Industrials & materials

Bombardier (BBD.B)

C$299.39 +0.6% on the day·+57.4% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell38 / 100

Sell: 38 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Trend (+4% vs 200-day) scores 54 and lifts it; Plays in (30%) scores 30 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	BBD.B	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	30%	30	40	12.0
Off the high	−20% from its 1-year high	34	30	10.2
Trend	+4% vs 200-day	54	30	16.2

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for BBD.B

Factor	BBD.B	Points	What it is
Plays in	30%	30	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+22% · 14 analysts	59	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	2.5 · buy	27	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	22.9×	55	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	19.9×	33	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	9.29	4	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	4.0×	47	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	negative book	0	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield	none	0	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	−2%	27	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth	+6%	28	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	10%	47	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	–	–	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher.
Debt to equity	–	–	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0.
Off the high	−20% from its 1-year high	34	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	+4% vs 200-day	54	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+57%	80	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	9/10 · very high	10	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on BBD.B

30 of the 100 plays hold BBD.B right now.
The trend-following, breakout and volume plays mostly say out.
It closed 4% above its 200-day average and 20% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads very high: it moves about 1.9× its index and fell about 2.4× as far as its index in past crashes.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$364.14, 22% above the close (14 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in30 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureVery high9 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple1.04×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+4%). Higher than on 49% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about BBD.B now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn BBD.B: right 21 of 50 · Out since Nov 12, 2025 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn BBD.B: right 81 of 196 · Out since Aug 21, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn BBD.B: right 9 of 29 · In since Jun 30, 2025 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn BBD.B: right 111 of 184 · Out since Sep 21, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexOUT59% of 13,925 calls rightOn BBD.B: right 27 of 45 · Out since Jun 10, 2025 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchIN50% of 38,976 calls rightOn BBD.B: right 68 of 135 · In since Oct 9, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn BBD.B: right 28 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

BBD.B, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved BBD.B lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Aug 31−5.2% against the S&P/TSX2.0× a normal day

BBD.B −6.0%, the S&P/TSX −0.8% that session; −1.1% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on BBD.B was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for BBD.B starts Oct 5, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.8%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.4% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Next earnings report

Thu Nov 5, 2026 before the open

From Yahoo Finance's calendar; dates can move. Analysts expect earnings per share of 1.67.

Over its last 12 reports, BBD.B's typical move against the S&P/TSX at the first close after the report was ±6.6% (median size, either way); it finished ahead of the index 3 times.
BBD.B after beats of 5% or more: ahead of its index at the first close after the report 11 of 24 times (median −0.1%).
BBD.B after misses of any size: behind its index at the first close after the report 11 of 17 times (median −3.2%).
Across all covered stocks, beats of 5% or more were followed by a gain against the index 64% of the time and misses by a drop 62% of the time.

Whether a report beats is only known once it is out, so these say how the stock has reacted, not which way it will go.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on BBD.B

