Oct 13 close Sign in

Real estate

CT REIT (CRT.UN)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Hold56 / 100

Hold: 56 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Off the high (−8% from its 1-year high) scores 74 and lifts it; Trend (+0% vs 200-day) scores 43 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightCRT.UNPointsWeightAdds
Plays in51%514020.4
Off the high−8% from its 1-year high743022.2
Trend+0% vs 200-day433012.9
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for CRT.UN
FactorCRT.UNPointsWhat it is
Plays in51%51The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+10% · 9 analysts42How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating2.9 · hold6The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E8.9×95Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E12.8×69Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales6.6×25Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book2.0×74Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield5.7%93Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+23%53Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+5%24Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin41%92Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity13%51Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.71×42Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−8% from its 1-year high74How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend+0% vs 200-day43How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+11%46The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure1/10 · low90The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on CRT.UN

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in51 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow1 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.00×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+0%). Higher than on 31% of days since 2014. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about CRT.UN now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

CRT.UN, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved CRT.UN lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Oct 5−1.9% against the S&P/TSX1.8× a normal day

CRT.UN −1.8%, the S&P/TSX +0.0% that session; −0.4% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

Wed Sep 23+1.9% against the S&P/TSX1.9× a normal day

CRT.UN +0.3%, the S&P/TSX −1.6% that session; +3.5% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CRT.UN was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CRT.UN starts Oct 4, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.6%. The 18 other Real estate stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.5% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on CRT.UN

