AVGO −4.3%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session.
- HeadlineQuiver Quantitative · Oct 8, 2:33 pm ET
- HeadlineYahoo Finance · Oct 8, 1:28 pm ET
- HeadlineCNBC · Oct 8, 7:42 am ET
Semiconductors
Broadcom (AVGO)
In the Nasdaq-100.
Your signal
Sell30 / 100
Sell: 30 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (36%) scores 36 and lifts it; Off the high (−26% from its 1-year high) scores 15 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | AVGO | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 36% | 36 | 40 | 14.4 |
| Off the high | −26% from its 1-year high | 15 | 30 | 4.5 |
| Trend | −3% vs 200-day | 36 | 30 | 10.8 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
All 18 factors for AVGO
| Factor | AVGO | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 36% | 36 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +49% · 47 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 1.3 · strong buy | 87 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 45.6× | 21 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-08-02. |
| Forward P/E | 18.4× | 39 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | 0.36 | 92 | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to sales | 19.1× | 6 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-08-02. |
| Price to book | 17.1× | 8 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-08-02. |
| Dividend yield | 0.7% | 21 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-08-02. |
| Earnings growth | +215% | 93 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +49% | 84 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-08-02. |
| Profit margin | 43% | 93 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-08-02. |
| Return on equity | 38% | 90 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-08-02. |
| Debt to equity | 0.60× | 45 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-08-02. |
| Off the high | −26% from its 1-year high | 15 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −3% vs 200-day | 36 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +1% | 34 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 4/10 · moderate | 60 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on AVGO- 36 of the 100 plays hold AVGO right now.
- The trend-following and mean-reversion plays mostly say out.
- It closed 3% below its 200-day average and 26% below its 52-week high.
- Crash exposure reads moderate: it moves about 2.5× its index and fell about 1.4× as far as its index in past crashes.
- Analysts' average 12-month target is $531.31, 49% above the close (47 analysts).
This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Plays in36 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate4 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.97×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−3%). Higher than on 11% of days since 2010. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.
The most accurate play in each family
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about AVGO now.
Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn AVGO: right 17 of 48 · Out since Jul 28, 2025Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopIN37% of 36,314 calls rightOn AVGO: right 31 of 90 · In since Oct 6, 2026Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn AVGO: right 10 of 18 · In since Apr 28, 2023Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn AVGO: right 86 of 138 · Out since Sep 21, 2026Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexIN59% of 13,925 calls rightOn AVGO: right 22 of 33 · In since Aug 27, 2026Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchIN50% of 38,976 calls rightOn AVGO: right 50 of 105 · In since Jul 22, 2026CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn AVGO: right 19 of 34 · Out since Apr 30, 2026
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
AVGO, day by day
How to read candlesticksEach candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
What moved AVGO lately
No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
AVGO −4.8%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session; −1.1% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on AVGO was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for AVGO starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.5%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved −6.5% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.
AVGO −2.7%, the S&P 500 +1.1% that session; −0.8% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
- ▼Price target cutAnalyst rating · Sep 3, 11:09 am ET
3 firms cut their price targets: Evercore ISI Group, TD Cowen, Truist Securities.
Came within two sessions of an earnings report, so the report likely drove the move. Kinds of news are scored without these.
- ▲Price target raisedAnalyst rating · Sep 3, 7:26 am ET
5 firms raised their price targets: Raymond James, Morgan Stanley, Rosenblatt, BMO Capital and 1 more.
Came within two sessions of an earnings report, so the report likely drove the move. Kinds of news are scored without these.
Two years of calls, week by week
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
Every play on AVGO
All 100 plays, by family.