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following7 of 30 in Breakouts & channels1 of 15 in Momentum8 of 17 in Mean reversion7 of 15 in Volume & money flow2 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns1 of 3 in Calendar4 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on BBD.B went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 −4.2%	Enter above C$307.73 (+2.8%)	25% 160/648	+7.6% / +8.9%	−85.1% / −96.3%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −3.1%	Enter above C$324.50 (+8.4%)	32% 29/92	+14.8% / +8.9%	−46.9% / −96.3%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −4.9%	Enter above C$314.34 (+5.0%)	23% 79/346	+11.0% / +8.9%	−81.9% / −96.3%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	OUT	Aug 24, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above C$319.84 (+6.8%)	16% 27/168	+4.9% / +8.9%	−57.1% / −96.3%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +0.6%	Enter above C$305.55 (+2.1%)	21% 14/68	+13.1% / +8.9%	−64.6% / −96.3%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +0.6%	Enter above C$305.55 (+2.1%)	22% 18/80	+11.6% / +8.9%	−51.6% / −96.3%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	IN	May 30, 2025 +211.7%	Exit below C$293.23 (−2.1%)	48% 15/31	+18.3% / +8.9%	−57.9% / −96.3%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	IN	May 29, 2025 +214.7%	Exit below C$289.12 (−3.4%)	21% 26/121	+20.8% / +8.9%	−44.8% / −96.3%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	IN	Jun 24, 2025 +161.9%	Not on one close	48% 12/25	+14.8% / +8.9%	−66.5% / −96.3%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Jun 3, 2025 +212.1%	Exit below C$289.12 (−3.4%)	17% 16/93	+10.5% / +8.9%	−64.5% / −96.3%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 −6.1%	Enter above C$332.77 (+11.1%)	38% 52/138	+13.2% / +8.9%	−72.4% / −96.3%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −4.9%	Enter above C$305.56 (+2.1%)	24% 184/780	+3.1% / +8.9%	−86.9% / −96.3%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 −4.9%	Exit below C$286.10 (−4.4%)	39% 97/251	+14.5% / +8.9%	−59.5% / −96.3%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Apr 22, 2025 +256.3%	Not on one close	32% 10/31	+7.9% / +8.1%	−77.4% / −96.3%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	OUT	Aug 25, 2026 −5.2%	Enter above C$403.07 (+34.6%)	32% 37/114	+15.4% / +8.9%	−59.4% / −96.3%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −0.2%	Enter above C$332.60 (+11.1%)	35% 34/98	+18.2% / +8.9%	−53.5% / −96.3%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	OUT	Jul 30, 2026 −9.3%	Enter above C$321.58 (+7.4%)	41% 61/150	+14.3% / +8.9%	−67.2% / −96.3%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	OUT	Aug 24, 2026 −6.9%	Not on one close	44% 124/284	+10.6% / +8.9%	−63.3% / −96.3%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	OUT	Oct 6, 2026 −1.6%	Enter above C$326.10 (+8.9%)	34% 188/546	+14.9% / +8.9%	−76.9% / −96.3%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 −1.6%	Exit below C$290.00 (−3.1%)	35% 82/233	+10.4% / +8.9%	−82.6% / −96.3%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −3.1%	Enter above C$312.96 (+4.5%)	37% 157/424	+12.7% / +8.9%	−71.6% / −96.3%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Aug 7, 2026 −12.3%	Not on one close	34% 55/164	+14.7% / +8.9%	−41.0% / −96.3%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Aug 24, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above C$361.43 (+20.7%)	36% 64/178	+15.7% / +8.9%	−62.1% / −96.3%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −3.1%	Enter above C$309.49 (+3.4%)	34% 109/318	+6.1% / +8.9%	−84.3% / −96.3%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −3.1%	Enter above C$597.54 (+99.6%)	36% 79/218	+15.4% / +8.9%	−77.4% / −96.3%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −0.1%	Not on one close	36% 85/238	+5.6% / +8.9%	−85.2% / −96.3%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	OUT	Aug 24, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above C$359.61 (+20.1%)	34% 57/166	+14.3% / +8.9%	−70.3% / −96.3%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −0.8%	Enter above C$426.64 (+42.5%)	34% 30/88	+15.7% / +8.9%	−60.1% / −96.3%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Jul 17, 2026 −11.8%	Not on one close	40% 70/174	+4.8% / +8.9%	−65.9% / −96.3%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Nov 12, 2025 +38.0%	Not on one close	42% 21/50	+3.5% / +8.9%	−29.8% / −96.3%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	OUT	Aug 24, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above C$324.05 (+8.2%)	47% 55/116	+15.4% / +8.9%	−82.8% / −96.3%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Aug 24, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above C$324.05 (+8.2%)	35% 42/120	+10.6% / +8.9%	−53.1% / −96.3%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Aug 24, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above C$377.77 (+26.2%)	36% 33/92	+10.7% / +8.9%	−62.5% / −96.3%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Jul 30, 2026 −9.3%	Enter above C$363.50 (+21.4%)	41% 35/86	+14.1% / +8.9%	−48.4% / −96.3%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	OUT	Aug 24, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above C$334.97 (+11.9%)	39% 46/118	+14.7% / +8.9%	−52.8% / −96.3%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Jul 30, 2026 −9.3%	Enter above C$332.37 (+11.0%)	36% 61/168	+9.2% / +8.9%	−51.5% / −96.3%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −3.1%	Enter above C$326.79 (+9.2%)	33% 73/218	+7.5% / +8.9%	−70.5% / −96.3%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	OUT	Jul 30, 2026 −9.3%	Enter above C$322.28 (+7.6%)	35% 72/208	+5.6% / +8.9%	−88.2% / −96.3%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Jul 30, 2026 −9.3%	Enter above C$319.75 (+6.8%)	37% 77/208	+8.8% / +8.9%	−84.3% / −96.3%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	OUT	Aug 21, 2026 −12.4%	Enter above C$324.52 (+8.4%)	41% 81/196	+14.1% / +8.9%	−75.0% / −96.3%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −0.1%	Enter above C$316.12 (+5.6%)	24% 97/406	+2.4% / +8.9%	−86.1% / −96.3%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Jun 5, 2026 −1.9%	Not on one close	31% 61/194	+5.1% / +8.9%	−45.0% / −96.3%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Jul 14, 2026 −6.7%	Not on one close	41% 55/134	+6.3% / +8.9%	−34.9% / −96.3%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$292.64 (−2.3%)	32% 202/631	+9.7% / +8.9%	−82.7% / −96.3%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −3.1%	Not on one close	32% 12/38	−0.2% / +8.9%	−50.1% / −96.3%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	Apr 30, 2024 +377.3%	Exit below C$203.20 (−32.1%)	38% 8/21	+8.2% / +8.1%	−70.9% / −96.3%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Jun 30, 2025 +152.4%	