Oct 13 close Sign in

Industrials & materials

Bird Construction (BDT)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Buy83 / 100

Buy: 83 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Trend (+56% vs 200-day) scores 100 and lifts it; Plays in (64%) scores 64 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightBDTPointsWeightAdds
Plays in64%644025.6
Off the high−3% from its 1-year high903027.0
Trend+56% vs 200-day1003030.0
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for BDT
FactorBDTPointsWhat it is
Plays in64%64The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+8% · 8 analysts40How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.5 · buy75The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E77.4×11Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E21.4×28Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales1.3×82Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book10.2×18Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield1.0%32Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+49%71Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+23%67Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin2%23Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity13%54Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.94×31Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−3% from its 1-year high90How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend+56% vs 200-day100How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+179%98The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure4/10 · moderate60The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on BDT

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in64 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate4 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.56×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+56%). Higher than on 97% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about BDT now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved BDT lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Sep 10+4.9% against the S&P/TSX1.4× a normal day

BDT +3.8%, the S&P/TSX −1.1% that session; +9.2% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on BDT was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for BDT starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.1%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.4% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Wed Sep 9−4.0% against the S&P/TSX1.1× a normal day

BDT −4.6%, the S&P/TSX −0.6% that session; +1.6% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on BDT was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for BDT starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.6%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.3% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Tue Sep 8+5.4% against the S&P/TSX1.6× a normal day

BDT +4.3%, the S&P/TSX −1.1% that session; +5.6% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on BDT was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for BDT starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.1%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.8% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on BDT

