Industrials & materials

AtkinsRéalis (ATRL)

C$87.32 −1.0% on the day·−9.9% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell39 / 100

Sell: 39 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Off the high (−18% from its 1-year high) scores 42 and lifts it; Trend (−3% vs 200-day) scores 36 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	ATRL	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	39%	39	40	15.6
Off the high	−18% from its 1-year high	42	30	12.6
Trend	−3% vs 200-day	36	30	10.8

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for ATRL

Factor	ATRL	Points	What it is
Plays in	39%	39	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+32% · 15 analysts · capped: below 200-day	50	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	1.5 · buy	73	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	32.2×	37	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	17.9×	42	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	0.69	79	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	1.2×	83	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	2.6×	59	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield	0.1%	1	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	−96%	4	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth	+10%	40	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	4%	29	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	8%	36	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity	0.24×	72	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high	−18% from its 1-year high	42	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	−3% vs 200-day	36	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	−10%	23	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	1/10 · low	90	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on ATRL

39 of the 100 plays hold ATRL right now.
The breakout plays mostly say out.
It closed 3% below its 200-day average and 18% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads low: it fell about 1.4× as far as its index in past crashes.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$115.67, 32% above the close (15 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in39 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureLow1 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple0.97×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−3%). Higher than on 31% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about ATRL now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn ATRL: right 20 of 41 · Out since Jan 26, 2024 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn ATRL: right 32 of 87 · Out since Aug 24, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumOUT44% of 8,156 calls rightOn ATRL: right 14 of 25 · Out since Jun 30, 2026 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn ATRL: right 126 of 194 · Out since Aug 4, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexIN59% of 13,925 calls rightOn ATRL: right 25 of 49 · In since May 29, 2026 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchIN50% of 38,976 calls rightOn ATRL: right 82 of 165 · In since Sep 15, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn ATRL: right 25 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

ATRL, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved ATRL lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Sep 24−3.7% against the S&P/TSX2.2× a normal day

ATRL −3.8%, the S&P/TSX −0.1% that session; −2.0% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on ATRL was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for ATRL starts Oct 3, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.1%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.6% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Next earnings report

Thu Nov 5, 2026 before the open

From Yahoo Finance's calendar; dates can move. Analysts expect earnings per share of 1.11.

Over its last 12 reports, ATRL's typical move against the S&P/TSX at the first close after the report was ±5.3% (median size, either way); it finished ahead of the index 9 times.
ATRL after beats of 5% or more: ahead of its index at the first close after the report 16 of 18 times (median +5.0%).
ATRL after misses of any size: behind its index at the first close after the report 16 of 21 times (median −5.6%).
Across all covered stocks, beats of 5% or more were followed by a gain against the index 64% of the time and misses by a drop 62% of the time.

Whether a report beats is only known once it is out, so these say how the stock has reacted, not which way it will go.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on ATRL

