Oct 13 close Sign in

Real estate

Colliers International (CIGI)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell11 / 100

Sell: 11 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (18%) scores 18 and lifts it; Off the high (−48% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightCIGIPointsWeightAdds
Plays in18%18407.2
Off the high−48% from its 1-year high0300.0
Trend−18% vs 200-day11303.3
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for CIGI
FactorCIGIPointsWhat it is
Plays in18%18The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+61% · 4 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.9 · buy54The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E41.8×23Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E10.1×85Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG1.2159P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales0.7×92Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book2.8×54Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield0.3%10Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+605%97Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+17%57Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin2%24Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity8%35Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity1.16×25Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−48% from its 1-year high0How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−18% vs 200-day11How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−42%7The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure6/10 · high40The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on CIGI

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in18 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureHigh6 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.82×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−18%). Higher than on 9% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about CIGI now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

CIGI, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved CIGI lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Sep 21+2.8% against the S&P/TSX1.2× a normal day

CIGI +3.4%, the S&P/TSX +0.6% that session; +2.1% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CIGI was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CIGI starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +0.6%. The 18 other Real estate stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.9% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Tue Sep 15−3.0% against the S&P/TSX1.3× a normal day

CIGI −3.3%, the S&P/TSX −0.3% that session; −1.8% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CIGI was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CIGI starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.3%. The 18 other Real estate stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.6% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Tue Sep 8−3.0% against the S&P/TSX1.3× a normal day

CIGI −4.1%, the S&P/TSX −1.1% that session; −2.4% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CIGI was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CIGI starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.1%. The 18 other Real estate stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.5% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on CIGI