Trend following8 of 30 inBreakouts & channels5 of 15 inMomentum9 of 17 inMean reversion4 of 15 inVolume & money flow5 of 9 inCandles & chart patterns1 of 3 inCalendar4 of 11 in
Calls right: how often the play's calls on AVGO went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2009. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +0.7% | Enter above $359.47 (+0.6%) | 25% 124/506 | +11.4% / +40.4% | −45.5% / −48.3% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −2.8% | Enter above $375.72 (+5.2%) | 20% 16/79 | +20.9% / +40.2% | −54.7% / −48.3% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −0.8% | Enter above $365.93 (+2.4%) | 21% 70/337 | +11.2% / +40.2% | −54.8% / −48.3% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −5.8% | Enter above $1,116.34 (+212.4%) | 14% 32/237 | +6.7% / +39.9% | −47.2% / −48.3% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −2.8% | Enter above $382.02 (+6.9%) | 17% 11/65 | +21.1% / +39.8% | −57.3% / −48.3% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Aug 14, 2026 −8.9% | Enter above $399.32 (+11.8%) | 24% 21/87 | +20.5% / +40.1% | −52.2% / −48.3% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +1.7% | Enter above $367.06 (+2.7%) | 24% 7/29 | +28.2% / +40.2% | −43.9% / −48.3% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −0.8% | Enter above $367.27 (+2.8%) | 10% 16/163 | +20.7% / +40.6% | −64.1% / −48.3% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | IN | Apr 17, 2026 −11.8% | Exit below $250.47 (−29.9%) | 23% 6/26 | +23.7% / +40.6% | −51.7% / −48.3% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Sep 2, 2026 −2.5% | Enter above $535.64 (+49.9%) | 11% 14/131 | +20.5% / +39.6% | −59.8% / −48.3% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −2.9% | Enter above $368.29 (+3.1%) | 31% 37/119 | +9.1% / +40.8% | −48.0% / −48.3% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below $357.31 (0.0%) | 24% 152/641 | +8.3% / +40.2% | −42.4% / −48.3% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | IN | Sep 22, 2026 −2.0% | Exit below $286.64 (−19.8%) | 32% 64/200 | +16.3% / +40.0% | −38.3% / −48.3% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Dec 2, 2022 +600.6% | Exit below $93.00 (−74.0%) | 22% 4/18 | +31.1% / +40.4% | −41.1% / −48.3% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above $450.73 (+26.1%) | 25% 30/118 | +13.7% / +40.6% | −53.4% / −48.3% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Aug 14, 2026 −8.9% | Enter above $386.83 (+8.3%) | 22% 22/98 | +16.6% / +41.1% | −41.1% / −48.3% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 −4.9% | Exit below $340.73 (−4.6%) | 39% 51/130 | +17.4% / +39.3% | −41.6% / −48.3% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −2.8% | Flips at next check | 45% 122/271 | +11.5% / +39.3% | −39.9% / −48.3% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +0.7% | Enter above $340.48 (−4.7%) | 32% 143/445 | +11.3% / +39.1% | −48.5% / −48.3% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 −4.9% | Exit below $335.20 (−6.2%) | 39% 63/160 | +21.6% / +39.9% | −31.6% / −48.3% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $380.18 (+6.4%) | 37% 145/393 | +11.7% / +39.2% | −39.1% / −48.3% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Jun 4, 2026 −14.4% | Not on one close | 28% 36/130 | −0.6% / +39.5% | −46.8% / −48.3% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above $370.16 (+3.6%) | 28% 43/152 | +16.3% / +41.2% | −38.6% / −48.3% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Aug 14, 2026 −8.9% | Enter above $366.92 (+2.7%) | 36% 72/201 | +15.9% / +39.4% | −38.0% / −48.3% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 −5.1% | Exit below $329.33 (−7.8%) | 35% 62/179 | +18.9% / +41.2% | −35.3% / −48.3% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | IN | Sep 21, 2026 −1.5% | Exit below $343.29 (−3.9%) | 32% 65/200 | +10.8% / +40.0% | −44.6% / −48.3% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above $373.41 (+4.5%) | 30% 42/140 | +16.7% / +40.2% | −37.3% / −48.3% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −2.8% | Enter above $472.11 (+32.1%) | 25% 20/79 | +19.6% / +40.2% | −44.1% / −48.3% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Aug 14, 2026 −8.9% | Enter above $359.25 (+0.5%) | 