Industrials & rentals

Transcat (TRNS)

$86.94 +1.1% on the day·+24.4% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Your signal

Hold56 / 100

Hold: 56 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Trend (+8% vs 200-day) scores 68 and lifts it; Plays in (42%) scores 42 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	TRNS	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	42%	42	40	16.8
Off the high	−11% from its 1-year high	63	30	18.9
Trend	+8% vs 200-day	68	30	20.4

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for TRNS

Factor	TRNS	Points	What it is
Plays in	42%	42	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+20% · 3 analysts	57	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	–	–	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	241.5×	4	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	40.1×	4	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	–	–	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales	2.3×	66	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	2.7×	57	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-27.
Dividend yield	none	0	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	−60%	8	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth	+22%	66	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	1%	20	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	1%	19	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity	0.36×	59	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-27.
Off the high	−11% from its 1-year high	63	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	+8% vs 200-day	68	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+24%	61	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	1/10 · low	90	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on TRNS

42 of the 100 plays hold TRNS right now.
The breakout and mean-reversion plays mostly say out.
It closed 8% above its 200-day average and 11% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads low: it operating profit covers interest only 2.7×.
Analysts' average 12-month target is $104.33, 20% above the close (3 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in42 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureLow1 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple1.08×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+8%). Higher than on 55% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about TRNS now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn TRNS: right 11 of 34 · Out since Mar 6, 2026 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn TRNS: right 77 of 215 · Out since Aug 20, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn TRNS: right 18 of 38 · In since Jul 31, 2026 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn TRNS: right 118 of 170 · Out since Sep 18, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexOUT59% of 13,925 calls rightOn TRNS: right 51 of 88 · Out since Jul 7, 2025 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchOUT50% of 38,976 calls rightOn TRNS: right 72 of 131 · Out since Oct 6, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn TRNS: right 22 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

TRNS, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved TRNS lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Sep 24−3.3% against the S&P 5001.4× a normal day

TRNS −3.3%, the S&P 500 0.0% that session; 0.0% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on TRNS was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for TRNS starts Oct 4, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved 0.0%. The 8 other Industrials & rentals stocks Be The Puck covers moved 0.0% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Tue Sep 22+4.2% against the S&P 5001.8× a normal day

TRNS +4.2%, the S&P 500 0.0% that session; −1.5% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

Wed Sep 16+3.7% against the S&P 5001.6× a normal day

TRNS +3.3%, the S&P 500 −0.4% that session; +11.0% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on TRNS was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for TRNS starts Oct 4, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.4%. The 8 other Industrials & rentals stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.9% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on TRNS

