | 37% 21/57 | +8.2% / +7.8% | −42.9% / −79.5% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Aug 4, 2026 −10.3% | Enter above C$20.58 (+5.4%) | 29% 94/321 | +5.3% / +7.8% | −51.6% / −79.5% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Jul 7, 2026 −14.7% | Not on one close | 25% 29/118 | +0.0% / +7.8% | −37.3% / −79.5% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | May 12, 2026 −4.6% | Not on one close | 32% 51/157 | +0.7% / +7.8% | −21.3% / −79.5% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −2.3% | Enter above C$19.57 (+0.2%) | 36% 218/605 | +6.5% / +7.8% | −40.7% / −79.5% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Jul 17, 2025 +11.3% | Not on one close | 34% 16/47 | +2.2% / +7.8% | −22.8% / −79.5% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2023 +114.5% | Exit below C$20.86 (+6.8%) | 46% 12/26 | +8.5% / +7.7% | −36.8% / −79.5% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2023 +114.5% | Not on one close | 42% 11/26 | +7.8% / +7.7% | −35.8% / −79.5% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −5.0% | Enter above C$23.19 (+18.7%) | 59% 17/29 | +10.1% / +7.7% | −24.5% / −79.5% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Aug 10, 2026 −7.0% | Not on one close | 23% 33/141 | +5.0% / +7.8% | −29.3% / −79.5% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2023 +114.5% | Exit below C$19.63 (+0.5%) | 42% 5/12 | +6.7% / +7.8% | −55.2% / −79.5% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$21.93 (+12.3%) | 27% 43/159 | +2.4% / +7.8% | −39.3% / −79.5% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Oct 6, 2026 +0.5% | Enter above C$20.08 (+2.8%) | 33% 151/453 | +1.2% / +7.8% | −52.7% / −79.5% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −2.3% | Enter above C$19.80 (+1.4%) | 29% 219/753 | +4.6% / +7.8% | −29.7% / −79.5% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above C$20.45 (+4.7%) | 41% 128/311 | +7.3% / +7.8% | −52.1% / −79.5% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | May 31, 2023 +148.3% | Not on one close | 23% 3/13 | +9.0% / +7.4% | −60.6% / −79.5% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Jul 8, 2026 −14.6% | Enter above C$20.95 (+7.2%) | 24% 154/634 | −2.0% / +7.8% | −60.9% / −79.5% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 +0.9% | Enter above C$21.34 (+9.3%) | 42% 109/261 | +7.2% / +7.8% | −59.4% / −79.5% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$23.67 (+21.2%) | 35% 60/171 | +7.5% / +7.8% | −39.1% / −79.5% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −5.0% | Enter above C$20.92 (+7.1%) | 43% 27/63 | +10.3% / +7.7% | −36.6% / −79.5% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2023 +114.5% | Not on one close | 35% 8/23 | +6.5% / +6.9% | −32.4% / −79.5% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −5.0% | Not on one close | 52% 17/33 | +7.6% / +7.7% | −25.5% / −79.5% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | OUT | Oct 6, 2026 +0.5% | Enter above C$20.32 (+4.0%) | 31% 112/357 | +4.9% / +7.8% | −47.8% / −79.5% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Aug 18, 2026 −5.5% | Not on one close | 61% 20/33 | +2.4% / +7.8% | −74.8% / −79.5% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −6.9% | Not on one close | 62% 196/318 | +4.2% / +7.8% | −21.1% / −79.5% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Aug 26, 2026 −7.5% | Not on one close | 66% 281/424 | +8.3% / +7.8% | −27.2% / −79.5% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +0.5% | Sell above C$20.00 (+2.4%) | 61% 111/183 | +2.6% / +7.8% | −58.9% / −79.5% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Aug 7, 2026 −8.4% | Not on one close | 61% 95/155 | +2.0% / +7.8% | −59.1% / −79.5% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Aug 19, 2026 −6.9% | Not on one close | 61% 169/275 | +5.6% / +7.8% | −55.0% / −79.5% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | IN | Aug 12, 2026 −7.3% | Not on one close | 64% 48/75 | +4.1% / +7.8% | −65.5% / −79.5% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Nov 22, 2004 +457.6% | Sell above C$50.50 (+158.6%) | – | +7.8% / +7.8% | −79.5% / −79.5% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Mar 31, 2026 −1.5% | Not on one close | 54% 13/24 | +0.9% / +7.8% | −42.5% / −79.5% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Aug 24, 2026 −6.8% | Not on one close | 49% 157/323 | +4.4% / +7.8% | −60.9% / −79.5% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 54% 245/457 | +4.8% / +7.8% | −60.3% / −79.5% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 +0.9% | Buy below C$19.53 (0.0%) | 59% 1075/1828 | +4.1% / +7.8% | −48.2% / −79.5% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Aug 6, 2026 −10.9% | Sell above C$20.48 (+4.9%) | 49% 42/85 | +5.0% / +7.8% | −14.6% / −79.5% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −1.5% | Enter above C$19.63 (+0.5%) | 39% 400/1032 | +5.8% / +7.8% | −41.6% / −79.5% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2026 −5.0% | Sell above C$20.87 (+6.9%) | 53% 65/122 | +3.6% / +7.8% | −63.6% / −79.5% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −2.3% | Not on one close | 25% 180/725 | −0.1% / +7.8% | −46.5% / −79.5% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +0.4% | Not on one close | 36% 70/197 | +1.6% / +7.8% | −62.7% / −79.5% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | IN | Jul 24, 2026 −14.2% | Not