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on BDT went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINSep 4, 2026 +18.0%Exit below C$79.69 (−3.7%)26% 143/555+15.3% / +18.0%−77.7% / −75.3%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINDec 12, 2025 +199.0%Exit below C$68.17 (−17.7%)26% 27/102+12.6% / +18.0%−72.3% / −75.3%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINSep 3, 2026 +21.8%Exit below C$74.99 (−9.4%)26% 69/263+17.6% / +18.0%−77.7% / −75.3%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyINSep 4, 2026 +18.0%Exit below C$73.79 (−10.9%)22% 33/147+8.8% / +18.0%−72.6% / −75.3%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyINDec 12, 2025 +199.0%Exit below C$62.92 (−24.0%)26% 16/62+12.2% / +18.0%−72.3% / −75.3%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyINDec 19, 2025 +188.6%Exit below C$62.92 (−24.0%)21% 18/85+11.8% / +18.0%−72.3% / −75.3%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endINSep 30, 2025 +180.0%Exit below C$54.36 (−34.3%)32% 12/38+12.6% / +18.0%−72.3% / −75.3%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyINNov 25, 2025 +223.6%Exit below C$53.22 (−35.7%)14% 21/146+14.2% / +18.0%−72.3% / −75.3%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyINJun 24, 2025 +204.7%Not on one close37% 11/30+12.4% / +18.0%−72.9% / −75.3%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyINNov 25, 2025 +223.6%Exit below C$53.22 (−35.7%)13% 14/104+11.0% / +18.0%−73.1% / −75.3%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyINSep 18, 2026 +6.4%Exit below C$64.15 (−22.5%)36% 47/130+14.2% / +18.0%−77.3% / −75.3%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINSep 4, 2026 +18.0%Exit below C$79.98 (−3.4%)27% 198/743+14.0% / +18.0%−74.3% / −75.3%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINSep 11, 2026 +15.2%Exit below C$76.90 (−7.1%)37% 94/255+6.2% / +18.0%−78.4% / −75.3%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINMay 8, 2025 +246.7%Not on one close27% 7/26+11.4% / +16.7%−72.3% / −75.3%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyINDec 17, 2025 +186.2%Exit below C$55.76 (−32.6%)31% 36/117+14.8% / +18.0%−72.3% / −75.3%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyINDec 17, 2025 +186.2%Exit below C$68.88 (−16.8%)33% 35/105+13.7% / +18.0%−73.9% / −75.3%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINAug 17, 2026 +11.4%Exit below C$76.48 (−7.6%)43% 69/159+16.1% / +18.0%−73.5% / −75.3%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyINSep 15, 2026 +13.0%Not on one close40% 108/273+12.8% / +18.0%−75.0% / −75.3%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 +2.8%Enter above C$83.64 (+1.0%)36% 189/532+16.7% / +18.0%−75.0% / −75.3%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +17.8%Exit below C$69.21 (−16.4%)43% 92/215+13.5% / +18.0%−79.0% / −75.3%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +0.8%Enter above C$85.02 (+2.7%)43% 175/410+15.3% / +18.0%−77.1% / −75.3%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 24, 2026 +3.8%Exit below C$74.65 (−9.8%)37% 63/170+10.4% / +18.0%−75.1% / −75.3%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINSep 8, 2026 +13.1%Exit below C$51.08 (−38.3%)33% 52/159+18.6% / +18.0%−73.0% / −75.3%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTOct 9, 2026 +2.8%Enter above C$83.73 (+1.1%)40% 79/199+16.9% / +18.0%−73.8% / −75.3%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 8, 2026 +13.1%Not on one close33% 67/203+18.6% / +18.0%−72.3% / −75.3%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +3.0%Not on one close45% 96/212+13.9% / +18.0%−76.3% / −75.3%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINSep 4, 2026 +18.0%Exit below C$53.49 (−35.4%)31% 46/147+15.8% / +18.0%−73.3% / −75.3%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyINDec 18, 2025 +192.5%Not on one close25% 26/103+12.1% / +18.0%−72.3% / −75.3%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 +2.8%Not on one close38% 69/180+4.6% / +18.0%−77.1% / −75.3%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJul 7, 2026 +24.4%Not on one close51% 33/65+5.7% / +18.0%−16.4% / −75.3%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINDec 9, 2025 +197.9%Exit below C$72.51 (−12.4%)42% 45/106+17.1% / +18.0%−80.4% / −75.3%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +1.7%Exit below C$78.00 (−5.8%)37% 44/119+9.3% / +18.0%−74.1% / −75.3%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINFeb 3, 2026 +166.7%Exit below C$72.51 (−12.4%)42% 34/81+12.4% / +18.0%−73.2% / −75.3%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINSep 17, 2026 +6.3%Exit below C$75.64 (−8.6%)36% 37/103+8.4% / +18.0%−73.3% / −75.3%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyINJan 9, 2026 +179.4%Exit below C$77.10 (−6.9%)40% 48/121+14.4% / +18.0%−74.3% / −75.3%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyINSep 17, 2026 +6.3%Exit below C$79.89 (−3.5%)39% 60/153+9.1% / +18.0%−75.2% / −75.3%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +9.8%Exit below C$80.99 (−2.2%)37% 78/211+6.5% / +18.0%−81.8% / −75.3%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +9.8%Exit below C$77.33 (−6.6%)39% 71/183+8.9% / +18.0%−84.2% / −75.3%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 8, 2026 +13.1%Exit below C$76.23 (−7.9%)42% 76/181+14.0% / +18.0%−80.2% / −75.3%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyINFeb 9, 2026 +163.2%Exit below C$76.46 (−7.6%)40% 36/91+15.0% / +18.0%−75.2% / −75.3%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINSep 8, 2026 +13.1%Exit below C$78.65 (−5.0%)29% 97/331+14.3% / +18.0%−75.6% / −75.3%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −0.8%Not on one close26% 61/234−1.2% / +18.0%−72.4% / −75.3%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 +17.3%Not on one close39% 51/132+5.5% / +18.0%−36.9% / −75.3%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +0.8%Enter above C$85.26 (+3.0%)34% 219/637+13.0% / +14.6%−73.4% / −75.3%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTFeb 12, 2026 +180.4%Not on one close29% 8/28+1.7% / +18.0%−11.7% / −75.3%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINDec 31, 2025 +194.1%Exit below C$30.67 (−63.0%)42% 11/26+11.0% / +17.6%−72.3% / −75.3%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINOct 31, 2025 +179.9%Not on one close47% 14/30+9.5% / +17.6%−81.1% / −75.3%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endINJan 30, 2026 +177.5%Exit below C$34.10 (−58.8%)39% 14/36+12.1% / +17.6%−72.3% / −75.3%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINJan 29, 2026 +173.6%Sell above C$95.21 (+15.0%)21% 28/135+15.0% / +18.0%−55.5% / −75.3%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endINSep 