Software & devices

Celestica (CLS)

C$507.89 −1.7% on the day·+48.7% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Hold52 / 100

Hold: 52 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Trend (+10% vs 200-day) scores 72 and lifts it; Off the high (−22% from its 1-year high) scores 26 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	CLS	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	57%	57	40	22.8
Off the high	−22% from its 1-year high	26	30	7.8
Trend	+10% vs 200-day	72	30	21.6

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for CLS

Factor	CLS	Points	What it is
Plays in	57%	57	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+35% · 5 analysts	78	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	1.2 · strong buy	89	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	37.0×	30	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/E	18.1×	41	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	1.00	65	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	2.6×	63	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Price to book	16.5×	9	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Dividend yield	none	0	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	+109%	83	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Revenue growth	+47%	83	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Profit margin	7%	40	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Return on equity	45%	92	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Debt to equity	0.33×	63	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Off the high	−22% from its 1-year high	26	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	+10% vs 200-day	72	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+49%	77	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	5/10 · high	50	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on CLS

57 of the 100 plays hold CLS right now.
The trend-following and momentum plays mostly say in; the mean-reversion and pattern plays mostly say out.
It closed 10% above its 200-day average and 22% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads high: it moves about 2.2× its index and fell about 1.3× as far as its index in past crashes.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$683.26, 35% above the close (5 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in57 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureHigh5 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple1.10×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+10%). Higher than on 60% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about CLS now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn CLS: right 25 of 46 · Out since Nov 13, 2025 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn CLS: right 52 of 137 · Out since Oct 13, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn CLS: right 19 of 35 · In since Feb 28, 2023 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn CLS: right 139 of 210 · Out since Jul 28, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexIN59% of 13,925 calls rightOn CLS: right 33 of 53 · In since Sep 3, 2026 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchOUT50% of 38,976 calls rightOn CLS: right 79 of 154 · Out since May 26, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn CLS: right 28 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

CLS, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved CLS lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Sep 3+9.8% against the S&P/TSX2.0× a normal day

CLS +11.3%, the S&P/TSX +1.5% that session; +18.8% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CLS was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CLS starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +1.5%. The 33 other Software & devices stocks Be The Puck covers moved +1.7% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Next earnings report

Mon Oct 26, 2026 after the close

From Yahoo Finance's calendar; dates can move. Analysts expect earnings per share of 2.98.

Over its last 12 reports, CLS's typical move against the S&P/TSX at the first close after the report was ±9.4% (median size, either way); it finished ahead of the index 6 times.
CLS after beats of 5% or more: ahead of its index at the first close after the report 21 of 30 times (median +6.2%).
CLS after misses of any size: behind its index at the first close after the report 10 of 11 times (median −10.1%).
Across all covered stocks, beats of 5% or more were followed by a gain against the index 64% of the time and misses by a drop 62% of the time.

Whether a report beats is only known once it is out, so these say how the stock has reacted, not which way it will go.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on CLS

