Energy & power
Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.
Your signal
Hold: 41 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Off the high (−17% from its 1-year high) scores 44 and lifts it; Plays in (38%) scores 38 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | AAV | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 38% | 38 | 40 | 15.2 |
| Off the high | −17% from its 1-year high | 44 | 30 | 13.2 |
| Trend | −0% vs 200-day | 42 | 30 | 12.6 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | AAV | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 38% | 38 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +30% · 11 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 2.3 · buy | 36 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 21.1× | 61 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 11.7× | 77 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | – | – | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. |
| Price to sales | 2.7× | 62 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to book | 1.0× | 93 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | none | 0 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | −36% | 14 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +19% | 62 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | 13% | 54 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | 5% | 27 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | 0.55× | 48 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Off the high | −17% from its 1-year high | 44 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −0% vs 200-day | 42 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | −8% | 25 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 2/10 · low | 80 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on AAVThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about AAV now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
AAV −6.7%, the S&P/TSX −0.3% that session; −10.8% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on AAV was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for AAV starts Oct 5, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.3%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.4% on average, so most of the move was its own.
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on AAV went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2009. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$10.32 (−2.2%) | 28% 138/492 | −1.4% / +2.6% | −78.4% / −89.9% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Sep 18, 2026 +3.9% | Enter above C$10.55 (−0.1%) | 19% 20/106 | −2.4% / +3.5% | −81.1% / −89.9% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +0.5% | Exit below C$10.42 (−1.3%) | 22% 61/279 | +2.6% / +2.4% | −72.4% / −89.9% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Feb 12, 2026 −7.4% | Not on one close | 24% 21/86 | +7.3% / +3.1% | −32.6% / −89.9% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Sep 18, 2026 +3.9% | Enter above C$13.25 (+25.5%) | 20% 13/66 | +1.9% / +3.0% | −58.1% / −89.9% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Apr 2, 2026 +2.6% | Enter above C$11.95 (+13.1%) | 15% 11/72 | −0.6% / +3.4% | −62.0% / −89.9% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +7.2% | Enter above C$10.56 (0.0%) | 24% 9/38 | +0.7% / +2.9% | −74.5% / −89.9% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +4.2% | Enter above C$10.59 (+0.3%) | 11% 17/158 | −0.4% / +3.1% | −78.6% / −89.9% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | IN | Sep 4, 2026 −4.5% | Exit below C$6.99 (−33.8%) | 30% 7/23 | +1.2% / +3.1% | −75.9% / −89.9% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Mar 31, 2026 −6.0% | Not on one close | 15% 15/102 | +4.0% / +3.0% | −67.1% / −89.9% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −0.1% | Enter above C$11.28 (+6.8%) | 36% 39/107 | −0.3% / +1.7% | −68.2% / −89.9% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +4.1% | Exit below C$10.23 (−3.1%) | 25% 148/584 | +2.1% / +2.4% | −80.5% / −89.9% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.6% | Exit below C$9.60 (−9.1%) | 36% 70/192 | −0.6% / +3.0% | −85.3% / −89.9% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | OUT | Sep 22, 2026 +6.5% | Enter above C$14.41 (+36.5%) | 23% 7/30 | +4.4% / +2.7% | −60.3% / −89.9% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −0.1% | Enter