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following16 of 30 in Breakouts & channels2 of 15 in Momentum10 of 17 in Mean reversion4 of 15 in Volume & money flow5 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns1 of 3 in Calendar4 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on TRNS went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.6%	Enter above $87.55 (+0.7%)	14% 126/876	−31.7% / +16.0%	−100.0% / −63.9%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	IN	Sep 25, 2026 −0.9%	Exit below $85.86 (−1.2%)	16% 24/150	−5.8% / +16.0%	−94.6% / −63.9%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.6%	Enter above $87.57 (+0.7%)	12% 73/608	−25.9% / +16.0%	−99.9% / −63.9%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.6%	Enter above $88.48 (+1.8%)	13% 39/291	−11.9% / +16.0%	−97.5% / −63.9%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Apr 24, 2026 +11.6%	Exit below $84.59 (−2.7%)	16% 18/112	+0.2% / +16.0%	−85.5% / −63.9%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	May 29, 2026 +2.9%	Exit below $84.59 (−2.7%)	13% 22/168	−10.6% / +16.0%	−96.1% / −63.9%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +11.5%	Exit below $80.60 (−7.3%)	30% 12/40	+8.6% / +16.0%	−69.8% / −63.9%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	IN	May 21, 2026 +22.8%	Exit below $80.27 (−7.7%)	9% 25/280	−13.4% / +16.0%	−98.6% / −63.9%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	IN	Mar 30, 2026 +23.4%	Not on one close	29% 10/34	+11.2% / +16.0%	−59.3% / −63.9%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Jun 9, 2026 −3.4%	Exit below $80.27 (−7.7%)	10% 19/192	−6.8% / +16.0%	−94.0% / −63.9%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 +1.3%	Enter above $87.48 (+0.6%)	31% 47/153	−2.9% / +16.0%	−87.2% / −63.9%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below $86.92 (0.0%)	16% 152/955	−30.4% / +16.0%	−100.0% / −63.9%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −5.3%	Exit below $80.63 (−7.3%)	23% 71/307	−11.2% / +16.0%	−96.7% / −63.9%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Jun 1, 2026 −1.3%	Not on one close	24% 8/34	+7.5% / +16.0%	−71.2% / −63.9%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	OUT	Oct 12, 2026 +1.1%	Enter above $88.80 (+2.1%)	15% 30/194	−10.0% / +16.0%	−96.0% / −63.9%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	OUT	Sep 15, 2026 +7.3%	Enter above $89.54 (+3.0%)	17% 27/156	−4.5% / +16.0%	−92.5% / −63.9%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	OUT	Sep 14, 2026 +5.8%	Enter above $92.35 (+6.2%)	29% 42/147	−8.2% / +16.0%	−95.6% / −63.9%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.6%	Flips at next check	39% 177/449	−5.4% / +16.0%	−82.8% / −63.9%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +0.8%	Enter above $86.52 (−0.5%)	34% 283/843	−9.4% / +16.0%	−95.3% / −63.9%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −1.7%	Exit below $79.68 (−8.3%)	36% 86/240	+1.0% / +16.0%	−75.7% / −63.9%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −2.1%	Enter above $91.09 (+4.8%)	32% 162/512	−6.9% / +16.0%	−94.3% / −63.9%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Mar 6, 2026 +23.0%	Not on one close	32% 50/154	−2.2% / +16.0%	−76.1% / −63.9%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −1.7%	Exit below $87.35 (+0.5%)	18% 44/249	−11.1% / +16.0%	−95.8% / −63.9%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +0.8%	Enter above $89.68 (+3.1%)	25% 79/313	−11.8% / +16.0%	−95.7% / −63.9%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 +0.9%	Exit below $86.73 (−0.2%)	23% 75/324	−11.3% / +16.0%	−96.2% / −63.9%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +0.8%	Not on one close	29% 60/210	+0.9% / +16.0%	−71.8% / −63.9%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −1.7%	Not on one close	18% 43/235	−9.9% / +16.0%	−96.8% / −63.9%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −3.8%	Exit below $87.52 (+0.7%)	16% 24/150	−8.5% / +16.0%	−96.0% / −63.9%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +0.8%	Not on one close	27% 66/241	−8.1% / +16.0%	−89.5% / −63.9%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Mar 6, 2026 +23.0%	Not on one close	32% 11/34	−0.9% / +16.0%	−39.1% / −63.9%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	OUT	Jul 29, 2026 +6.9%	Enter above $92.49 (+6.4%)	31% 28/91	+3.1% / +16.0%	−66.4% / −63.9%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Jul 29, 2026 +6.9%	Enter above $100.00 (+15.0%)	24% 32/135	−6.3% / +16.0%	−93.6% / −63.9%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Jul 29, 2026 +6.9%	Enter above $100.00 (+15.0%)	19% 16/86	−2.1% / +16.0%	−83.6% / −63.9%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 +2.4%	Enter above $97.76 (+12.4%)	22% 23/105	−5.5% / +16.0%	−88.3% / −63.9%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	OUT	Jul 24, 2026 +2.5%	Not on one close	36% 31/87	+5.2% / +16.0%	−48.8% / −63.9%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Jul 2, 2026 −2.3%	Enter above $95.84 (+10.2%)	17% 22/130	−9.9% / +16.0%	−92.4% / −63.9%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.6%	Enter above $92.31 (+6.2%)	21% 56/268	−15.7% / +16.0%	−98.2% / −63.9%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 +1.3%	Enter above $91.83 (+5.6%)	24% 46/191	−7.2% / +16.0%	−88.3% / −63.9%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −5.3%	Exit below $82.36 (−5.3%)	24% 45/188	−10.5% / +16.0%	−95.5% / −63.9%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	OUT	Aug 20, 2026 −5.0%	Enter above $93.20 (+7.2%)	36% 77/215	−0.5% / +16.0%	−87.7% / −63.9%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 −3.6%	Exit below $84.36 (−3.0%)	18% 74/404	−16.4% / +16.0%	−98.9% / −63.9%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Feb 13, 2026 +14.7%	Not on one close	17% 28/164	−7.9% / +16.0%	−86.1% / −63.9%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.6%	Enter above $96.62 (+11.1%)	26% 45/170	−3.3% / +16.0%	−69.5% / −63.9%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.6%	Enter above $87.62 (+0.8%)	21% 158/756	−18.1% / +16.0%	−99.5% / −63.9%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Nov 3, 2025 +23.1%	Not on one close	21% 8/38	−0.2% / +16.0%	−30.5% / −63.9%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −1.7%	Exit below $75.33 (−13.4%)	35% 14/40	+6.0% / +15.3%	−72.9% / −63.9%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2026 +1.8%	Not on one close	47% 18/38	+9.2% / +15.3%	−62.8% / −63.9%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −1.7%	Exit below $83.76 (−3.7%)	39% 24/62	+3.4% / +15.3%	−74.6% / −63.9%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −1.7%	