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following11 of 30 in Breakouts & channels3 of 15 in Momentum7 of 17 in Mean reversion6 of 15 in Volume & money flow6 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns1 of 3 in Calendar5 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on ATRL went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.8%	Exit below C$86.78 (−0.6%)	27% 167/614	+1.4% / +8.5%	−54.1% / −74.0%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.0%	Exit below C$86.81 (−0.6%)	22% 28/128	+2.5% / +8.5%	−68.9% / −74.0%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.0%	Exit below C$86.77 (−0.6%)	20% 80/398	+1.3% / +8.5%	−64.4% / −74.0%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	OUT	Mar 9, 2026 −8.6%	Not on one close	22% 35/159	+4.9% / +8.5%	−40.1% / −74.0%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Jul 10, 2026 −1.9%	Enter above C$110.12 (+26.1%)	21% 19/89	+4.9% / +8.5%	−61.4% / −74.0%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Mar 13, 2026 −4.7%	Enter above C$98.67 (+13.0%)	30% 27/91	+4.7% / +8.5%	−40.3% / −74.0%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	OUT	Mar 31, 2026 −2.4%	Enter above C$89.05 (+2.0%)	33% 13/39	+8.0% / +8.5%	−58.1% / −74.0%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −2.7%	Enter above C$89.77 (+2.8%)	19% 28/151	+5.8% / +8.5%	−60.7% / −74.0%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	OUT	Apr 7, 2026 −1.4%	Enter above C$286.97 (+228.6%)	33% 13/39	+6.0% / +8.5%	−70.2% / −74.0%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Mar 10, 2026 −6.0%	Enter above C$93.65 (+7.3%)	21% 23/109	+7.5% / +8.5%	−46.1% / −74.0%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.0%	Exit below C$84.74 (−3.0%)	35% 54/154	+4.8% / +8.5%	−66.8% / −74.0%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.0%	Exit below C$87.25 (−0.1%)	26% 199/764	+3.2% / +8.5%	−53.7% / −74.0%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$86.46 (−1.0%)	34% 86/255	+0.6% / +8.5%	−72.1% / −74.0%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 +1.1%	Enter above C$92.18 (+5.6%)	26% 8/31	+5.6% / +7.7%	−59.7% / −74.0%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 +2.7%	Enter above C$87.79 (+0.5%)	23% 35/151	+0.9% / +8.5%	−67.9% / −74.0%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 +1.1%	Not on one close	27% 38/143	+2.7% / +8.5%	−64.5% / −74.0%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	IN	Jun 22, 2026 −5.2%	Exit below C$84.30 (−3.5%)	35% 57/164	+1.3% / +8.5%	−70.3% / −74.0%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +1.7%	Not on one close	37% 125/339	−0.4% / +8.5%	−69.1% / −74.0%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +2.3%	Enter above C$93.50 (+7.1%)	33% 197/591	−1.9% / +8.5%	−75.3% / −74.0%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 −1.0%	Enter above C$93.16 (+6.7%)	33% 78/239	+3.0% / +8.5%	−70.9% / −74.0%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.0%	Exit below C$83.81 (−4.0%)	38% 173/456	+3.3% / +8.5%	−44.9% / −74.0%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Feb 12, 2026 −5.2%	Not on one close	35% 51/147	+1.6% / +8.5%	−53.6% / −74.0%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.0%	Exit below C$86.11 (−1.4%)	28% 55/194	+2.9% / +8.5%	−69.9% / −74.0%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	OUT	Jul 24, 2026 +0.9%	Enter above C$88.26 (+1.1%)	32% 76/235	−1.6% / +8.5%	−76.2% / −74.0%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +1.7%	Enter above C$91.46 (+4.7%)	28% 65/233	+1.7% / +8.5%	−65.2% / −74.0%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 +2.7%	Enter above C$89.08 (+2.0%)	35% 87/247	−0.1% / +8.5%	−76.7% / −74.0%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.0%	Exit below C$86.08 (−1.4%)	27% 46/168	+4.0% / +8.5%	−68.6% / −74.0%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 +2.7%	Enter above C$87.58 (+0.3%)	22% 26/119	+2.2% / +8.5%	−69.4% / −74.0%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 −0.1%	Exit below C$85.12 (−2.5%)	30% 58/193	−0.7% / +8.5%	−72.3% / −74.0%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Jan 26, 2024 +96.9%	Not on one close	49% 20/41	+2.0% / +8.5%	−12.1% / −74.0%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	IN	Jun 19, 2026 +0.6%	Exit below C$83.59 (−4.3%)	40% 46/114	+7.6% / +8.5%	−48.4% / −74.0%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Feb 12, 2026 −5.2%	Enter above C$93.73 (+7.3%)	32% 41/129	+1.3% / +8.5%	−34.3% / −74.0%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Feb 12, 2026 −5.2%	Enter above C$93.73 (+7.3%)	29% 28/95	+2.8% / +8.5%	−40.9% / −74.0%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Feb 12, 2026 −5.2%	Enter above C$114.74 (+31.4%)	33% 31/93	+4.0% / +8.5%	−24.3% / −74.0%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	OUT	Jul 30, 2026 +1.9%	Enter above C$93.16 (+6.7%)	34% 42/123	+5.8% / +8.5%	−34.9% / −74.0%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 +1.1%	Enter above C$93.43 (+7.0%)	32% 53/165	−0.9% / +8.5%	−66.6% / −74.0%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 +1.1%	Enter above C$91.33 (+4.6%)	36% 79/220	+1.5% / +8.5%	−44.6% / −74.0%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 +2.7%	Enter above C$92.56 (+6.0%)	34% 69/205	−0.7% / +8.5%	−62.6% / −74.0%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −5.7%	Exit below C$84.39 (−3.4%)	34% 65/190	+1.2% / +8.5%	−63.5% / −74.0%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	OUT	Aug 24, 2026 +3.3%	Enter above C$93.21 (+6.7%)	37% 32/87	+4.1% / +8.5%	−67.1% / −74.0%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 +1.1%	Enter above C$88.88 (+1.8%)	26% 89/339	+0.2% / +8.5%	−59.9% / −74.0%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Jun 24, 2026 −2.8%	Not on one close	28% 49/178	−0.6% / +8.5%	−36.9% / −74.0%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 +1.3%	Enter above C$100.10 (+14.6%)	32% 38/120	−1.3% / +8.5%	−48.9% / −74.0%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 −0.1%	Exit below C$85.18 (−2.5%)	34% 224/658	+6.0% / +8.5%	−49.5% / −74.0%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Jul 22, 2025 −9.4%	Not on one close	31% 10/32	+1.0% / +8.5%	−15.7% / −74.0%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	OUT	May 29, 2026 +5.5%	Enter above C$102.47 (+17.3%)	26% 6/23	+6.4% / +8.1%	−49.4% / −74.0%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	OUT	Jun 30, 2026 −0.8%	Not on one close	56% 14/25	+9.6% / +8.1%	−58.9% / −74.0%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	OUT	May 29, 2026 +5.5%	Enter above C$113.94 (+30.5%)	29% 9/31	+4.0% / +8.1%	−54.2% / −74.0%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.8%	