Industrials & materials

Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP)

C$121.88 +1.1% on the day·+17.2% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Hold52 / 100

Hold: 52 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Off the high (−8% from its 1-year high) scores 73 and lifts it; Plays in (33%) scores 33 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	CP	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	33%	33	40	13.2
Off the high	−8% from its 1-year high	73	30	21.9
Trend	+4% vs 200-day	55	30	16.5

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for CP

Factor	CP	Points	What it is
Plays in	33%	33	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+15% · 19 analysts	50	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	1.8 · buy	60	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	28.3×	43	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	20.4×	32	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	2.24	29	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	6.9×	24	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	2.3×	67	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield	0.9%	26	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	−14%	21	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth	+13%	47	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	25%	75	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	8%	35	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity	0.53×	50	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high	−8% from its 1-year high	73	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	+4% vs 200-day	55	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+17%	52	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	1/10 · low	90	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on CP

33 of the 100 plays hold CP right now.
The trend-following, breakout and volume plays mostly say out.
It closed 4% above its 200-day average and 8% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads low.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$139.74, 15% above the close (19 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in33 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureLow1 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple1.04×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+4%). Higher than on 38% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about CP now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn CP: right 24 of 56 · Out since Mar 26, 2024 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn CP: right 22 of 69 · Out since Oct 1, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn CP: right 13 of 24 · In since Mar 31, 2026 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionIN64% of 53,095 calls rightOn CP: right 128 of 193 · In since Sep 1, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexOUT59% of 13,925 calls rightOn CP: right 19 of 34 · Out since May 28, 2026 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchIN50% of 38,976 calls rightOn CP: right 69 of 145 · In since Sep 3, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn CP: right 22 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

CP, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved CP lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Wed Sep 23+2.2% against the S&P/TSX1.8× a normal day

CP +0.6%, the S&P/TSX −1.6% that session; +1.7% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CP was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CP starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.6%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.7% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Fri Sep 18−1.2% against the S&P/TSX1.0× a normal day

CP −1.4%, the S&P/TSX −0.2% that session; −0.1% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CP was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CP starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.2%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.7% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Tue Sep 1−2.5% against the S&P/TSX1.9× a normal day

CP −3.7%, the S&P/TSX −1.2% that session; −1.7% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CP was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CP starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.2%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −2.1% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.

Next earnings report

Wed Oct 28, 2026 after the close

From Yahoo Finance's calendar; dates can move. Analysts expect earnings per share of 1.31.

Over its last 12 reports, CP's typical move against the S&P/TSX at the first close after the report was ±0.7% (median size, either way); it finished ahead of the index 7 times.
CP after beats of 5% or more: ahead of its index at the first close after the report 4 of 5 times (median +2.3%).
CP after misses of any size: behind its index at the first close after the report 12 of 18 times (median −0.5%).
Across all covered stocks, beats of 5% or more were followed by a gain against the index 64% of the time and misses by a drop 62% of the time.

Whether a report beats is only known once it is out, so these say how the stock has reacted, not which way it will go.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on CP

