Oct 13 close Sign in

Software & devices

CrowdStrike (CRWD)

In the Nasdaq-100.

Your signal

Buy79 / 100

Buy: 79 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Trend (+65% vs 200-day) scores 100 and lifts it; Plays in (62%) scores 62 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightCRWDPointsWeightAdds
Plays in62%624024.8
Off the high−6% from its 1-year high793023.7
Trend+65% vs 200-day1003030.0
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for CRWD
FactorCRWDPointsWhat it is
Plays in62%62The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside−8% · 50 analysts17How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.7 · buy64The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E––Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Forward P/E162.7×0Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG8.405P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales49.6×2Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Price to book52.4×1Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth––Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth+24%69Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Profit margin1%21Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Return on equity1%18Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Debt to equity0.15×78Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Off the high−6% from its 1-year high79How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend+65% vs 200-day100How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+105%93The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure8/10 · very high20The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on CRWD

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in62 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureVery high8 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.65×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+65%). Higher than on 92% of days since 2020. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about CRWD now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

CRWD, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved CRWD lately

Its biggest move against the S&P 500 in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Sep 14+14.3% against the S&P 5003.5× a normal day

CRWD +13.9%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session; +15.0% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CRWD was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CRWD starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.5%. The 33 other Software & devices stocks Be The Puck covers moved +2.0% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on CRWD