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on CRT.UN went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2013. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +0.8%Exit below C$16.99 (−0.6%)23% 99/430−1.8% / +9.3%−41.0% / −45.9%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTAug 28, 2026 −0.8%Enter above C$17.65 (+3.3%)19% 15/81+1.7% / +9.0%−33.8% / −45.9%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTAug 21, 2026 −3.6%Enter above C$17.19 (+0.6%)18% 48/266−1.4% / +9.7%−43.0% / −45.9%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −3.0%Enter above C$24.49 (+43.3%)16% 8/49+1.8% / +8.0%−12.2% / −45.9%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTAug 28, 2026 −0.8%Enter above C$17.43 (+2.0%)15% 10/65+2.1% / +9.4%−28.3% / −45.9%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTAug 7, 2026 −3.5%Enter above C$18.33 (+7.2%)26% 16/62+1.5% / +9.6%−31.1% / −45.9%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endINJul 31, 2024 +34.8%Exit below C$17.05 (−0.3%)11% 3/28+3.9% / +9.4%−45.9% / −45.9%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +0.5%Exit below C$17.02 (−0.4%)10% 15/154+0.9% / +9.1%−42.4% / −45.9%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyINJul 25, 2024 +34.1%Exit below C$4.29 (−74.9%)21% 3/14+4.5% / +9.1%−45.9% / −45.9%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +0.5%Exit below C$17.02 (−0.4%)12% 10/84+3.6% / +9.3%−25.5% / −45.9%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTAug 7, 2026 −3.5%Enter above C$16.81 (−1.6%)32% 29/90+3.4% / +9.5%−27.5% / −45.9%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +0.5%Exit below C$16.99 (−0.6%)22% 112/509−4.3% / +9.3%−53.8% / −45.9%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +1.7%Exit below C$14.53 (−15.0%)31% 52/169+2.1% / +9.2%−25.4% / −45.9%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINJul 23, 2024 +34.0%Exit below C$7.27 (−57.5%)12% 2/16+1.7% / +8.9%−47.2% / −45.9%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −3.5%Enter above C$19.61 (+14.7%)29% 26/89+2.2% / +9.1%−33.3% / −45.9%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTAug 10, 2026 −2.4%Enter above C$17.70 (+3.6%)18% 15/83+2.1% / +9.1%−31.6% / −45.9%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −3.0%Enter above C$17.39 (+1.7%)31% 25/81+3.2% / +9.6%−33.4% / −45.9%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −3.5%Not on one close36% 79/218+0.5% / +9.6%−26.6% / −45.9%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINSep 29, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$16.56 (−3.1%)32% 117/370+0.6% / +9.8%−32.3% / −45.9%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +0.8%Exit below C$16.53 (−3.3%)33% 45/136+2.2% / +9.5%−23.5% / −45.9%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +1.4%Exit below C$16.89 (−1.2%)37% 113/304−0.5% / +9.9%−34.0% / −45.9%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTAug 4, 2026 −5.0%Enter above C$17.32 (+1.3%)28% 20/71+1.0% / +9.5%−20.1% / −45.9%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −3.5%Enter above C$17.32 (+1.3%)23% 32/1410.0% / +9.2%−37.4% / −45.9%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTAug 7, 2026 −3.5%Enter above C$17.38 (+1.7%)35% 23/66+5.7% / +9.6%−35.4% / −45.9%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −0.5%Exit below C$16.87 (−1.3%)26% 39/148+1.5% / +9.2%−34.6% / −45.9%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINSep 29, 2026 +0.6%Not on one close31% 48/155+1.1% / +9.2%−42.5% / −45.9%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −3.5%Enter above C$17.39 (+1.7%)31% 28/90+1.3% / +9.7%−23.8% / −45.9%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −1.8%Enter above C$20.40 (+19.4%)27% 17/62+5.0% / +9.7%−24.9% / −45.9%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −0.4%Exit below C$16.70 (−2.3%)29% 36/125−0.1% / +9.2%−36.2% / −45.9%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJun 12, 2026 −4.5%Not on one close31% 5/16+1.9% / +9.2%−4.0% / −45.9%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −0.4%Exit below C$16.56 (−3.1%)35% 26/75+3.5% / +9.6%−26.1% / −45.9%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTAug 4, 2026 −5.0%Enter above C$18.69 (+9.3%)24% 24/100−0.7% / +9.3%−37.2% / −45.9%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTAug 4, 2026 −5.0%Enter above C$18.69 (+9.3%)23% 13/56+3.3% / +9.3%−24.4% / −45.9%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −3.0%Enter above C$20.85 (+22.0%)22% 13/60+2.0% / +9.7%−21.3% / −45.9%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyINSep 28, 2026 +1.0%Exit below C$16.53 (−3.3%)31% 20/65+0.4% / +9.6%−27.7% / −45.9%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTMay 14, 2026 +0.3%Enter above C$17.60 (+3.0%)28% 22/80+0.4% / +9.3%−25.2% / −45.9%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −0.4%Exit below C$16.90 (−1.1%)29% 40/137−0.4% / +9.7%−29.8% / −45.9%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −0.4%Exit below C$16.56 (−3.1%)27% 30/112−0.5% / +9.5%−38.8% / −45.9%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −3.0%Enter above C$17.42 (+1.9%)26% 27/103+1.3% / +9.6%−39.6% / −45.9%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyINMay 6, 2025 +22.1%Exit below C$15.38 (−10.0%)39% 7/18+7.3% / +9.1%−27.9% / −45.9%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −0.5%Exit below C$16.57 (−3.0%)26% 46/176+0.5% / +9.5%−36.8% / −45.9%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 −0.6%Not on one close26% 21/80+0.6% / +9.6%−10.9% / −45.9%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTJun 23, 2026 −3.6%Enter above C$17.38 (+1.7%)30% 31/104−0.2% / +9.3%−28.6% / −45.9%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +1.7%Exit below C$16.66 (−2.5%)28% 123/442−2.7% / +9.9%−49.2% / −45.9%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJun 1, 2026 −0.7%Not on one close20% 4/20+1.7% / +9.2%−8.0% / −45.9%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINJan 31, 2025 +31.8%Exit below C$16.07 (−6.0%)29% 4/14+6.4% / +9.2%−45.9% / −45.9%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINAug 30, 2024 +25.2%Not on one close31% 5/16+4.5% / +9.2%−45.9% / −45.9%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −0.4%Enter above C$17.86 (+4.5%)21% 3/14+2.9% / +9.2%−45.9% / −45.9%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTAug 25, 2026 −2.9%Not on one close16% 15/93+2.2% / +9.8%−26.7% / −45.9%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endINJul 