Industrials & materials
In the Nasdaq-100.
Your signal
Sell: 9 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (16%) scores 16 and lifts it; Off the high (−42% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | CPRT | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 16% | 16 | 40 | 6.4 |
| Off the high | −42% from its 1-year high | 0 | 30 | 0.0 |
| Trend | −20% vs 200-day | 9 | 30 | 2.7 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | CPRT | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 16% | 16 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +48% · 10 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 2.2 · buy | 38 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 17.0× | 74 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31. |
| Forward P/E | 15.1× | 53 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | 2.83 | 17 | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to sales | 5.2× | 35 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31. |
| Price to book | 2.7× | 57 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31. |
| Dividend yield | none | 0 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | −3% | 27 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31. |
| Revenue growth | +0% | 11 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31. |
| Profit margin | 32% | 85 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31. |
| Return on equity | 16% | 62 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31. |
| Debt to equity | 0.00× | 99 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31. |
| Off the high | −42% from its 1-year high | 0 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −20% vs 200-day | 9 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | −40% | 8 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 1/10 · low | 90 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on CPRTThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about CPRT now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
Its biggest move against the S&P 500 in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
CPRT +5.9%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session; −2.2% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CPRT was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CPRT starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.5%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.3% on average, so most of the move was its own.
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on CPRT went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −17.7% | Enter above $28.02 (+6.3%) | 26% 154/593 | +10.3% / +13.9% | −35.1% / −58.7% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −12.0% | Enter above $30.60 (+16.1%) | 24% 26/109 | +8.6% / +13.9% | −38.5% / −58.7% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Sep 15, 2026 −15.0% | Enter above $29.26 (+11.0%) | 20% 76/377 | +5.9% / +13.9% | −46.9% / −58.7% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Jul 16, 2024 −51.2% | Not on one close | 17% 29/175 | +4.5% / +13.9% | −34.6% / −58.7% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | May 23, 2025 −50.9% | Enter above $60.65 (+130.0%) | 21% 15/73 | +6.6% / +13.9% | −42.9% / −58.7% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | May 23, 2025 −50.9% | Enter above $38.16 (+44.7%) | 29% 27/93 | +6.9% / +13.9% | −43.5% / −58.7% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | OUT | May 30, 2025 −48.8% | Enter above $32.81 (+24.4%) | 26% 11/43 | +7.8% / +13.9% | −43.8% / −58.7% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | May 23, 2025 −50.9% | Enter above $33.04 (+25.3%) | 11% 22/203 | +8.4% / +13.9% | −43.8% / −58.7% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | OUT | Jun 26, 2025 −45.3% | Not on one close | 31% 10/32 | +10.4% / +13.9% | −43.8% / −58.7% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | May 23, 2025 −50.9% | Not on one close | 10% 18/175 | +5.9% / +13.9% | −57.4% / −58.7% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Sep 25, 2026 −4.4% | Enter above $36.32 (+37.7%) | 35% 48/139 | +4.1% / +13.9% | −47.6% / −58.7% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −0.4% | Enter above $27.19 (+3.1%) | 24% 190/786 | +6.6% / +13.9% | −47.5% / −58.7% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −14.2% | Enter above $35.30 (+33.9%) | 32% 88/273 | +3.1% / +13.9% | −54.5% / −58.7% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | OUT | Jun 12, 2025 −47.2% | Not on one close | 28% 8/29 | +11.8% / +14.2% | −47.5% / −58.7% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Sep 17, 2026 −11.1% | Enter above $48.13 (+82.5%) | 24% 34/141 | +4.7% / +13.9% | −54.7% / −58.7% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Sep 21, 2026 −8.8% | Not on one close | 27% 30/111 | +9.5% / +13.9% | −42.9% / −58.7% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −12.0% | Enter above $28.90 (+9.6%) | 34% 52/151 | +7.5% / +13.9% | −43.0% / −58.7% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Sep 15, 2026 −15.0% | Not on one close | 41% 130/315 | +3.3% / +13.9% | −44.4% / −58.7% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −17.7% | Enter above $30.49 (+15.6%) | 31% 179/577 | +6.0% / +13.9% | −43.2% / −58.7% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Sep 21, 2026 −8.8% | Enter above $32.50 (+23.2%) | 33% 78/233 | +3.0% / +13.9% | −52.5% / −58.7% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $27.82 (+5.5%) | 39% 194/502 | +7.6% / +13.9% | −32.7% / −58.7% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −14.2% | Enter above $28.76 (+9.1%) | 32% 56/175 | +3.3% / +13.9% | −33.1% / −58.7% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Sep 17, 2026 −11.1% | Enter above $39.58 (+50.1%) | 26% 52/201 | +5.3% / +13.9% | −56.8% / −58.7% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −12.0% | Enter above $28.31 (+7.4%) | 35% 64/181 | +6.9% / +13.9% | −41.9% / −58.7% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −12.0% | Enter above $77.04 (+192.2%) | 29% 71/249 | +5.6% / +13.9% | −47.9% / −58.7% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −14.2% | Not on one close | 36% 86/241 | +6.6% / +13.9% | −45.7% / −58.7% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Sep 17, 2026 −11.1% | Enter above $38.22 (+45.0%) | 29% 51/173 | +6.2% / +13.9% | −49.8% / −58.7% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Sep 22, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above $50.45 (+91.3%) | 24% 25/103 | +8.8% / +13.9% | −39.4% / −58.7% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −12.0% | Not on one close | 34% 70/203 | +4.0% / +13.9% | −41.6% / −58.7% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jan 2, 2024 −44.5% | Not on one close | 40% 19/48 | +1.4% / +13.9% | −13.4% / −58.7% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | OUT | Sep 18, 2026 −9.9% | Enter above $30.96 (+17.4%) | 34% 48/143 | +3.1% / +13.9% | −59.3% / −58.7% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −14.2% | Enter above $31.54 (+19.6%) | 34% 47/140 | +6.5% / +13.9% | −29.1% / −58.7% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −14.2% | Enter above $34.63 (+31.3%) | 28% 29/104 | +3.8% / +13.9% | −38.0% / −58.7% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | May 23, 2025 −50.9% | Enter above $90.52 (+243.2%) | 24% 26/108 | +3.4% / +13.9% | −43.1% / −58.7% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Sep 2, 2026 −18.0% | Not on one close | 31% 34/111 | +2.5% / +13.9% | −48.9% / −58.7% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −17.7% | Enter above $30.42 (+15.3%) | 33% 50/153 | +3.9% / +13.9% | −41.8% / −58.7% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −17.7% | Enter above $29.87 (+13.3%) | 34% 78/229 | +5.7% / +13.9% | −41.5% / −58.7% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −14.2% | Enter above $31.73 (+20.3%) | 34% 64/191 | +6.6% / +13.9% | −52.0% / −58.7% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −14.2% | Enter above $28.66 (+8.7%) | 33% 55/169 | +7.9% / +13.9% | −50.0% / −58.7% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −14.2% | Enter above $34.63 (+31.3%) | 36% 21/59 | +11.1% / +13.9% | −41.5% / −58.7% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −17.7% | Enter above $30.18 (+14.5%) | 26% 83/317 | +7.2% / +13.9% | −41.3% / −58.7% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Aug 24, 2026 −20.7% | Not on one close | 27% 56/204 | +1.4% / +13.9% | −16.8% / −58.7% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Jan 28, 2026 −35.1% | Not on one close | 35% 52/150 | +3.3% / +13.9% | −29.7% / −58.7% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −0.4% | Enter above $27.47 (+4.2%) | 34% 229/673 | +4.4% / +13.9% | −43.2% / −58.7% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2025 −45.1% | Not on one close | 32% 12/38 | +3.1% / +13.9% | −12.5% / −58.7% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | OUT | May 30, 2025 −48.8% | Enter above $44.60 (+69.1%) | 38% 11/29 | +14.0% / +14.4% | −43.8% / −58.7% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | OUT | Jun 30, 2025 −46.3% | Not on one close | 43% 10/23 | +14.8% / +14.4% | −43.8% / −58.7% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | OUT | May 30, 2025 −48.8% | Enter above $49.59 (+88.1%) | 45% 15/33 | +14.3% / +14.4% | −43.8% / −58.7% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | May 23, 2025 −50.9% | Not on one close | 23% 30/130 | +9.5% / +13.9% | −32.0% / −58.7% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | May 30, 2025 −48.8% | Enter above $40.85 (+54.9%) | 42% 8/19 | +11.4% / +13.9% | −37.6% / −58.7% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | May 23, 2025 −50.9% | Enter above $32.02 (+21.4%) | 24% 29/120 | +8.4% / +13.9% | −28.4% / −58.7% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Sep 2, 2026 −18.0% | Enter above $26.62 (+1.0%) | 34% 148/441 | +7.0% / +13.9% | −49.0% / −58.7% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −19.1% | Enter above $27.37 (+3.8%) | 30% 222/739 | +8.3% / +13.9% | −42.9% / −58.7% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −17.7% | Enter above $30.04 (+13.9%) | 40% 123/307 | +7.6% / +13.9% | −33.1% / −58.7% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −3.3% | Enter above $27.42 (+4.0%) | 50% 3/6 | +15.4% / +14.6% | −43.8% / −58.7% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Aug 25, 2026 −20.9% | Enter above $30.49 (+15.6%) | 28% 176/636 | +1.7% / +13.9% | −52.9% / −58.7% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −14.2% | Enter above $40.32 (+52.9%) | 36% 105/289 | +4.2% / +13.9% | −49.4% / −58.7% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Sep 17, 2026 −11.1% | Enter above $40.18 (+52.4%) | 24% 48/199 | +4.7% / +13.9% | −58.8% / −58.7% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −3.3% | Enter above $28.75 (+9.0%) | 35% 27/78 | +10.8% / +14.4% | −44.3% / −58.7% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | OUT | Jun 30, 2025 −46.3% | Not on one close | 33% 5/15 | +15.2% / +14.4% | −43.8% / −58.7% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | OUT | Jun 30, 2025 −46.3% | Not on one close | 42% 14/33 | +13.8% / +14.4% | −43.8% / −58.7% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −14.2% | Enter above $29.88 (+13.3%) | 33% 113/341 | +4.7% / +13.9% | −45.7% / −58.7% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −3.3% | Not on one close | 66% 27/41 | +7.9% / +13.9% | −45.6% / −58.7% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Jun 10, 2025 −47.6% | Not on one close | 52% 164/315 | −3.1% / +13.9% | −54.5% / −58.7% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Jun 24, 2025 −45.8% | Not on one close | 57% 226/399 | +0.1% / +13.9% | −39.6% / −58.7% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Sep 11, 2026 −12.0% | Sell above $27.69 (+5.0%) | 63% 125/197 | +3.4% / +13.9% | −39.6% / −58.7% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Sep 14, 2026 −16.9% | Not on one close | 65% 100/153 | +7.6% / +13.9% | −48.3% / −58.7% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Sep 14, 2026 −16.9% | Not on one close | 63% 175/279 | +9.0% / +13.9% | −41.0% / −58.7% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | IN | Sep 29, 2026 −2.8% | Not on one close | 63% 52/83 | +8.5% / +13.9% | −49.8% / −58.7% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Nov 22, 2004 +1,803.1% | Sell above $79.85 (+202.8%) | – | +13.9% / +13.9% | −58.7% / −58.7% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Mar 23, 2026 −21.0% | Buy below $25.32 (−4.0%) | 40% 8/20 | +1.7% / +13.9% | −14.4% / −58.7% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Sep 3, 2026 −21.5% | Not on one close | 53% 173/329 | +9.4% / +13.9% | −56.2% / −58.7% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −0.4% | Not on one close | 55% 233/426 | +3.1% / +13.9% | −42.8% / −58.7% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Buy below $26.37 (0.0%) | 56% 975/1750 | −0.2% / +13.9% | −43.8% / −58.7% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Mar 25, 2025 −52.6% | Not on one close | 62% 71/114 | +7.9% / +13.9% | −36.7% / −58.7% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $27.32 (+3.6%) | 38% 404/1060 | +8.6% / +13.9% | −41.9% / −58.7% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −3.3% | Sell above $27.83 (+5.5%) | 60% 78/131 | +10.2% / +13.9% | −43.6% / −58.7% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −14.2% | Not on one close | 25% 190/755 | +4.0% / +13.9% | −52.9% / −58.7% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −12.0% | Not on one close | 38% 85/225 | +5.4% / +13.9% | −39.2% / −58.7% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | IN | Dec 31, 2024 −54.1% | Not on