Semiconductors
In the Nasdaq-100.
Your signal
Buy: 76 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Trend (+56% vs 200-day) scores 99 and lifts it; Plays in (57%) scores 57 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | AMD | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 57% | 57 | 40 | 22.8 |
| Off the high | −7% from its 1-year high | 77 | 30 | 23.1 |
| Trend | +56% vs 200-day | 99 | 30 | 29.7 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | AMD | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 57% | 57 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +5% · 50 analysts | 36 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 1.5 · strong buy | 75 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 154.5× | 6 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 38.5× | 5 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | 0.63 | 82 | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to sales | 23.9× | 5 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to book | 14.7× | 10 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | none | 0 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | +160% | 89 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +50% | 86 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | 16% | 60 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | 10% | 42 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | 0.06× | 86 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Off the high | −7% from its 1-year high | 77 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | +56% vs 200-day | 99 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +180% | 98 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 7/10 · very high | 30 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on AMDThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about AMD now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
Its biggest move against the S&P 500 in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
AMD +9.9%, the S&P 500 +1.5% that session; +11.4% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on AMD was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for AMD starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +1.5%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved +4.7% on average, so most of the move was its own.
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on AMD went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.9% | Enter above $611.39 (+1.0%) | 30% 164/543 | +18.9% / +16.6% | −59.3% / −96.2% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | IN | Apr 2, 2026 +178.4% | Exit below $503.42 (−16.9%) | 30% 28/92 | +23.7% / +16.6% | −60.4% / −96.2% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | IN | Sep 8, 2026 +19.7% | Exit below $554.98 (−8.3%) | 25% 83/334 | +16.7% / +16.6% | −64.0% / −96.2% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | IN | Sep 15, 2026 +20.1% | Exit below $534.01 (−11.8%) | 21% 33/156 | +14.5% / +16.6% | −60.6% / −96.2% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | IN | Apr 2, 2026 +178.4% | Exit below $464.94 (−23.2%) | 25% 18/72 | +17.0% / +16.6% | −74.0% / −96.2% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | IN | Apr 2, 2026 +178.4% | Exit below $464.94 (−23.2%) | 24% 21/88 | +18.6% / +16.6% | −74.2% / −96.2% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | IN | Jun 30, 2025 +326.7% | Exit below $405.61 (−33.0%) | 38% 12/32 | +24.6% / +16.6% | −69.5% / −96.2% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | IN | Jun 16, 2025 +379.1% | Exit below $390.04 (−35.6%) | 14% 19/132 | +23.0% / +16.6% | −65.1% / −96.2% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | IN | Jul 16, 2025 +278.3% | Not on one close | 42% 11/26 | +24.2% / +16.6% | −78.2% / −96.2% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Aug 7, 2025 +251.2% | Exit below $390.04 (−35.6%) | 16% 15/96 | +18.4% / +16.6% | −68.2% / −96.2% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | IN | Sep 18, 2026 +8.2% | Exit below $404.62 (−33.2%) | 36% 49/136 | +13.4% / +16.6% | −86.3% / −96.2% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −0.4% | Enter above $610.02 (+0.7%) | 26% 201/761 | +11.8% / +16.6% | −64.9% / −96.2% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | IN | Sep 8, 2026 +19.7% | Exit below $548.55 (−9.4%) | 36% 91/252 | +13.2% / +16.6% | −77.8% / −96.2% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Jul 1, 2025 +344.9% | Not on one close | 32% 9/28 | +21.3% / +18.3% | −82.7% / −96.2% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | IN | Sep 11, 2026 +17.3% | Exit below $390.58 (−35.5%) | 32% 39/120 | +17.2% / +16.6% | −64.6% / −96.2% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | IN | Sep 17, 2026 +11.1% | Exit below $480.87 (−20.6%) | 39% 39/100 | +23.0% / +16.6% | −65.5% / −96.2% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | IN | Sep 9, 2026 +16.2% | Exit below $572.29 (−5.5%) | 45% 72/160 | +18.6% / +16.6% | −62.0% / −96.2% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | IN | Sep 16, 2026 +18.2% | Not on one close | 42% 120/284 | +17.0% / +16.6% | −68.9% / −96.2% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.9% | Enter above $634.55 (+4.8%) | 34% 190/551 | +10.1% / +16.6% | −76.1% / −96.2% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | IN | Sep 10, 2026 +20.2% | Exit below $480.33 (−20.7%) | 40% 86/214 | +20.7% / +16.6% | −69.8% / −96.2% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −2.4% | Enter above $644.95 (+6.5%) | 37% 173/465 | +10.1% / +16.6% | −68.8% / −96.2% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $749.12 (+23.7%) | 37% 61/165 | +17.2% / +16.6% | −49.0% / −96.2% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | IN | Sep 10, 2026 +20.2% | Exit below $328.58 (−45.7%) | 33% 60/180 | +21.1% / +16.6% | −64.9% / −96.2% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −0.4% | Enter above $632.42 (+4.4%) | 31% 106/337 | +14.7% / +16.6% | −69.9% / −96.2% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Sep 8, 2026 +19.7% | Not on one close | 35% 74/214 | +21.0% / +16.6% | −69.2% / −96.2% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −0.4% | Not on one close | 37% 87/235 | +15.4% / +16.6% | −82.8% / −96.2% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | IN | Sep 9, 2026 +16.2% | Exit below $358.36 (−40.8%) | 33% 56/168 | +23.0% / +16.6% | −58.0% / −96.2% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | IN | Sep 10, 2026 +20.2% | Not on one close | 34% 31/90 | +19.7% / +16.6% | −68.2% / −96.2% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Sep 15, 2026 +20.1% | Exit below $480.33 (−20.7%) | 39% 71/180 | +10.5% / +16.6% | −69.2% / −96.2% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jun 15, 2026 +10.6% | Not on one close | 47% 28/60 | +3.6% / +16.6% | −24.7% / −96.2% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | IN | Sep 9, 2026 +16.2% | Exit below $506.05 (−16.4%) | 39% 51/130 | +18.0% / +16.6% | −73.3% / −96.2% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.9% | Enter above $658.52 (+8.8%) | 36% 43/119 | +20.1% / +16.6% | −68.1% / −96.2% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | IN | Sep 21, 2026 −1.6% | Exit below $561.98 (−7.2%) | 37% 34/92 | +11.9% / +16.6% | −70.2% / −96.2% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | IN | Sep 18, 2026 +8.2% | Exit below $573.50 (−5.3%) | 40% 36/90 | +18.1% / +16.6% | −62.2% / −96.2% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | IN | Sep 21, 2026 −1.6% | Exit below $424.03 (−30.0%) | 40% 49/122 | +20.0% / +16.6% | −70.6% / −96.2% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.9% | Enter above $658.56 (+8.8%) | 41% 64/157 | +18.4% / +16.6% | −60.5% / −96.2% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.9% | Enter above $670.99 (+10.8%) | 38% 80/209 | +16.9% / +16.6% | −69.8% / −96.2% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | IN | Sep 9, 2026 +16.2% | Exit below $583.14 (−3.7%) | 40% 85/210 | +16.9% / +16.6% | −65.9% / −96.2% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Sep 9, 2026 +16.2% | Exit below $574.35 (−5.1%) | 40% 78/194 | +18.4% / +16.6% | −61.5% / −96.2% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.9% | Enter above $662.00 (+9.3%) | 40% 85/211 | +21.2% / +16.6% | −68.0% / −96.2% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Sep 8, 2026 +19.7% | Exit below $593.23 (−2.0%) | 31% 101/326 | +15.3% / +16.6% | −79.2% / −96.2% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −2.4% | Not on one close | 35% 76/219 | +11.1% / +16.6% | −38.0% / −96.2% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Jul 8, 2026 +17.0% | Not on one close | 37% 38/104 | +3.3% / +16.6% | −56.4% / −96.2% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −2.4% | Enter above $639.00 (+5.5%) | 34% 222/647 | +14.4% / +16.6% | −72.2% / −96.2% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Nov 6, 2025 +154.7% | Not on one close | 53% 16/30 | +9.0% / +16.6% | −31.2% / −96.2% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Oct 