on one close | 55% 17/31 | +0.4% / +7.8% | −74.4% / −79.5% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | IN | Jun 16, 2026 −6.7% | Exit below C$18.12 (−7.2%) | 42% 47/112 | +6.4% / +7.8% | −65.9% / −79.5% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −4.0% | Enter above C$19.93 (+2.0%) | 29% 198/690 | +2.7% / +7.8% | −39.3% / −79.5% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −1.5% | Enter above C$23.28 (+19.2%) | 36% 132/365 | +4.5% / +7.8% | −42.2% / −79.5% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Oct 6, 2026 +0.5% | Not on one close | 33% 185/559 | −3.5% / +7.8% | −82.4% / −79.5% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −5.6% | Not on one close | 28% 27/95 | +8.3% / +7.8% | −37.3% / −79.5% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −1.5% | Enter above C$19.51 (−0.1%) | 33% 308/936 | −1.1% / +7.8% | −63.7% / −79.5% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | Sep 2, 2026 −5.6% | Not on one close | 52% 83/161 | +1.7% / +7.8% | −70.9% / −79.5% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −5.2% | Not on one close | 34% 31/91 | +3.4% / +7.8% | −47.1% / −79.5% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −8.4% | Not on one close | 36% 24/66 | +1.2% / +7.8% | −8.3% / −79.5% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −8.2% | Buys Oct 30 | 51% 22/43 | +6.7% / +7.8% | −53.6% / −79.5% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 21, 2026 −2.8% | Enter above C$19.90 (+1.9%) | 53% 23/43 | +2.5% / +7.8% | −62.7% / −79.5% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | Apr 21, 2026 −2.8% | Window opens Oct 16 | 53% 23/43 | +4.2% / +7.8% | −57.3% / −79.5% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 −1.6% | Buys Dec 23 | 48% 21/44 | +4.3% / +7.8% | −5.2% / −79.5% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −1.5% | Buys Oct 29 | 47% 248/526 | +1.6% / +7.8% | −40.0% / −79.5% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −4.5% | Sells Jun 30 | 55% 6/11 | +2.6% / +7.8% | −21.8% / −79.5% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −6.5% | Buys Nov 24 | 46% 176/386 | +3.2% / +7.8% | −8.6% / −79.5% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +172.5% | Not on one close | 55% 11/20 | +7.2% / +7.8% | −42.3% / −79.5% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sells Oct 16 | 53% 1202/2284 | +6.7% / +7.8% | −68.8% / −79.5% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 −3.2% | Buys Oct 27 | 47% 165/348 | +3.1% / +7.8% | −4.1% / −79.5% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −2.3% | Sells Oct 16 | 49% 263/541 | +3.6% / +7.8% | −57.4% / −79.5% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Jan 4, 2005 | Always in | – | +7.8% | −79.5% |
If the market cracks: the storm test
How the storm test worksExposureHigh5 of 10 points
- Market swings0/3
- Past crashes2/2
- Debt3/3
- Run-up0/2
- It fell about 1.5× as far as its index in past crashes.
- It carries 1.9× as much debt as equity.
- It operating profit covers interest only 1.6×.
- Beta0.69Moves about 0.7× as much as the TSX week to week.
- Downside capture14%In months the TSX fell, this fell 14% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
- Two-year change+38%
- From 52-week high−15%
- Debt to equity1.94×
- Net debt / EBITDA7.3×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
- Interest cover1.6×
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
The business behind the price
How to judge these numbersREIT - Healthcare Facilities · Chartwell Retirement Residences is in the business of serving and caring for Canada's seniors, committed to its vision of Making People's Lives BETTER and to providing a happier, healthier, and more fulfilling life experience for its residents. Chartwell is an unincorporated, open ended real estate trust which indirectly owns and operates a complete range of seniors housing communities, from independent living through to assisted living and long-term care.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | C$6.4B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | C$1.2B | Total sales. The market values it at 5.3× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 651.0× | Buyers pay C$651 for each C$1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 81.4× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 3.5× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 0.7% | Keeps 1¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +19.2% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Return on equity | 0.6% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | C$69.0M | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | C$1.7B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | C$3.3B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | C$38.1M | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 1.94× | Above about 1.5× is heavily borrowed; above 3× is fragile in a downturn. |
| Interest cover | 1.6× | Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | C$25.86 | 32% above the close, from 11 analysts (range C$24.00 to C$27.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Strong buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
| Dividend yield | 3.22% | Yearly dividends as a share of the price. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
Read more
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