Oct 13 close Sign in

Metals & mining

Allied Gold (AAUC)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell12 / 100

Sell: 12 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (22%) scores 22 and lifts it; Off the high (−34% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightAAUCPointsWeightAdds
Plays in22%22408.8
Off the high−34% from its 1-year high0300.0
Trend−21% vs 200-day9302.7
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for AAUC
FactorAAUCPointsWhat it is
Plays in22%22The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+56% · 6 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.8 · buy60The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/Eloss0Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E2.9×99Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales1.9×72Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book5.1×32Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth––Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth+45%82Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin−4%11Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity−3%13Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.31×65Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−34% from its 1-year high0How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−21% vs 200-day9How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+16%52The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure6/10 · high40The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on AAUC

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in22 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureHigh6 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.79×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−21%). Higher than on 2% of days since 2024. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about AAUC now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

AAUC, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved AAUC lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Fri Sep 18+7.6% against the S&P/TSX2.1× a normal day

AAUC +7.4%, the S&P/TSX −0.2% that session; +4.3% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on AAUC was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for AAUC starts Oct 3, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.2%. The 50 other Metals & mining stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.9% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on AAUC

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on AAUC went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2023. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −3.4%Enter above C$29.73 (+2.9%)33% 26/78+16.4% / +35.9%−30.3% / −45.1%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTMay 15, 2026 −25.7%Enter above C$32.47 (+12.4%)17% 2/12+42.6% / +70.1%−30.8% / −45.1%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −7.5%Enter above C$30.72 (+6.3%)16% 8/50+17.4% / +52.4%−43.5% / −45.1%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −30.6%Not on one close25% 4/16+36.2% / +74.6%−26.2% / −45.1%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTMay 29, 2026 −17.2%Enter above C$81.62 (+182.5%)33% 2/6+52.9% / +58.9%−28.0% / −45.1%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTMay 29, 2026 −17.2%Enter above C$38.33 (+32.7%)33% 2/6+60.5% / +78.5%−28.0% / −45.1%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTJun 30, 2026 −14.3%Enter above C$36.29 (+25.6%)50% 1/2+65.0% / +70.5%−28.0% / −45.1%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTJul 6, 2026 −15.9%Enter above C$36.66 (+26.9%)6% 1/18+49.9% / +70.0%−28.0% / −45.1%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTJul 20, 2026 +0.9%Not on one close50% 1/2+51.1% / +70.0%−34.5% / −45.1%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTJul 6, 2026 −15.9%Enter above C$51.60 (+78.6%)8% 1/12+54.9% / +66.1%−28.0% / −45.1%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 +0.7%Enter above C$34.62 (+19.8%)44% 7/16+15.6% / +47.8%−49.5% / −45.1%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above C$29.24 (+1.2%)25% 29/118+9.9% / +34.0%−34.0% / −45.1%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −3.4%Enter above C$35.11 (+21.5%)23% 8/35−11.4% / +44.8%−48.8% / −45.1%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −0.3%Enter above C$43.91 (+52.0%)25% 1/4+30.1% / +76.4%−48.6% / −45.1%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTApr 29, 2026 −30.3%Enter above C$46.67 (+61.5%)23% 5/22+0.7% / +50.2%−59.0% / −45.1%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −0.3%Not on one close19% 3/16+23.6% / +43.4%−48.2% / −45.1%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 −1.7%Enter above C$31.25 (+8.2%)47% 9/19+20.6% / +33.0%−46.9% / −45.1%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 −1.7%Not on one close38% 16/42+3.4% / +33.0%−56.1% / −45.1%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −8.5%Enter above C$33.32 (+15.3%)37% 23/62+18.0% / +27.8%−48.1% / −45.1%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 −1.7%Enter above C$32.46 (+12.4%)40% 12/30+3.1% / +35.5%−50.2% / −45.1%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −0.3%Enter above C$30.45 (+5.4%)39% 25/64+11.5% / +25.0%−31.3% / −45.1%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTAug 18, 2026 −1.1%Not on one close23% 6/26−3.6% / +35.7%−38.7% / −45.1%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −3.4%Enter above C$37.74 (+30.6%)31% 8/26+9.1% / +37.7%−57.3% / −45.1%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 +0.7%Enter above C$29.83 (+3.2%)34% 15/44+3.7% / +34.5%−37.5% / −45.1%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 −1.7%Enter above C$85.56 (+196.2%)30% 