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following23 of 30 in Breakouts & channels9 of 15 in Momentum12 of 17 in Mean reversion4 of 15 in Volume & money flow5 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns0 of 3 in Calendar4 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on CLS went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	IN	Sep 16, 2026 +12.3%	Exit below C$505.64 (−0.4%)	27% 161/588	+6.8% / +17.1%	−68.3% / −81.0%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	IN	Sep 25, 2026 −1.7%	Exit below C$476.16 (−6.2%)	32% 31/97	+13.9% / +17.1%	−43.2% / −81.0%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	IN	Sep 17, 2026 +10.0%	Exit below C$486.32 (−4.2%)	27% 90/332	+11.2% / +17.1%	−66.9% / −81.0%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	OUT	Aug 6, 2026 +14.7%	Enter above C$1,483.24 (+192.0%)	22% 34/156	+5.1% / +17.1%	−57.7% / −81.0%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Sep 11, 2026 +5.8%	Exit below C$485.73 (−4.4%)	36% 21/59	+15.6% / +17.1%	−50.4% / −81.0%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Sep 25, 2026 −1.7%	Exit below C$496.95 (−2.2%)	30% 21/71	+14.6% / +17.1%	−48.3% / −81.0%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −1.4%	Exit below C$461.82 (−9.1%)	41% 15/37	+16.8% / +17.1%	−54.2% / −81.0%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	IN	Sep 17, 2026 +10.0%	Exit below C$462.69 (−8.9%)	18% 24/135	+12.1% / +17.1%	−56.9% / −81.0%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −1.4%	Not on one close	38% 11/29	+10.8% / +17.1%	−78.3% / −81.0%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 −0.6%	Exit below C$462.69 (−8.9%)	16% 15/93	+8.4% / +17.1%	−68.2% / −81.0%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	IN	Sep 11, 2026 +5.8%	Exit below C$366.10 (−27.9%)	38% 53/138	+13.9% / +17.1%	−67.0% / −81.0%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$516.68 (+1.7%)	25% 198/790	+4.5% / +17.1%	−81.1% / −81.0%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	IN	Sep 4, 2026 +17.4%	Exit below C$397.52 (−21.7%)	36% 92/258	+6.4% / +17.1%	−62.9% / −81.0%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Oct 28, 2022 +3,270.2%	Not on one close	23% 7/31	+14.2% / +17.2%	−61.3% / −81.0%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 −0.6%	Exit below C$388.50 (−23.5%)	35% 38/109	+16.3% / +17.1%	−45.5% / −81.0%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 −3.8%	Exit below C$435.76 (−14.2%)	35% 34/97	+16.6% / +17.1%	−46.5% / −81.0%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	IN	Sep 11, 2026 +5.8%	Exit below C$468.31 (−7.8%)	38% 52/138	+12.6% / +17.1%	−54.9% / −81.0%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 −3.8%	Not on one close	48% 145/304	+16.3% / +17.1%	−74.9% / −81.0%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$520.43 (+2.5%)	39% 208/540	+13.8% / +17.1%	−57.9% / −81.0%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	IN	Sep 21, 2026 +5.1%	Exit below C$435.66 (−14.2%)	39% 84/214	+8.9% / +17.1%	−66.7% / −81.0%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −4.2%	Enter above C$549.59 (+8.2%)	40% 185/465	+11.9% / +17.1%	−75.3% / −81.0%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.3%	Enter above C$1,118.79 (+120.3%)	33% 54/163	+8.1% / +17.1%	−43.9% / −81.0%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	IN	Sep 17, 2026 +10.0%	Exit below C$315.12 (−38.0%)	32% 57/178	+16.4% / +17.1%	−56.7% / −81.0%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 −1.7%	Enter above C$537.46 (+5.8%)	33% 86/257	+10.6% / +17.1%	−76.3% / −81.0%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Sep 14, 2026 +15.5%	Not on one close	39% 79/202	+18.4% / +17.1%	−56.2% / −81.0%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	IN	Jul 28, 2026 +3.2%	Exit below C$493.59 (−2.8%)	39% 86/222	+10.3% / +17.1%	−76.9% / −81.0%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	IN	Sep 17, 2026 +10.0%	Exit below C$343.12 (−32.4%)	35% 55/156	+18.9% / +17.1%	−54.6% / −81.0%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 −3.8%	Exit below C$153.83 (−69.7%)	39% 33/85	+18.5% / +17.1%	−43.2% / −81.0%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Sep 16, 2026 +12.3%	Exit below C$436.77 (−14.0%)	35% 62/178	+8.8% / +17.1%	−58.4% / −81.0%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Nov 13, 2025 +23.7%	Not on one close	54% 25/46	+4.3% / +17.1%	−15.0% / −81.0%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 +1.2%	Exit below C$436.77 (−14.0%)	42% 51/120	+12.9% / +17.1%	−57.0% / −81.0%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −7.9%	Exit below C$496.17 (−2.3%)	33% 44/132	+7.2% / +17.1%	−45.8% / −81.0%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −7.9%	Exit below C$496.17 (−2.3%)	36% 35/97	+7.1% / +17.1%	−56.1% / −81.0%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 −4.4%	Exit below C$464.23 (−8.6%)	37% 34/91	+7.5% / +17.1%	−42.9% / −81.0%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	OUT	Jun 26, 2026 +6.1%	Not on one close	44% 43/98	+9.1% / +17.1%	−46.8% / −81.0%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 −0.6%	Exit below C$506.90 (−0.2%)	34% 52/151	+5.1% / +17.1%	−61.7% / −81.0%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 +1.2%	Exit below C$510.60 (+0.5%)	36% 79/218	+7.1% / +17.1%	−45.3% / −81.0%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	IN	Sep 