Exit below C$86.38 (−1.1%)	18% 30/170	+4.0% / +8.5%	−50.4% / −74.0%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	OUT	Nov 28, 2025 +0.7%	Enter above C$100.58 (+15.2%)	35% 6/17	+5.3% / +8.5%	−54.3% / −74.0%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	OUT	Mar 13, 2026 −4.7%	Enter above C$90.84 (+4.0%)	30% 36/119	+4.4% / +8.5%	−35.4% / −74.0%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.0%	Exit below C$86.16 (−1.3%)	34% 149/441	+0.1% / +8.5%	−71.3% / −74.0%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.8%	Exit below C$86.83 (−0.6%)	32% 240/750	+1.1% / +8.5%	−62.0% / −74.0%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +2.1%	Enter above C$90.20 (+3.3%)	40% 122/308	+2.0% / +8.5%	−76.5% / −74.0%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Jan 31, 2023 +207.4%	Exit below C$85.35 (−2.3%)	27% 3/11	+4.9% / +7.3%	−52.2% / −74.0%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 +1.1%	Enter above C$90.17 (+3.3%)	28% 153/547	+1.7% / +8.5%	−39.7% / −74.0%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	OUT	Oct 6, 2026 −0.1%	Enter above C$88.61 (+1.5%)	39% 104/268	+0.5% / +8.5%	−77.0% / −74.0%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.0%	Exit below C$86.09 (−1.4%)	28% 55/194	+2.3% / +8.5%	−72.1% / −74.0%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +0.8%	Exit below C$87.94 (+0.7%)	31% 27/86	+4.3% / +8.1%	−62.5% / −74.0%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	OUT	Jun 30, 2026 −0.8%	Not on one close	57% 13/23	+7.9% / +6.0%	−56.7% / −74.0%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	OUT	Jun 30, 2026 −0.8%	Not on one close	54% 22/41	+6.6% / +8.1%	−66.8% / −74.0%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.0%	Exit below C$85.99 (−1.5%)	35% 111/321	−0.9% / +8.5%	−76.4% / −74.0%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Jun 17, 2025 −6.7%	Not on one close	64% 27/42	+5.2% / +8.5%	−71.3% / −74.0%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Nov 13, 2025 −5.2%	Not on one close	62% 197/316	+2.9% / +8.5%	−37.1% / −74.0%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Dec 1, 2025 −0.8%	Not on one close	63% 246/392	+5.4% / +8.5%	−37.1% / −74.0%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Aug 4, 2026 −4.2%	Buy below C$83.12 (−4.8%)	65% 126/194	+6.8% / +8.5%	−55.7% / −74.0%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −2.7%	Not on one close	62% 95/154	+5.4% / +8.5%	−79.1% / −74.0%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +0.8%	Not on one close	64% 183/285	+6.7% / +8.5%	−63.0% / −74.0%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	IN	Jul 25, 2025 −10.8%	Not on one close	68% 55/81	+13.3% / +8.5%	−33.8% / −74.0%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +528.6%	Sell above C$216.99 (+148.5%)	–	+8.5% / +8.5%	−74.0% / −74.0%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Feb 19, 2026 −8.5%	Not on one close	53% 17/32	+4.8% / +8.5%	−9.4% / −74.0%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 −0.1%	Not on one close	51% 170/331	+3.3% / +8.5%	−74.6% / −74.0%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +0.8%	Not on one close	56% 252/448	+4.4% / +8.5%	−81.7% / −74.0%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 +1.1%	Buy below C$87.32 (0.0%)	55% 961/1734	+0.4% / +8.5%	−47.5% / −74.0%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Dec 22, 2025 −3.2%	Not on one close	64% 69/108	+5.7% / +8.5%	−50.9% / −74.0%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.0%	Exit below C$83.78 (−4.1%)	37% 380/1026	+6.2% / +8.5%	−58.8% / −74.0%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 +0.8%	Buy below C$88.37 (+1.2%)	59% 86/145	+6.8% / +8.5%	−59.1% / −74.0%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$87.32 (+0.0%)	25% 187/749	−3.3% / +8.5%	−79.8% / −74.0%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −5.7%	Not on one close	37% 76/208	−0.4% / +8.5%	−82.5% / −74.0%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	IN	May 29, 2026 +5.5%	Not on one close	51% 25/49	+2.5% / +8.5%	−73.9% / −74.0%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	IN	Sep 2, 2026 +2.9%	Exit below C$84.33 (−3.4%)	34% 61/180	+2.4% / +8.5%	−80.1% / −74.0%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.8%	Exit below C$86.69 (−0.7%)	26% 184/696	−0.2% / +8.5%	−75.1% / −74.0%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 +2.7%	Enter above C$90.73 (+3.9%)	35% 134/385	−1.8% / +8.5%	−80.8% / −74.0%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +0.8%	Not on one close	32% 189/585	−3.1% / +8.5%	−84.2% / −74.0%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	OUT	Mar 27, 2026 +0.3%	Not on one close	33% 44/135	+3.3% / +8.5%	−68.8% / −74.0%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.8%	Exit below C$86.91 (−0.5%)	36% 333/932	−0.1% / +8.5%	−74.6% / −74.0%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	IN	Sep 15, 2026 +1.1%	Not on one close	50% 82/165	+7.2% / +8.5%	−66.1% / −74.0%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	OUT	Aug 25, 2026 +3.8%	Not on one close	34% 40/117	+2.6% / +8.5%	−38.1% / −74.0%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	May 29, 2026 +5.5%	Not on one close	52% 24/46	+3.9% / +8.5%	−16.6% / −74.0%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 −6.8%	Buys Oct 30	58% 25/43	+7.8% / +8.5%	−50.1% / −74.0%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.0%	Window opens Apr 1	52% 23/44	+6.3% / +8.5%	−44.6% / −74.0%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	May 11, 2026 −3.1%	Window opens Oct 16	56% 24/43	+8.8% / +8.5%	−45.3% / −74.0%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 −5.9%	Buys Dec 23	48% 21/44	+3.0% / +8.5%	−9.2% / −74.0%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +2.1%	Buys Oct 29	50% 264/526	+5.7% / +8.5%	−46.9% / −74.0%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +0.8%	Sells Jun 30	45% 5/11	+1.3% / +8.5%	−63.0% / −74.0%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 +0.0%	Buys Nov 24	51% 198/386	+3.6% / +8.5%	−13.7% / −74.0%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +267.9%	Not on one close	30% 6/20	+3.6% / +8.5%	−85.2% / −74.0%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	52% 1186/2284	+7.7% / +8.5%	−60.4% / −74.0%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 +0.5%	Buys Oct 27	47% 163/348	+2.1% / +8.5%	−20.7% / −74.0%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +1.1%	Sells Oct 16	50% 269/541	+2.3% / +8.5%	−68.5% / −74.0%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 4, 2005	Always in	–	+8.5%	−74.0%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureLow1 of 10 points