9/30+20.9% / +37.7%−57.9% / −45.1%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −3.8%Not on one close46% 11/24+28.8% / +44.8%−28.0% / −45.1%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −3.8%Enter above C$36.99 (+28.0%)23% 7/30+8.0% / +52.4%−57.0% / −45.1%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTMay 5, 2026 −27.9%Enter above C$47.36 (+63.9%)14% 2/14+21.3% / +52.4%−57.7% / −45.1%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 +0.7%Not on one close32% 7/22+2.1% / +58.8%−22.7% / −45.1%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTApr 2, 2026 −33.3%Not on one close40% 4/10+1.9% / +37.7%−14.3% / −45.1%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 +0.7%Enter above C$32.37 (+12.0%)30% 6/20−2.7% / +33.0%−57.7% / −45.1%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −30.6%Enter above C$32.37 (+12.0%)18% 4/22+4.0% / +38.8%−48.1% / −45.1%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −30.6%Enter above C$33.74 (+16.8%)25% 4/16+1.6% / +38.8%−37.9% / −45.1%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −30.6%Enter above C$106.96 (+270.2%)33% 4/12+25.1% / +52.4%−27.3% / −45.1%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −30.6%Enter above C$29.95 (+3.7%)38% 6/16+7.7% / +33.0%−37.8% / −45.1%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −30.6%Enter above C$32.84 (+13.7%)21% 5/24+10.4% / +34.0%−39.4% / −45.1%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −30.6%Enter above C$33.12 (+14.7%)23% 6/26+10.5% / +31.8%−36.8% / −45.1%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 −1.7%Enter above C$32.30 (+11.8%)31% 8/26+11.5% / +33.1%−44.6% / −45.1%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 −1.7%Enter above C$31.31 (+8.4%)38% 9/24+20.9% / +33.0%−39.0% / −45.1%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 +0.7%Enter above C$32.63 (+12.9%)40% 12/30+9.4% / +29.2%−38.5% / −45.1%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −3.4%Enter above C$30.53 (+5.7%)26% 12/46+16.9% / +34.6%−40.7% / −45.1%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTFeb 5, 2026 −32.1%Not on one close41% 9/22+15.0% / +33.0%−12.0% / −45.1%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 −33.8%Not on one close40% 4/10+0.7% / +34.0%−16.7% / −45.1%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −1.7%Exit below C$27.66 (−4.3%)31% 29/93+12.0% / +28.1%−38.1% / −45.1%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −30.6%Not on one close25% 1/4+1.3% / +38.5%−8.2% / −45.1%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINJan 31, 2025 +111.6%Exit below C$22.13 (−23.4%)0% 0/1+46.0% / +68.9%−45.1% / −45.1%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINJan 31, 2025 +111.6%Not on one close0% 0/1+46.0% / +68.9%−45.1% / −45.1%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endINJan 31, 2025 +111.6%Exit below C$24.60 (−14.8%)0% 0/1+46.0% / +68.9%−45.1% / −45.1%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTMay 12, 2026 −29.3%Not on one close8% 2/24+40.7% / +49.2%−33.8% / −45.1%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTMay 29, 2026 −17.2%Enter above C$41.51 (+43.7%)33% 2/6+17.6% / +77.1%−26.3% / −45.1%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTMay 8, 2026 −28.4%Enter above C$35.36 (+22.4%)21% 3/14+27.2% / +53.6%−41.6% / −45.1%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −3.4%Enter above C$30.09 (+4.2%)31% 18/59−1.0% / +37.7%−43.8% / −45.1%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −1.7%Exit below C$28.13 (−2.6%)36% 33/92+22.7% / +37.7%−35.0% / −45.1%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −7.1%Enter above C$41.24 (+42.7%)33% 14/42−2.7% / +38.2%−52.9% / −45.1%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endOUTSep 30, 2025 +18.8%Not on one close–+3.8% / +17.7%0.0% / −45.1%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −11.5%Enter above C$33.13 (+14.7%)34% 20/58+22.8% / +33.0%−15.8% / −45.1%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 −1.7%Enter above C$48.04 (+66.3%)31% 11/36−1.5% / +52.4%−49.7% / −45.1%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −3.4%Enter above C$38.06 (+31.7%)27% 7/26+2.9% / +52.4%−60.1% / −45.1%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −3.1%Enter above C$28.98 (+0.3%)80% 4/5+78.8% / +68.9%−28.0% / −45.1%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −3.1%Not on one close–– / –– / –
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINMay 30, 2025 +46.9%Not on one close0% 0/1+22.7% / +68.9%−45.1% / −45.1%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −3.4%Enter above C$32.54 (+12.6%)31% 11/35+7.8% / +44.8%−36.4% / −45.1%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINMay 5, 2026 −27.9%Not on one close67% 2/3−6.4% / +29.2%−44.8% / −45.1%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJun 15, 2026 −21.8%Not on one close71% 20/28+22.9% / +70.0%−8.6% / −45.1%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJul 3, 2026 −18.2%Not on one close62% 30/48+35.0% / +70.0%−21.7% / −45.1%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 18, 2026 −10.6%Buy below C$26.71 (−7.5%)77% 23/30+42.3% / +31.8%−23.0% / −45.1%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINSep 17, 2026 −3.9%Not on one close70% 16/23+38.7% / +32.4%−44.8% / −45.1%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINSep 11, 2026 −8.9%Not on one close67% 29/43+59.0% / +27.8%−37.2% / −45.1%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINSep 17, 2026 −3.9%Not on one close91% 10/11+34.1% / +27.4%−41.9% / −45.8%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINJun 25, 2024 +240.3%Sell above C$88.60 (+206.7%)–+70.0% / +70.0%−45.1% / −45.1%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTJun 29, 2026 −12.8%Not on one close83% 