21, 2026 +5.1%	Exit below C$475.51 (−6.4%)	38% 73/192	+9.2% / +17.1%	−61.1% / −81.0%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +10.4%	Exit below C$461.46 (−9.1%)	38% 71/186	+10.0% / +17.1%	−75.7% / −81.0%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$565.01 (+11.2%)	38% 52/137	+14.4% / +17.1%	−61.4% / −81.0%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Sep 15, 2026 +15.4%	Exit below C$481.40 (−5.2%)	28% 94/330	+7.8% / +17.1%	−63.3% / −81.0%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +0.4%	Not on one close	31% 57/186	+0.9% / +17.1%	−34.8% / −81.0%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Dec 15, 2025 +21.8%	Not on one close	40% 54/134	+4.1% / +17.1%	−35.6% / −81.0%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −4.2%	Enter above C$553.16 (+8.9%)	33% 224/677	+8.0% / +17.1%	−65.3% / −81.0%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Jul 22, 2025 +138.1%	Not on one close	42% 17/40	+3.7% / +17.1%	−21.6% / −81.0%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	May 31, 2023 +2,834.1%	Exit below C$500.70 (−1.4%)	26% 9/35	+12.2% / +17.1%	−76.3% / −81.0%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Feb 28, 2023 +2,780.8%	Not on one close	54% 19/35	+15.4% / +17.1%	−63.1% / −81.0%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	May 31, 2023 +2,834.1%	Exit below C$556.74 (+9.6%)	24% 6/25	+13.2% / +17.1%	−67.3% / −81.0%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Aug 6, 2026 +14.7%	Not on one close	24% 26/110	+3.4% / +17.1%	−58.1% / −81.0%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	OUT	Jun 30, 2026 −1.8%	Enter above C$620.18 (+22.1%)	30% 9/30	+8.9% / +17.1%	−58.5% / −81.0%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	IN	Sep 25, 2026 −1.7%	Exit below C$512.04 (+0.8%)	35% 34/97	+14.8% / +17.1%	−43.2% / −81.0%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 −1.7%	Enter above C$566.19 (+11.5%)	39% 163/423	+6.9% / +17.1%	−69.1% / −81.0%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.3%	Enter above C$525.40 (+3.4%)	30% 219/730	+6.8% / +17.1%	−74.1% / −81.0%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	IN	Sep 8, 2026 +11.7%	Exit below C$496.90 (−2.2%)	40% 118/296	+6.0% / +17.1%	−64.9% / −81.0%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Nov 30, 2020 +5,093.1%	Not on one close	26% 7/27	+10.1% / +20.0%	−88.3% / −79.3%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −4.2%	Enter above C$562.51 (+10.8%)	29% 162/554	+6.0% / +17.1%	−52.0% / −81.0%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +10.4%	Exit below C$348.07 (−31.5%)	38% 100/264	+8.8% / +17.1%	−58.8% / −81.0%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	IN	Sep 17, 2026 +10.0%	Exit below C$303.33 (−40.3%)	33% 58/176	+16.6% / +17.1%	−56.5% / −81.0%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −1.4%	Exit below C$505.54 (−0.5%)	36% 30/83	+13.2% / +17.1%	−70.3% / −81.0%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Feb 28, 2023 +2,780.8%	Not on one close	52% 15/29	+18.6% / +24.3%	−54.2% / −79.3%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	IN	Feb 28, 2023 +2,780.8%	Not on one close	48% 13/27	+18.3% / +17.1%	−54.2% / −81.0%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	IN	Sep 8, 2026 +11.7%	Exit below C$508.31 (+0.1%)	38% 115/300	+9.0% / +17.1%	−59.8% / −81.0%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	May 15, 2025 +226.3%	Not on one close	56% 23/41	+5.9% / +17.1%	−57.8% / −81.0%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.3%	Sell above C$515.32 (+1.5%)	62% 162/263	+8.0% / +17.1%	−34.1% / −81.0%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.3%	Sell above C$551.79 (+8.6%)	64% 214/335	+9.4% / +17.1%	−66.1% / −81.0%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Jul 28, 2026 +3.2%	Buy below C$446.55 (−12.1%)	66% 139/210	+9.2% / +17.1%	−64.9% / −81.0%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 −1.7%	Not on one close	65% 98/150	+3.7% / +17.1%	−67.5% / −81.0%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +12.8%	Not on one close	59% 159/270	−1.2% / +17.1%	−81.1% / −81.0%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	IN	Jun 29, 2026 +4.2%	Not on one close	62% 45/73	+6.2% / +17.1%	−64.3% / −81.0%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +2,753.3%	Sell above C$1,118.31 (+120.2%)	–	+17.1% / +17.1%	−81.0% / −81.0%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Aug 22, 2025 +94.3%	Buy below C$315.69 (−37.8%)	67% 24/36	+3.8% / +17.1%	−30.9% / −81.0%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.3%	Not on one close	49% 157/320	+0.9% / +17.1%	−84.1% / −81.0%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Sep 14, 2026 +15.5%	Enter above C$520.22 (+2.4%)	57% 243/429	+6.4% / +17.1%	−78.4% / −81.0%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +0.4%	Buy below C$507.88 (0.0%)	58% 1121/1934	+8.6% / +17.1%	−56.2% / −81.0%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Jun 1, 2026 −13.7%	Not on one close	51% 38/74	−0.1% / +17.1%	−78.4% / −81.0%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Oct 6, 2026 −8.0%	Enter above C$559.10 (+10.1%)	38% 397/1032	+9.3% / +17.1%	−79.1% / −81.0%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −1.4%	Buy below C$525.33 (+3.4%)	58% 81/139	+7.4% / +17.1%	−59.7% / −81.0%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$507.89 (+0.0%)	28% 192/689	+7.6% / +17.1%	