Financials
Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.
Your signal
Hold: 55 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Off the high (−9% from its 1-year high) scores 71 and lifts it; Plays in (34%) scores 34 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | BMO | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 34% | 34 | 40 | 13.6 |
| Off the high | −9% from its 1-year high | 71 | 30 | 21.3 |
| Trend | +9% vs 200-day | 68 | 30 | 20.4 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | BMO | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 34% | 34 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +8% · 15 analysts | 41 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 2.7 · hold | 13 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 19.2× | 66 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 14.3× | 57 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | 1.52 | 46 | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to sales | 4.6× | 39 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to book | 1.9× | 77 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | 3.0% | 68 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | −24% | 17 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +12% | 45 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | 26% | 76 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | 11% | 43 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | – | – | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. |
| Off the high | −9% from its 1-year high | 71 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | +9% vs 200-day | 68 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +38% | 70 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 4/10 · moderate | 60 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on BMOThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about BMO now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
BMO −1.4%, the S&P/TSX +0.9% that session; −1.0% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on BMO was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for BMO starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +0.9%. The 25 other Financials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.5% on average, so most of the move was its own.
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on BMO went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −3.1% | Enter above C$237.64 (+1.0%) | 32% 174/543 | +9.2% / +11.4% | −44.7% / −62.4% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 +1.3% | Enter above C$243.81 (+3.7%) | 28% 30/107 | +9.8% / +11.4% | −28.5% / −62.4% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −3.1% | Enter above C$240.07 (+2.1%) | 26% 86/331 | +11.0% / +11.4% | −38.6% / −62.4% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Sep 22, 2026 −4.1% | Enter above C$242.90 (+3.3%) | 18% 17/92 | +5.2% / +11.6% | −16.2% / −62.4% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | IN | May 2, 2025 +82.2% | Exit below C$230.06 (−2.2%) | 24% 16/68 | +9.5% / +11.4% | −23.2% / −62.4% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | IN | May 2, 2025 +82.2% | Exit below C$230.06 (−2.2%) | 29% 26/91 | +8.1% / +11.4% | −23.0% / −62.4% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2024 +108.5% | Exit below C$218.22 (−7.2%) | 24% 9/38 | +9.1% / +11.4% | −39.5% / −62.4% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | IN | Apr 22, 2025 +91.2% | Exit below C$216.87 (−7.8%) | 18% 28/156 | +10.3% / +11.4% | −24.0% / −62.4% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | IN | Oct 31, 2024 +98.1% | Not on one close | 27% 7/26 | +7.9% / +11.4% | −53.9% / −62.4% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Apr 22, 2025 +91.2% | Exit below C$216.87 (−7.8%) | 17% 21/122 | +8.3% / +11.4% | −25.8% / −62.4% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −2.1% | Enter above C$251.20 (+6.8%) | 31% 44/144 | +6.4% / +11.4% | −50.2% / −62.4% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −2.3% | Enter above C$235.21 (+0.0%) | 30% 218/715 | +9.4% / +11.4% | −40.5% / −62.4% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −0.5% | Enter above C$243.29 (+3.5%) | 35% 87/246 | +5.8% / +11.4% | −49.6% / −62.4% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Sep 27, 2024 +108.2% | Not on one close | 20% 6/30 | +9.2% / +11.8% | −37.8% / −62.4% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Aug 