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following5 of 30 in Breakouts & channels1 of 15 in Momentum9 of 17 in Mean reversion10 of 15 in Volume & money flow2 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns1 of 3 in Calendar5 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on CP went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −4.9%	Enter above C$122.37 (+0.4%)	24% 168/699	0.0% / +14.6%	−52.4% / −62.0%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	OUT	Sep 11, 2026 −1.4%	Enter above C$125.80 (+3.2%)	23% 25/111	+6.5% / +14.6%	−44.0% / −62.0%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −1.2%	Enter above C$123.92 (+1.7%)	19% 79/415	+2.1% / +14.6%	−55.5% / −62.0%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −1.2%	Enter above C$125.46 (+2.9%)	15% 32/217	+2.5% / +14.6%	−38.2% / −62.0%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +1.1%	Enter above C$122.06 (+0.2%)	20% 18/89	+7.0% / +14.6%	−50.8% / −62.0%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 −0.2%	Enter above C$125.07 (+2.6%)	23% 27/115	+5.0% / +14.6%	−55.5% / −62.0%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +2.7%	Exit below C$118.30 (−2.9%)	38% 13/34	+10.3% / +14.6%	−49.0% / −62.0%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	IN	Feb 3, 2026 +17.5%	Exit below C$117.43 (−3.6%)	11% 20/186	+7.9% / +14.6%	−56.7% / −62.0%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +2.7%	Not on one close	37% 11/30	+11.0% / +14.6%	−39.8% / −62.0%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Feb 5, 2026 +13.3%	Exit below C$117.43 (−3.6%)	12% 16/134	+7.6% / +14.6%	−58.4% / −62.0%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −3.6%	Enter above C$132.52 (+8.7%)	31% 45/147	+3.8% / +14.6%	−50.8% / −62.0%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −4.9%	Enter above C$123.23 (+1.1%)	24% 198/835	−1.5% / +14.6%	−66.5% / −62.0%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	OUT	Aug 27, 2026 −6.1%	Enter above C$121.81 (−0.1%)	31% 81/263	+4.0% / +14.6%	−50.8% / −62.0%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Feb 12, 2026 +7.8%	Not on one close	35% 7/20	+12.3% / +14.4%	−39.9% / −62.0%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	OUT	Sep 2, 2026 −1.5%	Enter above C$145.52 (+19.4%)	24% 37/157	+5.0% / +14.6%	−49.2% / −62.0%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	OUT	Sep 2, 2026 −1.5%	Not on one close	28% 33/117	+8.4% / +14.6%	−35.8% / −62.0%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −1.2%	Enter above C$126.06 (+3.4%)	36% 57/159	+4.2% / +14.6%	−50.1% / −62.0%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −3.6%	Not on one close	36% 117/323	+2.4% / +14.6%	−50.2% / −62.0%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −1.1%	Enter above C$126.41 (+3.7%)	33% 191/583	+0.3% / +14.6%	−63.6% / −62.0%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	OUT	Sep 9, 2026 −1.9%	Enter above C$126.83 (+4.1%)	38% 86/227	+6.6% / +14.6%	−39.0% / −62.0%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 +0.6%	Enter above C$123.43 (+1.3%)	36% 178/497	+0.7% / +14.6%	−59.4% / −62.0%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Jul 30, 2026 −0.9%	Enter above C$152.18 (+24.9%)	27% 42/157	+1.0% / +14.6%	−43.9% / −62.0%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Sep 2, 2026 −1.5%	Enter above C$136.41 (+11.9%)	25% 51/203	+4.3% / +14.6%	−48.8% / −62.0%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −3.6%	Enter above C$125.40 (+2.9%)	37% 72/193	+6.2% / +14.6%	−50.6% / −62.0%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Sep 2, 2026 −1.5%	Enter above C$129.95 (+6.6%)	30% 77/253	+3.2% / +14.6%	−44.2% / −62.0%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	OUT	Aug 27, 2026 −6.1%	Enter above C$122.21 (+0.3%)	36% 85/237	+7.2% / +14.6%	−37.7% / −62.0%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	OUT	Sep 2, 2026 −1.5%	Enter above C$134.99 (+10.8%)	28% 50/179	+2.9% / +14.6%	−45.6% / −62.0%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	OUT	Sep 15, 2026 −1.4%	Enter above C$150.42 (+23.4%)	27% 26/97	+6.7% / +14.6%	−37.7% / −62.0%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Jul 24, 2026 −6.3%	Not on one close	36% 76/214	+2.0% / +14.6%	−55.1% / −62.0%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Mar 26, 2024 +5.0%	Not on one close	43% 24/56	+2.6% / +14.6%	−9.7% / −62.0%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −1.2%	Enter above C$125.62 (+3.1%)	33% 46/139	+2.6% / +14.6%	−46.7% / −62.0%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −4.9%	Enter above C$128.53 (+5.5%)	27% 45/167	+1.2% / +14.6%	−39.5% / −62.0%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −1.2%	Enter above C$133.09 (+9.2%)	24% 28/119	+0.6% / +14.6%	−38.4% / −62.0%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −1.2%	Enter above C$132.79 (+9.0%)	26% 32/125	+0.7% / +14.6%	−44.3% / −62.0%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −0.6%	Enter above C$125.62 (+3.1%)	36% 45/125	+5.8% / +14.6%	−25.2% / −62.0%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Jul 30, 2026 −0.9%	Enter above C$127.38 (+4.5%)	29% 48/163	+1.1% / +14.6%	−33.5% / −62.0%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Jul 30, 2026 −0.9%	Enter above C$125.10 (+2.6%)	31% 72/229	+1.8% / +14.6%	−38.1% / −62.0%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −1.2%	Enter above C$124.72 (+2.3%)	33% 70/213	+2.0% / +14.6%	−49.6% / −62.0%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −1.2%	Enter above C$124.81 (+2.4%)	36% 67/187	+3.1% / +14.6%	−46.0% / −62.0%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +1.4%	Enter above C$133.12 (+9.2%)	32% 22/69	+6.7% / +14.6%	−58.7% / −62.0%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −1.2%	Enter above C$124.80 (+2.4%)	25% 92/363	+3.0% / +14.6%	−40.0% / −62.0%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Jul 20, 2026 −5.2%	Not on one close	30% 54/181	+1.8% / +14.6%	−20.6% / −62.0%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −4.9%	Enter above C$126.15 (+3.5%)	32% 46/143	+0.5% / +14.6%	−22.4% / −62.0%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +1.1%	Exit below C$119.90 (−1.6%)	31% 230/736	+1.3% / +14.6%	−53.4% / −62.0%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Jan 25, 2023 +21.9%	Not on one close	26% 9/35	+1.6% / +14.6%	−25.1% / −62.0%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +2.7%	Exit below C$103.75 (−14.9%)	23% 6/26	+10.5% / +14.5%	−41.8% / −62.0%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Mar 31, 2026 +11.8%	Not on one close	54% 13/24	+13.6% / +14.5%	−33.3% / −62.0%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2026 −1.9%	Exit below C$115.37 (−5.3%)	59% 19/32	+11.9% / +14.5%	