31, 2024 +34.8%Exit below C$15.77 (−7.7%)22% 2/9+3.7% / +9.6%−45.9% / −45.9%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTAug 7, 2026 −3.5%Enter above C$18.24 (+6.7%)27% 24/89+1.2% / +9.1%−24.2% / −45.9%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +1.9%Exit below C$16.22 (−5.1%)31% 85/278−0.2% / +9.2%−32.2% / −45.9%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −0.5%Exit below C$16.99 (−0.6%)28% 140/508−1.8% / +9.2%−36.9% / −45.9%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +1.4%Exit below C$14.30 (−16.3%)38% 69/184+1.5% / +9.3%−31.2% / −45.9%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINJul 31, 2024 +34.8%Not on one close20% 3/15+5.1% / +8.3%−45.9% / −45.9%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −0.5%Exit below C$17.09 (0.0%)27% 96/357−1.4% / +9.6%−36.3% / −45.9%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +1.7%Exit below C$11.62 (−32.0%)33% 54/165+0.8% / +9.7%−33.1% / −45.9%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −3.5%Enter above C$17.35 (+1.5%)23% 31/136+0.2% / +9.7%−36.5% / −45.9%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −0.4%Enter above C$17.19 (+0.6%)28% 12/43+7.0% / +9.2%−24.4% / −45.9%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINAug 30, 2024 +25.2%Not on one close31% 5/16+1.7% / +7.3%−45.9% / −45.9%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINApr 30, 2025 +24.8%Not on one close30% 3/10+6.2% / +9.2%−45.9% / −45.9%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +1.7%Exit below C$15.77 (−7.7%)29% 59/205+1.7% / +9.2%−33.7% / −45.9%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 2, 2026 +0.5%Not on one close71% 12/17+4.5% / +9.9%−35.4% / −45.9%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 3, 2026 −0.2%Not on one close62% 119/192+5.0% / +9.1%−9.3% / −45.9%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 +1.4%Not on one close67% 170/254+8.2% / +9.1%−17.5% / −45.9%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +1.0%Buy below C$16.55 (−3.1%)64% 70/110+6.1% / +9.7%−39.1% / −45.9%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 +1.3%Not on one close63% 57/90+5.5% / +9.9%−35.5% / −45.9%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 +1.3%Not on one close62% 110/176+8.2% / +9.8%−44.6% / −45.9%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINSep 2, 2026 +0.5%Not on one close72% 28/39+7.7% / +9.7%−17.1% / −45.9%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINAug 13, 2014 +184.2%Sell above C$41.13 (+140.7%)–+9.1% / +9.1%−45.9% / −45.9%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTOct 11, 2023 +49.4%Buy below C$10.55 (−38.3%)50% 1/2+2.3% / +9.2%−0.1% / −45.9%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +1.4%Not on one close47% 100/212+6.0% / +9.3%−44.8% / −45.9%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 +2.6%Not on one close60% 164/275+6.4% / +9.3%−44.6% / −45.9%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 +1.6%Buy below C$17.09 (0.0%)56% 577/1023+1.6% / +9.9%−22.8% / −45.9%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −0.4%Not on one close56% 29/52+3.4% / +9.1%−39.1% / −45.9%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −0.5%Exit below C$17.04 (−0.3%)35% 224/638+0.4% / +9.2%−32.5% / −45.9%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINAug 31, 2026 −0.4%Sell above C$17.30 (+1.2%)53% 41/77+6.2% / +9.6%−32.3% / −45.9%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +2.0%Exit below C$17.09 (0.0%)28% 120/422+1.6% / +9.7%−32.1% / −45.9%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +1.7%Not on one close35% 46/131−0.6% / +9.6%−46.7% / −45.9%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINAug 12, 2026 −3.8%Not on one close68% 17/25+3.1% / +9.9%−21.7% / −45.9%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINNov 6, 2025 +12.7%Exit below C$16.84 (−1.5%)35% 17/48+6.5% / +9.1%−32.1% / −45.9%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +0.8%Exit below C$17.01 (−0.5%)25% 112/444−3.3% / +9.6%−47.3% / −45.9%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +0.8%Exit below C$15.87 (−7.1%)29% 66/224+0.4% / +9.6%−27.6% / −45.9%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +1.9%Not on one close35% 114/324−2.5% / +9.6%−42.7% / −45.9%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +0.5%Not on one close41% 23/56+7.3% / +8.9%−45.9% / −45.9%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINSep 3, 2026 −0.2%Not on one close31% 170/546+0.8% / +9.5%−40.6% / −45.9%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +1.7%Not on one close45% 44/97+4.3% / +9.7%−45.9% / −45.9%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTJul 9, 2026 −6.1%Not on one close24% 13/54+1.3% / +9.8%−24.7% / −45.9%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTAug 7, 2025 +15.3%Not on one close57% 23/40+3.9% / +9.6%−8.0% / −45.9%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −0.2%Buys Oct 3054% 14/26+7.7% / +9.9%−45.9% / −45.9%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 22, 2026 +0.5%Not on one close62% 16/26+5.1% / +9.2%−45.9% / −45.9%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 +0.3%Window opens Oct 1656% 14/25+6.7% / +9.2%−45.9% / −45.9%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +7.3%Buys Dec 2350% 13/26+2.3% / +9.9%−4.7% / −45.9%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +1.4%Buys Oct 2949% 153/312+3.5% / +9.9%−17.5% / −45.9%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +0.8%Sells Jun 3043% 3/7+4.1% / +9.9%−15.8% / −45.9%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +0.1%Buys Nov 2454% 126/234+4.2% / +9.9%−4.0% / −45.9%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +37.3%Not on one close42% 5/12+5.8% / +9.3%−21.3% / −45.9%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1652% 703/1353+7.8% / +9.9%−24.9% / −45.9%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +2.6%Buys Oct 2744% 91/206+2.5% / +9.9%−4.4% / −45.9%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −0.4%Sells Oct 1650% 161/321+7.1% / +9.9%−31.1% / −45.9%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINOct 24, 2013Always in–+10.0%−45.9%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureLow1 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes0/2
  • Debt1/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It carries 1.6× as much debt as equity.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Mar 2021