Not on one close	14% 29/204	+0.1% / +16.0%	−80.5% / −63.9%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	IN	Jun 30, 2026 −6.3%	Exit below $83.10 (−4.4%)	38% 10/26	+6.4% / +16.0%	−49.6% / −63.9%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +0.8%	Enter above $88.98 (+2.3%)	14% 31/214	−13.8% / +16.0%	−98.5% / −63.9%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +0.8%	Enter above $89.85 (+3.3%)	25% 128/508	−16.1% / +16.0%	−98.9% / −63.9%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.6%	Enter above $87.55 (+0.7%)	17% 166/990	−34.9% / +16.0%	−100.0% / −63.9%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −5.3%	Exit below $80.81 (−7.0%)	29% 105/359	−6.1% / +16.0%	−89.8% / −63.9%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +11.5%	Exit below $48.75 (−43.9%)	22% 2/9	+10.3% / +14.4%	−60.5% / −63.9%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Oct 6, 2026 −3.2%	Enter above $92.46 (+6.4%)	23% 157/680	−15.1% / +16.0%	−99.0% / −63.9%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 −2.4%	Exit below $72.40 (−16.7%)	29% 83/291	−6.9% / +16.0%	−91.7% / −63.9%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 −3.6%	Exit below $87.20 (+0.3%)	19% 47/245	−10.4% / +16.0%	−95.6% / −63.9%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +11.5%	Exit below $85.35 (−1.8%)	28% 29/102	+1.4% / +15.3%	−83.8% / −63.9%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2026 +1.8%	Not on one close	44% 15/34	+10.4% / +15.6%	−56.2% / −63.9%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	OUT	Nov 29, 2024 −17.1%	Not on one close	43% 15/35	+8.5% / +15.3%	−59.4% / −63.9%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above $87.90 (+1.1%)	23% 92/408	−13.0% / +16.0%	−97.5% / −63.9%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Feb 5, 2026 +23.5%	Not on one close	50% 14/28	+8.2% / +16.0%	−38.9% / −63.9%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Buy $80.27–$83.00 (−4.5%)	67% 216/322	+15.9% / +16.0%	−29.0% / −63.9%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.6%	Sell above $89.80 (+3.3%)	73% 378/516	+29.5% / +16.0%	−43.8% / −63.9%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 +1.1%	Buy below $83.63 (−3.8%)	69% 118/170	+17.6% / +16.0%	−44.9% / −63.9%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 +0.9%	Not on one close	60% 76/126	+11.7% / +16.0%	−41.6% / −63.9%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −2.4%	Not on one close	56% 149/268	+9.4% / +16.0%	−57.5% / −63.9%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	IN	Aug 27, 2026 −3.3%	Not on one close	63% 31/49	+14.6% / +16.0%	−53.3% / −63.9%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +2,994.0%	Sell above $194.02 (+123.2%)	–	+16.0% / +16.0%	−63.9% / −63.9%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	May 23, 2022 +29.1%	Not on one close	70% 14/20	+5.1% / +16.0%	−5.7% / −63.9%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −2.4%	Enter above $88.38 (+1.7%)	37% 135/362	−0.8% / +16.0%	−76.6% / −63.9%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Not on one close	44% 220/496	+0.7% / +16.0%	−74.2% / −63.9%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Buy below $86.94 (0.0%)	59% 1002/1705	+31.2% / +16.0%	−50.3% / −63.9%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 −5.3%	Not on one close	60% 53/88	+8.7% / +16.0%	−53.9% / −63.9%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 −2.1%	Enter above $89.12 (+2.5%)	34% 413/1222	−11.9% / +16.0%	−98.9% / −63.9%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −1.7%	Buy below $90.20 (+3.8%)	59% 77/131	+11.1% / +16.0%	−42.0% / −63.9%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below $86.94 (0.0%)	28% 146/530	−6.0% / +16.0%	−90.4% / −63.9%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 −2.4%	Not on one close	35% 62/176	+8.6% / +16.0%	−57.7% / −63.9%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	OUT	Jul 7, 2025 +0.7%	Not on one close	58% 51/88	+13.3% / +16.0%	−54.5% / −63.9%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	IN	Sep 25, 2026 −0.9%	Exit below $84.58 (−2.7%)	26% 46/175	−2.3% / +16.0%	−65.6% / −63.9%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.6%	Enter above $86.96 (+0.0%)	23% 148/631	−15.1% / +16.0%	−98.7% / −63.9%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	OUT	Oct 12, 2026 +1.1%	Enter above $94.42 (+8.6%)	26% 126/480	−13.5% / +16.8%	−97.2% / −63.9%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below $86.94 (0.0%)	34% 145/422	+7.6% / +16.0%	−59.6% / −63.9%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	IN	May 14, 2026 +12.4%	Not on one close	35% 31/88	+11.4% / +15.6%	−46.9% / −63.9%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.6%	Buy $84.62–$93.80 (−2.7%)	32% 264/837	−9.5% / +16.0%	−97.0% / −63.9%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	OUT	Oct 6, 2026 −3.2%	Not on one close	55% 72/131	+13.2% / +16.0%	−61.3% / −63.9%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	IN	Aug 3, 2026 −2.9%	Exit below $79.08 (−9.0%)	21% 18/87	−5.5% / +16.0%	−77.8% / −63.9%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Nov 17, 2025 +63.4%	Not on one close	47% 15/32	+2.4% / +16.0%	−12.8% / −63.9%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 +14.2%	Buys Oct 30	51% 22/43	+10.2% / +16.0%	−58.4% / −63.9%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 23, 2026 +8.2%	Enter above $91.05 (+4.7%)	47% 20/43	+6.0% / +16.0%	−57.1% / −63.9%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 24, 2026 +11.6%	Window opens Oct 16	53% 23/43	+9.6% / +16.0%	−56.4% / −63.9%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +39.0%	Buys Dec 23	52% 23/44	+4.5% / +16.0%	−14.6% / −63.9%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 −4.0%	Buys Oct 29	45% 239/526	+3.5% / +16.0%	−61.7% / −63.9%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −1.7%	Sells Jun 30	55% 6/11	+5.4% / +16.0%	−27.1% / −63.9%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 +1.7%	Buys Nov 24	44% 177/400	+3.8% / +16.0%	−22.2% / −63.9%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +22.7%	Not on one close	30% 6/20	+5.2% / +16.0%	−70.0% / −63.9%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 12, 2026 +1.1%	Sells Oct 16	46% 1058/2284	+7.4% / +16.0%	−74.2% / −63.9%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 +3.9%	Buys Oct 27	44% 154/348	+1.0% / +16.0%	−25.3% / −63.9%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −3.8%	Sells Oct 16	49% 264/541	+6.1% / +16.0%	−69.5% / −63.9%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 3, 2005	Always in	–	+16.0%	−63.9%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureLow1 of 10 points