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on CIGI went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 −14.3%Enter above C$127.43 (+4.3%)29% 164/563+13.1% / +11.6%−38.5% / −75.5%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTSep 4, 2026 −10.8%Enter above C$137.39 (+12.5%)35% 33/95+10.4% / +11.6%−58.1% / −75.5%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −12.3%Enter above C$131.93 (+8.0%)28% 85/307+12.9% / +11.6%−39.7% / −75.5%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTOct 30, 2025 −45.2%Not on one close18% 37/209+5.0% / +11.6%−34.3% / −75.5%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTDec 5, 2025 −39.3%Enter above C$224.71 (+84.0%)29% 18/63+9.7% / +11.6%−43.6% / −75.5%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTNov 7, 2025 −42.4%Enter above C$177.11 (+45.0%)29% 22/77+7.6% / +11.6%−41.2% / −75.5%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTJan 30, 2026 −34.2%Enter above C$145.02 (+18.7%)27% 10/37+8.4% / +11.6%−64.7% / −75.5%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTJan 22, 2026 −37.1%Enter above C$149.21 (+22.2%)16% 21/133+12.2% / +11.6%−42.1% / −75.5%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTFeb 4, 2026 −33.5%Not on one close33% 9/27+9.4% / +11.6%−60.0% / −75.5%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTJan 22, 2026 −37.1%Not on one close18% 15/83+9.7% / +11.6%−45.5% / −75.5%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTSep 4, 2026 −10.8%Enter above C$147.30 (+20.6%)42% 60/143+10.3% / +11.6%−39.9% / −75.5%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −4.6%Enter above C$126.75 (+3.8%)28% 207/741+11.2% / +11.6%−40.6% / −75.5%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −15.6%Enter above C$136.56 (+11.8%)37% 87/237+12.5% / +11.6%−44.5% / −75.5%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTFeb 3, 2026 −30.1%Not on one close19% 7/37+5.3% / +10.9%−56.9% / −75.5%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −9.8%Enter above C$198.36 (+62.4%)37% 43/117+11.6% / +11.6%−44.6% / −75.5%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −7.0%Not on one close36% 39/107+11.0% / +11.6%−45.5% / −75.5%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −7.0%Enter above C$133.73 (+9.5%)41% 66/161+11.0% / +11.6%−42.9% / −75.5%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTSep 3, 2026 −12.0%Not on one close41% 114/277+7.0% / +11.6%−49.5% / −75.5%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −0.2%Enter above C$135.76 (+11.1%)35% 194/549+13.2% / +11.6%−41.2% / −75.5%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −9.8%Enter above C$135.91 (+11.3%)37% 80/215+9.3% / +11.6%−46.8% / −75.5%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −2.0%Enter above C$130.71 (+7.0%)42% 198/471+13.7% / +11.6%−40.8% / −75.5%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTApr 23, 2026 −19.4%Not on one close38% 66/173+8.0% / +11.6%−33.5% / −75.5%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −9.8%Enter above C$160.75 (+31.6%)35% 66/191+12.7% / +11.6%−45.9% / −75.5%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTSep 4, 2026 −10.8%Enter above C$128.71 (+5.4%)33% 76/227+7.8% / +11.6%−63.9% / −75.5%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −11.5%Enter above C$143.71 (+17.7%)35% 77/217+14.3% / +11.6%−35.9% / −75.5%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 −14.3%Not on one close41% 93/229+14.7% / +11.6%−40.4% / −75.5%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −9.8%Enter above C$158.31 (+29.6%)38% 61/159+14.5% / +11.6%−38.8% / −75.5%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −7.0%Enter above C$208.08 (+70.3%)39% 34/87+11.2% / +11.6%−48.4% / −75.5%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −14.5%Not on one close35% 69/197+7.8% / +11.6%−25.5% / −75.5%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTSep 24, 2025 −44.2%Not on one close36% 26/72+2.0% / +11.6%−25.3% / −75.5%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −9.8%Enter above C$132.88 (+8.8%)41% 54/131+9.2% / +11.6%−39.6% / −75.5%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −12.3%Enter above C$144.67 (+18.4%)32% 48/151+4.5% / +11.6%−36.8% / −75.5%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −9.8%Enter above C$153.48 (+25.6%)36% 38/105+5.1% / +11.6%−40.0% / −75.5%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTNov 4, 2025 −44.0%Enter above C$403.47 (+230.3%)34% 34/99+8.1% / +11.6%−27.1% / −75.5%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −9.8%Enter above C$132.88 (+8.8%)43% 45/105+11.5% / +11.6%−24.6% / −75.5%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTOct 30, 2025 −45.2%Enter above C$138.28 (+13.2%)40% 60/149+10.0% / +11.6%−17.3% / −75.5%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 −14.3%Enter above C$132.60 (+8.6%)36% 76/209+10.0% / +11.6%−30.3% / −75.5%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −11.5%Enter above C$130.70 (+7.0%)38% 74/193+14.0% / +11.6%−28.2% / −75.5%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −9.8%Enter above C$133.26 (+9.1%)42% 