31, 2025 +136.4% | Exit below $265.58 (−56.1%) | 44% 14/32 | +17.8% / +18.2% | −76.2% / −96.2% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Oct 31, 2025 +136.4% | Not on one close | 68% 23/34 | +24.4% / +18.2% | −58.7% / −96.2% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | IN | Oct 31, 2025 +136.4% | Exit below $295.30 (−51.2%) | 40% 12/30 | +19.2% / +18.2% | −71.1% / −96.2% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | IN | Sep 15, 2026 +20.1% | Sell above $696.36 (+15.0%) | 21% 23/108 | +7.4% / +16.6% | −68.1% / −96.2% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −1.0% | Exit below $552.01 (−8.8%) | 40% 10/25 | +11.0% / +16.6% | −49.9% / −96.2% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | IN | Apr 2, 2026 +178.4% | Exit below $512.75 (−15.3%) | 28% 32/114 | +19.1% / +16.6% | −66.9% / −96.2% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −0.4% | Enter above $709.91 (+17.2%) | 35% 146/423 | +18.0% / +16.6% | −69.0% / −96.2% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −0.4% | Enter above $615.04 (+1.6%) | 32% 222/703 | +14.5% / +16.6% | −63.1% / −96.2% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.9% | Enter above $800.36 (+32.2%) | 36% 106/295 | +11.6% / +16.6% | −77.3% / −96.2% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Jul 31, 2025 +243.4% | Not on one close | 47% 8/17 | +22.4% / +13.8% | −74.0% / −96.1% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −0.4% | Enter above $656.35 (+8.4%) | 31% 167/544 | +11.4% / +16.6% | −65.1% / −96.2% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | IN | Sep 8, 2026 +19.7% | Exit below $732.69 (+21.0%) | 38% 102/266 | +11.2% / +16.6% | −84.3% / −96.2% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | IN | Sep 10, 2026 +20.2% | Exit below $311.77 (−48.5%) | 34% 60/174 | +21.0% / +16.6% | −66.3% / −96.2% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | IN | Mar 31, 2026 +197.7% | Exit below $505.83 (−16.5%) | 34% 27/79 | +20.8% / +18.2% | −67.6% / −96.2% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Oct 31, 2025 +136.4% | Not on one close | 64% 16/25 | +21.2% / +20.4% | −56.4% / −89.8% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | IN | Oct 31, 2025 +136.4% | Not on one close | 55% 22/40 | +25.6% / +18.2% | −58.7% / −96.2% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.9% | Enter above $665.11 (+9.8%) | 39% 117/303 | +18.4% / +16.6% | −75.5% / −96.2% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | May 15, 2025 +426.6% | Not on one close | 68% 30/44 | +5.9% / +16.6% | −74.0% / −96.2% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −0.4% | Sell above $607.14 (+0.3%) | 61% 170/279 | +7.5% / +16.6% | −42.9% / −96.2% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −0.4% | Sell above $649.41 (+7.2%) | 66% 229/347 | +14.4% / +16.6% | −63.0% / −96.2% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Aug 4, 2026 +16.8% | Buy below $555.45 (−8.3%) | 61% 119/196 | +0.9% / +16.6% | −87.1% / −96.2% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 +17.3% | Not on one close | 61% 103/170 | +4.4% / +16.6% | −92.7% / −96.2% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 60% 180/299 | +5.2% / +16.6% | −90.5% / −96.2% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | OUT | Apr 14, 2026 +137.4% | Not on one close | 51% 38/74 | −8.1% / +16.6% | −97.6% / −96.2% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Nov 22, 2004 +2,789.0% | Sell above $942.74 (+55.7%) | – | +16.6% / +16.6% | −96.2% / −96.2% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Apr 9, 2025 +525.3% | Not on one close | 58% 30/52 | −0.5% / +16.6% | −59.1% / −96.2% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −0.4% | Not on one close | 47% 151/318 | −3.7% / +16.6% | −95.6% / −96.2% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 +20.2% | Enter above $610.17 (+0.8%) | 56% 244/434 | −2.9% / +16.6% | −95.7% / −96.2% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.9% | Buy below $605.52 (0.0%) | 56% 1064/1914 | −0.6% / +16.6% | −87.0% / −96.2% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 +19.7% | Not on one close | 61% 50/82 | +9.6% / +16.6% | −47.9% / −96.2% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −2.4% | Enter above $650.21 (+7.4%) | 37% 393/1050 | +6.4% / +16.6% | −89.8% / −96.2% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −1.0% | Buy below $624.09 (+3.1%) | 62% 77/124 | +2.0% / +16.6% | −96.0% / −96.2% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below $605.52 (0.0%) | 26% 196/764 | +14.8% / +16.6% | −82.3% / −96.2% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Sep 9, 2026 +16.2% | Not on one close | 39% 81/208 | +11.4% / +16.6% | −84.1% / −96.2% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | OUT | May 15, 2025 +426.6% | Not on one close | 44% 15/34 | −3.4% / +16.6% | −92.4% / −96.2% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | OUT | Jul 1, 2026 +12.0% | Not on one close | 34% 59/175 | +3.3% / +17.0% | −88.8% / −96.2% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below $600.62 (−0.8%) | 30% 181/610 | +17.4% / +16.6% | −75.3% / −96.2% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | IN | Sep 9, 2026 +16.2% | Exit below $621.34 (+2.6%) | 36% 122/340 | +19.2% / +16.6% | −68.6% / −96.2% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Sep 3, 2026 +32.7% | Not on one close | 35% 223/636 | +4.2% / +16.6% | −89.2% / −96.2% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Jun 25, 2025 +322.3% | Not on one close | 27% 23/85 | +23.2% / +18.5% | −73.2% / −96.2% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −4.2% | Not on one close | 35% 313/904 | +3.4% / +16.6% | −87.0% / −96.2% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 50% 67/133 | −2.5% / +16.6% | −94.3% / −96.2% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | IN | Apr 23, 2025 +569.9% | Not on one close | 40% 34/86 | +15.9% / +16.6% | −58.9% / −96.2% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | May 10, 2024 +298.6% | Not on one close | 48% 25/52 | −0.3% / +16.6% | −53.8% / −96.2% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 +70.8% | Buys Oct 30 | 60% 26/43 | +14.1% / +16.6% | −87.7% / −96.2% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | May 15, 2026 +42.8% | Enter above $712.09 (+17.6%) | 49% 21/43 | +8.8% / +16.6% | −92.6% / −96.2% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | May 19, 2026 +46.2% | Window opens Oct 16 | 53% 23/43 | +14.8% / +16.6% | −89.2% / −96.2% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 +173.9% | Buys Dec 23 | 52% 23/44 | +3.3% / +16.6% | −14.5% / −96.2% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −4.2% | Buys Oct 29 | 50% 262/526 | +5.5% / +16.6% | −55.5% / −96.2% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −1.0% | Sells Jun 30 | 27% 3/11 | −0.3% / +16.6% | −77.7% / −96.2% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 +26.8% | Buys Nov 24 | 49% 196/400 | +1.9% / +16.6% | −34.3% / −96.2% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +834.9% | Not on one close | 25% 5/20 | +1.4% / +16.6% | −96.8% / −96.2% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 +1.9% | Sells Oct 16 | 49% 1130/2284 | +0.1% / +16.6% | −94.2% / −96.2% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +18.2% | Buys Oct 27 | 53% 184/348 | +8.9% / +16.6% | −22.0% / −96.2% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −4.5% | Sells Oct 16 | 49% 266/541 | +2.5% / +16.6% | −82.9% / −96.2% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Jan 3, 2005 | Always in | – | +16.6% | −96.2% |
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Semiconductors · Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company internationally. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | $989B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $41.3B | Total sales. The market values it at 23.9× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 154.5× | Buyers pay $154 for each $1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 38.5× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 14.7× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 15.6% | Keeps 16¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +50.1% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Earnings growth | +159.5% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 10.2% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | $8.8B | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | $63.0B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $4.3B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | $13.1B | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.07× | Comfortable. |
| Interest cover | 32.6× | Interest is easily paid from profit. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | $636.21 | 5% above the close, from 50 analysts (range $365.00 to $1,250.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Strong buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
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