−30.9% / −62.0%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Sep 15, 2026 −1.4%	Not on one close	15% 28/189	+3.4% / +14.6%	−59.3% / −62.0%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	IN	May 30, 2025 +10.2%	Exit below C$112.87 (−7.4%)	64% 9/14	+12.1% / +14.6%	−27.6% / −62.0%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −3.6%	Enter above C$128.44 (+5.4%)	23% 35/151	+2.3% / +14.6%	−50.7% / −62.0%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$119.74 (−1.8%)	33% 162/486	+3.7% / +14.6%	−44.3% / −62.0%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$120.48 (−1.1%)	28% 225/804	+0.2% / +14.6%	−54.4% / −62.0%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +2.3%	Enter above C$122.54 (+0.5%)	39% 122/315	+6.3% / +14.6%	−44.3% / −62.0%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +2.7%	Not on one close	57% 4/7	+13.8% / +13.8%	−32.2% / −62.0%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Aug 24, 2026 −6.8%	Enter above C$124.63 (+2.3%)	27% 170/625	−0.1% / +14.6%	−48.5% / −62.0%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −1.2%	Enter above C$123.86 (+1.6%)	35% 97/281	+2.6% / +14.6%	−53.7% / −62.0%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	OUT	Sep 2, 2026 −1.5%	Enter above C$137.14 (+12.5%)	25% 50/201	+4.3% / +14.6%	−50.7% / −62.0%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 +0.6%	Enter above C$120.10 (−1.5%)	27% 22/81	+7.9% / +14.5%	−48.1% / −62.0%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Mar 31, 2026 +11.8%	Not on one close	46% 11/24	+10.6% / +13.3%	−33.3% / −62.0%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	IN	Jun 30, 2026 −0.7%	Not on one close	49% 17/35	+7.7% / +14.5%	−30.9% / −62.0%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 −6.6%	Enter above C$122.72 (+0.7%)	31% 114/365	+4.0% / +14.6%	−44.1% / −62.0%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Mar 4, 2026 +3.6%	Not on one close	70% 21/30	+8.3% / +14.6%	−41.1% / −62.0%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Not on one close	63% 229/364	+6.4% / +14.6%	−15.0% / −62.0%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +0.6%	Sell above C$122.48 (+0.5%)	63% 276/435	+10.2% / +14.6%	−23.3% / −62.0%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	IN	Sep 1, 2026 −1.2%	Sell above C$122.06 (+0.1%)	66% 128/193	+8.0% / +14.6%	−29.1% / −62.0%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	IN	Sep 4, 2026 −3.6%	Not on one close	62% 93/151	+7.6% / +14.6%	−46.2% / −62.0%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	IN	Sep 3, 2026 −3.0%	Not on one close	59% 174/295	+6.0% / +14.6%	−41.6% / −62.0%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	OUT	May 21, 2026 +2.5%	Not on one close	65% 43/66	+6.8% / +14.6%	−46.4% / −62.0%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +2,029.8%	Sell above C$283.83 (+132.9%)	–	+14.6% / +14.6%	−62.0% / −62.0%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Mar 10, 2020 +109.0%	Not on one close	64% 9/14	+2.8% / +14.6%	−6.1% / −62.0%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Sep 2, 2026 −1.5%	Not on one close	42% 136/321	+1.2% / +14.6%	−50.5% / −62.0%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +1.6%	Exit below C$121.20 (−0.6%)	53% 237/447	+2.3% / +14.6%	−47.0% / −62.0%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +1.6%	Buy below C$121.88 (0.0%)	57% 1090/1922	+5.7% / +14.6%	−42.5% / −62.0%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	IN	Sep 3, 2026 −3.0%	Sell above C$123.75 (+1.5%)	61% 73/119	+8.6% / +14.6%	−25.2% / −62.0%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$118.26 (−3.0%)	38% 407/1067	+3.0% / +14.6%	−54.2% / −62.0%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +0.6%	Sell above C$123.64 (+1.4%)	66% 96/145	+14.1% / +14.6%	−40.2% / −62.0%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Sep 15, 2026 −1.4%	Enter above C$121.88 (+0.0%)	28% 216/769	+3.1% / +14.6%	−50.6% / −62.0%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Aug 25, 2026 −6.4%	Not on one close	39% 78/201	+5.4% / +14.6%	−64.0% / −62.0%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	OUT	May 28, 2026 −2.0%	Not on one close	56% 19/34	+7.2% / +14.6%	−55.1% / −62.0%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	IN	Jun 2, 2026 −1.9%	Not on one close	37% 34/91	+9.9% / +14.8%	−42.2% / −62.0%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −4.9%	Enter above C$122.44 (+0.5%)	27% 203/763	−0.7% / +14.6%	−67.7% / −62.0%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −1.2%	Enter above C$129.89 (+6.6%)	31% 117/381	+2.6% / +14.6%	−53.0% / −62.0%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Aug 18, 2026 −6.2%	Enter above C$121.88 (+0.0%)	35% 207/589	+1.0% / +14.6%	−68.8% / −62.0%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +2.3%	Not on one close	36% 36/101	+8.9% / +14.9%	−43.3% / −62.0%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +1.1%	Not on one close	35% 335/945	+0.3% / +14.6%	−62.3% / −62.0%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	IN	Sep 3, 2026 −3.0%	Not on one close	48% 69/145	+7.0% / +14.6%	−44.9% / −62.0%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	OUT	Aug 27, 2026 −6.1%	Not on one close	32% 30/95	+2.8% / +14.6%	−27.0% / −62.0%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Not on one close	45% 36/80	+1.2% / +14.6%	−8.3% / −62.0%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 +3.6%	Buys Oct 30	51% 22/43	+9.4% / +14.6%	−42.5% / −62.0%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −0.5%	Window opens Apr 1	57% 25/44	+8.8% / +14.6%	−41.1% / −62.0%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	May 5, 2026 +7.6%	Window opens Oct 16	67% 29/43	+12.8% / +14.6%	−41.1% / −62.0%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +22.6%	Buys Dec 23	41% 18/44	+2.6% / +14.6%	−7.9% / −62.0%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 −0.5%	Buys Oct 29	51% 267/526	+1.9% / +14.6%	−40.3% / −62.0%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +0.6%	Sells Jun 30	36% 4/11	+3.2% / +14.6%	−34.6% / −62.0%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −3.6%	Buys Nov 24	50% 192/386	+3.1% / +14.6%	−8.0% / −62.0%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +24.3%	Not on one close	30% 6/20	+9.6% / +14.6%	−55.3% / −62.0%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	53% 1214/2284	+14.0% / +14.6%	−53.9% / −62.0%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −0.6%	Buys Oct 27	49% 169/348	+3.1% / +14.6%	−8.0% / −62.0%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −0.5%	Sells Oct 16	49% 266/541	+7.7% / +14.6%	−43.2% / −62.0%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 4, 2005	Always in	–	+14.6%	−62.0%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureLow1 of 10 points