5/6+7.8% / +44.8%−2.5% / −45.1%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −3.4%Enter above C$28.93 (+0.1%)45% 19/42−6.0% / +34.0%−43.5% / −45.1%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −1.7%Not on one close60% 38/63+44.4% / +34.0%−33.0% / −45.1%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −0.3%Buy below C$28.89 (0.0%)58% 146/253+16.8% / +21.8%−21.4% / −50.7%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTAug 12, 2026 −8.1%Not on one close50% 5/10+14.8% / +70.0%−42.1% / −45.1%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −1.7%Not on one close40% 46/116+24.8% / +37.7%−39.2% / −45.1%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −3.1%Sell above C$30.41 (+5.3%)50% 7/14+1.3% / +31.1%−41.3% / −45.1%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −3.1%Not on one close30% 21/70+7.1% / +31.8%−47.6% / −45.1%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 18, 2026 −10.6%Not on one close29% 8/28+2.3% / +33.0%−56.5% / −45.1%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −11.0%Not on one close50% 4/8−0.4% / +29.2%−34.5% / −45.1%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINNov 26, 2025 +7.1%Exit below C$25.74 (−10.9%)20% 1/5+7.3% / +65.8%−45.1% / −45.1%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −1.7%Exit below C$28.82 (−0.2%)21% 16/75+0.1% / +36.2%−54.6% / −45.1%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −3.4%Enter above C$37.97 (+31.4%)31% 17/54+8.5% / +31.8%−45.1% / −45.1%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above C$28.89 (+0.0%)29% 18/62+2.4% / +33.0%−47.1% / −45.1%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +3.4%Not on one close29% 2/7+64.9% / +67.6%−32.7% / −45.1%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −11.0%Not on one close42% 39/92+43.1% / +56.7%−42.2% / −45.1%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTJun 17, 2026 −19.7%Not on one close38% 6/16+18.4% / +24.0%−49.1% / −45.7%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −30.6%Not on one close58% 7/12+39.1% / +21.9%−21.8% / −46.3%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTAug 7, 2025 +74.0%Not on one close67% 4/6+10.9% / +32.9%−11.8% / −45.1%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −29.3%Buys Oct 3050% 3/6+36.2% / +21.8%−37.7% / −50.7%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 −33.8%Enter above C$28.39 (−1.7%)80% 4/5+27.6% / +37.7%−38.4% / −45.1%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 −33.8%Window opens Oct 1660% 3/5+38.3% / +37.7%−30.6% / −45.1%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −11.3%Buys Dec 2367% 4/6+6.1% / +21.8%−10.0% / −50.7%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +2.2%Buys Oct 2955% 41/74+23.4% / +21.8%−36.0% / −50.7%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −3.1%Sells Jun 300% 0/1+3.3% / +21.8%−6.4% / −50.7%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −11.5%Buys Nov 2457% 34/60+12.7% / +21.8%−12.2% / −50.7%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 29, 2023 +174.4%Not on one close–+42.9% / +42.9%−45.1% / −45.1%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1650% 162/321+23.2% / +21.8%−42.2% / −50.7%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −1.4%Buys Oct 2744% 22/50−3.8% / +21.8%−25.0% / −50.7%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +0.7%Sells Oct 1647% 36/76+17.4% / +21.8%−52.0% / −50.7%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINSep 11, 2023Always in–+21.8%−50.7%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureHigh6 of 10 points
  • Market swings1/3
  • Past crashes0/2
  • Debt3/3
  • Run-up2/2
  • It moves about 1.4× its index.
  • It operating profit covers interest only 0.6×.
  • It is up 198% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

Too young to have lived through a market crash, so there is no crash record to read.

  • Beta1.35Moves about 1.4× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture−89%In months the TSX fell, this fell -89% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+198%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
  • From 52-week high−34%
  • Debt to equity0.48×
  • Net debt / EBITDA0.0×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover0.6×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Gold · Allied Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as gold mining company in Africa. It primarily explores gold and silver deposits. The company's flagship project is the Sadiola gold project comprising of 2 mining licenses located in the Republic of Mali. The company was formerly known as Allied Gold Corp Limited & Allied Merger Corporation and changed its name to Allied Gold Corporation in September 2023. Allied Gold Corporation is based in Toronto, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market capC$4.0BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$1.5BTotal sales.
P/E ration/aLost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by.
Forward P/E2.9×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book5.1×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin−4.2%Spends more than it brings in.
Revenue growth+45.4%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Return on equity−2.9%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$150MCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$408MWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$195MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$192MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.48×Comfortable.
Interest cover0.6×Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$44.9356% above the close, from 6 analysts (range C$36.90 to C$55.94).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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