above C$12.15 (+15.0%) | 27% 28/102 | +0.9% / +2.2% | −63.9% / −89.9% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +4.2% | Enter above C$11.19 (+6.0%) | 22% 24/107 | −1.9% / +2.3% | −77.6% / −89.9% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +4.2% | Enter above C$10.57 (+0.1%) | 30% 38/125 | −0.7% / +3.4% | −72.6% / −89.9% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Sep 14, 2026 −0.1% | Not on one close | 37% 83/226 | −1.8% / +3.4% | −63.7% / −89.9% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +0.4% | Exit below C$9.37 (−11.3%) | 37% 155/415 | +0.6% / +3.4% | −70.0% / −89.9% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −0.1% | Enter above C$11.20 (+6.1%) | 34% 59/174 | −1.6% / +3.4% | −71.7% / −89.9% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +4.1% | Exit below C$9.95 (−5.8%) | 40% 149/370 | +1.1% / +3.0% | −74.7% / −89.9% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$10.15 (−3.8%) | 30% 35/117 | −2.8% / +3.4% | −59.7% / −89.9% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −0.1% | Enter above C$10.86 (+2.9%) | 25% 39/155 | −2.2% / +2.7% | −67.5% / −89.9% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.6% | Exit below C$10.08 (−4.5%) | 34% 84/245 | −2.9% / +3.4% | −78.4% / −89.9% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.6% | Exit below C$9.48 (−10.2%) | 28% 52/185 | −2.2% / +2.7% | −74.6% / −89.9% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +1.5% | Not on one close | 36% 67/184 | +0.2% / +3.0% | −70.4% / −89.9% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −0.1% | Enter above C$10.74 (+1.7%) | 25% 37/146 | −0.3% / +2.4% | −65.7% / −89.9% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Sep 18, 2026 +3.9% | Enter above C$12.72 (+20.5%) | 27% 24/89 | −1.6% / +2.4% | −74.5% / −89.9% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −5.0% | Not on one close | 31% 54/174 | −7.1% / +3.5% | −80.8% / −89.9% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Aug 20, 2024 +12.0% | Not on one close | 53% 20/38 | +2.7% / +2.7% | −21.2% / −89.9% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −1.5% | Enter above C$10.90 (+3.2%) | 26% 29/112 | −4.9% / +3.4% | −72.8% / −89.9% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −1.5% | Enter above C$11.70 (+10.8%) | 32% 31/96 | +1.2% / +2.4% | −49.0% / −89.9% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −1.5% | Enter above C$11.70 (+10.8%) | 42% 25/60 | +7.2% / +2.4% | −49.3% / −89.9% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +4.2% | Enter above C$13.46 (+27.5%) | 34% 21/62 | +2.0% / +2.4% | −47.8% / −89.9% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +4.2% | Not on one close | 26% 24/92 | −10.9% / +3.4% | −86.6% / −89.9% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Aug 5, 2026 −0.8% | Enter above C$10.96 (+3.8%) | 35% 36/104 | 0.0% / +2.4% | −43.1% / −89.9% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Jul 28, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above C$10.73 (+1.6%) | 36% 62/174 | −0.3% / +3.4% | −59.4% / −89.9% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −1.5% | Enter above C$10.86 (+2.8%) | 35% 56/158 | −1.0% / +3.2% | −63.7% / −89.9% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$9.77 (−7.5%) | 31% 44/143 | −3.3% / +3.4% | −71.1% / −89.9% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +4.2% | Enter above C$11.89 (+12.6%) | 38% 56/148 | +0.4% / +3.3% | −79.1% / −89.9% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −1.5% | Enter above C$10.40 (−1.5%) | 30% 72/240 | +2.2% / +3.2% | −63.3% / −89.9% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Mar 23, 2026 −8.5% | Not on one close | 30% 30/100 | +1.3% / +3.4% | −29.2% / −89.9% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Jul 15, 2026 −0.8% | Not on one close | 39% 44/114 | +1.2% / +2.4% | −32.8% / −89.9% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +4.1% | Exit below C$10.40 (−1.5%) | 33% 175/535 | −0.3% / +2.7% | −85.3% / −89.9% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 10, 2025 −8.4% | Not on one close | 40% 12/30 | +3.0% / +3.2% | −19.2% / −89.9% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | OUT | May 29, 2026 +8.5% | Enter above C$11.54 (+9.3%) | 26% 9/34 | +3.0% / +3.1% | −67.5% / −89.9% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | OUT | May 29, 2026 +8.5% | Not on one close | 33% 10/30 | +3.8% / +3.1% | −64.5% / −89.9% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | OUT | Feb 27, 2026 +1.1% | Enter above C$12.83 (+21.5%) | 21% 8/38 | +1.9% / +3.1% | −65.3% / −89.9% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +0.5% | Exit below C$10.48 (−0.7%) | 19% 26/140 | −2.3% / +2.3% | −57.9% / −89.9% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Feb 27, 2026 +1.1% | Enter above C$12.06 (+14.2%) | 21% 5/24 | +1.0% / +3.0% | −46.0% / −89.9% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −5.0% | Enter above C$10.78 (+2.0%) | 23% 19/84 | +1.3% / +2.3% | −55.3% / −89.9% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$9.12 (−13.7%) | 31% 116/371 | −1.3% / +2.7% | −80.2% / −89.9% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +4.1% | Exit below C$10.32 (−2.3%) | 31% 182/581 | +3.6% / +2.7% | −74.8% / −89.9% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +2.4% | Exit below C$6.86 (−35.0%) | 40% 95/238 | +2.6% / +2.3% | −65.3% / −89.9% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +7.2% | Enter above C$12.18 (+15.3%) | 39% 7/18 | +2.9% / +5.1% | −86.1% / −89.9% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$10.48 (−0.8%) | 30% 126/427 | +3.7% / +3.4% | −45.3% / −89.9% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +0.5% | Exit below C$6.56 (−37.9%) | 37% 76/207 | −3.3% / +2.4% | −81.5% / −89.9% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −0.1% | Enter above C$10.95 (+3.7%) | 24% 37/153 | −3.0% / +2.4% | −68.4% / −89.9% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +7.2% | Enter above C$10.19 (−3.5%) | 33% 22/66 | +3.5% / +3.1% | −77.3% / −89.9% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | OUT | May 29, 2026 +8.5% | Not on one close | 35% 9/26 | +9.3% / +8.1% | −64.1% / −89.9% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | OUT | May 29, 2026 +8.5% | Not on one close | 35% 9/26 | −1.8% / +3.1% | −57.3% / −89.9% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +0.4% | Exit below C$9.20 (−12.9%) | 28% 80/286 | −3.1% / +3.0% | −82.7% / −89.9% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Aug 20, 2025 +3.2% | Not on one close | 70% 23/33 | +5.3% / +3.3% | −72.1% / −89.9% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Jan 12, 2026 −5.4% | Not on one close | 56% 99/176 | +1.5% / +3.1% | −41.6% / −89.9% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 +4.1% | Not on one close | 58% 139/238 | +0.8% / +3.1% | −57.8% / −89.9% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +1.5% | Buy below C$9.55 (−9.6%) | 62% 96/154 | +3.5% / +3.4% | −51.4% / −89.9% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Sep 15, 2026 −2.8% | Not on one close | 71% 102/143 | +10.8% / +3.3% | −65.8% / −89.9% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 +2.4% | Not on one close | 72% 158/220 | +16.0% / +3.4% | −61.6% / −89.9% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | OUT | Jul 9, 2026 −1.8% | Not on one close | 74% 52/70 | +11.5% / +2.5% | −83.6% / −89.9% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Aug 16, 2010 +68.7% | Sell above C$25.60 (+142.4%) | – | +3.1% / +3.1% | −89.9% / −89.9% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Apr 27, 2026 +3.9% | Not on one close | 56% 28/50 | +2.4% / +3.0% | −32.6% / −89.9% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +4.1% | Exit below C$10.22 (−3.2%) | 48% 119/247 | +13.0% / +2.4% | −49.6% / −89.9% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 +2.4% | Not on one close | 55% 173/316 | +4.7% / +2.4% | −69.5% / −89.9% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +0.5% | Buy below C$10.56 (0.0%) | 54% 807/1484 | −5.5% / +2.7% | −78.2% / −89.9% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Feb 11, 2026 −8.8% | Not on one close | 45% 27/60 | −3.0% / +3.1% | −69.6% / −89.9% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +7.2% | Exit below C$10.23 (−3.2%) | 36% 282/781 | +5.2% / +2.7% | −78.8% / −89.9% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2026 −5.1% | Sell above C$10.05 (−4.8%) | 62% 63/102 | +5.1% / +3.2% | −82.7% / −89.9% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +1.5% | Not on one close | 26% 146/557 | −1.6% / +3.4% | −80.0% / −89.9% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Aug 5, 2026 −0.8% | Enter above C$10.56 (+0.0%) | 36% 57/160 | −1.8% / +3.4% | −84.9% / −89.9% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | OUT | Jan 14, 2025 +4.3% | Not on one close | 57% 25/44 | +2.7% / +3.3% | −78.0% / −89.9% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | OUT | Jul 28, 2026 −1.2% | Not on one close | 34% 20/58 | −2.1% / +3.1% | −54.6% / −89.9% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$10.35 (−2.0%) | 29% 152/527 | +4.4% / +3.6% | −77.8% / −89.9% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +2.4% | Exit below C$8.38 (−20.6%) | 36% 103/285 | +1.6% / +3.4% | −59.1% / −89.9% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +1.5% | Not on one close | 37% 170/458 | +0.1% / +3.4% | −81.6% / −89.9% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.6% | Not on one close | 39% 28/72 | +3.9% / +2.9% | −67.7% / −89.9% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +7.2% | Sell C$10.35–C$10.54 (−0.1%) | 34% 231/674 | +4.8% / +2.5% | −59.3% / −89.9% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | Aug 26, 2026 −5.1% | Not on one close | 54% 63/117 | +10.6% / +2.5% | −64.5% / −89.9% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Feb 17, 2026 +0.7% | Not on one close | 40% 25/62 | +8.0% / +2.7% | −36.7% / −89.9% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +0.5% | Not on one close | 50% 21/42 | +4.5% / +3.4% | −20.0% / −89.9% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 +2.2% | Buys Oct 30 | 62% 21/34 | +5.2% / +2.7% | −78.5% / −89.9% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +4.1% | Window opens Apr 1 | 46% 16/35 | +1.6% / +2.7% | −84.7% / −89.9% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | Apr 20, 2026 +10.3% | Window opens Oct 16 | 50% 17/34 | +0.9% / +2.7% | −86.9% / −89.9% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 −7.7% | Buys Dec 23 | 50% 17/34 | +2.2% / +2.7% | −17.9% / −89.9% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +1.5% | Buys Oct 29 | 51% 207/407 | +8.6% / +2.7% | −47.5% / −89.9% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +7.2% | Sells Jun 30 | 56% 5/9 | −1.1% / +2.7% | −67.8% / −89.9% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −4.5% | Buys Nov 24 | 53% 161/302 | +4.2% / +2.7% | −13.3% / −89.9% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +11.5% | Not on one close | 29% 4/14 | −9.5% / +2.4% | −91.8% / −89.9% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sells Oct 16 | 52% 918/1769 | +10.5% / +2.7% | −78.1% / −89.9% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +4.2% | Buys Oct 27 | 47% 127/270 | +3.1% / +2.7% | −14.5% / −89.9% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +4.1% | Sells Oct 16 | 49% 206/419 | +2.9% / +2.7% | −68.5% / −89.9% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Oct 29, 2009 | Always in | – | +2.4% | −89.9% |
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Oil & Gas E&P · Advantage Energy Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploitation, development, and production natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in the Province of Alberta, Canada. Advantage Energy Ltd. was formerly known as Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. and changed its name to Advantage Energy Ltd. in May 2021. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | C$1.8B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | C$666M | Total sales. The market values it at 2.7× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 21.1× | Buyers pay C$21 for each C$1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 11.7× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 1.0× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 12.6% | Keeps 13¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +19.2% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Earnings growth | −36.2% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 4.8% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | −C$137M | Burning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | C$1.7B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | C$976M | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | C$50.0M | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.58× | Moderate. |
| Interest cover | 2.3× | Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | C$13.77 | 30% above the close, from 11 analysts (range C$12.00 to C$15.50). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
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