Not on one close	31% 9/29	+1.3% / +8.1%	−83.6% / −96.3%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Jun 30, 2025 +152.4%	Exit below C$225.95 (−24.5%)	38% 11/29	+3.5% / +8.1%	−73.7% / −96.3%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −4.9%	Not on one close	20% 26/128	+6.3% / +8.9%	−57.5% / −96.3%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −0.2%	Enter above C$354.74 (+18.5%)	40% 12/30	+7.6% / +8.9%	−51.3% / −96.3%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −3.1%	Enter above C$324.76 (+8.5%)	29% 30/104	+15.8% / +8.9%	−41.5% / −96.3%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −0.1%	Enter above C$312.58 (+4.4%)	36% 150/412	+10.6% / +8.9%	−75.3% / −96.3%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 −4.2%	Enter above C$304.87 (+1.8%)	28% 213/762	+4.8% / +8.9%	−90.6% / −96.3%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$316.89 (+5.8%)	42% 124/292	+15.5% / +8.9%	−59.8% / −96.3%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Jan 31, 2023 +365.8%	Not on one close	64% 9/14	+17.0% / +7.9%	−69.5% / −96.3%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −4.9%	Enter above C$328.75 (+9.8%)	34% 166/492	+13.4% / +8.9%	−58.6% / −96.3%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 −4.0%	Exit below C$286.95 (−4.2%)	39% 103/267	+13.5% / +8.9%	−69.6% / −96.3%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	OUT	Aug 24, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above C$363.26 (+21.3%)	37% 63/172	+14.0% / +8.9%	−64.2% / −96.3%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −4.9%	Exit below C$306.45 (+2.4%)	42% 31/74	+11.0% / +8.1%	−66.2% / −96.3%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Jun 30, 2025 +152.4%	Not on one close	36% 8/22	+1.0% / +6.0%	−81.0% / −96.3%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	IN	Jun 30, 2025 +152.4%	Not on one close	37% 15/41	−0.3% / +8.1%	−85.6% / −96.3%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −0.1%	Enter above C$315.72 (+5.5%)	34% 113/334	+12.0% / +8.9%	−62.0% / −96.3%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Mar 25, 2024 +408.6%	Not on one close	54% 19/35	−4.9% / +8.9%	−94.9% / −96.3%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Not on one close	63% 175/276	+8.9% / +8.9%	−29.1% / −96.3%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −3.1%	Sell above C$305.33 (+2.0%)	64% 208/327	+5.6% / +8.9%	−61.8% / −96.3%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 −3.7%	Buy below C$290.15 (−3.1%)	60% 111/184	−6.2% / +8.9%	−94.9% / −96.3%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Not on one close	65% 106/164	−2.1% / +8.9%	−92.2% / −96.3%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Not on one close	59% 166/282	−3.2% / +8.9%	−94.5% / −96.3%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	IN	Aug 31, 2026 −0.2%	Not on one close	57% 40/70	−4.8% / +8.9%	−96.4% / −96.3%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +468.7%	Sell above C$698.79 (+133.4%)	–	+8.9% / +8.9%	−96.3% / −96.3%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Aug 4, 2026 −17.6%	Not on one close	63% 39/62	+6.3% / +8.9%	−28.1% / −96.3%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 −4.2%	Enter above C$306.50 (+2.4%)	42% 140/331	+3.1% / +8.9%	−91.9% / −96.3%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Not on one close	51% 204/403	−7.7% / +8.9%	−95.9% / −96.3%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +0.6%	Buy below C$299.39 (0.0%)	58% 1177/2017	+21.1% / +8.9%	−47.2% / −96.3%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +0.6%	Sell above C$318.63 (+6.4%)	57% 46/81	+3.3% / +8.9%	−63.4% / −96.3%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −4.9%	Enter above C$297.40 (−0.7%)	37% 373/999	+10.6% / +8.9%	−78.7% / −96.3%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −4.9%	Buy below C$321.10 (+7.3%)	63% 86/137	+3.0% / +8.9%	−90.5% / −96.3%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Aug 6, 2026 −14.1%	Not on one close	29% 176/612	+15.4% / +8.9%	−67.5% / −96.3%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +1.8%	Not on one close	38% 87/230	+6.0% / +8.9%	−84.5% / −96.3%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	OUT	Jun 10, 2025 +187.6%	Not on one close	60% 27/45	−3.6% / +8.9%	−96.4% / −96.3%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +0.6%	Exit below C$299.38 (0.0%)	35% 48/138	+8.9% / +8.9%	−82.8% / −96.3%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −4.9%	Enter above C$306.84 (+2.5%)	28% 160/562	+16.1% / +8.9%	−67.6% / −96.3%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −0.1%	Enter above C$355.62 (+18.8%)	35% 138/396	+13.9% / +8.9%	−75.0% / −96.3%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −3.1%	Enter above C$299.39 (0.0%)	35% 209/594	+4.0% / +8.9%	−82.7% / −96.3%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	IN	Sep 11, 2026 −0.5%	Not on one close	36% 30/83	+11.7% / +8.9%	−70.7% / −96.3%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 −4.2%	Buy C$298.57–C$300.21 (+0.3%)	37% 318/871	+9.4% / +8.9%	−84.3% / −96.3%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +0.6%	Not on one close	50% 68/135	+8.8% / +8.9%	−85.7% / −96.3%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −0.1%	Not on one close	33% 30/92	+2.8% / +8.9%	−74.7% / −96.3%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Feb 10, 2026 +19.5%	Not on one close	37% 19/52	+0.7% / +8.9%	−27.5% / −96.3%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 +3.7%	Buys Oct 30	65% 28/43	+10.5% / +8.9%	−83.0% / −96.3%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 21, 2026 +16.5%	Enter above C$312.59 (+4.4%)	65% 28/43	+8.6% / +8.9%	−83.8% / −96.3%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 22, 2026 +19.5%	Window opens Oct 16	63% 27/43	+9.7% / +8.9%	−81.2% / −96.3%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +20.3%	Buys Dec 23	61% 27/44	+5.6% / +8.9%	−8.9% / −96.3%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 −1.9%	Buys Oct 29	50% 263/526	+11.0% / +8.9%	−60.2% / −96.3%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −4.9%	Sells Jun 30	55% 6/11	+4.2% / +8.9%	−80.8% / −96.3%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −5.0%	Buys Nov 24	47% 180/386	+3.1% / +8.9%	−20.1% / −96.3%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +472.8%	Not on one close	40% 8/20	+6.3% / +8.9%	−84.7% / −96.3%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	48% 1096/2284	+2.7% / +8.9%	−95.9% / −96.3%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −0.7%	Buys Oct 27	49% 170/348	+3.8% / +8.9%	−30.0% / −96.3%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −3.1%	Sells Oct 16	48% 259/541	−1.0% / +8.9%	−85.8% / −96.3%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 4, 2005	Always in	–	+8.9%	−96.3%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureVery high9 of 10 points

