Industrials & materials

Calian Group (CGY)

C$81.06 +0.7% on the day·+59.3% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Hold56 / 100

Hold: 56 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Trend (+7% vs 200-day) scores 64 and lifts it; Plays in (45%) scores 45 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	CGY	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	45%	45	40	18.0
Off the high	−12% from its 1-year high	61	30	18.3
Trend	+7% vs 200-day	64	30	19.2

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for CGY

Factor	CGY	Points	What it is
Plays in	45%	45	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+30% · 10 analysts	71	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	–	–	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	24.6×	51	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	16.7×	46	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	–	–	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales	1.1×	86	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	2.7×	56	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield	1.4%	39	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	+920%	100	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth	+20%	62	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	4%	32	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	12%	48	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity	0.54×	49	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high	−12% from its 1-year high	61	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	+7% vs 200-day	64	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+59%	82	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	1/10 · low	90	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on CGY

45 of the 100 plays hold CGY right now.
The pattern plays mostly say out.
It closed 7% above its 200-day average and 12% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads low: it operating profit covers interest only 4.0×.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$105.00, 30% above the close (10 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in45 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureLow1 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple1.07×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+7%). Higher than on 63% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about CGY now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn CGY: right 17 of 44 · Out since Mar 24, 2026 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopIN37% of 36,314 calls rightOn CGY: right 16 of 48 · In since Sep 15, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn CGY: right 21 of 40 · In since Aug 29, 2025 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn CGY: right 98 of 164 · Out since Apr 15, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexOUT59% of 13,925 calls rightOn CGY: right 52 of 81 · Out since Sep 24, 2026 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchOUT50% of 38,976 calls rightOn CGY: right 60 of 120 · Out since Aug 14, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn CGY: right 24 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

CGY, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved CGY lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Wed Sep 23+3.1% against the S&P/TSX1.2× a normal day

CGY +1.5%, the S&P/TSX −1.6% that session; −1.8% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CGY was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CGY starts Oct 5, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.6%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.7% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Fri Sep 18−3.5% against the S&P/TSX1.4× a normal day

CGY −3.7%, the S&P/TSX −0.2% that session; +0.7% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CGY was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CGY starts Oct 5, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.2%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.6% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Mon Aug 31+2.9% against the S&P/TSX1.1× a normal day

CGY +2.1%, the S&P/TSX −0.8% that session; +7.4% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CGY was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CGY starts Oct 5, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.8%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.5% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Next earnings report

Mon Nov 30, 2026 before the open

From Yahoo Finance's calendar; dates can move. Analysts expect earnings per share of 0.82.

Over its last 12 reports, CGY's typical move against the S&P/TSX at the first close after the report was ±6.9% (median size, either way); it finished ahead of the index 6 times.
CGY after beats of 5% or more: ahead of its index at the first close after the report 16 of 22 times (median +2.7%).
CGY after misses of any size: behind its index at the first close after the report 11 of 18 times (median −2.5%).
Across all covered stocks, beats of 5% or more were followed by a gain against the index 64% of the time and misses by a drop 62% of the time.

Whether a report beats is only known once it is out, so these say how the stock has reacted, not which way it will go.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on CGY