30, 2025 +180.0%Exit below C$72.60 (−12.3%)26% 7/27+8.6% / +18.0%−80.3% / −75.3%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyINJan 2, 2026 +186.8%Exit below C$67.90 (−18.0%)27% 30/112+9.1% / +18.0%−74.3% / −75.3%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +3.0%Enter above C$88.28 (+6.6%)31% 140/448+7.4% / +18.0%−77.9% / −75.3%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$81.21 (−1.9%)30% 213/705+13.4% / +18.0%−79.7% / −75.3%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 +2.8%Enter above C$95.65 (+15.5%)39% 118/304+5.8% / +18.0%−77.9% / −75.3%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINJan 31, 2023 +989.3%Not on one close21% 4/19+10.5% / +14.7%−86.1% / −75.3%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −0.5%Enter above C$84.69 (+2.3%)30% 163/546+5.8% / +18.0%−76.6% / −75.3%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINSep 11, 2026 +15.2%Exit below C$85.28 (+3.0%)38% 97/257+5.6% / +18.0%−77.9% / −75.3%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyINSep 8, 2026 +13.1%Exit below C$49.52 (−40.2%)33% 51/153+17.8% / +18.0%−72.6% / −75.3%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endINDec 31, 2025 +194.1%Exit below C$67.82 (−18.1%)38% 25/66+15.8% / +17.6%−72.3% / −75.3%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINOct 31, 2025 +179.9%Not on one close45% 13/29+14.6% / +21.6%−70.4% / −69.7%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINOct 31, 2025 +179.9%Not on one close39% 14/36+11.3% / +17.6%−72.3% / −75.3%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 +2.8%Enter above C$85.95 (+3.8%)35% 108/312+8.9% / +18.0%−78.4% / −75.3%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTMar 19, 2026 +139.9%Not on one close66% 31/47+6.9% / +18.0%−66.9% / −75.3%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Buy below C$72.37 (−12.6%)58% 161/276+2.1% / +18.0%−46.9% / −75.3%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +3.0%Sell above C$83.46 (+0.8%)65% 244/375+3.9% / +18.0%−72.8% / −75.3%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTDec 3, 2025 +217.3%Buy below C$75.36 (−9.0%)64% 114/178+1.9% / +18.0%−67.3% / −75.3%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTSep 18, 2026 +6.4%Not on one close60% 81/135+3.7% / +18.0%−68.6% / −75.3%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 +18.5%Not on one close62% 154/248+0.9% / +18.0%−78.6% / −75.3%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINJul 31, 2026 +24.0%Not on one close61% 47/77+7.7% / +18.0%−65.2% / −75.3%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINNov 22, 2004 +3,719.4%Sell above C$128.62 (+55.4%)–+18.0% / +18.0%−75.3% / −75.3%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTMay 16, 2022 +1,101.5%Not on one close55% 11/20+1.3% / +18.0%−38.7% / −75.3%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 +0.9%Not on one close45% 141/310+10.0% / +18.0%−65.8% / −75.3%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close55% 230/419+7.5% / +18.0%−74.2% / −75.3%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +0.8%Buy below C$82.79 (0.0%)55% 993/1792+6.3% / +18.0%−61.2% / −75.3%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTDec 8, 2025 +204.5%Not on one close51% 39/76−2.5% / +18.0%−78.9% / −75.3%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +0.8%Enter above C$84.04 (+1.5%)38% 389/1022+20.9% / +18.0%−55.5% / −75.3%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +0.9%Buy below C$83.68 (+1.1%)56% 73/130+4.3% / +18.0%−70.4% / −75.3%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$82.79 (0.0%)30% 169/555+18.9% / +18.0%−75.5% / −75.3%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 8, 2026 +13.1%Not on one close39% 76/193+7.8% / +18.0%−72.8% / −75.3%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTDec 15, 2025 +199.4%Not on one close64% 48/75+6.2% / +18.0%−66.2% / −75.3%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINMar 13, 2026 +145.0%Not on one close31% 54/172+10.6% / +18.0%−73.7% / −75.3%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINSep 3, 2026 +21.8%Exit below C$80.40 (−2.9%)32% 174/537+14.0% / +18.0%−79.4% / −75.3%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINSep 10, 2026 +14.2%Exit below C$74.76 (−9.7%)34% 125/363+13.8% / +18.4%−77.4% / −75.3%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +0.9%Not on one close35% 185/529+9.0% / +18.0%−64.8% / −75.3%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINJan 30, 2026 +177.5%Not on one close34% 31/92+9.3% / +17.7%−81.9% / −75.3%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −0.8%Not on one close35% 263/759+17.1% / +18.0%−60.9% / −75.3%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTJun 17, 2026 +38.9%Not on one close49% 68/138+7.9% / +18.0%−55.4% / −75.3%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTNov 13, 2025 +230.2%Not on one close36% 37/104+1.8% / +18.0%−72.3% / −75.3%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTSep 5, 2025 +222.8%Not on one close46% 21/46+2.8% / +18.0%−14.7% / −75.3%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 +66.2%Buys Oct 3049% 21/43+8.2% / +18.0%−72.4% / −75.3%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 1, 2026 −1.3%Window opens Apr 141% 18/44+5.2% / +18.0%−72.3% / −75.3%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 +84.0%Window opens Oct 1647% 20/43+8.7% / +18.0%−73.7% / −75.3%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +186.6%Buys Dec 2350% 22/44+3.8% / +18.0%−14.9% / −75.3%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −0.8%Buys Oct 2947% 245/526+5.1% / +18.0%−50.9% / −75.3%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +0.9%Sells Jun 3036% 4/11+3.1% / +18.0%−47.4% / −75.3%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +18.0%Buys Nov 2448% 186/386+4.0% / +18.0%−14.7% / −75.3%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +1,044.6%Not on one close35% 7/20+10.7% / +18.0%−75.3% / −75.3%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1650% 1142/2284+19.5% / +18.0%−60.1% / −75.3%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +9.8%Buys Oct 2745% 158/348+2.3% / +18.0%−10.5% / −75.3%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −3.1%Sells Oct 1648% 258/541+6.9% / +18.0%−74.0% / −75.3%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 4, 2005Always in–+18.0%−75.3%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureModerate4 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes2/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up2/2
  • It fell about 1.5× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It is up 174% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Dec 2008 · back to its old high Apr 2009