Market swings2/3
Past crashes2/2
Debt3/3
Run-up2/2

It moves about 1.9× its index.
It fell about 2.4× as far as its index in past crashes.
It owes more than it owns (negative equity).
It operating profit covers interest only 2.9×.
It is up 172% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Mar 2009 · back to its old high Feb 2010

BBD.B−60%

TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jul 2021

BBD.B−71%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jul 2022 · back to its old high Nov 2022

BBD.B−56%

TSX−14%

Beta1.92Moves about 1.9× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture−25%In months the TSX fell, this fell -25% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change+172%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−20%
EquityNegativeOwes more than it owns.
Net debt / EBITDA2.3×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover2.9×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Aerospace & Defense · Bombardier Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of business aircraft and aircraft structural components worldwide. It also provides various services, such as parts, service centers, smart services, training, and technical publications. The company serves multinational corporations, charter and fractional ownership providers, governments, and private individuals. Bombardier Inc. was incorporated in 1902 and is based in Dorval, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$55.7B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	$9.7B	Total sales.
P/E ratio	22.9×	Buyers pay C$23 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	19.9×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	9.6%	Keeps 10¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+6.0%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth	−2.3%	Same comparison for profit.
Free cash flow	$1.3B	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	−$889M	Negative: it owes more than it owns.
Total debt	$4.5B	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	$1.5B	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Interest cover	2.9×	Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	C$364.14	22% above the close, from 14 analysts (range C$268.80 to C$419.20).
Consensus rating	Buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

BBD.B: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Industrials & materials: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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