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following20 of 30 in Breakouts & channels5 of 15 in Momentum7 of 17 in Mean reversion5 of 15 in Volume & money flow4 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns0 of 3 in Calendar4 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on CGY went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +1.8%	Enter above C$81.53 (+0.6%)	23% 156/693	−1.7% / +12.6%	−68.2% / −43.6%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	IN	Sep 18, 2026 +0.5%	Exit below C$78.97 (−2.6%)	23% 29/124	+4.0% / +12.6%	−61.0% / −43.6%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +1.8%	Enter above C$81.14 (+0.1%)	21% 81/393	0.0% / +12.6%	−64.5% / −43.6%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$80.64 (−0.5%)	15% 20/131	+2.2% / +13.3%	−29.3% / −43.6%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Sep 4, 2026 +3.5%	Exit below C$78.51 (−3.1%)	18% 16/91	+2.9% / +12.6%	−63.1% / −43.6%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Sep 4, 2026 +3.5%	Exit below C$78.51 (−3.1%)	24% 29/120	+3.9% / +12.6%	−40.8% / −43.6%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	IN	Jun 30, 2025 +65.5%	Exit below C$77.72 (−4.1%)	19% 10/53	+4.2% / +12.6%	−67.2% / −43.6%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	IN	Nov 26, 2025 +58.7%	Exit below C$75.71 (−6.6%)	12% 24/203	+3.7% / +12.6%	−68.6% / −43.6%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	IN	Jul 29, 2025 +60.6%	Not on one close	23% 7/31	+6.3% / +12.6%	−49.9% / −43.6%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Nov 26, 2025 +58.7%	Exit below C$75.71 (−6.6%)	14% 20/147	+5.3% / +12.6%	−50.9% / −43.6%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	IN	Sep 18, 2026 +0.5%	Exit below C$75.11 (−7.3%)	32% 53/164	+1.5% / +12.6%	−54.4% / −43.6%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +1.8%	Enter above C$82.14 (+1.3%)	21% 186/867	−1.2% / +12.6%	−66.9% / −43.6%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +2.1%	Exit below C$81.06 (0.0%)	39% 97/250	+8.1% / +12.6%	−29.9% / −43.6%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Jul 11, 2025 +64.8%	Not on one close	17% 6/36	+6.5% / +13.2%	−46.5% / −43.6%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	IN	Sep 16, 2026 −1.4%	Exit below C$79.52 (−1.9%)	27% 39/144	+0.0% / +12.6%	−63.4% / −43.6%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	OUT	Aug 18, 2026 +2.7%	Enter above C$86.93 (+7.2%)	23% 32/137	+0.9% / +12.6%	−56.8% / −43.6%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −3.8%	Exit below C$77.95 (−3.8%)	39% 66/168	+6.1% / +12.6%	−48.1% / −43.6%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −3.8%	Flips at next check	36% 115/320	−0.3% / +12.6%	−60.1% / −43.6%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +1.8%	Enter above C$88.97 (+9.8%)	35% 212/599	+8.2% / +12.6%	−40.9% / −43.6%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −3.8%	Exit below C$77.79 (−4.0%)	36% 84/232	+3.9% / +12.6%	−43.9% / −43.6%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −1.9%	Enter above C$83.41 (+2.9%)	41% 172/419	+7.8% / +12.6%	−36.4% / −43.6%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.2%	Not on one close	34% 70/203	+0.9% / +12.6%	−52.0% / −43.6%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	IN	Sep 15, 2026 −2.3%	Exit below C$79.09 (−2.4%)	26% 52/202	+0.1% / +12.6%	−61.2% / −43.6%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +0.7%	Enter above C$83.75 (+3.3%)	33% 58/175	+3.1% / +12.6%	−48.1% / −43.6%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Sep 15, 2026 −2.3%	Exit below C$77.72 (−4.1%)	32% 75/238	+4.2% / +12.6%	−47.1% / −43.6%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	IN	Sep 8, 2026 +2.3%	Not on one close	39% 84/216	+5.7% / +12.6%	−26.5% / −43.6%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	IN	Sep 15, 2026 −2.3%	Exit below C$79.63 (−1.8%)	28% 46/162	+1.1% / +12.6%	−58.6% / −43.6%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	IN	Sep 17, 2026 −3.2%	Exit below C$70.79 (−12.7%)	20% 26/128	−1.0% / +12.6%	−64.6% / −43.6%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Aug 18, 2026 +2.7%	Not on one close	28% 64/225	−2.5% / +12.6%	−48.5% / −43.6%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Mar 24, 2026 +10.1%	Not on one close	39% 17/44	+2.1% / +12.6%	−8.9% / −43.6%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 −5.2%	Exit below C$77.86 (−3.9%)	33% 45/136	+2.3% / +12.6%	−55.2% / −43.6%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Jun 9, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$87.00 (+7.3%)	27% 44/162	+1.0% / +12.6%	−35.1% / −43.6%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Jun 18, 2026 +3.4%	Enter above C$95.15 (+17.4%)	33% 34/102	+3.6% / +12.6%	−31.5% / −43.6%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Aug 17, 2026 +0.0%	Enter above C$91.25 (+12.6%)	25% 29/118	+0.2% / +12.6%	−46.6% / −43.6%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	OUT	Mar 24, 2026 +10.1%	Not on one close	40% 51/127	+5.1% / +12.6%	−32.6% / −43.6%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Aug 17, 2026 +0.0%	Enter above C$87.47 (+7.9%)	31% 60/191	+1.0% / +12.6%	−30.9% / −43.6%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 +0.5%	Enter above C$85.71 (+5.7%)	30% 74/247	+0.2% / +12.6%	−35.9% / −43.6%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	IN	Sep 17, 2026 −3.2%	Exit below C$79.57 (−1.8%)	36% 73/200	+2.5% / +12.6%	−60.2% / −43.6%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Sep 14, 2026 −0.3%	Exit below C$78.70 (−2.9%)	36% 80/224	+4.1% / +12.6%	−44.7% / −43.6%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	IN	Sep 15, 2026 −2.3%	Exit below C$72.05 (−11.1%)	33% 16/48	+9.3% / +12.6%	−55.8% / −43.6%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.2%	Exit below C$80.24 (−1.0%)	24% 105/432	+1.4% / +12.6%	−59.1% / −43.6%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Jun 5, 2026 −4.4%	Not on one close	32% 79/246	+2.4% / +12.6%	−23.6% / −43.6%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Aug 17, 2026 +0.0%	Enter above C$94.90 (+17.1%)	39% 47/121	+3.3% / +12.6%	−11.5% / −43.6%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +1.8%	Enter above C$83.75 (+3.3%)	26% 203/767	+0.1% / +12.6%	−67.5% / −43.6%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2020 +45.3%	Not on one close	10% 4/40	+0.9% / +12.6%	−22.2% / −43.6%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	Aug 29, 2025 +54.7%	Exit below C$51.56 (−36.4%)	32% 8/25	+9.2% / +13.4%	−30.0% / −43.6%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Aug 29, 2025 +54.7%	Not on one close	52% 21/40	+8.6% / +13.4%	−41.7% / −43.6%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Jan 30, 2026 +21.5%	Exit below C$57.34 (−29.3%)	33% 11/33	+8.0% / +13.4%	−34.5% / −43.6%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	May 11, 2026 +18.9%	Buy C$91.92–C$93.22 (+13.4%)	19% 30/154	+1.9% / +12.6%	−50.0% / −43.6%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 +8.8%	Enter above C$87.21 (+7.6%)	26% 6/23	+3.0% / +12.6%	−46.3% / −43.6%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +0.7%	Enter above C$82.56 (+1.9%)	19% 28/146	+0.6% / +12.6%	−48.5% / −43.6%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 −1.7%	Enter above C$85.94 (+6.0%)	34% 151/441	+8.2% / +12.6%	−30.4% / −43.6%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +1.8%	Enter above C$81.55 (+0.6%)	26% 207/799	−0.7% / +12.6%	−65.8% / −43.6%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	OUT	Oct 6, 2026 −2.1%	Enter above C$95.59 (+17.9%)	40% 119/301	+9.9% / +12.6%	−28.4% / −43.6%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Jun 30, 2025 +65.5%	Not on one close	26% 6/23	+11.6% / +15.1%	−35.0% / −43.6%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$85.73 (+5.8%)	30% 166/548	+4.4% / +12.6%	−24.1% / −43.6%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +0.7%	Enter above C$94.86 (+17.0%)	41% 109/263	+6.5% / +12.6%	−35.3% / −43.6%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	IN	Sep 15, 2026 −2.3%	Exit below C$78.76 (−2.8%)	25% 51/202	−0.2% / +12.6%	−64.3% / −43.6%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −0.6%	Exit below C$76.93 (−5.1%)	24% 23/95	+0.3% / +13.4%	−77.8% / −43.6%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Aug 29, 2025 +54.7%	Not on one close	50% 17/34	+8.2% / +14.3%	−29.5% / −43.6%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 +8.8%	Not on one close	45% 18/40	+7.9% / +13.4%	−36.9% / −43.6%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +1.8%	Enter above C$85.60 (+5.6%)	32% 114/351	+6.1% / +12.6%	−33.2% / −43.6%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Jul 11, 2025 +64.8%	Not on one close	74% 31/42	+9.0% / +12.6%	−23.0% / −43.6%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 −1.2%	Not on one close	63% 204/322	+4.7% / +12.6%	−28.6% / −43.6%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	IN	Oct 7, 2026 +1.8%	Sell above C$82.79 (+2.1%)	64% 280/439	+4.8% / +12.6%	−33.2% / −43.6%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Apr 15, 2026 +10.3%	Buy below C$78.85 (−2.7%)	60% 98/164	+3.1% / +12.6%	−35.7% / −43.6%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 +0.5%	Not on one close	63% 99/156	+12.0% / +12.6%	−34.1% / −43.6%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.2%	Not on one close	59% 172/293	+7.3% / +12.6%	−34.9% / −43.6%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	OUT	Sep 14, 2026 −0.3%	Not on one close	58% 34/59	+7.0% / +12.6%	−38.3% / −43.6%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +1,655.9%	Sell above C$183.00 (+125.8%)	–	+12.6% / +12.6%	−43.6% / −43.6%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Jun 23, 2026 +1.0%	Not on one close	65% 13/20	+3.0% / +12.6%	−12.2% / −43.6%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 +0.5%	Enter above C$81.88 (+1.0%)	45% 147/326	+7.3% / +12.6%	−39.6% / −43.6%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 −1.2%	Not on one close	50% 216/433	+4.3% / +12.6%	−38.7% / −43.6%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.2%	Buy below C$81.06 (0.0%)	59% 1265/2144	+11.2% / +12.6%	−28.3% / −43.6%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Sep 14, 2026 −0.3%	Not on one close	66% 69/104	+8.2% / +12.6%	−24.7% / −43.6%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +0.7%	Exit below C$79.63 (−1.8%)	37% 414/1117	+6.2% / +12.6%	−53.6% / −43.6%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −0.6%	Buy below C$83.16 (+2.6%)	60% 89/148	+12.9% / +12.6%	