76/183+12.4% / +11.6%−40.6% / −75.5%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −9.8%Enter above C$133.12 (+9.0%)44% 35/79+15.6% / +11.6%−42.5% / −75.5%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −12.3%Enter above C$130.03 (+6.5%)25% 89/351+8.9% / +11.6%−44.8% / −75.5%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTOct 28, 2025 −46.7%Not on one close32% 64/202+4.2% / +11.6%−19.5% / −75.5%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −15.6%Enter above C$133.95 (+9.7%)32% 38/118+3.8% / +11.6%−22.4% / −75.5%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −2.0%Enter above C$129.12 (+5.7%)37% 254/681+12.3% / +11.6%−38.1% / −75.5%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJan 2, 2026 −38.6%Not on one close29% 10/35+3.2% / +11.6%−12.4% / −75.5%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endOUTNov 28, 2025 −39.5%Enter above C$231.40 (+89.4%)48% 13/27+7.9% / +11.1%−61.9% / −75.5%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 −17.7%Not on one close45% 14/31+8.5% / +11.1%−56.6% / −75.5%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTSep 30, 2025 −43.7%Enter above C$257.30 (+110.6%)27% 11/41+2.9% / +11.1%−65.0% / −75.5%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −12.3%Not on one close27% 34/125+10.6% / +11.6%−42.8% / −75.5%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTJan 30, 2026 −34.2%Enter above C$211.49 (+73.1%)33% 7/21+7.8% / +11.6%−58.0% / −75.5%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTNov 7, 2025 −42.4%Enter above C$142.08 (+16.3%)29% 32/111+5.8% / +11.6%−41.0% / −75.5%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −0.2%Enter above C$124.34 (+1.8%)36% 150/413+15.7% / +11.6%−41.6% / −75.5%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −4.6%Enter above C$125.64 (+2.9%)34% 234/693+12.4% / +11.6%−38.7% / −75.5%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −4.2%Exit below C$119.06 (−2.5%)37% 106/290+11.5% / +11.6%−41.8% / −75.5%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 −17.7%Enter above C$168.53 (+38.0%)44% 7/16+10.1% / +10.0%−56.6% / −75.5%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTAug 25, 2026 −16.1%Enter above C$134.39 (+10.0%)31% 174/568+8.4% / +11.6%−24.6% / −75.5%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINOct 5, 2026 −3.8%Exit below C$123.12 (+0.8%)39% 97/246+11.8% / +11.6%−34.1% / −75.5%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −9.8%Enter above C$162.30 (+32.9%)35% 66/191+12.2% / +11.6%−45.9% / −75.5%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTNov 28, 2025 −39.5%Enter above C$134.11 (+9.8%)32% 23/73+6.2% / +11.1%−71.8% / −75.5%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 −17.7%Not on one close40% 12/30+6.5% / +10.7%−56.6% / −75.5%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTDec 31, 2025 −39.4%Not on one close35% 13/37+4.2% / +11.1%−58.8% / −75.5%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −14.5%Enter above C$129.08 (+5.7%)37% 113/303+16.0% / +11.6%−32.8% / −75.5%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINNov 21, 2025 −38.1%Not on one close60% 28/47+3.2% / +11.6%−65.5% / −75.5%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTFeb 2, 2026 −34.5%Not on one close60% 193/322+0.1% / +11.6%−61.1% / −75.5%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTFeb 6, 2026 −35.9%Not on one close59% 200/340+0.9% / +11.6%−59.7% / −75.5%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyINOct 7, 2026 −0.2%Sell above C$126.56 (+3.6%)61% 116/189−2.2% / +11.6%−80.7% / −75.5%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINSep 3, 2026 −12.0%Not on one close62% 98/157+3.8% / +11.6%−59.1% / −75.5%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINSep 3, 2026 −12.0%Not on one close60% 168/281+0.1% / +11.6%−77.0% / −75.5%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINJun 25, 2026 −2.9%Not on one close58% 52/89+3.6% / +11.6%−64.0% / −75.5%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINNov 22, 2004 +1,078.7%Sell above C$360.65 (+195.2%)–+11.6% / +11.6%−75.5% / −75.5%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTFeb 18, 2026 −23.3%Not on one close50% 17/34+1.5% / +11.6%−15.3% / −75.5%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 22, 2026 −6.2%Not on one close49% 151/311+6.4% / +11.6%−75.7% / −75.5%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −1.3%Not on one close55% 230/421+0.4% / +11.6%−74.8% / −75.5%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −0.2%Buy below C$122.15 (0.0%)57% 1023/1795+1.8% / +11.6%−64.6% / −75.5%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTDec 22, 2025 −39.7%Not on one close49% 45/92+2.5% / +11.6%−60.8% / −75.5%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −3.8%Enter above C$127.31 (+4.2%)38% 410/1070+12.5% / +11.6%−41.3% / −75.5%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINAug 31, 2026 −12.3%Sell above C$130.14 (+6.5%)59% 75/127+8.2% / +11.6%−60.5% / −75.5%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTAug 25, 2026 −16.1%Not on one close32% 190/595+8.7% / +11.6%−52.8% / −75.5%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −9.8%Not