24, 2026 −1.4% | Enter above C$280.14 (+19.1%) | 30% 40/135 | +8.0% / +11.4% | −40.9% / −62.4% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −2.2% | Not on one close | 32% 39/121 | +10.2% / +11.4% | −31.6% / −62.4% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +0.2% | Enter above C$240.49 (+2.3%) | 32% 57/178 | +5.5% / +11.4% | −63.0% / −62.4% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Aug 24, 2026 −1.4% | Not on one close | 37% 106/283 | +7.6% / +11.4% | −37.0% / −62.4% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above C$248.56 (+5.7%) | 40% 193/481 | +9.4% / +11.4% | −29.1% / −62.4% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −0.6% | Enter above C$249.59 (+6.1%) | 36% 77/216 | +6.3% / +11.4% | −47.2% / −62.4% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −2.3% | Enter above C$239.41 (+1.8%) | 40% 205/507 | +6.5% / +11.4% | −53.3% / −62.4% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 22, 2026 −4.1% | Enter above C$243.53 (+3.6%) | 38% 64/169 | +6.6% / +11.4% | −20.7% / −62.4% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −2.1% | Enter above C$269.42 (+14.6%) | 32% 56/177 | +8.4% / +11.4% | −44.7% / −62.4% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −2.1% | Enter above C$241.39 (+2.6%) | 35% 51/146 | +6.7% / +11.4% | −52.9% / −62.4% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −2.2% | Enter above C$253.53 (+7.8%) | 32% 70/217 | +7.5% / +11.4% | −47.1% / −62.4% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −1.2% | Not on one close | 38% 97/253 | +6.9% / +11.4% | −44.2% / −62.4% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −2.1% | Enter above C$266.56 (+13.3%) | 31% 42/137 | +6.4% / +11.4% | −45.6% / −62.4% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above C$282.26 (+20.0%) | 29% 30/103 | +9.7% / +11.4% | −31.2% / −62.4% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Jul 3, 2026 −4.2% | Not on one close | 39% 66/168 | +6.8% / +11.4% | −31.5% / −62.4% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jul 29, 2026 −4.0% | Not on one close | 25% 10/40 | +1.5% / +11.4% | −6.9% / −62.4% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 +1.9% | Enter above C$249.59 (+6.1%) | 35% 45/129 | +7.9% / +11.4% | −44.4% / −62.4% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −3.1% | Enter above C$249.59 (+6.1%) | 36% 54/149 | +6.3% / +11.4% | −30.3% / −62.4% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −3.1% | Enter above C$259.20 (+10.2%) | 40% 33/83 | +9.9% / +11.4% | −19.5% / −62.4% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −3.1% | Enter above C$257.88 (+9.7%) | 36% 35/96 | +7.2% / +11.4% | −18.4% / −62.4% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −0.6% | Not on one close | 34% 40/116 | +6.9% / +11.4% | −26.2% / −62.4% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Jul 23, 2026 −4.9% | Enter above C$247.83 (+5.4%) | 30% 52/171 | +5.6% / +11.4% | −23.7% / −62.4% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −2.2% | Enter above C$251.15 (+6.8%) | 38% 72/191 | +8.4% / +11.4% | −19.6% / −62.4% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −0.6% | Enter above C$248.84 (+5.8%) | 38% 69/184 | +7.7% / +11.4% | −45.9% / −62.4% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −0.6% | Enter above C$239.75 (+1.9%) | 33% 63/191 | +7.0% / +11.4% | −56.0% / −62.4% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | IN | Jun 30, 2025 +62.8% | Exit below C$175.65 (−25.3%) | 33% 12/36 | +9.2% / +11.4% | −41.7% / −62.4% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above C$238.59 (+1.5%) | 27% 91/343 | +8.4% / +11.4% | −44.7% / −62.4% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Jul 2, 2026 −4.1% | Not on one close | 31% 73/238 | +4.3% / +11.4% | −11.4% / −62.4% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −2.3% | Not on one close | 39% 47/120 | +3.8% / +11.4% | −16.0% / −62.4% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −2.2% | Enter above C$237.15 (+0.8%) | 37% 244/654 | +7.9% / +11.4% | −40.5% / −62.4% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −2.2% | Not on one close | 28% 9/32 | +2.1% / +11.4% | −9.8% / −62.4% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2024 +108.5% | Exit below C$176.41 (−25.0%) | 31% 9/29 | +9.2% / +11.7% | −31.6% / −62.4% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Aug 30, 2024 +125.8% | Not on one close | 50% 10/20 | +9.7% / +11.7% | −47.9% / −62.4% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | IN | Feb 28, 2025 +67.2% | Exit below C$196.15 (−16.6%) | 29% 10/35 | +6.9% / +11.7% | −29.5% / −62.4% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −1.2% | Not on one close | 28% 31/111 | +9.3% / +11.4% | −20.9% / −62.4% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | IN | Dec 29, 2023 +101.3% | Exit below C$219.20 (−6.8%) | 50% 4/8 | +8.9% / +11.4% | −52.4% / −62.4% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −0.5% | Enter above C$244.31 (+3.9%) | 35% 38/110 | +10.3% / +11.4% | −22.4% / −62.4% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above C$241.55 (+2.7%) | 37% 158/425 | +7.8% / +11.4% | −42.6% / −62.4% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −3.1% | Enter above C$235.84 (+0.3%) | 36% 237/665 | +9.4% / +11.4% | −37.1% / −62.4% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −0.5% | Enter above C$270.38 (+15.0%) | 39% 116/301 | +6.3% / +11.4% | −43.1% / −62.4% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Nov 30, 2023 +137.0% | Not on one close | 62% 8/13 | +12.5% / +11.0% | −45.6% / −62.4% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −2.2% | Enter above C$251.86 (+7.1%) | 33% 199/610 | +5.9% / +11.4% | −20.3% / −62.4% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +0.2% | Enter above C$287.11 (+22.1%) | 37% 101/275 | +4.3% / +11.4% | −53.2% / −62.4% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −2.1% | Enter above C$270.60 (+15.1%) | 32% 56/173 | +8.4% / +11.4% | −44.7% / −62.4% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | IN | May 30, 2025 +66.7% | Exit below C$231.85 (−1.4%) | 42% 36/85 | +9.7% / +11.7% | −30.4% / −62.4% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Aug 30, 2024 +125.8% | Not on one close | 40% 8/20 | +7.6% / +11.2% | −47.9% / −62.4% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | IN | Aug 30, 2024 +125.8% | Not on one close | 46% 11/24 | +8.8% / +11.7% | −47.9% / −62.4% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above C$249.00 (+5.9%) | 31% 105/337 | +5.0% / +11.4% | −42.8% / −62.4% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | May 23, 2025 +72.2% | Not on one close | 73% 32/44 | +5.1% / +11.4% | −57.2% / −62.4% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 55% 187/342 | +0.9% / +11.4% | −48.1% / −62.4% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Sep 23, 2026 −2.2% | Sell above C$236.20 (+0.4%) | 58% 229/396 | +1.2% / +11.4% | −54.2% / −62.4% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Oct 1, 2026 −0.6% | Sell above C$239.01 (+1.6%) | 65% 125/193 | +4.7% / +11.4% | −49.5% / −62.4% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +0.2% | Not on one close | 69% 114/165 | +7.1% / +11.4% | −48.1% / −62.4% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Oct 1, 2026 −0.6% | Not on one close | 68% 180/265 | +7.1% / +11.4% | −45.5% / −62.4% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 59% 49/83 | +6.8% / +11.4% | −42.3% / −62.4% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Nov 22, 2004 +947.1% | Sell above C$524.18 (+122.9%) | – | +11.4% / +11.4% | −62.4% / −62.4% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Apr 9, 2025 +92.0% | Not on one close | 43% 6/14 | +1.0% / +11.4% | −22.0% / −62.4% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Sep 22, 2026 −4.1% | Enter above C$235.35 (+0.1%) | 56% 179/321 | +7.1% / +11.4% | −45.6% / −62.4% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Sep 24, 2026 −2.8% | Not on one close | 64% 270/423 | +9.9% / +11.4% | −43.3% / −62.4% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +3.0% | Buy below C$235.18 (0.0%) | 55% 913/1648 | +0.3% / +11.4% | −49.7% / −62.4% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −0.5% | Sell above C$245.74 (+4.5%) | 61% 60/99 | +4.3% / +11.4% | −14.6% / −62.4% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 41% 412/1017 | +12.3% / +11.4% | −24.0% / −62.4% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −1.2% | Buy below C$242.77 (+3.2%) | 59% 81/137 | +6.4% / +11.4% | −39.8% / −62.4% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −1.2% | Not on one close | 29% 194/665 | +5.8% / +11.4% | −43.9% / −62.4% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Sep 18, 2026 −3.7% | Not on one close | 41% 76/187 | +6.5% / +11.4% | −52.1% / −62.4% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | OUT | Jul 30, 2024 +122.6% | Not on one close | 69% 25/36 | +5.3% / +11.4% | −45.8% / −62.4% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | IN | Nov 19, 2020 +224.2% | Exit below C$207.92 (−11.6%) | 27% 20/75 | +5.9% / +11.5% | −51.5% / −62.4% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −3.1% | Enter above C$236.79 (+0.7%) | 34% 227/663 | +11.4% / +11.4% | −38.2% / −62.4% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −2.3% | Enter above C$294.30 (+25.1%) | 33% 115/351 | +7.7% / +11.4% | −37.5% / −62.4% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$235.18 (0.0%) | 38% 209/545 | +6.5% / +11.4% | −44.7% / −62.4% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Jul 16, 2024 +114.9% | Not on one close | 27% 18/66 | +8.2% / +11.6% | −55.9% / −62.4% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sell C$230.24–C$233.90 (−0.5%) | 38% 352/917 | +8.0% / +11.4% | −25.3% / −62.4% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | OUT | Jul 2, 2026 −4.1% | Not on one close | 51% 57/111 | +5.1% / +11.4% | −39.9% / −62.4% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Mar 6, 2026 +23.6% | Not on one close | 41% 32/78 | +4.5% / +11.4% | −33.1% / −62.4% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Mar 31, 2026 +26.7% | Not on one close | 42% 21/50 | +1.0% / +11.4% | −15.9% / −62.4% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 +14.5% | Buys Oct 30 | 56% 24/43 | +6.9% / +11.4% | −53.4% / −62.4% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 27, 2026 +14.9% | Enter above C$236.12 (+0.4%) | 60% 26/43 | +6.9% / +11.4% | −54.9% / −62.4% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | May 1, 2026 +14.2% | Window opens Oct 16 | 53% 23/43 | +7.0% / +11.4% | −53.6% / −62.4% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 +30.5% | Buys Dec 23 | 48% 21/44 | +3.0% / +11.4% | −4.2% / −62.4% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +0.2% | Buys Oct 29 | 46% 241/526 | +0.8% / +11.4% | −39.5% / −62.4% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −1.2% | Sells Jun 30 | 27% 3/11 | +1.3% / +11.4% | −24.5% / −62.4% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −3.1% | Buys Nov 24 | 50% 192/386 | +2.7% / +11.4% | −5.4% / −62.4% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +125.8% | Not on one close | 35% 7/20 | +5.6% / +11.4% | −27.1% / −62.4% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sells Oct 16 | 50% 1138/2284 | +4.4% / +11.4% | −48.7% / −62.4% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 −2.7% | Buys Oct 27 | 46% 161/348 | +2.4% / +11.4% | −9.6% / −62.4% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −0.5% | Sells Oct 16 | 50% 271/541 | +5.7% / +11.4% | −47.0% / −62.4% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Jan 4, 2005 | Always in | – | +11.4% | −62.4% |
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Banks - Diversified · Bank of Montreal provides diversified financial services primarily in North America. It operates through Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking; U.S. Banking; Wealth Management; and Capital Markets segments.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | C$163B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | C$35.7B | Total sales. The market values it at 4.6× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 19.2× | Buyers pay C$19 for each C$1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 14.3× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 1.9× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 25.7% | Keeps 26¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +12.0% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Earnings growth | −24.2% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 10.6% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | C$88.1B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | C$339B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | C$459B | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 3.85× | Above about 1.5× is heavily borrowed; above 3× is fragile in a downturn. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | C$255.07 | 8% above the close, from 15 analysts (range C$206.00 to C$295.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Hold | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
| Dividend yield | 2.95% | Yearly dividends as a share of the price. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
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