BDT−48%
TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jul 2020

BDT−33%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Oct 2022 · back to its old high Mar 2023

BDT−38%
TSX−14%
  • Beta1.03Moves about 1.0× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture−268%In months the TSX fell, this fell -268% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+174%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
  • From 52-week high−3%
  • Debt to equity0.98×
  • Net debt / EBITDA0.8×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover4.0×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Engineering & Construction · Bird Construction Inc. provides construction services in Canada. The company primarily focuses on projects in the industrial, building, and infrastructure markets. It constructs large, complex industrial buildings, including manufacturing, processing, distribution, and warehouse facilities; and provides electrical and instrumentation, high voltage testing and commissioning services, as well as power line construction, structural, mechanical, and piping, including off-site metal and modular fabrication.

Size and valuation
Market capC$4.6BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)C$3.7BTotal sales. The market values it at 1.3× sales.
P/E ratio77.4×Buyers pay C$77 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E21.4×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book10.2×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin1.6%Keeps 2¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+22.6%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth+49.3%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity13.4%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flowC$308MCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equityC$432MWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debtC$424MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
CashC$325MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.98×Moderate.
Interest cover4.0×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$89.388% above the close, from 8 analysts (range C$83.00 to C$100.00).
Consensus ratingStrong buyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield1.04%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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