on one close37% 80/219+1.8% / +11.6%−60.9% / −75.5%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINFeb 2, 2026 −34.5%Not on one close71% 46/65+13.5% / +11.6%−47.9% / −75.5%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINFeb 6, 2026 −35.9%Not on one close36% 33/91+10.9% / +11.5%−48.5% / −75.5%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 −14.3%Enter above C$126.10 (+3.2%)32% 193/599+10.6% / +11.6%−41.9% / −75.5%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −2.0%Enter above C$147.16 (+20.5%)38% 135/353+13.8% / +11.6%−41.7% / −75.5%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −3.8%Enter above C$122.15 (+0.0%)40% 220/555+8.4% / +11.6%−48.6% / −75.5%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTJan 27, 2026 −34.4%Not on one close34% 40/117+9.6% / +11.6%−56.6% / −75.5%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −0.5%Sell C$119.80–C$122.42 (+0.2%)39% 310/787+12.7% / +11.6%−48.5% / −75.5%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTJul 10, 2026 −11.5%Enter above C$124.39 (+1.8%)49% 75/154+7.8% / +11.6%−56.9% / −75.5%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −3.1%Not on one close42% 48/113+10.4% / +11.6%−28.5% / −75.5%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −7.0%Not on one close47% 31/66+2.7% / +11.6%−16.4% / −75.5%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −13.8%Buys Oct 3044% 19/43+4.2% / +11.6%−59.1% / −75.5%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 23, 2026 −19.4%Enter above C$124.21 (+1.7%)47% 20/43+5.6% / +11.6%−56.6% / −75.5%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −18.1%Window opens Oct 1653% 23/43+6.5% / +11.6%−60.2% / −75.5%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −39.5%Buys Dec 2341% 18/44+1.9% / +11.6%−12.9% / −75.5%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −3.8%Buys Oct 2950% 261/526+5.5% / +11.6%−31.2% / −75.5%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −4.2%Sells Jun 3055% 6/11+5.8% / +11.6%−34.8% / −75.5%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −10.8%Buys Nov 2449% 191/386+3.0% / +11.6%−17.7% / −75.5%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 −0.9%Not on one close40% 8/20+4.7% / +11.6%−58.7% / −75.5%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1651% 1170/2284+11.2% / +11.6%−64.6% / −75.5%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −2.3%Buys Oct 2745% 155/348+1.8% / +11.6%−15.1% / −75.5%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −4.6%Sells Oct 1650% 270/541−0.2% / +11.6%−65.0% / −75.5%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 4, 2005Always in–+11.6%−75.5%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureHigh6 of 10 points
  • Market swings2/3
  • Past crashes2/2
  • Debt2/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It moves about 1.2× its index.
  • It fell about 1.8× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It carries 2.2× as much debt as equity.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Mar 2009 · back to its old high Mar 2011

CIGI−71%
TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Feb 2021

CIGI−56%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Sep 2022 · back to its old high Jul 2024

CIGI−34%
TSX−14%
  • Beta1.21Moves about 1.2× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture344%In months the TSX fell, this fell 344% as much on average.
  • Two-year change−40%
  • From 52-week high−48%
  • Debt to equity2.16×
  • Net debt / EBITDA4.3×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover4.7×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Real Estate Services · Colliers International Group Inc. provides commercial real estate, engineering, and investment management solutions in the United States, Canada, Europe, Australia, the United Kingdom, Poland, China, India, and internationally.

Size and valuation
Market capC$6.2BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$6.0BTotal sales.
P/E ratio41.8×Buyers pay C$42 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E10.1×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book2.8×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin1.8%Keeps 2¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+16.7%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth+605.0%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity7.8%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$345MCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$1.5BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$3.3BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$335MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity2.16×Above about 1.5× is heavily borrowed; above 3× is fragile in a downturn.
Interest cover4.7×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$196.4061% above the close, from 4 analysts (range C$131.92 to C$262.86).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield0.34%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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