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on CRWD went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2019. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +11.0%Exit below $256.30 (−1.9%)30% 50/168+32.0% / +38.9%−57.3% / −67.7%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINApr 24, 2026 +133.2%Exit below $206.32 (−21.0%)32% 9/28+42.1% / +55.6%−63.4% / −67.7%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Exit below $235.09 (−10.0%)31% 29/95+37.4% / +55.3%−49.9% / −67.7%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Exit below $231.73 (−11.3%)24% 13/54+26.7% / +44.9%−24.7% / −67.7%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyINMay 15, 2026 +75.9%Exit below $178.89 (−31.5%)37% 7/19+42.1% / +52.4%−36.7% / −67.7%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyINMay 8, 2026 +98.0%Exit below $178.89 (−31.5%)35% 7/20+35.1% / +46.0%−41.6% / −67.7%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endINMay 29, 2026 +42.9%Exit below $163.61 (−37.4%)57% 4/7+40.2% / +57.4%−46.4% / −67.7%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyINMay 4, 2026 +122.7%Exit below $158.94 (−39.2%)18% 6/33+43.7% / +55.4%−49.9% / −67.7%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyINMay 26, 2026 +55.6%Not on one close57% 4/7+37.5% / +55.4%−44.4% / −67.7%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyINMay 15, 2026 +75.9%Exit below $158.94 (−39.2%)17% 4/23+34.1% / +50.9%−49.9% / −67.7%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyINApr 17, 2026 +146.5%Exit below $176.52 (−32.4%)37% 15/41+35.4% / +55.9%−42.6% / −67.7%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Exit below $261.05 (−0.1%)27% 67/248+33.5% / +39.8%−61.6% / −67.7%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINSep 15, 2026 +7.7%Exit below $267.10 (+2.3%)43% 30/70+32.1% / +52.2%−54.4% / −67.7%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINMay 1, 2026 +129.3%Not on one close50% 4/8+37.4% / +43.9%−52.9% / −67.7%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyINApr 23, 2026 +134.6%Exit below $150.89 (−42.2%)37% 13/35+43.7% / +52.9%−45.9% / −67.7%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyINApr 16, 2026 +149.8%Exit below $200.69 (−23.2%)36% 9/25+44.0% / +51.6%−49.2% / −67.7%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Exit below $248.46 (−4.9%)36% 21/58+21.4% / +44.3%−70.3% / −67.7%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyINSep 3, 2026 +21.5%Not on one close48% 42/87+42.5% / +44.3%−30.0% / −67.7%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINSep 11, 2026 +26.3%Exit below $264.73 (+1.3%)38% 58/152+32.6% / +45.9%−68.7% / −67.7%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINAug 5, 2026 +24.5%Exit below $204.27 (−21.8%)48% 27/56+51.6% / +41.9%−35.7% / −67.7%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −1.6%Enter above $281.63 (+7.8%)35% 58/164+16.4% / +47.0%−74.6% / −67.7%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +3.6%Exit below $248.38 (−4.9%)30% 17/56+10.1% / +41.2%−34.9% / −67.7%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Exit below $130.83 (−49.9%)47% 23/49+46.6% / +47.4%−43.5% / −67.7%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyINSep 18, 2026 +9.9%Exit below $264.04 (+1.1%)33% 41/124+17.5% / +44.9%−62.5% / −67.7%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINAug 31, 2026 +13.1%Not on one close42% 25/59+44.8% / +47.4%−45.7% / −67.7%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 +26.3%Enter above $275.12 (+5.3%)45% 30/67+23.3% / +52.2%−79.0% / −67.7%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Exit below $140.73 (−46.1%)41% 20/49+47.6% / +55.3%−40.6% / −67.7%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyINApr 23, 2026 +134.6%Not on one close30% 8/27+30.6% / +55.3%−55.2% / −67.7%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +4.8%Exit below $230.85 (−11.6%)37% 26/70+32.9% / +51.7%−41.3% / −67.7%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJul 27, 2026 +45.0%Not on one close30% 3/10+2.4% / +47.4%−13.6% / −67.7%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINMar 9, 2026 +140.7%Exit below $230.85 (−11.6%)48% 16/33+45.9% / +44.3%−45.2% / −67.7%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +11.0%Exit below $259.30 (−0.7%)31% 16/51+20.0% / +43.3%−31.7% / −67.7%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINApr 22, 2026 +123.9%Exit below $230.85 (−11.6%)48% 13/27+33.0% / +43.3%−31.5% / −67.7%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Exit below $243.23 (−6.9%)27% 11/41+12.4% / +55.3%−54.4% / −67.7%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyINApr 22, 2026 +123.9%Exit below $200.60 (−23.2%)34% 14/41+14.5% / +44.3%−54.3% / −67.7%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyINSep 15, 2026 +7.7%Exit below $257.16 (−1.6%)31% 18/59+13.9% / +39.8%−30.9% / −67.7%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyINSep 15, 2026 +7.7%Exit below $261.01 (−0.1%)33% 24/73+16.4% / +45.0%−49.4% / −67.7%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Exit below $252.44 (−3.4%)37% 24/65+21.9% / +45.5%−56.6% / −67.7%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Exit below $244.55 (−6.4%)31% 19/62+20.5% / +44.3%−51.4% / −67.7%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +11.0%Exit below $227.22 (−13.0%)38% 33/86+24.5% / +42.9%−64.9% / −67.7%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Exit below $257.24 (−1.5%)34% 34/100+31.8% / +41.1%−45.3% / −67.7%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −1.6%Not on one close21% 15/72+4.2% / +44.3%−27.6% / −67.7%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTNov 13, 2025 +97.2%Not on one close32% 14/44−1.1% / +39.8%−41.6% / −67.7%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −1.3%Exit below $258.53 (−1.0%)40% 94/237+31.1% / +47.5%−58.3% / −67.7%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTOct 14, 2025 +113.7%Not on one close40% 4/10+2.4% / +54.8%−16.8% / −67.7%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINMar 31, 2026 +167.6%Exit below $140.77 (−46.1%)50% 3/6+45.4% / +44.8%−44.4% / −67.7%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINJun 30, 2026 +36.9%Not on one close33% 2/6+27.4% / +44.8%−62.7% / −67.7%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endINMay 29, 2026 +42.9%Exit below $156.52 (−40.1%)33% 2/6+29.3% / +44.8%−44.4% / −67.7%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Not on one close25% 10/40+19.5% / +55.8%−45.5% / −67.7%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endINMay 29, 2026 +42.9%Exit below $237.03 (−9.3%)13% 2/15+4.6% / +45.9%−58.5% / −67.7%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyINMay 8, 2026 +98.0%Exit below $196.03 (−25.0%)16% 7/45+29.2% / +56.6%−59.9% / −67.7%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −0.7%Enter above $296.49 (+13.5%)36% 53/148+13.1% / +47.4%−68.6% / −67.7%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −0.7%Enter above $268.62 (+2.8%)36% 78/214+35.1% / +47.4%−49.7% / −67.7%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $303.65 (+16.2%)35% 36/102+14.3% / +42.6%−53.2% / −67.7%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINMar 31, 2023 +661.2%Not on one close100% 1/1+47.9% / +31.1%−44.4% / −67.7%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −1.6%Enter above $281.23 (+7.7%)31% 66/214+11.7% / +44.3%−47.0% / −67.7%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $306.51 (+17.3%)38% 32/84+22.2% / +55.3%−49.0% / −67.7%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Exit below $124.01 (−52.5%)45% 22/49+47.2% / +55.3%−45.0% / −67.7%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endINApr 