Market swings0/3
Past crashes0/2
Debt1/3
Run-up0/2

It operating profit covers interest only 2.7×.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Feb 2009 · back to its old high Mar 2009

TRNS−19%

S&P 500−57%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Nov 2020

TRNS−35%

S&P 500−34%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jul 2022 · back to its old high Feb 2023

TRNS−43%

S&P 500−25%

Beta1.00Moves about 1.0× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
Downside capture−33%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell -33% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change−31%
From 52-week high−11%
Debt to equity0.48×
Net debt / EBITDA3.2×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover2.7×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Specialty Business Services · Transcat, Inc. provides calibration and laboratory instrument services in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Service and Distribution. The Service segment offers calibration, repair, inspection, analytical qualification, preventative maintenance, consulting, and other related services.

Size and valuation
Market cap	$814M	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	$348M	Total sales. The market values it at 2.3× sales.
P/E ratio	241.5×	Buyers pay $242 for each $1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	40.1×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book	2.7×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	1.0%	Keeps 1¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+21.6%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth	−60.0%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	1.2%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	$28.0M	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	$301M	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	$143M	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	$6.7M	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	0.48×	Comfortable.
Interest cover	2.7×	Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	$104.33	20% above the close, from 3 analysts (range $95.00 to $113.00).

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-27; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

TRNS: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Industrials & rentals: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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