34% 55/162 | +9.3% / +39.9% | −35.9% / −48.3% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jul 28, 2025 +22.5% | Not on one close | 35% 17/48 | +1.8% / +41.2% | −17.4% / −48.3% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 −4.9% | Exit below $335.20 (−6.2%) | 33% 35/107 | +15.2% / +39.3% | −48.6% / −48.3% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jun 5, 2026 −7.1% | Enter above $431.95 (+20.9%) | 31% 38/122 | +10.5% / +40.7% | −40.4% / −48.3% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jun 5, 2026 −7.1% | Enter above $431.95 (+20.9%) | 24% 21/86 | +10.0% / +40.7% | −45.8% / −48.3% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Jun 4, 2026 −14.4% | Enter above $639.29 (+78.9%) | 27% 27/101 | +8.2% / +40.2% | −42.3% / −48.3% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Aug 25, 2026 +0.3% | Not on one close | 24% 24/102 | +5.9% / +39.3% | −53.5% / −48.3% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Jun 4, 2026 −14.4% | Enter above $387.42 (+8.4%) | 33% 41/126 | +7.8% / +40.2% | −31.5% / −48.3% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +0.7% | Enter above $376.82 (+5.5%) | 31% 53/170 | +8.5% / +39.5% | −34.8% / −48.3% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 −4.9% | Exit below $346.05 (−3.2%) | 34% 55/161 | +12.3% / +39.6% | −29.8% / −48.3% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 −4.9% | Exit below $344.40 (−3.6%) | 39% 56/144 | +15.3% / +39.3% | −37.6% / −48.3% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 −4.9% | Exit below $337.64 (−5.5%) | 34% 31/90 | +22.4% / +39.1% | −44.9% / −48.3% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 −4.9% | Exit below $350.56 (−1.9%) | 26% 74/288 | +12.9% / +39.9% | −50.1% / −48.3% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Jun 4, 2026 −14.4% | Not on one close | 24% 37/156 | +0.3% / +39.3% | −31.2% / −48.3% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 −8.8% | Not on one close | 25% 23/92 | +0.3% / +40.2% | −33.6% / −48.3% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +0.7% | Enter above $366.63 (+2.6%) | 31% 183/587 | +10.8% / +39.1% | −38.1% / −48.3% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Jun 4, 2026 −14.4% | Not on one close | 14% 3/22 | +0.1% / +40.1% | −25.6% / −48.3% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Jan 31, 2023 +542.3% | Exit below $380.45 (+6.5%) | 25% 4/16 | +32.3% / +40.7% | −49.7% / −48.3% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Apr 28, 2023 +495.5% | Flips at next check | 56% 10/18 | +36.2% / +40.7% | −48.3% / −48.3% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +1.7% | Enter above $423.03 (+18.4%) | 53% 8/15 | +35.1% / +40.7% | −41.1% / −48.3% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Aug 12, 2026 −14.0% | Not on one close | 19% 23/122 | +16.1% / +40.3% | −48.8% / −48.3% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Jun 30, 2026 −5.2% | Enter above $455.94 (+27.6%) | 27% 6/22 | +27.1% / +40.1% | −38.4% / −48.3% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Aug 14, 2026 −8.9% | Enter above $403.81 (+13.0%) | 23% 21/91 | +18.6% / +40.9% | −42.5% / −48.3% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | IN | Sep 21, 2026 −1.5% | Exit below $343.53 (−3.9%) | 30% 106/349 | +13.7% / +41.2% | −35.4% / −48.3% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −0.8% | Enter above $362.23 (+1.4%) | 27% 169/636 | +7.4% / +41.2% | −55.6% / −48.3% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | IN | Sep 18, 2026 +0.1% | Exit below $235.87 (−34.0%) | 37% 90/241 | +14.8% / +40.3% | −44.2% / −48.3% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Jan 31, 2019 +1,516.6% | Not on one close | 0% 0/1 | +20.6% / +40.0% | −48.3% / −48.3% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −0.8% | Enter above $372.29 (+4.2%) | 25% 136/546 | +1.8% / +39.3% | −47.6% / −48.3% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | IN | Sep 24, 2026 +2.0% | Exit below $190.49 (−46.7%) | 40% 83/208 | +17.1% / +40.2% | −37.1% / −48.3% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above $370.88 (+3.8%) | 28% 41/149 | +15.5% / +40.2% | −39.6% / −48.3% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −3.3% | Enter above $365.41 (+2.3%) | 20% 9/46 | +28.3% / +40.7% | −45.0% / −48.3% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Apr 28, 2023 +495.5% | Flips at next check | 56% 9/16 | +37.1% / +42.0% | −48.3% / −48.3% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | IN | Jun 30, 2023 +327.8% | Not on one close | 50% 10/20 | +31.2% / +40.7% | −51.2% / −48.3% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | IN | Sep 22, 2026 −2.0% | Exit below $327.91 (−8.2%) | 30% 81/274 | +12.2% / +40.0% | −42.0% / −48.3% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | May 23, 2025 +58.0% | Not on one close | 67% 16/24 | +13.6% / +39.0% | −41.3% / −48.3% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Aug 27, 2026 −3.7% | Not on one close | 60% 165/276 | +10.1% / +40.6% | −21.5% / −48.3% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Aug 27, 2026 −3.7% | Not on one close | 67% 242/363 | +15.8% / +40.6% | −47.8% / −48.3% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Sep 21, 2026 −1.5% | Buy below $338.15 (−5.4%) | 62% 86/138 | +13.2% / +39.5% | −42.5% / −48.3% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Aug 27, 2026 −3.7% | Not on one close | 60% 73/121 | +18.3% / +39.3% | −48.3% / −48.3% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −0.8% | Not on one close | 58% 121/210 | +17.4% / +39.1% | −42.4% / −48.3% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | IN | Aug 21, 2026 −2.8% | Not on one close | 67% 37/55 | +17.5% / +39.7% | −41.2% / −48.3% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | May 21, 2010 +25,645.8% | Sell above $887.70 (+148.4%) | – | +40.6% / +40.6% | −48.3% / −48.3% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Jan 26, 2022 +596.2% | Not on one close | 50% 8/16 | +2.6% / +40.0% | −10.8% / −48.3% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +0.7% | Not on one close | 50% 116/234 | +19.8% / +40.2% | −43.4% / −48.3% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 +0.7% | Not on one close | 54% 186/344 | +15.9% / +40.2% | −56.3% / −48.3% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Buy below $357.31 (0.0%) | 55% 776/1408 | +9.0% / +39.7% | −39.9% / −48.3% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Oct 6, 2026 −4.9% | Not on one close | 59% 57/96 | +15.1% / +40.6% | −37.9% / −48.3% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above $376.77 (+5.4%) | 37% 301/818 | +17.3% / +41.2% | −43.6% / −48.3% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2026 −3.3% | Sell above $358.27 (+0.3%) | 61% 67/110 | +21.2% / +40.2% | −48.3% / −48.3% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +0.6% | Not on one close | 25% 149/605 | +16.3% / +39.5% | −40.1% / −48.3% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +4.0% | Not on one close | 38% 64/169 | +15.6% / +39.3% | −39.8% / −48.3% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | IN | Aug 27, 2026 −3.7% | Not on one close | 67% 22/33 | +15.5% / +39.0% | −41.2% / −48.3% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | IN | Apr 1, 2025 +114.5% | Not on one close | 48% 33/69 | +34.7% / +40.8% | −42.3% / −48.3% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +0.7% | Enter above $358.43 (+0.3%) | 24% 146/600 | +8.8% / +39.7% | −52.2% / −48.3% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 −4.9% | Exit below $353.32 (−1.1%) | 32% 88/272 | +16.1% / +39.5% | −47.7% / −48.3% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above $357.31 (+0.0%) | 32% 160/505 | +9.2% / +39.3% | −51.5% / −48.3% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Sep 24, 2026 +2.0% | Not on one close | 31% 25/80 | +25.1% / +40.7% | −46.2% / −48.3% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +0.7% | Buy $353.68–$368.99 (−1.0%) | 37% 260/694 | +16.1% / +40.0% | −50.1% / −48.3% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | Jul 22, 2026 −9.8% | Not on one close | 48% 50/105 | +10.9% / +39.9% | −41.2% / −48.3% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Jun 5, 2026 −7.1% | Enter above $366.63 (+2.6%) | 28% 22/80 | +8.2% / +40.0% | −42.6% / −48.3% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jul 14, 2026 −8.0% | Not on one close | 33% 16/48 | +1.3% / +39.4% | −25.6% / −48.3% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −14.1% | Buys Oct 30 | 56% 19/34 | +21.8% / +39.7% | −48.3% / −48.3% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 28, 2026 −10.3% | Not on one close | 47% 16/34 | +26.5% / +41.2% | −48.3% / −48.3% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | May 4, 2026 −13.9% | Window opens Oct 16 | 50% 17/34 | +24.8% / +41.2% | −48.3% / −48.3% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 +4.6% | Buys Dec 23 | 29% 10/34 | +1.1% / +39.7% | −11.3% / −48.3% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −1.4% | Buys Oct 29 | 44% 181/412 | +4.0% / +39.7% | −26.4% / −48.3% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +1.7% | Sells Jun 30 | 44% 4/9 | +12.7% / +39.7% | −21.5% / −48.3% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 +0.0% | Buys Nov 24 | 45% 140/314 | +3.1% / +39.7% | −13.1% / −48.3% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +572.1% | Not on one close | 36% 5/14 | +19.9% / +39.7% | −41.1% / −48.3% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 +0.7% | Sells Oct 16 | 51% 923/1793 | +29.9% / +39.7% | −36.3% / −48.3% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +5.4% | Buys Oct 27 | 49% 133/274 | +5.9% / +39.7% | −7.2% / −48.3% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +0.6% | Sells Oct 16 | 48% 203/425 | +15.3% / +39.7% | −48.2% / −48.3% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Aug 6, 2009 | Always in | – | +39.9% | −48.3% |
If the market cracks: the storm test
How the storm test worksExposureModerate4 of 10 points
- Market swings2/3
- Past crashes1/2
- Debt0/3
- Run-up1/2
- It moves about 2.5× its index.
- It fell about 1.4× as far as its index in past crashes.
- It is up 100% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.
- Beta2.49Moves about 2.5× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
- Downside capture36%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell 36% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
- Two-year change+100%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
- From 52-week high−26%
- Debt to equity0.73×
- Net debt / EBITDA0.7×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
- Interest cover8.1×
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
The business behind the price
How to judge these numbersSemiconductors · Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies various semiconductor devices and infrastructure software solutions internationally. The company operates in two segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Infrastructure Software.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | $1.7T | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $89.1B | Total sales. The market values it at 19.1× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 45.6× | Buyers pay $46 for each $1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 18.4× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 17.1× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 42.9% | Keeps 43¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +48.7% | The last four quarters' sales against the four before. |
| Earnings growth | +215.3% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 38.4% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | $30.6B | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | $81.3B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $59.4B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | $24.0B | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.73× | Moderate. |
| Interest cover | 8.1× | Interest is easily paid from profit. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | $531.31 | 49% above the close, from 47 analysts (range $215.88 to $715.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Strong buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
| Dividend yield | 0.71% | Yearly dividends as a share of the price. |
P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-08-02; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
Read more
Reports for Be The Puck Members.
AVGO: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.MembersSemiconductors: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.MembersDebt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.MembersIs this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members