30, 2026 +134.4%Exit below $207.43 (−20.6%)32% 7/22+30.4% / +44.8%−56.7% / −67.7%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINJun 30, 2026 +36.9%Not on one close33% 1/3+35.7% / +51.2%−44.4% / −53.3%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINJun 30, 2026 +36.9%Not on one close29% 2/7+21.6% / +44.8%−62.7% / −67.7%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −0.7%Enter above $292.70 (+12.1%)34% 38/111+19.5% / +52.2%−65.3% / −67.7%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJun 4, 2026 +45.3%Not on one close75% 12/16+28.4% / +46.0%−60.5% / −67.7%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Buy below $250.88 (−4.0%)54% 51/94+3.1% / +55.4%−38.6% / −67.7%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −0.7%Sell above $278.86 (+6.8%)62% 76/123+23.6% / +55.4%−42.3% / −67.7%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTApr 7, 2026 +146.9%Buy below $237.76 (−9.0%)52% 25/48−0.5% / +45.0%−56.6% / −67.7%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTSep 18, 2026 +9.9%Not on one close59% 34/58+19.9% / +44.0%−60.1% / −67.7%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 +19.6%Not on one close56% 53/94+8.6% / +45.9%−58.3% / −67.7%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 +0.6%Not on one close50% 13/26+10.4% / +43.5%−55.3% / −67.7%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINMar 26, 2020 +1,681.8%Sell above $384.15 (+47.1%)–+55.4% / +55.4%−67.7% / −67.7%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Buy below $113.40 (−56.6%)50% 8/16+3.2% / +52.2%−29.6% / −67.7%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −0.7%Not on one close54% 57/106+36.1% / +39.8%−63.5% / −67.7%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −5.0%Not on one close57% 81/142+10.4% / +39.8%−65.1% / −67.7%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Buy below $261.21 (0.0%)51% 279/547−8.5% / +45.4%−65.2% / −67.7%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTAug 4, 2026 +23.7%Not on one close50% 14/28+8.1% / +55.4%−46.3% / −67.7%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −1.6%Enter above $296.62 (+13.6%)43% 145/334+34.4% / +47.4%−50.1% / −67.7%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 +167.6%Buy below $270.09 (+3.4%)50% 18/36+4.3% / +40.4%−57.2% / −67.7%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +11.0%Exit below $261.21 (0.0%)29% 71/242+40.3% / +45.0%−43.0% / −67.7%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINAug 10, 2026 +16.0%Not on one close34% 23/67+13.7% / +44.3%−72.5% / −67.7%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTApr 30, 2025 +143.6%Not on one close64% 9/14+14.6% / +46.0%−53.3% / −67.7%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINApr 25, 2025 +145.9%Not on one close44% 16/36+32.1% / +45.4%−66.7% / −67.7%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +14.6%Exit below $260.45 (−0.3%)30% 61/204+34.0% / +41.0%−43.2% / −67.7%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +11.0%Exit below $228.55 (−12.5%)34% 43/128+13.6% / +45.0%−71.8% / −67.7%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −0.7%Not on one close40% 72/182+20.9% / +44.3%−66.9% / −67.7%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINMay 8, 2026 +98.0%Not on one close45% 10/22+38.6% / +44.3%−59.2% / −67.7%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −1.6%Not on one close35% 104/293+19.3% / +52.6%−53.9% / −67.7%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTOct 7, 2025 +115.6%Not on one close62% 20/32+11.5% / +44.3%−54.7% / −67.7%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTAug 14, 2026 +20.4%Not on one close33% 12/36+9.3% / +43.1%−46.8% / −67.7%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTApr 15, 2024 +248.9%Not on one close21% 3/14−1.2% / +44.9%−20.6% / −67.7%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 +134.4%Buys Oct 3043% 6/14+14.0% / +45.4%−64.0% / −67.7%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 10, 2026 +175.7%Enter above $297.85 (+14.0%)50% 7/14+10.4% / +47.4%−54.1% / −67.7%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTJun 5, 2026 +55.7%Window opens Oct 1650% 7/14+22.6% / +47.4%−60.1% / −67.7%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +128.9%Buys Dec 2329% 4/14−0.3% / +45.4%−17.3% / −67.7%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −4.2%Buys Oct 2949% 86/176+11.3% / +45.4%−53.3% / −67.7%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −1.3%Sells Jun 3025% 1/4+0.6% / +45.4%−48.1% / −67.7%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +22.6%Buys Nov 2444% 61/138+4.8% / +45.4%−9.2% / −67.7%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +892.3%Not on one close67% 4/6+43.0% / +57.1%−44.4% / −67.7%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −0.7%Sells Oct 1652% 397/765+33.6% / +45.4%−56.7% / −67.7%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +8.2%Buys Oct 2748% 56/116+5.7% / +45.4%−11.3% / −67.7%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −3.3%Sells Oct 1647% 85/181+23.5% / +45.4%−44.7% / −67.7%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJun 12, 2019Always in–+48.5%−67.7%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureVery high8 of 10 points
  • Market swings2/3
  • Past crashes1/2
  • Debt3/3
  • Run-up2/2
  • It moves about 1.9× its index.
  • It fell about 1.3× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It operating profit doesn't cover its interest.
  • It is up 226% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Apr 2020

CRWD−50%
S&P 500−34%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to May 2022 · back to its old high Aug 2022

CRWD−31%
S&P 500−25%
  • Beta1.90Moves about 1.9× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
  • Downside capture−27%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell -27% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+226%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
  • From 52-week high−6%
  • Debt to equity0.19×
  • Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.
  • Interest cover−3.5×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Software - Infrastructure · CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cybersecurity solutions in the United States and internationally. Its unified platform provides cloud-delivered protection of endpoints, cloud workloads, identity, and data through a software as a service (SaaS) subscription-based model.

Size and valuation
Market cap$267BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$5.4BTotal sales. The market values it at 49.6× sales.
P/E ratio5,224.2×Buyers pay $5,224 for each $1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E162.7×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book52.4×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin1.1%Keeps 1¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+24.3%The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Return on equity1.1%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$2.0BCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$4.4BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$820MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$5.0BCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.19×Comfortable.
Interest cover−3.5×Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst target$240.178% below the close, from 50 analysts (range $132.00 to $325.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-07-31; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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