−76.0% / −81.0%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Jul 31, 2026 +9.5%	Enter above C$507.89 (+0.0%)	43% 91/213	+14.1% / +17.1%	−67.6% / −81.0%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	IN	Sep 3, 2026 +18.8%	Not on one close	62% 33/53	+7.9% / +17.1%	−54.6% / −81.0%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	IN	May 13, 2025 +231.7%	Exit below C$436.90 (−14.0%)	36% 53/147	+16.6% / +17.3%	−69.8% / −81.0%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.3%	Enter above C$519.34 (+2.3%)	29% 186/637	+8.5% / +17.1%	−61.9% / −81.0%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	IN	Sep 10, 2026 +12.8%	Exit below C$459.34 (−9.6%)	33% 121/364	+8.8% / +17.1%	−66.7% / −81.0%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Not on one close	38% 218/576	+6.6% / +17.1%	−81.6% / −81.0%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	IN	Sep 19, 2024 +653.8%	Not on one close	30% 28/93	+10.5% / +17.5%	−86.8% / −81.0%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −4.2%	Buy C$505.70–C$510.08 (+0.4%)	36% 323/908	+3.1% / +17.1%	−91.5% / −81.0%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	OUT	May 26, 2026 −0.9%	Not on one close	51% 79/154	+11.8% / +17.1%	−51.8% / −81.0%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	OUT	Jan 22, 2026 +26.9%	Not on one close	41% 36/88	+12.4% / +17.1%	−63.7% / −81.0%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Sep 14, 2026 +15.5%	Not on one close	60% 36/60	+6.7% / +17.1%	−13.7% / −81.0%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 −8.9%	Buys Oct 30	65% 28/43	+11.6% / +17.1%	−70.8% / −81.0%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 28, 2026 +3.0%	Enter above C$588.19 (+15.8%)	63% 27/43	+11.5% / +17.1%	−69.0% / −81.0%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 28, 2026 +3.0%	Window opens Oct 16	65% 28/43	+10.5% / +17.1%	−69.3% / −81.0%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +25.7%	Buys Dec 23	55% 24/44	+2.9% / +17.1%	−10.4% / −81.0%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 −7.0%	Buys Oct 29	50% 262/526	+7.7% / +17.1%	−44.0% / −81.0%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −1.4%	Sells Jun 30	36% 4/11	−0.1% / +17.1%	−61.2% / −81.0%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 +17.4%	Buys Nov 24	53% 205/386	+4.2% / +17.1%	−11.1% / −81.0%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +3,228.2%	Not on one close	50% 10/20	+12.9% / +17.1%	−78.5% / −81.0%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	50% 1132/2284	+15.0% / +17.1%	−77.1% / −81.0%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 +12.3%	Buys Oct 27	49% 172/348	+3.5% / +17.1%	−32.7% / −81.0%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −7.9%	Sells Oct 16	48% 258/541	+6.3% / +17.1%	−60.0% / −81.0%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 4, 2005	Always in	–	+17.1%	−81.0%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureHigh5 of 10 points

Market swings2/3
Past crashes1/2
Debt0/3
Run-up2/2

It moves about 2.2× its index.
It fell about 1.3× as far as its index in past crashes.
It is up 485% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Mar 2009 · back to its old high Apr 2009

CLS−47%

TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jul 2020

CLS−61%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Sep 2022 · back to its old high Oct 2022

CLS−19%

TSX−14%

Beta2.22Moves about 2.2× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture−9%In months the TSX fell, this fell -9% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change+485%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−22%
Debt to equity0.44×
Net debt / EBITDA0.3×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover19.7×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Electronic Components · Celestica Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides supply chain solutions in Asia, North America, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Advanced Technology Solutions, and Connectivity and Cloud Solutions.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$64.1B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	$15.6B	Total sales.
P/E ratio	37.0×	Buyers pay C$37 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	18.1×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book	16.5×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	7.2%	Keeps 7¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+47.3%	The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Earnings growth	+108.7%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	45.0%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	$729M	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	$2.2B	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	$981M	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	$537M	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	0.44×	Comfortable.
Interest cover	19.7×	Interest is easily paid from profit.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	C$683.26	35% above the close, from 5 analysts (range C$576.87 to C$803.74).
Consensus rating	Strong buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

CLS: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Software & devices: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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