$125.65+1.1% on the day·+10.9% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026
In the Nasdaq-100.
Your signal
Hold55 / 100
Hold: 55 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Off the high (−9% from its 1-year high) scores 71 and lifts it; Trend (−0% vs 200-day) scores 43 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
All 18 factors for AEP
Factor
AEP
Points
What it is
Plays in
51%
51
The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside
+13% · 21 analysts
47
How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating
1.9 · buy
54
The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E
18.6×
69
Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-03-31.
Forward P/E
18.3×
40
Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG
2.00
31
P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth
+31%
59
Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-03-31.
Revenue growth
+7%
31
Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-03-31.
Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-03-31.
Off the high
−9% from its 1-year high
71
How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend
−0% vs 200-day
43
How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
The momentum and volume plays mostly say in; the pattern plays mostly say out.
It closed 0% below its 200-day average and 9% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads low: it carries 1.7× as much debt as equity and operating profit covers interest only 2.8×.
Analysts' average 12-month target is $141.64, 13% above the close (21 analysts).
This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Plays in51 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
What moved AEP lately
No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
Mon Oct 12+1.2% against the S&P 5001.0× a normal day
AEP +1.2%, the S&P 500 −0.1% that session.
▼Price target cutAnalyst rating · Oct 12, 3:17 pm ET
Barclays cut its price target to $120 from $129, keeping Equal-Weight.
After price target cuts, stocks did worse than their index at the first close after the news 53% of the time (1,291 of 2,458 on 197 stocks; median move −0.1%). This time the stock went the other way. Low predictability
AEP after price target cuts: behind its index at the first close after the news 15 of 25 times (median −0.4%).
Mon Sep 21−1.5% against the S&P 5001.1× a normal day
AEP +0.0%, the S&P 500 +1.5% that session; −2.6% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on AEP was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for AEP starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +1.5%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.2% on average, so most of the move was its own.
Fri Sep 18−1.5% against the S&P 5001.1× a normal day
AEP −1.3%, the S&P 500 +0.2% that session; −4.2% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
▼Price target cutAnalyst rating · Sep 18, 9:21 am ET
Morgan Stanley cut its price target to $128 from $135, keeping Overweight.
After price target cuts, stocks did worse than their index at the first close after the news 53% of the time (1,291 of 2,458 on 197 stocks; median move −0.1%). Low predictability
AEP after price target cuts: behind its index at the first close after the news 15 of 25 times (median −0.4%).
Two years of calls, week by week
InOutShare of plays in
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on AEP went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Utilities - Regulated Electric · American Electric Power Company, Inc., an electric public utility holding company, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity for sale to retail and wholesale customers in the United States. It operates through Vertically Integrated Utilities, Transmission and Distribution Utilities, AEP Transmission Holdco, and Generation & Marketing segments.
Size and valuation
Market cap
$68.4B
What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)
$22.8B
Total sales. The market values it at 3.0× sales.
P/E ratio
18.6×
Buyers pay $19 for each $1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E
18.3×
Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book
2.1×
Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin
16.6%
Keeps 17¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth
+7.2%
The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Earnings growth
+30.5%
Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity
11.5%
Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow
−$6.0B
Burning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going.
Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash
$603M
Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity
1.72×
Above about 1.5× is heavily borrowed; above 3× is fragile in a downturn.
Interest cover
2.8×
Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst target
$141.64
13% above the close, from 21 analysts (range $120.00 to $173.00).
Consensus rating
Buy
Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield
3.06%
Yearly dividends as a share of the price.
P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-03-31; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.