one close | 62% 28/45 | +8.3% / +13.9% | −58.7% / −58.7% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | OUT | May 26, 2026 −20.7% | Not on one close | 45% 28/62 | +15.4% / +14.3% | −50.8% / −58.7% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −14.2% | Enter above $27.06 (+2.6%) | 26% 183/707 | +8.5% / +13.9% | −32.2% / −58.7% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −14.2% | Enter above $31.71 (+20.2%) | 32% 117/371 | +3.7% / +13.9% | −51.4% / −58.7% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −0.4% | Not on one close | 35% 220/623 | +6.2% / +13.9% | −35.9% / −58.7% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | OUT | Sep 1, 2026 −18.8% | Not on one close | 37% 36/98 | +13.5% / +14.2% | −43.8% / −58.7% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −3.1% | Not on one close | 35% 304/869 | +10.1% / +13.9% | −40.5% / −58.7% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | Dec 26, 2025 −32.9% | Not on one close | 55% 68/123 | +9.0% / +13.9% | −48.4% / −58.7% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −6.0% | Not on one close | 35% 32/92 | +1.9% / +13.9% | −54.9% / −58.7% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jun 29, 2026 −6.2% | Enter above $26.39 (+0.1%) | 36% 18/50 | +1.3% / +13.9% | −18.8% / −58.7% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −20.4% | Buys Oct 30 | 58% 25/43 | +11.3% / +13.9% | −43.8% / −58.7% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 −4.6% | Window opens Apr 1 | 64% 28/44 | +10.1% / +13.9% | −43.8% / −58.7% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | May 14, 2026 −19.2% | Window opens Oct 16 | 65% 28/43 | +11.2% / +13.9% | −43.8% / −58.7% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 −31.6% | Buys Dec 23 | 32% 14/44 | +1.8% / +13.9% | −6.6% / −58.7% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −4.6% | Buys Oct 29 | 49% 257/526 | +2.7% / +13.9% | −26.3% / −58.7% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −3.3% | Sells Jun 30 | 55% 6/11 | +8.2% / +13.9% | −17.3% / −58.7% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −21.8% | Buys Nov 24 | 48% 191/400 | +2.8% / +13.9% | −11.8% / −58.7% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 −13.4% | Not on one close | 30% 6/20 | +8.0% / +13.9% | −58.7% / −58.7% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 −0.4% | Sells Oct 16 | 51% 1174/2284 | +8.8% / +13.9% | −52.7% / −58.7% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 −14.4% | Buys Oct 27 | 46% 160/348 | +2.8% / +13.9% | −9.1% / −58.7% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −3.1% | Sells Oct 16 | 51% 276/541 | +7.3% / +13.9% | −48.3% / −58.7% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Jan 3, 2005 | Always in | – | +13.9% | −58.7% |
Nothing on the checklist stands out.
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Specialty Business Services · Copart, Inc. provides online auctions and vehicle remarketing services in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Brazil, Canada, the United Arab Emirates, Spain, Finland, Oman, the Republic of Ireland, and Bahrain. The company provides a range of services to process and sell vehicles over the internet through its virtual bidding third generation internet auction-style sales technology.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | $24.4B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $4.7B | Total sales. The market values it at 5.2× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 17.0× | Buyers pay $17 for each $1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 15.1× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 2.7× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 31.8% | Keeps 32¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +0.4% | The last four quarters' sales against the four before. |
| Earnings growth | −2.5% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 16.3% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | $885M | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | $9.2B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $88.4M | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | $4.5B | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.01× | Comfortable. |
| Interest cover | 101.7× | Interest is easily paid from profit. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | $39.00 | 48% above the close, from 10 analysts (range $25.00 to $55.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-07-31; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
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