CRT.UN−46%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Oct 2022 · back to its old high Jan 2023

CRT.UN−14%
TSX−14%
  • Beta0.68Moves about 0.7× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture76%In months the TSX fell, this fell 76% as much on average.
  • Two-year change+25%
  • From 52-week high−8%
  • Debt to equity1.63×
  • Interest cover4.9×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

REIT - Retail · CT Real Estate Investment Trust is an unincorporated, closed-end real estate investment trust formed to own income producing commercial properties located primarily in Canada. Its portfolio is comprised of 380 properties totaling 32 million square feet of GLA, consisting primarily of net lease single-tenant retail properties located across Canada. Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited is CT REIT's most significant tenant.

Size and valuation
Market capC$4.1BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)C$618MTotal sales. The market values it at 6.6× sales.
P/E ratio8.9×Buyers pay C$9 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E12.8×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book2.0×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin41.1%Keeps 41¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+4.6%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth+22.6%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity12.6%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flowC$256MCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equityC$2.0BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debtC$3.2BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
CashC$11.9MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity1.63×Above about 1.5× is heavily borrowed; above 3× is fragile in a downturn.
Interest cover4.9×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$18.7210% above the close, from 9 analysts (range C$18.00 to C$19.25).
Consensus ratingHoldAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield5.72%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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