Market swings0/3
Past crashes1/2
Debt0/3
Run-up0/2

It fell about 1.4× as far as its index in past crashes.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Oct 2008 · back to its old high Aug 2009

ATRL−46%

TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high May 2021

ATRL−43%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jul 2022 · back to its old high Mar 2023

ATRL−29%

TSX−14%

Beta1.08Moves about 1.1× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture10%In months the TSX fell, this fell 10% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change+42%
From 52-week high−18%
Debt to equity0.24×
Net debt / EBITDA0.5×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover27.8×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Engineering & Construction · AtkinsRéalis Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional services and project management, and capital investment services in the United Kingdom, Canada, the United States, Saudi Arabia, and internationally. It operates through eight segments: Canada, UKI, USLA, AMEA, Nuclear, Linxon, LSTK Projects, and Capital.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$14.0B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	C$11.7B	Total sales. The market values it at 1.2× sales.
P/E ratio	32.2×	Buyers pay C$32 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	17.9×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book	2.6×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	3.7%	Keeps 4¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+10.0%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth	−95.6%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	8.4%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	C$627M	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	C$5.5B	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	C$1.3B	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	C$833M	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	0.24×	Comfortable.
Interest cover	27.8×	Interest is easily paid from profit.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	C$115.67	32% above the close, from 15 analysts (range C$105.00 to C$131.00).
Consensus rating	Buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield	0.09%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

ATRL: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Industrials & materials: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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