Market swings1/3
Past crashes0/2
Debt0/3
Run-up0/2

Nothing on the checklist stands out.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Mar 2009 · back to its old high Jan 2011

CP−53%

TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jun 2020

CP−26%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jun 2022 · back to its old high Jun 2022

CP−4%

TSX−14%

Beta0.73Moves about 0.7× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture227%In months the TSX fell, this fell 227% as much on average.
Two-year change+10%
From 52-week high−8%
Debt to equity0.55×
Net debt / EBITDA3.0×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover7.3×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Railroads · Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates a transcontinental freight railway in Canada, the United States, and Mexico. The transports bulk commodities, including grain, coal, potash, fertilizers, and sulphur; merchandise freight consists of industrial and consumer products, such as forest products, energy, chemicals and plastics, metals, minerals, consumer products, and automotive; and intermodal traffic comprising retail goods in overseas containers.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$107B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	C$15.4B	Total sales. The market values it at 6.9× sales.
P/E ratio	28.3×	Buyers pay C$28 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	20.4×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book	2.3×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	25.0%	Keeps 25¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+12.6%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth	−13.5%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	8.2%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	C$2.2B	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	C$45.9B	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	C$25.1B	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	C$366M	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	0.55×	Moderate.
Interest cover	7.3×	Interest is easily paid from profit.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	C$139.74	15% above the close, from 19 analysts (range C$104.00 to C$156.00).
Consensus rating	Buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield	0.89%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

CP: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Industrials & materials: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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