−37.9% / −43.6%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$81.06 (0.0%)	29% 154/524	+5.7% / +12.6%	−36.8% / −43.6%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −3.8%	Not on one close	39% 90/232	+1.2% / +12.6%	−57.9% / −43.6%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −3.4%	Not on one close	64% 52/81	+10.5% / +12.6%	−30.3% / −43.6%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	OUT	Jun 19, 2026 +5.0%	Enter above C$93.85 (+15.8%)	34% 38/113	+9.5% / +12.6%	−42.2% / −43.6%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +1.8%	Enter above C$81.07 (+0.0%)	29% 152/527	+4.7% / +12.6%	−49.8% / −43.6%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +1.8%	Enter above C$92.42 (+14.0%)	32% 123/389	+4.5% / +12.6%	−46.5% / −43.6%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$81.06 (0.0%)	38% 190/495	+2.8% / +12.6%	−50.5% / −43.6%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	IN	Sep 18, 2026 +0.5%	Not on one close	25% 29/115	+4.1% / +12.5%	−53.4% / −43.6%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 −2.1%	Not on one close	37% 261/703	+9.6% / +12.6%	−40.9% / −43.6%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	OUT	Aug 14, 2026 −3.0%	Not on one close	50% 60/120	+4.2% / +12.6%	−48.9% / −43.6%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	OUT	Aug 17, 2026 +0.0%	Not on one close	35% 31/88	+3.8% / +12.6%	−38.9% / −43.6%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Aug 13, 2025 +69.2%	Not on one close	33% 21/64	+0.2% / +12.6%	−24.6% / −43.6%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 +15.5%	Buys Oct 30	56% 24/43	+11.6% / +12.6%	−28.3% / −43.6%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 9, 2026 +14.0%	Enter above C$84.83 (+4.7%)	58% 25/43	+9.3% / +12.6%	−29.0% / −43.6%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 20, 2026 +13.9%	Window opens Oct 16	56% 24/43	+9.2% / +12.6%	−34.8% / −43.6%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +43.0%	Buys Dec 23	57% 25/44	+4.0% / +12.6%	−5.4% / −43.6%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 −1.7%	Buys Oct 29	51% 267/526	+8.3% / +12.6%	−19.0% / −43.6%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −0.6%	Sells Jun 30	45% 5/11	+3.9% / +12.6%	−15.8% / −43.6%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 +3.5%	Buys Nov 24	49% 191/386	+3.1% / +12.6%	−8.5% / −43.6%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +31.0%	Not on one close	45% 9/20	+6.9% / +12.6%	−49.7% / −43.6%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	50% 1134/2284	+6.7% / +12.6%	−55.7% / −43.6%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −1.4%	Buys Oct 27	45% 155/348	+1.2% / +12.6%	−8.3% / −43.6%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −3.5%	Sells Oct 16	52% 281/541	+9.6% / +12.6%	−35.6% / −43.6%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 4, 2005	Always in	–	+12.6%	−43.6%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureLow1 of 10 points

Market swings0/3
Past crashes0/2
Debt1/3
Run-up0/2

It operating profit covers interest only 4.0×.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Oct 2008 · back to its old high Jan 2009

CGY−34%

TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high May 2020

CGY−25%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jan 2022 · back to its old high Mar 2022

CGY−13%

TSX−14%

Beta0.85Moves about 0.8× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture13%In months the TSX fell, this fell 13% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change+66%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−12%
Debt to equity0.57×
Net debt / EBITDA1.6×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover4.0×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Aerospace & Defense · Calian Group Ltd. provides business services and solutions in Canada and internationally. It operates through four segments: Advanced Technologies, Health, Learning, and IT and Cyber Solutions.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$934M	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	C$870M	Total sales. The market values it at 1.1× sales.
P/E ratio	24.6×	Buyers pay C$25 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	16.7×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book	2.7×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	4.4%	Keeps 4¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+19.9%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth	+920.0%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	12.0%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	C$8.8M	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	C$321M	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	C$185M	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	C$46.3M	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	0.57×	Moderate.
Interest cover	4.0×	Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	C$105.00	30% above the close, from 10 analysts (range C$100.00 to C$110.00).
Dividend yield	1.39%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

CGY: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Industrials & materials: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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